Severe Thunderstorm Warning 56, NWS Pueblo, CO

104 
WWUS55 KPUB 062150
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
350 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

COC027-043-101-062215-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-200606T2215Z/
Fremont CO-Custer CO-Pueblo CO-
350 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN FREMONT...NORTHEASTERN CUSTER AND WESTERN PUEBLO
COUNTIES...

At 350 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 10 miles west of
Junkins Burn Scar, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Junkins Burn Scar, Silver Cliff, Wetmore and Rosita. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3802 10532 3819 10547 3842 10521 3822 10490
TIME...MOT...LOC 2150Z 226DEG 43KT 3818 10530 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KTS

297 
WWUS55 KPUB 062156
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
356 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

COC027-043-101-062215-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-200606T2215Z/
Fremont CO-Custer CO-Pueblo CO-
356 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN FREMONT...NORTHEASTERN CUSTER AND WESTERN PUEBLO
COUNTIES...

At 356 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles northwest of
Junkins Burn Scar, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Wetmore.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3816 10521 3827 10538 3842 10521 3828 10499
TIME...MOT...LOC 2156Z 226DEG 43KT 3824 10523 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KTS

214 
WWUS55 KPUB 062206
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
406 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

COC027-101-062216-
/O.CAN.KPUB.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-200606T2215Z/
Custer CO-Pueblo CO-
406 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CUSTER AND
WESTERN PUEBLO COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has .
moved out of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been 
cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM MDT for
central Colorado.

LAT...LON 3826 10513 3837 10527 3842 10521 3831 10504
TIME...MOT...LOC 2206Z 221DEG 44KT 3836 10515 

$$

COC043-062215-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-200606T2215Z/
Fremont CO-
406 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN FREMONT COUNTY...

At 406 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Florence, or 16
miles north of Junkins Burn Scar, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southeastern Fremont County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3826 10513 3837 10527 3842 10521 3831 10504
TIME...MOT...LOC 2206Z 221DEG 44KT 3836 10515 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KTS

430 
WWUS55 KPUB 062210
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
410 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

COC043-062220-
/O.EXP.KPUB.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-200606T2215Z/
Fremont CO-
410 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN FREMONT COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 415 PM MDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.  However gusty winds are still possible with
this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM MDT for
central Colorado.

LAT...LON 3826 10513 3837 10527 3842 10521 3831 10504
TIME...MOT...LOC 2210Z 226DEG 43KT 3839 10511 

$$

KTS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1122 AM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 342 AM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

...Potentially Dangerous Weather Conditions Will Likely Affect the
Region Today...

An intense short wave trough will barrel through the region today.
There are very strong winds associated with this system and there is
sufficient moisture to allow for thunderstorms to develop, likewise
rotating convection is likely today. The best forcing will occur in
the mountains, so the highest potential for severe thunderstorm
activity will be over the mountains, all of the valleys and possibly
the I-25 corridor region, especially across El Paso county. The
primary threat will be very strong surface winds, but isolated
tornadoes will be possible. It needs to be emphasized that the
greatest severe weather threat, including a tornado or two, will be
in the mountains and valleys. Winds gusting to 60 to 100 mph cannot
be ruled out, especially in the higher elevations of the mountains.

CAPES in the mtns/valleys will be between 1000 - 1500 J/KG and deep
shear will be 60 to 80 knts. SPC has our higher elevations in SLIGHT
risk with hatched area for winds. There is a 2% TOR prob for the
mtns and SLV. the slight risk also includes most of El Paso county.

The overall best forcing will be located over the 4 corners around
18 UTC today (noon local), over the greater Salida/Pikes Peak region
round 21 UTC (3 pm local) and into NE CO at 00 UTC (6 pm local).

For the plains, the greatest threat will be fire weather. Although
we may not technically verify Red Flag conditions (RH values will
likely stay above 15% all of today), the combination of the strong
winds (synoptically gusting to 60 mph, with stronger gusts in
thunderstorm) and drought conditons warrant the Red Flag Warning.
Cloud to ground  lightning strikes will have the potential to cause
new fire starts over all of the region today. Any new fire start
will have the potential to rapidly spread.

Significant amounts of blowing dust are likely today over the
plains.

The strongest storms on the plains will occur along the I-25
corridor (especially El Paso county), with the storms weakening as
you go east.

Given the synoptic situation, There is a good chance that either a
severe thunderstorm or tornado watch will be issued for parts of the
region by late morning or early afternoon.

