Severe Thunderstorm Warning 44, NWS Nashville, TN

094 
WWUS54 KOHX 030850
SVSOHX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
250 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020

TNC035-049-133-141-030900-
/O.EXP.KOHX.SV.W.0044.000000T0000Z-200303T0900Z/
Overton TN-Cumberland TN-Putnam TN-Fentress TN-
250 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN OVERTON...NORTH
CENTRAL CUMBERLAND...EAST CENTRAL PUTNAM AND SOUTHERN FENTRESS
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 300 AM CST...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However small hail
and gusty winds are still possible with these thunderstorms.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 300 AM CST for Middle
Tennessee.

LAT...LON 3633 8477 3632 8479 3632 8478 3630 8480
      3630 8482 3629 8484 3629 8487 3628 8488
      3624 8488 3621 8491 3618 8490 3615 8491
      3613 8487 3609 8484 3611 8532 3630 8522
      3634 8476 3633 8476
TIME...MOT...LOC 0850Z 261DEG 59KT 3625 8518 3615 8524 

$$

Hawblitzel

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
109 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Most of Middle TN has remained dry tonight, with rain starting to
bubble over far northwestern counties at 10 PM. Intense
thunderstorms developed earlier this evening over southeast
MO/western KY and tracked east along a frontal boundary. The
position of this boundary to our north has kept thunderstorms
from breaching the TN/KY state line. Hi-res guidance suggests rain
and thunderstorms will remain focused north of I-40 over the next
several hours. Storm mode looks to become increasingly messy,
with multi-cell clusters eventually forming into a broken line of
convection overnight. Bulk shear remains on the order of 50-60+
kts with 400-500 J/kg of SBCAPE. Instability will slowly wane as
the night progresses, leading to uncertainty regarding the severe
weather threat. Nevertheless, low and mid-level wind fields will
be capable of maintaining storm organization into early Tuesday
morning.

Timing for storms will remain from now through 3 or 4 AM for NW
Middle TN, the Nashville Metro and surrounding areas from 1 AM to
5 AM, and the Cumberland Plateau after 4 or 5 AM. This means that
some rain and storms could impact the first half of the Tuesday
morning commute.

Damaging winds and hail continue to be the main concern, though
an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out. Have a few reliable
methods for receiving warnings overnight in the event they are
issued. We will continue to monitor the progress of ongoing storms
and additional development overnight tonight.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Round of showers/storms expected overnight into early Tuesday
as a cold front passes. This pcpn is expected to be more numerous
in the early morning hours, with pcpn dissipating during the
late morning east. CIGs/VSBY will both be affected by passing
pcpn but improvement likely by late morning Tuesday.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

DISCUSSION......Schaper
AVIATION........07

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
258 PM CST Mon Mar 2 2020

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-032100-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
258 PM CST Mon Mar 2 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Middle
Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Strong to isolated severe storms will be possible late this
afternoon through the early overnight timeframe. The main area of
focus will be west of the Plateau where large hail, damaging
winds and even a tornado may be possible later this evening and
into the early morning hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may become necessary for wind damage and hail
reports this evening and overnight.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1210 AM CST TUE MAR 03 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1207 AM     HAIL             VANLEER                 36.24N  87.44W
03/03/2020  E1.00 INCH       DICKSON            TN   SOCIAL MEDIA

            TSPOTTER REPORT OF HAIL LARGER THAN QUARTERS FALLING IN
            VANLEER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX2000178

MR3

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1221 AM CST TUE MAR 03 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1215 AM     HAIL             CHARLOTTE               36.18N  87.35W
03/03/2020  M2.50 INCH       DICKSON            TN   SOCIAL MEDIA

            PICTURE OF MEASURED HAIL STONE ABOUT 2.5 INCHES IN
            DIAMETER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX2000179

MR3

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1224 AM CST TUE MAR 03 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1205 AM     HAIL             2 E DICKSON             36.08N  87.34W
03/03/2020  E2.75 INCH       DICKSON            TN   SOCIAL MEDIA

            PICTURE OF A COUPLE HAILSTONES AT LEAST THE SIZE OF
            BASEBALLS FROM DICKSON RECEIVED ON TSPOTTER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX2000180

MR3