Severe Thunderstorm Warning 98, NWS Omaha, NE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
619 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2020

...Updated Aviation Forecast Discussion...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 236 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2020

Weak frontal boundary at 2 pm was located just south of Lincoln
extending east to near Plattsmouth, then northeast toward
Atlantic. A few showers/sprinkles had developed along the front
before noon, and this trend continues into mid afternoon. No
lightning has been observed thus far. The boundary will continue
to be the focus for a few showers, and possible thunderstorms late
this afternoon as the front continues to slowly move toward the
NE/KS border by mid to late evening. CAMs suggest a storm or two
may pop along the front by about 5-7 pm, with scattered coverage
through the remainder of the evening. All of this activity will
be south of I80, with areas to the north likely remaining dry
tonight. SPC has our southern forecast area in a slight risk for
wind and hail and this seems reasonable. After midnight, there
remains a threat for scattered storms across southeast NE and
southwest IA. And again, some of these overnight storms could have
some hail, and it's possible that a few locations get more than
one or two storms, thus locally heavy rainfall will also be
possible, but flooding is not expected.

Previous forecasts indicated that Saturday would be mainly dry,
but models now appear to be latching onto a weak wave moving out
of the central Rockies. This is also what may help to energize the
overnight activity, but this wave could also still be present
Saturday, to at least bring a slight chance of showers/storms
along and east of the Missouri River.

Meanwhile, another upper wave moving out of the Rockies could
bring more storm chances to the area Saturday night into Sunday.
This may help push the previously mentioned frontal boundary
north, and thus there's at least a marginal risk of a stronger
storm south of I80 Saturday night as indicated by a few of the
CAMs, but confidence is not great.

After upper 80s on Saturday, highs head back into the lower 90s
probably through at least Wednesday. With dewpoints heading back
into the lower 70s, afternoon heat index values increase to 96 to
103, and while not hot enough for a heat advisory, we're probably
looking at several very muggy days with uncomfortable humidity.
There will also be occasional shower/storm chances in there, and
while continuous rain isn't expected, there will be at least a
daily 20-40% chance somewhere in our forecast every day next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 617 PM CDT Fri Jun 26 2020

VFR conditions will prevail for the TAF period. Rain and a
possible thunderstorm may pop up in the vicinity of KLNK but
should not impact the terminal. A weak frontal boundary has passed
through the area and may retreat northward. Due to this, winds
will be light and variable for most of the TAF period.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

DISCUSSION...DeWald
AVIATION...Fajman

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>