River Flood Warning 65, NWS Raleigh, NC

458 
WGUS82 KRAH 131536
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1036 AM EST Fri Nov 13 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County.

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this evening.

&&


NCC037-105-131645-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-201113T1536Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.700119T1353Z.700119T1354Z.700119T1354Z.NO/
1036 AM EST Fri Nov 13 2020

...The Flood Warning for the Deep River At Moncure has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* At 7:45 AM EST Friday the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 2.8 feet early 
  Wednesday morning.

&&


          Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm EST)     
Location  Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue    

Deep River
Moncure   9.0   8.9   Fri 7 am EST 8.7   6.4   4.5   3.4    



&&

LAT...LON 3567 7909 3563 7906 3559 7904 3546 7934
      3554 7939

$$

NCC051-140345-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-201116T0800Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.201113T1104Z.201114T0600Z.201115T2000Z.NO/
1036 AM EST Fri Nov 13 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* Until late Sunday night.
* At 10:00 AM EST Friday the stage was 37.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 44.0 feet 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage 
  Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Action Stage. Banks begin to overflow.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower 
  parking lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are 
  flooded. The stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear 
  amphitheater are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 43.0 
  feet on 04/12/2003.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm EST)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue    

Cape Fear River
Fayetteville   35.0  37.5  Fri 10 am ES 41.2  35.4  31.3  26.5   



&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3495 7875 3495 7887
      3514 7890 3526 7876

$$

NCC085-140345-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-201114T0705Z/
/LLLN7.1.ER.201113T0430Z.201113T1201Z.201113T1905Z.NO/
1036 AM EST Fri Nov 13 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until just after midnight 
tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* Until late tonight.
* At 10:15 AM EST Friday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage this 
  afternoon and continue falling to 5.8 feet Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Action stage. The river is at bankfull.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Minor flood stage - the boat launch ramp 
  and wooden deck at Mermaid Point Restaurant are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.6 
  feet on 02/09/2020.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm EST)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue    

Cape Fear River
Lillington     14.0  14.8  Fri 10 am ES 9.8   9.2   7.5   6.3    



&&

LAT...LON 3549 7884 3536 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
      3532 7877 3543 7892

$$

28

282 
WGUS82 KRAH 131951
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
251 PM EST Fri Nov 13 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued tonight.

&&


NCC051-140800-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-201116T0130Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.201113T1104Z.201114T0600Z.201115T1330Z.NO/
251 PM EST Fri Nov 13 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 2:00 PM EST Friday the stage was 39.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 2:00 PM EST Friday was 39.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 42.4 feet 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower 
  parking lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are 
  flooded. The stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear 
  amphitheater are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 41.7 
  feet on 02/08/2020.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm EST)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue    

Cape Fear River
Fayetteville   35.0  39.3  Fri 2 pm EST 39.4  34.4  29.2  24.5   



&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3495 7875 3495 7887
      3514 7890 3526 7876

$$

28

503 
WGUS82 KRAH 140234
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
934 PM EST Fri Nov 13 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County.

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County.

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County.

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. 

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued Saturday morning by 945 AM EST.

&&


NCC051-141445-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-201116T0951Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.201113T1104Z.201114T0600Z.201115T2151Z.NO/
934 PM EST Fri Nov 13 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* Until late Sunday night.
* At 8:00 PM EST Friday the stage was 40.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:00 PM EST Friday was 40.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 40.3 feet 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage 
  Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Action Stage. Banks begin to overflow.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower 
  parking lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are 
  flooded. The stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear 
  amphitheater are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 41.7 
  feet on 02/08/2020.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue    

Cape Fear River
Fayetteville   35.0  40.3  Fri 8 pm EST 38.5  34.5  26.8  22.8   



&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3495 7875 3495 7887
      3514 7890 3526 7876

$$

NCC051-141445-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-201117T1536Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.201112T2204Z.201114T1800Z.201117T0336Z.NO/
934 PM EST Fri Nov 13 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Tuesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 8:30 PM EST Friday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 PM EST Friday was 20.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 22.9 feet 
  early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late 
  Monday evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor flooding begins in Fort Bragg near 
  the water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding begins on Manchester Road 
  near the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.9 
  feet on 01/31/2020.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue    

