Special Weather Statement, NWS New York, NY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
840 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
A surface front will stall near the forecast area tonight.
Tropical Storm Isaias will track along this boundary, directly
impacting the area Tuesday afternoon and evening. A weak low
pressure trough will linger in the wake of Isaias on Wednesday,
then stall to the south from Thursday into Saturday as weak
waves of low pressure move along it. Weak high pressure should
return on Sunday and may last into Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
A frontal boundary will stall near the area overnight as Isaias
makes its way toward the area. Most models bring in a plume of
moisture well ahead of the system suggesting some sort of
predecessor rain event. Per current radar trend, this precip
should hold off til late evening and the overnight, with best
chances across northeast New Jersey and the Lower Hudson
Valley.

Otherwise, warm and humid conditions expected overnight, with
lows in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
**TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST
 AREA**

The frontal boundary will remain stalled near the area.
Meanwhile, an upper level low north of the Great Lakes region
will pivot a trough through New England. This will steer Isaias
over the area Tuesday afternoon.

A Flash Flood Watch continues for much of the forecast area.
Please see the Hydrology section for more information regarding
rainfall.

The highest wind threat with regard to Isaias should correspond to
the eastern semicircle of the storm which places central and western
Long Island, New York City, portions of northeast New Jersey,
and portions of southern Westchester and southwest Connecticut
along the axis of strongest winds. The timing for this looks to
be from late in the day Tuesday into Tuesday evening. Two
positive notes are that the storm is expected to accelerate to
the north and northeast and it is expected to weaken as it does
so. This may limit the duration of impactful winds to some
extent for coastal sections. Sustained winds of around 50 mph
are possible along coastal areas with gusts up to 70 mph.
Generally speaking however, sustained winds of 40 to 50 are
more likely across the forecast area, with gusts 55 to 70 mph.

Additionally, a strengthening low level jet will increase shear
across the area. This may lead to the development of some
tornadoes as Isaias moves approaches and moves through. The
Storm Prediction Center has placed nearly the entire area in a
slight risk for severe storms, with the primary threats being
tornadoes and damaging winds (locally higher wind gusts outside
of the tropical storm force winds expected to occur).

A high rip current risk remains for the ocean beaches Tuesday
through Tuesday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
After Isaias passes, will still have to contend with an
anomalously deep closed over southern Canada, maintaining deep layer
SW flow and associated moisture/energy transfer aloft, as well as a
shortwave trough diving in from the Pac NW on the back side of this
low, which does not look to pass east of the area til Sunday
morning. Showers/tstms may fire on Wed invof a lingering sfc trough,
which then sinks to the south Wed night and stalls as weak
disturbances ripple along it. Timing and placement of best rain
chances appears to be Thu night and Fri night, and more so for Long
Island and the NYC metro area and as compared to S CT.

Shortwave ridging aloft should finally move in for Sunday. Uncertain
how long it will persist as model guidance shows the ridge passing
east by Monday, followed by NW flow aloft and passing shortwave
disturbances, a progression which may be a little too quick.

Temps during the period should be just a little above average,
mostly in the 80s, with lower 90s possible in urban NE NJ on Wed and
perhaps again by next Monday. Heat index values High temps combined
with dewpoints in the 60s thru the period should yield heat index
values close to actual temps.

A high rip current risk remains for the ocean beaches Tuesday
through Tuesday night.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Tropical Storm Isaias will approach from the southeast coast
tonight, and will move over the Mid Atlantic and Northeast on
Tuesday.

Mainly VFR through this evening outside of any showers and
thunderstorms especially from NYC terminals and west. Any
storms will be capable of producing strong wind gusts and heavy
downpours which could result in lower visibility. Showers become
more likely late tonight into early Tuesday morning with MVFR
to IFR conditions developing.

Winds will gradually turn SE/E overnight into tomorrow morning.
SE winds increase in speed after 12z tomorrow morning, with
gusts in the afternoon 40-60 kt. The strongest winds will across
the coastal terminals. As Isaias moves away to the northeast in
the late afternoon, a quick shift to SW winds is likely.

.OUTLOOK FOR 18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
.Tuesday afternoon-Tuesday night...Showers and a chance of
thunderstorms with MVFR to IFR conditions. Impacts from Tropical
Storm Isaias likely into the evening. Conditions improving late
Tuesday night.
.Wednesday...VFR with any lingering showers ending.
.Thursday and Friday...VFR.
.Saturday...MVFR possible in SHRA.

