Flash Flood Warning 58, NWS Pueblo, CO

010 
WGUS75 KPUB 052226
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
426 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

COC041-060115-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0058.000000T0000Z-200806T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
El Paso CO-
426 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM MDT FOR
WEST CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY...

At 424 PM MDT, the public reported thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain in Colorado Springs. Flash flooding was occurring on Nevada 
Avenue on the south side of Colorado Springs. 

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing flash 
         flooding.

SOURCE...Public.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, 
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Colorado Springs, Fountain, Manitou Springs, Stratmoor, Fort Carson,
Security, Peterson AFB, Security-Widefield and Cimarron Hills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3894 10478 3870 10458 3865 10491 3886 10494

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL...0.50-1 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

Hodanish

199 
WGUS75 KPUB 052249
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
449 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

COC041-060115-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0058.000000T0000Z-200806T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
El Paso CO-
449 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM MDT FOR
WEST CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY...

At 446 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area. Up to two and a half inches of rain 
have already fallen on the southwest side of Colorado Springs and 
in Security. Flash flooding is occurring.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing flash 
         flooding.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, 
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Colorado Springs, Fountain, Manitou Springs, Stratmoor, Fort Carson,
Security, Peterson AFB, Security-Widefield and Cimarron Hills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3894 10478 3870 10458 3865 10491 3886 10494

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE 

EXPECTED RAINFALL...1 to 2 inches or rain per hour will be possible 
with this storm

$$

Hodanish

723 
WGUS75 KPUB 052311
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
511 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

COC041-060115-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0058.000000T0000Z-200806T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
El Paso CO-
511 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM MDT FOR
WEST CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY...

At 508 PM MDT, the media reported significant street flooding 
occurring the Security and Widefield area.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing flash 
         flooding.

SOURCE...Public.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, 
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Radar estimates over 3 inches of rain has fallen in this storm in 
the Stratmoor, Security and Widefield areas.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Colorado Springs, Fountain, Manitou Springs, Stratmoor, Fort Carson,
Security, Peterson AFB, Security-Widefield and Cimarron Hills.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3894 10478 3870 10458 3865 10491 3886 10494

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

HOdanish

062 
WGUS75 KPUB 052326
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
526 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

COC041-060115-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0058.000000T0000Z-200806T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
El Paso CO-
526 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM MDT FOR
WEST CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY...

At 523 PM MDT, Doppler radar continued to indicate torrential 
rainfall falling in the Security and Widefield area. Confirmed flash 
flooding is occurring in Security and Widefield. Two to 4 inches of 
rain has been estimated by radar, and another inch of rain will be 
possible.

Heavy rain was also occurring in the Manitou Springs and Cascade 
areas.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing flash 
         flooding.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, 
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Colorado Springs, Fountain, Manitou Springs, Stratmoor, Fort Carson,
Security, Peterson AFB, Security-Widefield and Cimarron Hills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3894 10478 3870 10458 3865 10491 3886 10494

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

Hodanish

984 
WGUS75 KPUB 060030
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
630 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

COC041-060115-
/O.CON.KPUB.FF.W.0058.000000T0000Z-200806T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
El Paso CO-
630 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM MDT FOR
WEST CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY...

At 627 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across southern portions of the warned area centered around 4 
miles southwest of Security. Pueblo Doppler radar estimated between 
2 and 4 inches of rain has fallen and street flooding has been 
reported in Security. In addition, more thunderstorms are moving 
towards the Manitou Springs area.  Flash flooding is expected to 
continue.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Heavy rain producing flash 
         flooding.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, 
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Colorado Springs, Fountain, Manitou Springs, Stratmoor, Fort Carson,
Security, Peterson AFB, Security-Widefield and Cimarron Hills.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as
well as other drainage areas and low lying spots.

&&

LAT...LON 3894 10478 3870 10458 3865 10491 3886 10494

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

KT

012 
WGUS75 KPUB 060108
FFSPUB

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
708 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

COC041-060118-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FF.W.0058.000000T0000Z-200806T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
El Paso CO-
708 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 715 PM MDT...

The heavy rain has ended. Flood waters have receded. Flooding is no
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed any
remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3894 10478 3870 10458 3865 10491 3886 10494

$$

KT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
240 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 238 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

Currently...

At 2 pms Showers and thunderstorms were intensifying on the western
Palmer Divide, and into western El Paso county. A few high based
showers were also noted along the CO/NM border over the higher
terrain and across the La Garitas. Temps were in the 80s across the
plains and valleys, and 60s and 70s mtns. Low level moisture was
plentiful, with dwpts in the upper 50s to mid 60s across the plains,
while it was noticeably drier over the mtns and valleys (mainly
20s/30s). SPC mesoanalysis pages were indicating favorable
conditions for severe storms as CAPE values were in the 1500-2000
J/KG range and  shear was 30 to 40 knts over the plains. A severe
thunderstorm watch was in effect for most of the plains.

Rest of today and into tonight...

Strong to severe storms are likely, mainly along and north of US50
the rest of this afternoon and early evening. Hi res guidance
indicates that the storms over the Palmer will continue to increase
in intensity and become severe, moving into NE EL Paso county later
this afternoon. Conditions are favorable for some hail, and cannot
rule out a few 2" reports later today.