Little River
Manchester  18.0  20.1  Fri 8 pm EST 22.9  21.0  18.3  16.3   



&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3515 7909
      3519 7909 3521 7898

$$

NCC037-141445-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-201114T2200Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.201112T1938Z.201113T1031Z.201114T1000Z.NO/
934 PM EST Fri Nov 13 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River Near Bynum.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 8:31 PM EST Friday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:31 PM EST Friday was 15.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tonight and continue falling to 5.3 feet Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It 
  floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.1 
  feet on 10/13/2018.

&&


         Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue    

Haw River
Bynum    11.0  13.3  Fri 8 pm EST 8.0   6.4   6.2   5.6    



&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
      3585 7930

$$

NCC001-141445-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-201114T1912Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.201112T1652Z.201113T0230Z.201114T0712Z.NO/
934 PM EST Fri Nov 13 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early tomorrow 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River At Haw River.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 7:45 PM EST Friday the stage was 22.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:45 PM EST Friday was 24.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight and continue falling to 4.2 feet Wednesday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Overflow begins on both banks at the water 
  treatment plant.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right 
  bank opposite the water treatment plant.  Water also reaches the 
  Red Slide Park upstream of the Main St. Bridge.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.3 
  feet on 10/13/2018.

&&


         Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue    

Haw River
Haw Rive 18.0  22.6  Fri 7 pm EST 9.4   7.1   5.8   4.8    



&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
      3604 7944 3613 7954

$$

88

589 
WGUS82 KRAH 140815
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
315 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County.

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. 

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this morning by 1100 AM EST.

&&


NCC051-142015-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-201116T0951Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.201113T1104Z.201114T0100Z.201115T2151Z.NO/
315 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* Until late Sunday night.
* At 2:00 AM EST Saturday the stage was 39.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* The river crested at 40.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 40.2 feet 
  this morning. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Banks overflow.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, The boat ramp and lower parking lot at 
  Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The stage 
  and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 41.7 
  feet on 02/08/2020.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am EST)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed    

Cape Fear River
Fayetteville   35.0  39.8  Sat 2 am EST 37.7  32.7  25.1  22.1   



&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3495 7875 3495 7887
      3514 7890 3526 7876

$$

NCC051-142015-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-201117T1536Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.201112T2204Z.201114T1800Z.201117T0336Z.NO/
315 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 2:45 AM EST Saturday the stage was 22.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 22.9 feet 
  this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late Monday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor flooding begins in Fort Bragg near 
  the water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding begins on Manchester Road 
  near the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.9 
  feet on 01/31/2020.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am EST)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed    

Little River
Manchester  18.0  22.1  Sat 2 am EST 22.7  20.3  17.8  15.8   



&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3515 7909
      3519 7909 3521 7898

$$

10

924 
WGUS82 KRAH 141426
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
926 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties.

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this evening.

&&


NCC037-105-150230-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-201115T1342Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.201112T2325Z.201113T0500Z.201115T0142Z.NO/
926 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 8:45 AM EST Saturday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:45 AM EST Saturday was 9.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.5 feet 
  this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely 
  upstream of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of 
  highway 421 in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 
  421 in Chatham county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base 
  of the river gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture 
  immediately adjacent to the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.3 
  feet on 02/09/2020.

&&


          Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location  Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed    

Deep River
Moncure   9.0   9.4   Sat 8 am EST 8.0   4.7   3.4   2.4    



&&

LAT...LON 3567 7909 3563 7906 3559 7904 3546 7934
      3554 7939

$$

NCC051-150230-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-201116T2030Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.201113T1104Z.201114T0100Z.201116T0830Z.NO/
926 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Monday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 9:00 AM EST Saturday the stage was 38.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:00 AM EST Saturday was 40.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  Monday morning and continue falling to 20.7 feet Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Action Stage. Banks begin to overflow.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower 
  parking lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are 
  flooded. The stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear 
  amphitheater are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 38.0 
  feet on 02/09/2010.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed    

Cape Fear River
Fayetteville   35.0  38.9  Sat 9 am EST 37.3  34.3  27.1  22.9   



&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3495 7875 3495 7887
      3514 7890 3526 7876

$$

28

106 
WGUS82 KRAH 150150
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
850 PM EST Sat Nov 14 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties.

