Alert archive / California / Red Flag Warnings in 2020
Red Flag Warning 5, NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA
NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA issued this red flag warning at Sep 25, 2020, 3:27 AM PDT for 5 counties in California. It took effect at Sep 26, 2020, 9:00 PM PDT. It was in force for 48 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 25, 2020, 3:27 AM PDT (10:27 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 26, 2020, 9:00 PM PDT
- Expired
- Sep 28, 2020, 9:00 PM PDT
- In force
- 48 hr
- Issued by
- NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA
Counties Alameda County, CA, Contra Costa County, CA, Marin County, CA, Napa County, CA, Sonoma County, CA
The radar
The Sacramento radar (KDAX), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Oakland, CA (KOAK), launched 00:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 47 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1310 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 22 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 14 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 14 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
892 WWUS86 KMTR 251027 RFWMTR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 327 AM PDT Fri Sep 25 2020 CAZ507-252230- /O.UPG.KMTR.FW.A.0004.200926T1800Z-200928T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KMTR.FW.W.0005.200927T0400Z-200928T1500Z/ North Bay Mountains- 327 AM PDT Fri Sep 25 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM SATURDAY TO 8 AM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 507... The National Weather Service in San Francisco has issued a Red Flag Warning...which is in effect from 9 PM Saturday to 8 AM PDT Monday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * WIND...Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph Saturday Night into early Sunday morning with gusts from 35 to 50 mph likely in the hills above 1000 feet. Winds will ease during the daylight hours of Sunday but then another burst of offshore winds will develop Sunday night into Monday morning. The winds on Sunday night will be almost purely offshore from an easterly direction. * HUMIDITY...Humidity 30-45% Saturday evening will dry out overnight as offshore winds develop to less then 30% by sunrise Sunday. RH values staying steady from 10-25% Sunday into early Monday with no humidity recovery Sunday night. * HIGHEST THREAT...The hills of northeast Sonoma county and Napa county above 1000 feet. Strongest winds near Mount Saint Helena as well as Mount Tamalpais in Marin county. Persistent offshore winds will reach all the way to the coast Sunday night so coastal Sonoma county including the Wallbridge and Woodward fire in Point Reyes will feel the effects of the drying offshore winds. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CAZ510-252230- /O.UPG.KMTR.FW.A.0004.200926T1800Z-200928T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KMTR.FW.W.0005.200927T0400Z-200928T1500Z/ East Bay Interior Valleys- 327 AM PDT Fri Sep 25 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM SATURDAY TO 8 AM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 510... The National Weather Service in San Francisco has issued a Red Flag Warning...which is in effect from 9 PM Saturday to 8 AM PDT Monday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * WIND...Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with frequent gusts 35 to 45 mph Saturday night into Sunday morning. Winds will ease through the day Sunday but then another burst of offshore winds will develop Sunday night, these winds will be almost purely offshore and from an easterly direction. East wind events are often the strongest offshore winds for the East Bay hills and Mt Diablo. * HUMIDITY...30-45% Saturday night but lowering by sunrise Sunday. Humidity values 10-25% Sunday with no overnight recovery Sunday night into Monday morning. * HIGHEST THREAT...The I-680 corridor and I-580 east of the Altamont as well as the Highway 4 corridor. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CAZ511-252230- /O.UPG.KMTR.FW.A.0004.200926T1800Z-200928T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KMTR.FW.W.0005.200927T0400Z-200928T1500Z/ East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range- 327 AM PDT Fri Sep 25 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM SATURDAY TO 8 AM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 511... The National Weather Service in San Francisco has issued a Red Flag Warning...which is in effect from 9 PM Saturday to 8 AM PDT Monday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * WIND...Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph on Saturday will increase Saturday night into Sunday morning with gusts 40 to 50 mph. Winds will ease during the day Sunday but then another burst of winds will develop Sunday night into Monday. These winds will be from the East as pure offshore flow develops. * HUMIDITY...30-45% Saturday night but lowering to around 30% by sunrise Sunday. RH values staying steady from 15-25% Sunday into early Monday with no humidity recovery Sunday night. * HIGHEST THREAT...Mount Diablo and the East Bay Hills above 1000 feet including much of the East Bay Regional Park District lands. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
8 follow-up statements