&&

.MARINE...
Conditions remain below SCA criteria through tonight.
Conditions deteriorate Tuesday morning, with increasing
tropical storm conditions from late Tuesday afternoon into
Tuesday evening across all of the coastal waters based on the
latest forecast track of Isaias. A Tropical Storm Warning is in
effect for all forecast waters. Winds of 45-50 kt will be
possible with gusts up to 60 kt. Isolated gusts of just over 60
kts are possible. Conditions will then improve quickly Tuesday
night from west to east. Wave heights will briefly build to
around or just over 15 ft out on the ocean waters late Tuesday
afternoon into the early evening, then subside fairly quickly
into Tuesday night. Waves of 6 to 10 ft are possible on the
sound waters and 3 to 5 ft across the back bays and Peconic and
Gardiner's Bays.

Small craft conditions will then ensue on the ocean during the
day on Wednesday due to elevated seas. As early as Wednesday
night even the ocean waters should settle down to below SCA
conditions for Wednesday night into Thursday with some 3-4 ft
seas lingering out on the ocean.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
There is the potential for more widespread heavy rainfall,
especially Tuesday into at least into the first half of Tuesday
night as Isaias approaches the region. Additionally, the track
of Isaias will need to be monitored to narrow down potential
impacts for minor to moderate river flooding. Confidence in any
moderate river flooding remains low due to rainfall forecast
uncertainty.

A flash flood watch remains for Tuesday through Tuesday night
for NYC, Northeast NJ, and the Lower Hudson Valley where
guidance is lower with rain amounts for flash flood criteria.
This is also closer to the heavier rain axis forecast.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Coastal flood warnings are now in effect for south facing
shorelines of Long Island Sound, and western Long Island, and
in/around NY Harbor, with advisories for the remaining waters.

A strong SE flow ahead of Tropical Storm Isaias could produce
surge of 2 1/2 to 3 1/2 ft across the watch area and 1 to 2 ft
elsewhere. This would result in widespread inundation of 1 to 2
ft with localized values up to 3 ft in the watch area. There is
still uncertainty in the guidance at this time with preference
toward the higher end of the PETSS and NYHOPS guidance.

This is appears to be a one-cycle event, as winds shift W on
the back side of the storm late Tuesday evening.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO-35 (162.55 MHz) is
undergoing its final stages of testing, and is operating at full
power.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Tropical Storm Warning for CTZ005>012.
     Flash Flood Watch from 6 AM EDT Tuesday through late Tuesday
     night for CTZ005-006.
     Coastal Flood Warning from 10 PM Tuesday to 2 AM EDT Wednesday
     for CTZ009>012.
NY...Tropical Storm Warning for NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179.
     Coastal Flood Advisory from 9 PM Tuesday to 2 AM EDT Wednesday
     for NYZ072-073-078-079-081-176-177.
     Flash Flood Watch from 6 AM EDT Tuesday through late Tuesday
     night for NYZ067>075-176-178.
     Coastal Flood Warning from 8 PM Tuesday to 1 AM EDT Wednesday
     for NYZ074-075-080-178-179.
     Coastal Flood Warning from 10 PM Tuesday to 2 AM EDT Wednesday
     for NYZ071.
     High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday evening for NYZ075-080-
     081-178-179.
     High Surf Advisory from 8 AM Tuesday to 8 AM EDT Wednesday for
     NYZ080-081-178-179.
NJ...Tropical Storm Warning for NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
     Flash Flood Watch from 6 AM EDT Tuesday through late Tuesday
     night for NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
     Coastal Flood Warning from 8 PM Tuesday to 1 AM EDT Wednesday
     for NJZ006-106-108.
MARINE...Tropical Storm Warning for ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Goodman/JP
NEAR TERM...Goodman/JP
SHORT TERM...JP
LONG TERM...Goodman
AVIATION...DBR
MARINE...Goodman/JP
HYDROLOGY...Fig/Goodman
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
EQUIPMENT...