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County.

For the Cape Fear...including Moncure and Fayetteville...Minor 
flooding is forecast.
For the Little River...including Manchester...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued Sunday morning by 900 AM EST.

&&


NCC037-105-151400-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-201115T2248Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.201112T2325Z.201113T0500Z.201115T1048Z.NO/
850 PM EST Sat Nov 14 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 7:45 PM EST Saturday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:45 PM EST Saturday was 9.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tonight and continue falling to 2.0 feet Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely 
  upstream of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of 
  highway 421 in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 
  421 in Chatham county.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.3 
  feet on 02/09/2020.

&&


          Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location  Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed    

Deep River
Moncure   9.0   9.5   Sat 7 pm EST 6.3   3.9   2.8   2.5    



&&

LAT...LON 3567 7909 3563 7906 3559 7904 3546 7934
      3554 7939

$$

NCC051-151400-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-201117T0318Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.201113T1104Z.201114T0100Z.201116T1518Z.NO/
850 PM EST Sat Nov 14 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Monday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 8:00 PM EST Saturday the stage was 38.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:00 PM EST Saturday was 40.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 38.6 feet 
  tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage late Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Action Stage. Banks begin to overflow.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower 
  parking lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are 
  flooded. The stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear 
  amphitheater are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 38.0 
  feet on 02/09/2010.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed    

Cape Fear River
Fayetteville   35.0  38.5  Sat 8 pm EST 38.5  31.6  24.6  22.7   



&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3495 7875 3495 7887
      3514 7890 3526 7876

$$

NCC051-151400-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-201117T1108Z/
/MANN7.2.ER.201112T2204Z.201114T2115Z.201116T2308Z.NO/
850 PM EST Sat Nov 14 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Tuesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 8:30 PM EST Saturday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 PM EST Saturday was 24.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage Monday 
  evening and continue falling to 13.0 feet Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding begins on Manchester Road 
  near the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Manchester Road is flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.7 
  feet on 08/11/2003.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed    

Little River
Manchester  18.0  24.0  Sat 8 pm EST 20.7  17.9  15.9  14.3   



&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3515 7909
      3519 7909 3521 7898

$$

88

340 
WGUS82 KRAH 150857
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
357 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties.

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County.

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this morning by 1100 AM EST.

&&


NCC037-105-152100-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-201115T2247Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.201112T2325Z.201113T0500Z.201115T1047Z.NO/
357 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late this afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 2:45 AM EST Sunday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  this morning and continue falling to 2.0 feet Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Flooding is likely upstream of the gage site 
  along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 in Lee county, 
  and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham county. At 
  the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river gage 
  housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately adjacent 
  to the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.3 
  feet on 02/09/2020.

&&


          Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am EST)     
Location  Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu    

Deep River
Moncure   9.0   9.3   Sun 2 am EST 5.5   3.6   2.6   2.4    



&&

LAT...LON 3567 7909 3563 7906 3559 7904 3546 7934
      3554 7939

$$

NCC051-152100-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-201117T0318Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.201113T1104Z.201114T0100Z.201116T1518Z.NO/
357 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 3:00 AM EST Sunday the stage was 38.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* The river crested at 40.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tomorrow morning and continue falling to 23.1 feet Thursday 
  evening.
* Impacts...At 32.0 feet, Banks begin to overflow.At 35.0 feet, The 
  boat ramp and lower parking lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off 
  Person Street are flooded. The stage and lower seating area at the 
  Cape Fear amphitheater are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 38.0 
  feet on 02/09/2010.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am EST)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu    