High winds warnings and Red Flag warnings are already in effect for
parts of the region for today. \/Hodanish

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 342 AM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

...Widespread Critical Fire Weather Conditions are Expected Sunday...

Sunday...As the disturbance that affects us for Saturday continues
to propagating into Canada, another upper-level trough is expected
to translate from the Pacific Northwest into the Intermountain West
region. As it does, increasing southwest flow aloft is expected to
keep temperatures relatively hot and usher in much drier air. At the
surface, strong south to southwesterly winds of 25-35 mph with gusts
to around 50 mph are expected to develop by around midday and
continue into the evening. The strong winds and very low relative
humidities will create critical fire weather conditions for much of
the area. Latest guidance continues to indicate a dryline will be
set up near the Kansas border, but the dry air should penetrate far
enough into the eastern most counties to warrant a Red Flag Warning.
Therefore, have not made any changes to the current Red Flag
Warning.

Monday and Tuesday...The upper-level trough is expected to continue
propagating eastward through Colorado and into the Great Plains by
Tuesday evening. Strong south to southwesterly winds are expected
once again Monday as the trough continues to approach the region,
though guidance is indicating that the winds will not be quite as
strong as Sunday. The trough is also expected to send a couple of
cold fronts through the plains on Monday. The initial cold front is
anticipated to propagate across the plains Monday morning, but
uncertainty remains on just how far south this front will make it
before stalling out as lee troughing develops over the southeastern
plains. The front is anticipated to bring a chance for isolated
showers to the Palmer Divide and central mountains through the day
Monday. Additionally, the cold front should aid in keeping relative
humidity values slightly higher across portions of the plains. A
reinforcing front is expected to move through Monday night into
Tuesday, which will bring gusty northerly winds, refreshingly cooler
temperatures to the plains, and continued chances for isolated
showers to the Palmer Divide and central mountains. In fact, it may
become cold enough for a few snow showers across these areas Tuesday
morning. Critical fire weather conditions are still expected for
Monday, but with the uncertainty of just how far south the initial
cold front propagates before it stalls out and the numerous weather
hazards for Saturday and Sunday, will continue to hold off on
issuing any highlights to avoid adding confusion to the already
complicated mix. With the gusty north winds and drier air moving
back in on Tuesday, there is potential for critical fire weather
conditions once again.

Wednesday through Friday...Ridging moves back into the area for the
second half of the week, which is expected to bring an uptick in
temperatures and lighter winds to south central and southeastern
Colorado. An embedded weak disturbance brings a chance for
precipitation to the area on Friday, mainly for the mountains and
high valleys.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1118 AM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

Southerly winds will increase quickly around the start of the TAF
period with wind gusting to 50 kts at all three terminals during
the afternoon. Thunderstorms will be possible through early
evening which could enhance surface wind gusts to around 60 kts
near thunderstorms, along with producing a hail threat. TAFs will
cover this probability through 22z for KALS and through 24z for
both KCOS and KPUB. Thunderstorms should move east of the
terminals by early evening with winds gradually decreasing
overnight. They will increase again Sunday morning with gusts to
around 35-40 kts by the afternoon.  -KT

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ084>089-
093>099.

Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for COZ226>237.

Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 9 PM MDT Sunday for COZ220>222-
224>237.

High Wind Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ069>071.

&&

SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...CARLBERG
AVIATION...KT

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1037 AM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

COZ058>089-093>099-071645-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1037 AM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Severe thunderstorms will develop over the mountains, valleys and
portions of the I-25 corridor region today. The greatest severe
weather risk will be straight line winds gusting to 60 to 80 mph.
However, large hail up to 1.5 inches in diameter and even an
isolated tornado will be possible, particularly across the
mountains and San Luis Valley.

The timing of severe thunderstorms today will be from late morning
through mid afternoon across the western mountains and San Luis
Valley. Severe thunderstorms will spread into the eastern
mountains and I-25 corridor after noon and continue through early
evening.

All of south central and southeast Colorado will see strong
southerly winds gusting to between 40 and 60 mph this
afternoon. This will result in strong cross winds on north south
oriented roads and cause poor visibility in blowing dust,
particularly across the plains.