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New York NY
400 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

CTZ005-006-NJZ002-004-103>105-107-NYZ067>070-042000-
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Western Passaic-
Eastern Passaic-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-
Western Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-
400 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.
   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated. Please safely report significant weather
conditions while following local, state, and CDC guidelines.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NJZ006-106-108-NYZ074-042000-
Hudson-Eastern Essex-Eastern Union-Richmond (Staten Island)-
400 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast New Jersey and
southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated. Please safely report significant weather
conditions while following local, state, and CDC guidelines.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ009>012-042000-
Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-Southern Middlesex-
Southern New London-
400 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM TUESDAY TO 2 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.
   Coastal Flood Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated. Please safely report significant weather
conditions while following local, state, and CDC guidelines.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

CTZ007-008-042000-
Northern Middlesex-Northern New London-
400 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated. Please safely report significant weather
conditions while following local, state, and CDC guidelines.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ071-042000-
Southern Westchester-
400 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM TUESDAY TO 2 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated. Please safely report significant weather
conditions while following local, state, and CDC guidelines.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ072-073-176-042000-
New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Northern Queens-
400 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM TUESDAY TO 2 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated. Please safely report significant weather
conditions while following local, state, and CDC guidelines.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ078-079-177-042000-
Northwestern Suffolk-Northeastern Suffolk-Northern Nassau-
400 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM TUESDAY TO 2 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated. Please safely report significant weather
conditions while following local, state, and CDC guidelines.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-042000-
Long Island Sound East of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
Long Island Sound West of New Haven CT/Port Jefferson NY-
New York Harbor-Peconic and Gardiners Bays-
South Shore Bays from Jones Inlet through Shinnecock Bay-
Moriches Inlet NY to Montauk Point NY out 20 nm-
Fire Island Inlet NY to Moriches Inlet NY out 20 nm-
Sandy Hook NJ to Fire Island Inlet NY out 20 nm-
400 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated. Please safely report significant weather
conditions while following local, state, and CDC guidelines.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ075-042000-
Kings (Brooklyn)-
400 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Tropical Storm Warning.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated. Please safely report significant weather
conditions while following local, state, and CDC guidelines.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ178-042000-
Southern Queens-
400 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TUESDAY TO 8 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Tropical Storm Warning.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Surf Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated. Please safely report significant weather
conditions while following local, state, and CDC guidelines.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ080-179-042000-
Southwestern Suffolk-Southern Nassau-
400 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TUESDAY TO 8 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM TUESDAY TO 1 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Tropical Storm Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated. Please safely report significant weather
conditions while following local, state, and CDC guidelines.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

NYZ081-042000-
Southeastern Suffolk-
400 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TUESDAY TO 8 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM TUESDAY TO 2 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Tropical Storm Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation according to Standard Operating Procedures is
requested and appreciated. Please safely report significant weather
conditions while following local, state, and CDC guidelines.

&&

This Hazardous Weather Outlook provides a summary of potential
widespread hazardous weather events that may reach NWS warning
criteria. Most long fused NWS watches, warnings, and advisories in
effect are highlighted.

Please refer to the latest NWS forecasts for weather not meeting NWS
warning criteria.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
814 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

NJZ105-107-108-NYZ074-040115-
Eastern Union-Western Union-Western Essex-Richmond (Staten Is.)-
814 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT UNION AND RICHMOND
COUNTIES...

At 813 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were clustered near Roosevelt, or
11 miles east of Trenton, moving northeast at 40 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Plainfield, Linden, Summit, Millburn, Huguenot, Todt Hill, Clark,
Union, Oakwood, Tottenville, Westfield, Rahway, Scotch Plains,
Cranford and Roselle.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4050 7427 4051 7426 4055 7425 4056 7421
      4060 7421 4059 7429 4061 7431 4059 7446
      4060 7446 4062 7442 4067 7440 4065 7445
      4067 7446 4074 7437 4076 7436 4076 7438
      4079 7437 4057 7407 4051 7414 4050 7422
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 223DEG 34KT 4022 7453

JE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
849 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

NJZ004-006-105>108-040130-
Hudson-Eastern Union-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Western
Essex-Eastern Passaic-
849 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT HUDSON...EASTERN PASSAIC...UNION
AND ESSEX COUNTIES...

At 849 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Millington, or
near Plainfield, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 35 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Newark, Passaic, Plainfield, Bloomfield, Summit, Millburn, Secaucus,
Harrison, Caldwell, Orange, Union City, Kearny, Fairfield, Union and
Clifton.

LAT...LON 4060 7446 4066 7440 4067 7440 4065 7445
      4067 7446 4076 7436 4077 7436 4079 7437
      4082 7433 4086 7432 4090 7434 4090 7427
      4093 7429 4097 7428 4085 7412 4078 7414
      4076 7409 4081 7406 4077 7401 4060 7439
TIME...MOT...LOC 0049Z 223DEG 28KT 4069 7448

JE