Alert archive / Ohio / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 50, NWS Pittsburgh, PA

May 10, 20204 counties in Ohio

NWS Pittsburgh, PA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 10, 2020, 6:09 PM EDT for 4 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 51 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 10, 2020, 6:09 PM EDT (22:09 UTC)
Expired
May 10, 2020, 7:00 PM EDT
In force
51 min
Issued by
NWS Pittsburgh, PA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Coshocton County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Muskingum County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH

The radar

The Pittsburgh radar (KPBZ), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 198 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2020-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2020-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 87 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2140 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
87 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
173 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pittsburgh, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 10, 1:46 PM EDT, 4 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 10, 1:46 PM EDT, 4 hours 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
146 PM EDT Sun May 10 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Thunderstorm chances will increase late this afternoon and continue
into the evening as cold front advances; a few storms may be strong.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Pre-frontal rain showers have continued to overspread the Ohio River
Valley this afternoon as a low pressure system strengthens across
the Great Lakes. A broken squall line is currently developing in
eastern Indiana along the cold front boundary. Cyclogenesis will
continues as the low pivots over Lake Erie, and the squall line will
become more defined as it advances east into Ohio.

Strong southwest flow (warm, moist advection) near the surface and
cold air (-27 C at 500mb) embedded in the mid level trough, will
increase low and mid-level lapse rates and help destabilization of the
atmosphere in eastern Ohio/western PA/northern panhandle of WV.
Surface CAPE values will increase but be marginal (less than 500-600
J/kg). Any strong storms that form this evening will mostly be due to
jet dynamics as the mid- level jet increases to 50kts; thus,
damaging wind will be the main threat today. Marginal severe hail is
not out of the question despite limited CAPE aloft; low-level
freezing levels will ensure that ice particles reach the ground.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A surge of cold air (-5c at 850mb) on the backside of the low will
support a change/mix of rain to snow for most areas by early Monday
morning. A shallow warm boundary layer should preclude accumulation,
but lighter amounts are not out of the question for elevations above
2,000ft; Tucker County may see up to an inch with strong orographic
lift. Despite the cool air aloft, temperatures will stay near or just
above freezing; a Freeze Warning will not be issued in the ridges
with this forecast package.

Precipitation will taper off Monday evening with subsidence and dry
advection as surface high pressure builds under continued broad and
cold upper troughing. That pattern should maintain continued cold,
but dry conditions into mid week. Freeze headlines may need to be
issued for portions of our region early Tuesday and Wednesday
morning.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A pattern shift is indicated for the latter half of the week as flow
flattens. Temperature will quickly moderate and rise above the
averages by weeks end while precipitation chance will be shortwave
supported and progressive.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR conditions present at the start of the TAF period as shortwave
ridging departs, with gusty SW wind of 15 to 25 knots.

The next shortwave will bring showers and a few thunderstorms to the
region mainly during the evening hours.  The best chance of getting
thunder will be mainly west of PIT, where the best instability will
lie. Storms are expected to congeal into a pre-frontal line, and
will likely impact ZZV, HLG, and BVI between 22Z and 01Z.  Have
included TEMPO thunder for these sites.  Kept VCTS for PIT and FKL
due to uncertainty that thunder will survive that long, with only
SHRA mention at others. Any storm will be capable of producing a
brief wind gust to between 35 and 45 knots, as well as a brief
MVFR/IFR visibility restriction.

FROPA will occur tonight, and ceilings will deteriorate to MVFR/IFR
levels with time.  Some scattered showers will also linger, with
snow starting to mix in late.  Slow improvement is likely after
sunrise Monday, although MVFR restrictions should continue for the
most part.

.Outlook...
Restrictions are likely again by Wednesday night with the advance of
the next area of low pressure.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
OH...None.
PA...None.
WV...None.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 10, 4:31 PM EDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
431 PM EDT Sun May 10 2020

MDZ001-PAZ007>009-013>016-022-023-073>076-WVZ021-509>513-112045-
Garrett-Mercer-Venango-Forest-Lawrence-Butler-Clarion-Jefferson PA-
Armstrong-Indiana-Westmoreland-Westmoreland Ridges-Fayette-
Fayette Ridges-Marion-Monongalia-
Ridges of Eastern Monongalia and Northwestern Preston-Preston-
Eastern Preston-Western Tucker-
431 PM EDT Sun May 10 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Maryland, northwest
Pennsylvania, southwest Pennsylvania, western Pennsylvania and
northern West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ041-050-PAZ020-021-029-031-WVZ001>004-012-112045-
Columbiana-Jefferson OH-Beaver-Allegheny-Washington-Greene-Hancock-
Brooke-Ohio-Marshall-Wetzel-
431 PM EDT Sun May 10 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Ohio, southwest
Pennsylvania, western Pennsylvania, northern West Virginia and the
northern panhandle of West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible this evening across portions of eastern
Ohio and western Pennsylvania. A few storms could be strong to
severe with strong winds possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

WVZ514-112045-
Eastern Tucker-
431 PM EDT Sun May 10 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Isolated areas will linger near freezing tonight. Crops and other
sensitive vegetation may be damaged due frost/freeze.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ039-040-048-049-057>059-068-069-112045-
Tuscarawas-Carroll-Coshocton-Harrison-Muskingum-Guernsey-Belmont-
Noble-Monroe-
431 PM EDT Sun May 10 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible this evening across portions of eastern
Ohio. There is a slight risk that these storms could reach severe
levels. Damaging wind gusts is the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pittsburgh, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 10, 7:28 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPBZAllegheny, Beaver, Butler, Greene, Lawrence, Mercer and 1 more47 min
May 10, 5:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZCoshocton, Muskingum54 min
May 10, 6:49 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPBZBelmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Harrison, Jefferson, Monroe41 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Ohio, 2020Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.