As for the rest of the plains, models show the storms will gradually
weaken as they move away from the I-25 corridor. Not so confident
that this will happen as CAPE and Shear is still pretty robust out
near the border. I expect we will see some strong storms further
east but not as strong as over the higher terrain east of the mtns. .

Given plenty of moisture out east, some locally heavy rains possible.

Storms should continue moving east through the evening hours with
the brunt of the activity moving out of the state by late evening.

Tomorrow...

Drier and hotter weather expected. Storms will be few and far
between in the mtns and only isolated on the plains. Nonetheless, I
expect we will see 2-3 strong storms over the plains tomorrow, with
the strongest activity occurring generally east of KLHX. Flow aloft
tomorrow does shift to more southwesterly as the ridge axis at mid
levels pushes east of the Centennial State. Max temps will be in the
 mid 90s across most of the plains tomorrow with 80s in the valleys.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 238 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

Thursday night through Saturday...An upper ridge of high pressure
will continue over the south central US through Sat, with the ridge
axis positioned roughly along the CO and KS border. A broad trough
of low pressure over the West Coast will feed moisture up into the
Great Basin and Four Corners region through the weekend, fueling
isolated to scattered convection across the CWA Thu night and Fri,
then more restricted to the higher terrain on Sat. Expect highs in
the 80s for the high valleys, and 90s for the plains.

Sunday through Wednesday...The West Coast trough lifts to the north
and migrates to the east across Canada and the Rockies, which in
turn tips the scales and allows the southern US ridge to flatten and
slide to the west. A more westerly flow aloft settles in across the
region on Sun and into midweek, decreasing atmospheric moisture
while maintaining the warm temperatures. There will be isolated
convection possible each aftn, mainly tied to the mts, with the main
storm threat each day being gusty winds as well as cloud to ground
lightning. Expect highs each day in the upper 70s to mid 80s for the
high valleys, and upper 80s to upper 90s for the plains. Moore

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
Issued at 238 PM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

KCOS...

Some thunder will be possible early in the period, otherwise VFR
next 24hrs. Cant rule out some locally strong gusty winds and some
hail with the thunder at the very beginning of this period.

KPUB...

Isolated thunder possible as outflow from storms up north may
initiate some convection in teh KPUB airspace early this evening.
Otherwise VFR.

KALS...

VFR next 24 hours. Some isolated thunder cant be ruled out early
this evening.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...HODANISH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1115 AM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

COZ058>089-093>099-061715-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1115 AM MDT Wed Aug 5 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

A few severe thunderstorms are likely across the southeastern
plains of Colorado, with the most intense storms likely occurring
across northern El Paso county.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop by
early afternoon along the east slopes of the southern mountains.
as these storms move east during the early to mid afternoon time
period, one or two of the storms are expected to become severe,
especially over northern El Paso county. Large hail, up to the
size of golf balls, is possible,

Over the remainder of the plains, one or two severe storms will
be possible late this afternoon and evening as the storms move
southeastward towards the borders of Kansas and Oklahoma. Wind
gusts to 65 mph and half dollar size hail will occur.

The overall best chance of severe storms along the I-25 corridor
will be between 2 and 5 pm, and during the late afternoon and
evening hours across the far southeastern plains.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected on Thursday
afternoon across southern Colorado. A few of the storms could
become strong across the plains, mainly east of the I-25 corridor.
Cloud to ground lightning and gusty winds will be the primary
threats with any storm that develops, while locally heavy rainfall
and large hail are possible with some of the stronger storms.

Daily isolated thunderstorms will be possible over the mountains
Friday through Tuesday. A few storms during this time could make
it to the high valleys or I-25 corridor.

If heavy rain does move over one of the newer burn scars, there
is a risk for flash flooding or debris flows.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
possible this afternoon over the Interstate 25 corridor and the
southeast plains.

Hodanish

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
352 PM MDT WED AUG 5 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0352 PM     HAIL             1 WNW COLORADO SPRINGS  38.83N 104.84W
08/05/2020  M1.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   PUBLIC

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
357 PM MDT WED AUG 5 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0354 PM     HAIL             3 WSW COLORADO SPRINGS  38.81N 104.88W
08/05/2020  M1.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MJG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
358 PM MDT WED AUG 5 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0358 PM     HAIL             2 WNW COLORADO SPRINGS  38.84N 104.85W
08/05/2020  M1.00 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
401 PM MDT WED AUG 5 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0401 PM     HAIL             1 WNW COLORADO SPRINGS  38.83N 104.84W
08/05/2020  M1.50 INCH       EL PASO            CO   PUBLIC

            REPORTED AT 10TH AND COLORADO AVE, COLORADO
            SPRINGS, CO.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
406 PM MDT WED AUG 5 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0352 PM     HAIL             3 SE MANITOU SPRINGS    38.82N 104.88W
08/05/2020  M1.50 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
409 PM MDT WED AUG 5 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     HAIL             4 S COLORADO SPRINGS    38.77N 104.83W
08/05/2020  M1.75 INCH       EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&