Cape Fear River
Fayetteville   35.0  38.7  Sun 3 am EST 37.8  28.9  24.0  22.5   



&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3495 7875 3495 7887
      3514 7890 3526 7876

$$

NCC051-152100-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-201117T1108Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.201112T2204Z.201114T2115Z.201116T2308Z.NO/
357 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 3:45 AM EST Sunday the stage was 22.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* The river crested at 24.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow evening and continue falling to 13.0 feet Thursday 
  evening.
* Impacts...At 18.0 feet, Minor flooding begins in Fort Bragg near 
  the water treatment plant.At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding begins on 
  Manchester Road near the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.9 
  feet on 01/31/2020.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am EST)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu    

Little River
Manchester  18.0  22.5  Sun 3 am EST 20.0  17.4  15.4  13.9   



&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3515 7909
      3519 7909 3521 7898

$$

10

137 
WGUS82 KRAH 151447
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
947 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this evening.

&&


NCC051-160300-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-201117T0325Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.201113T1104Z.201114T0100Z.201116T1525Z.NO/
947 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 9:00 AM EST Sunday the stage was 38.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:00 AM EST Sunday was 38.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tomorrow morning and continue falling to 22.4 feet Friday morning.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Action Stage. Banks begin to overflow.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower 
  parking lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are 
  flooded. The stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear 
  amphitheater are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 38.0 
  feet on 02/09/2010.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu    

Cape Fear River
Fayetteville   35.0  38.8  Sun 9 am EST 36.2  26.8  22.5  21.6   



&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3495 7875 3495 7887
      3514 7890 3526 7876

$$

Leins

921 
WGUS82 KRAH 160046
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
746 PM EST Sun Nov 15 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County.

For the Cape Fear...including Fayetteville...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. 

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this evening by 845 PM EST.

&&


NCC051-160200-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-201116T0046Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.700119T1353Z.700119T1356Z.700119T1357Z.NO/
746 PM EST Sun Nov 15 2020

...The Flood Warning for the Little River At Manchester has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* At 7:15 PM EST Sunday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 9.3 feet Friday 
  evening.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu    

Little River
Manchester  18.0  17.1  Sun 7 pm EST 12.7  10.7  10.3  9.8    



&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3515 7909
      3519 7909 3521 7898

$$

NCC051-161300-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-201117T0834Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.201113T1104Z.201114T0100Z.201116T2034Z.NO/
746 PM EST Sun Nov 15 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Tuesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* Until late Monday night.
* At 7:00 PM EST Sunday the stage was 38.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:00 PM EST Sunday was 38.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 22.3 feet Friday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Action Stage. Banks begin to overflow.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower 
  parking lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are 
  flooded. The stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear 
  amphitheater are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 38.0 
  feet on 02/09/2010.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu    

Cape Fear River
Fayetteville   35.0  38.3  Sun 7 pm EST 34.2  28.0  23.9  22.9   



&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3495 7875 3495 7887
      3514 7890 3526 7876

$$

88

715 
WGUS82 KRAH 160922
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
422 AM EST Mon Nov 16 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties.

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County.

  Fishing Creek At Enfield affecting Edgecombe, Halifax and Nash 
  Counties.

  Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this morning by 11 AM EST.

&&


NCC083-131-162130-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-201120T2310Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.201114T0745Z.201118T1200Z.201120T1110Z.NO/
422 AM EST Mon Nov 16 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Friday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* Until Friday evening.
* At 3:45 AM EST Monday the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  this morning to a crest of 10.9 feet Wednesday morning. It will 
  then fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impacts...At 9.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. Farmlands and 
  timberlands adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.  
  Property on the farmlands may be at risk from floodwaters.At 10.0 
  feet, The public boat ramp on Rockfish Ln in Weldon is flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.6 
  feet on 09/12/1996.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri    

Lower Roanoke River
Roanoke Rapids     9.0   8.9   Mon 3 am EST 10.0  10.9  10.9  8.7    



&&

LAT...LON 3652 7765 3640 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
      3638 7761 3645 7765

$$

NCC065-083-127-162130-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-201117T1500Z/
/EFDN7.1.ER.201113T1215Z.201115T1015Z.201117T0300Z.NO/
422 AM EST Mon Nov 16 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Fishing Creek At Enfield.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 4:00 AM EST Monday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this evening and continue falling to 7.0 feet Friday evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Minor overflow occurs on both banks.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.8 
  feet on 02/09/2020.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri    