Red Flag Warnings are in effect for all of the southeast plains
today due to a combination of gusty winds, low relative humidity
and dry vegetation. Any cloud to ground lightning strikes over
the region have the potential to ignite new fires, and weather
conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and
spread. If you see smoke, immediately call 911. Be prepared to
evacuate quickly if a fire starts near your area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Critical fire weather conditions are expected for most of south
central and southeast Colorado on Sunday and Monday as windy
conditions continue into early next week. However, there is some
uncertainty with the areal extent of critical fire weather
conditions on Monday as a cold front could aid in raising relative
humidity values above critical thresholds across northern portions
of the southeast plains. Critical fire weather conditions will
once again be possible Tuesday as gusty north winds and drier air
move back into the region.

Some light snow showers are possible over and near the Palmer Divide
and central mountains Tuesday morning. Later in the week, isolated
thunderstorms are possible on Friday, mainly for the mountains and
high valleys.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be likely across the mountains and interior valleys late this
morning through this afternoon, and across the southeast plains
and this afternoon through early evening.

31/31

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
249 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

COZ067>071-062130-
Southern San Luis Valley CO-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft CO-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft CO-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft CO-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft CO-
249 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALAMOSA...RIO
GRANDE...SOUTHERN SAGUACHE...SOUTHEASTERN MINERAL AND CONEJOS
COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM MDT...

At 249 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 21
miles north of Chama, moving northeast at 45 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Alamosa, Monte Vista, Del Norte, La Jara, Alamosa East, Capulin,
Cumbres Pass, Platoro and Bountiful.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM MDT for
south central, central and southeastern Colorado.

LAT...LON 3714 10659 3719 10660 3723 10668 3740 10668
      3740 10674 3778 10634 3747 10574 3699 10621
      3699 10642
TIME...MOT...LOC 2049Z 226DEG 41KT 3720 10653

KTS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
300 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

COZ074-087-088-062145-
Southern Sangre De Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft CO-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft CO-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft CO-
300 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HUERFANO AND WESTERN
LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM MDT...

At 300 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Segundo, or 17 miles west of Trinidad, moving northeast at 55 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Walsenburg, Aguilar, Gulnare, Boncarbo, Segundo and Weston.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM MDT for
southeastern Colorado.

LAT...LON 3704 10476 3714 10501 3777 10468 3756 10413
TIME...MOT...LOC 2100Z 210DEG 48KT 3717 10483

kam

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
308 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

COZ081-083-085-086-062145-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County CO-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And
11000 Ft CO-
308 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN FREMONT...SOUTH
CENTRAL TELLER...SOUTHWESTERN EL PASO AND NORTHWESTERN PUEBLO
COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM MDT...

At 308 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Penrose, moving northeast at 55 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Florence and Penrose.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM MDT for
central, southeastern and east central Colorado.

LAT...LON 3827 10500 3834 10518 3866 10508 3855 10460
TIME...MOT...LOC 2108Z 203DEG 48KT 3841 10503

kam

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
330 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

COZ069>073-062200-
Southern San Luis Valley CO-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft CO-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft CO-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft CO-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft CO-
330 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ALAMOSA...WESTERN HUERFANO...
EASTERN RIO GRANDE...SOUTHEASTERN SAGUACHE...NORTHWESTERN COSTILLA
AND NORTHEASTERN CONEJOS COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM MDT...

At 330 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Alamosa, moving northeast at 55 mph.

Pea size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Alamosa, Hooper, Alamosa East, San Luis Lake, Mosca, Great Sand Dunes
and Blanca Peak.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM MDT for
south central, central and southeastern Colorado.

LAT...LON 3731 10594 3746 10610 3788 10588 3752 10533
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 225DEG 49KT 3746 10596

KTS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
334 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

COZ079-084>087-062215-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet CO-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft CO-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft CO-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Ft
CO-
334 PM MDT Sat Jun 6 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL HUERFANO...EL PASO
AND CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM MDT...

At 333 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms 15 miles south of Pueblo Reservoir, or 16 miles
southwest of Pueblo, moving north at 70 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Colorado Springs, Pueblo, Fountain, Calhan, Ramah, Hanover, Truckton,
Yoder, Peyton, Pinon, Security, Falcon, Security-Widefield,
Stratmoor, Blende, Cimarron Hills, Rush, Pueblo Reservoir, Salt Creek
and Black Forest.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM MDT for
southeastern and east central Colorado.

LAT...LON 3889 10406 3786 10467 3797 10501 3856 10476
      3913 10482 3913 10405
TIME...MOT...LOC 2133Z 202DEG 59KT 3804 10473

kam

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
343 PM MDT SAT JUN 6 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 PM     HAIL             3 SE MANITOU SPRINGS    38.83N 104.88W
06/06/2020  E0.50 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GH