Fishing Creek
Enfield      16.0  17.2  Mon 4 am EST 15.2  10.8  8.9   7.3    



&&

LAT...LON 3617 7781 3615 7766 3608 7748 3603 7754
      3610 7767 3611 7783

$$

NCC051-162130-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-201117T0834Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.201113T1104Z.201114T0100Z.201116T2034Z.NO/
422 AM EST Mon Nov 16 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* Until late tonight.
* At 3:00 AM EST Monday the stage was 37.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 3:00 AM EST Monday was 38.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this afternoon and continue falling to 22.3 feet Friday evening.
* Impacts...At 32.0 feet, Action Stage. Banks begin to overflow.At 
  35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking lot at 
  Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The stage 
  and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 38.0 
  feet on 02/09/2010.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri    

Cape Fear River
Fayetteville   35.0  37.5  Mon 3 am EST 31.0  25.3  22.9  22.7   



&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3495 7875 3495 7887
      3514 7890 3526 7876

$$

NCC065-162130-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0060.000000T0000Z-201120T1255Z/
/TARN7.2.ER.201113T0347Z.201115T1230Z.201120T0055Z.NO/
422 AM EST Mon Nov 16 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Tarboro.
* Until Friday morning.
* At 3:15 AM EST Monday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 3:15 AM EST Monday was 28.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  Thursday evening and continue falling to 14.9 feet Friday evening.
* Impacts...At 17.0 feet, The river is at bankfull.At 19.0 feet, 
  Minor flooding begins. The Riverside Park and River Road at the 
  US64 bridge flood.At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of 
  Daniel Street in east Tarboro.At 24.0 feet, Moderate flooding 
  begins in Tarboro. River Road is underwater and flooding begins on 
  east Wilson and St David Streets.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.7 
  feet on 05/01/2017.

&&


         Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am EST)     
Location Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri    

Tar River
Tarboro  19.0  28.4  Mon 3 am EST 27.2  26.9  22.6  16.8   



&&

LAT...LON 3597 7759 3593 7748 3577 7751 3572 7756
      3590 7756 3593 7761

$$

CA

597 
WGUS82 KRAH 161523 RRA
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1023 AM EST Mon Nov 16 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County.

For the Cape Fear...including Moncure, Lillington, Fayetteville...
Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/rah/rivers.

The next statement will be issued this evening by 1030 PM EST.

&&


NCC051-170330-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-201117T0824Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.201113T1104Z.201114T0100Z.201116T2024Z.NO/
1023 AM EST Mon Nov 16 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* Until late tonight.
* At 9:00 AM EST Monday the stage was 36.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:00 AM EST Monday was 38.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this afternoon and continue falling to 21.8 feet Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Action Stage. Banks begin to overflow.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower 
  parking lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are 
  flooded. The stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear 
  amphitheater are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 38.0 
  feet on 02/09/2010.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm EST)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri    

Cape Fear River
Fayetteville   35.0  36.4  Mon 9 am EST 27.7  23.6  22.7  22.5   



&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3495 7875 3495 7887
      3514 7890 3526 7876

$$

JJT

533 
WGUS82 KRAH 162325
FLSRAH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
625 PM EST Mon Nov 16 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County.

NCC051-170030-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-201116T2325Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.700119T1354Z.700119T1355Z.700119T1359Z.NO/
625 PM EST Mon Nov 16 2020

...The Flood Warning for the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville has 
been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At 6:00 PM EST Monday the stage was 33.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and remain below flood 
  stage.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm EST)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri    

Cape Fear River
Fayetteville   35.0  33.7  Mon 6 pm EST 25.9  23.1  22.8  22.3   



&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3495 7875 3495 7887
      3514 7890 3526 7876

$$

88

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
215 AM EST Fri Nov 13 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will push east to the coast tonight. Another cold front
will move across the region late Friday. High pressure will build
into the region for late Friday and Saturday. Another cold front
will move across the region late Sunday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 820 PM Thursday...

The heavy precip has shifted just E of the forecast area, in
conjunction with the leading cold front. A secondary W-E backdoor
boundary, noted on 0.2 deg radar imagery dropping southward through
the Triangle (and having pushed just south of the Triad), is
accompanied by a surge of gusty northeasterly winds and designates
the leading edge of the cooler and drier air, with temps/dewpoints
quickly dropping up to 10 deg behind the boundary. This front should
continue its southward push through NC tonight, although it may slow
or stall across our E and S depending on the influence of TS Eta as
it tracks northeastward just off the Carolina coast tonight/Fri.
GOES water vapor imagery shows much drier air aloft over W and
central NC and across much of SC (W and SW of Eta), although
considerable moisture persists below about 750 mb, leading to patchy
light rain and drizzle in recent hours across our N and W. The
recent runs of the HRRR show this continuing overnight, especially
across the N and W CWA, so have added this to the forecast, with low
overcast skies. While no substantial additional rainfall will occur
for the remainder of the night, spotty residual flooding issues
persist over the area. Will continue areal flood warnings to account
for the lingering hazardous travel, particularly on roads near
swollen creeks. Numerous river flood warnings remain in effect as
well (see hydrology section below). Expect lows to range from around
50 far NW to upper 50s SE. -GIH

Earlier discussion from 300 PM: A deep plume of tropical moisture
combined with an approaching upper-level trough, a cold front and an
associated mid-level fgen and robust divergence aloft resulted in a
widespread area of moderate to heavy rain that moved across central
NC during the past 24 hours. Storm total rainfall amounts will
generally average between 2 to 5 inches across the western Piedmont
including the Triad with some locally higher. East of U.S. Route 1
across the Triangle, Coastal Plain and Sandhills, amounts will
average between 4 to 8 inches with a few locations across the
northern Coastal Plain, along and east of I-95 exceeding 10 inches.

As of mid afternoon, the cold front has pushed south and east of the
RAH CWA with surface dew points ranging in the lower to mid 60s in
central NC. The back edge of the main shield continues to push east.
The widespread rain will end shortly at KRDU and it should end near
KRWI and KFAY by 4pm. The very heavy rain has resulted in widespread
reports of flash flooding, road closures, and water rescues across
much of the area. Even though the steady/widespread rain has ended
in the Triad and should end soon in the Triangle, the threat from
continued run off and flooding will persist. See the hydrology
section below for more information.

While the widespread rain should be over across all of central NC by
around 5pm, widespread clouds are expected to continue into the
overnight with perhaps some areas of spotty light rain or drizzle
this evening, especially across the east. A northeasterly low level
flow and the transport of cooler air will result in lows falling
into the lower to mid 50s by Friday morning. -Blaes

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
As of 310 PM Thursday...

Widespread clouds are expected to start the day on Friday as an in-
situ CAD airmass will be established across the area. The stable air
mass will initially weaken during the morning and then be scoured
out as a secondary cold front moves across the area during the late
morning and early afternoon as the remnants of tropical cyclone Eta
moves up along but just off the coast. Highs on Friday will range in
the upper 60s to lower 70s. Lows on Friday night will range in the
lower to mid 40s but some of the typically cooler locations will
have some lows in the upper 30s. -Blaes

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 215 AM Friday...

Through Sunday night: Central NC will be sandwiched between high
pressure just off the mid-Atlantic coast and an approaching cold
front to the west, strengthening the southerly flow into the area.
Meanwhile, an upper level trough will tilt negatively through the
Great Lakes as it lifts toward Canada. The cold front will surge
eastward through the Appalachians and mid-Atlantic Sunday eve/night
as the upper trough swings through the Great Lakes and into the
Northeast. The best dynamics with the upper trough will remain to
the north of central NC as the front moves through the area. Will
maintain a slight chance for showers with the fropa, however
coverage may be limited and amounts light. With the southerly flow
ahead of the front on Sunday, high temperatures are expected to be 5-
10 degrees above normal. Lows will depend on the timing of the
front, but largely expect them to be near to slightly above normal.

Monday through Thursday: Expect a largely dry, seasonable forecast
for early next week. Surface high pressure over the Deep South will
ridge eastward on Monday as the upper level trough gradually
flattens over the area. A dry, reinforcing cold front will push
through the area on Tuesday as the upper trough amplifies and shifts
offshore. Cold, Canadian surface high pressure will build into the
mid-Atlantic behind the front. NW flow aloft will dominate through
the remainder of the forecast period, resulting in predominantly
clear skies. High temperatures should be near normal on Monday,
decreasing to several degrees below normal through mid-week.
Overnight lows are expected to be below normal as well, dipping to
near freezing across much of the area Tuesday and Wednesday nights.
Expect patchy frost Tuesday through Friday mornings.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 145 AM Friday...

Cold air damming high pressure --and associated widespread LIFR-IFR
ceilings and periods of MVFR-IFR visibility restrictions in
occasional drizzle; light rain; and mist-- will remain over cntl NC
this morning. Developing and strengthening nwly, downslope flow will
result in generally west to east clearing of the foregoing low
overcast and development of VFR conditions between 14-16Z at INT/GSO
and 18-20Z at RDU, FAY, and RWI.

While VFR conditions will mostly persist through tonight, a band of
MVFR stratocumulus is likely to develop and spread swd across sern
VA and nern NC between 00-09Z Sat; and a short period of scattered
3000 ft cloud bases may result as far west as RWI around 06Z (with
greater coverage and probability of occurrence at PGV and ECG).

Outlook: While mainly VFR conditions will then persist through early
next week, a frontal system will affect the region with a chance of
MVFR ceilings and a few showers Sunday into early Sunday night.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MWS
NEAR TERM...Hartfield/Blaes
SHORT TERM...Blaes
LONG TERM...KC
AVIATION...MWS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
406 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

NCZ007>010-021>026-038>041-076-132115-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-
Durham-Franklin-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-Lee-
406 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Runoff from significant rain across the area will result in residual
flooding tonight. Be cautious driving tonight when it is
particularly difficult to identify flooding in the dark.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Creeks, streams and rivers will continue to run high and fast for the
next several days. Be careful when outside near any bodies of water
and keep children away from floodwaters and drains.

In addition, some frost is possible on Tuesday, Wednesday and
Thursday mornings.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ011-027-028-042-043-073>075-077-078-083>086-088-089-132115-
Halifax-Nash-Edgecombe-Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-
Harnett-Wayne-Anson-Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
406 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Runoff from significant rain across the area will result in residual
flooding tonight. Be cautious driving tonight when it is
particularly difficult to identify flooding in the dark.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Creeks, streams and rivers will continue to run high and fast for the
next several days. Be careful when outside near any bodies of water
and keep children away from floodwaters and drains.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1031 PM EST THU NOV 12 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1046 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 WSW MCLEANSVILLE      36.09N 79.68W
11/12/2020                   GUILFORD           NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            US 70 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING NEAR MT. HOPE
            CHURCH RD.

&&

GREEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1034 PM EST THU NOV 12 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 N LAKE TOWNSEND       36.23N 79.79W
11/12/2020                   GUILFORD           NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            CHURCH ST CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING NEAR FALLEN
            OAK RD.

&&

GREEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1036 PM EST THU NOV 12 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0958 AM     FLASH FLOOD      4 NW ALTAMAHAW          36.22N 79.56W
11/12/2020                   GUILFORD           NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            BROOKS BRIDGE RD CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER AT
            HAW RIVER BRIDGE.

&&

GREEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1041 PM EST THU NOV 12 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0347 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NNE PINETOPS          35.80N 77.63W
11/12/2020                   EDGECOMBE          NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            NC 111 CLOSED BETWEEN NC 122 AND NC 43.

&&

GREEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1043 PM EST THU NOV 12 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 NNE GOLDSBORO         35.43N 77.93W
11/12/2020                   WAYNE              NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            DAW PATE RD CLOSED NEAR STONEY CREEK CHURCH
            RD.

&&

GREEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1044 PM EST THU NOV 12 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     FLASH FLOOD      5 SW PRINCETON          35.41N 78.22W
11/12/2020                   JOHNSTON           NC   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            BROGDEN RD CLOSED NEAR NEUSE BEND RD.

&&

GREEN