413 WWUS86 KMTR 252117 RFWMTR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 217 PM PDT Fri Sep 25 2020 CAZ507-261000- /O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0005.200927T0400Z-200928T1500Z/ North Bay Mountains- 217 PM PDT Fri Sep 25 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM SATURDAY TO 8 AM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 507... * WIND...Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph Saturday Night into early Sunday morning with gusts from 35 to 50 mph likely in the hills above 1000 feet. Winds will ease during the daylight hours of Sunday but then another burst of offshore winds will develop Sunday night into Monday morning. The winds on Sunday night will be almost purely offshore from an easterly direction. * HUMIDITY...Humidity 30-45% Saturday evening will dry out overnight as offshore winds develop to less then 30% by sunrise Sunday. RH values staying steady from 10-25% Sunday into early Monday with no humidity recovery Sunday night. * HIGHEST THREAT...The hills of northeast Sonoma county and Napa county above 1000 feet. Strongest winds near Mount Saint Helena as well as Mount Tamalpais in Marin county. Persistent offshore winds will reach all the way to the coast Sunday night so coastal Sonoma county including the Walbridge and Woodward fire in Point Reyes will feel the effects of the drying offshore winds. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CAZ510-261000- /O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0005.200927T0400Z-200928T1500Z/ East Bay Interior Valleys- 217 PM PDT Fri Sep 25 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM SATURDAY TO 8 AM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 510... * WIND...Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with frequent gusts 35 to 45 mph Saturday night into Sunday morning. Winds will ease through the day Sunday but then another burst of offshore winds will develop Sunday night, these winds will be almost purely offshore and from an easterly direction. East wind events are often the strongest offshore winds for the East Bay hills and Mt Diablo. * HUMIDITY...30-45% Saturday night but lowering by sunrise Sunday. Humidity values 10-25% Sunday with no overnight recovery Sunday night into Monday morning. * HIGHEST THREAT...The I-680 corridor and I-580 east of the Altamont as well as the Highway 4 corridor. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CAZ511-261000- /O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0005.200927T0400Z-200928T1500Z/ East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range- 217 PM PDT Fri Sep 25 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM SATURDAY TO 8 AM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 511... * WIND...Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph on Saturday will increase Saturday night into Sunday morning with gusts 40 to 50 mph. Winds will ease during the day Sunday but then another burst of winds will develop Sunday night into Monday. These winds will be from the East as pure offshore flow develops. * HUMIDITY...30-45% Saturday night but lowering to around 30% by sunrise Sunday. RH values staying steady from 15-25% Sunday into early Monday with no humidity recovery Sunday night. * HIGHEST THREAT...Mount Diablo and the East Bay Hills above 1000 feet including much of the East Bay Regional Park District lands. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
457 WWUS86 KMTR 261003 RFWMTR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 303 AM PDT Sat Sep 26 2020 CAZ505-506-262230- /O.EXB.KMTR.FW.W.0005.200927T0400Z-200928T1800Z/ Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore- North Bay Interior Valleys- 303 AM PDT Sat Sep 26 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE NORTH BAY VALLEYS AND COAST... The National Weather Service in San Francisco has issued a Red Flag Warning...which is in effect from 9 PM this evening to 11 AM PDT Monday. * WIND...Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph will develop after midnight. These dry winds will rapidly lower humidity values by sunrise Sunday. Persistent northeast winds during the day Sunday then a secondary burst Sunday night will drive all the way to the coast with local gusts 30-45 mph. * HUMIDITY...30-45% Saturday night but lowering to around 30% by sunrise Sunday. RH values staying steady from 12-25% Sunday into early Monday with no humidity recovery Sunday night. * HIGHEST THREAT...All lower elevation unburned areas west of Highway 101 including around Mt Tamalpais as well as Pt Reyes National Seashore. Any remaining heat in the Wallbridge fire may flare up as well. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CAZ507-262230- /O.EXT.KMTR.FW.W.0005.200927T0400Z-200928T1800Z/ North Bay Mountains- 303 AM PDT Sat Sep 26 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 507... * WIND...Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph Saturday Night into early Sunday morning with gusts from 35 to 50 mph likely in the hills above 1500 feet of northeast Sonoma and Napa counties. Winds will ease during the daylight hours of Sunday but then another burst of offshore winds will develop Sunday night into Monday morning. The winds on Sunday night will turn more easterly in direction. * HUMIDITY...Humidity 30-45% Saturday evening will dry out overnight as offshore winds develop to less then 25% by sunrise Sunday. RH values staying steady from 10-25% Sunday into early Monday with no humidity recovery Sunday night. * HIGHEST THREAT...The hills of northeast Sonoma county and Napa county above 1000 feet. Strongest winds near Mount Saint Helena as well as Mount Tamalpais in Marin county. Persistent offshore winds will reach all the way to the coast Sunday night so coastal Sonoma county including the Walbridge and Woodward fire in Point Reyes will feel the effects of the drying offshore winds. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CAZ510-262230- /O.EXT.KMTR.FW.W.0005.200927T0400Z-200928T1800Z/ East Bay Interior Valleys- 303 AM PDT Sat Sep 26 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 510... * WIND...Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with frequent gusts 35 to 45 mph Saturday night into Sunday morning. Winds will ease through the day Sunday but then another burst of offshore winds will develop Sunday night, these winds will be almost purely offshore and from an easterly direction. East wind events are often the strongest offshore winds for the East Bay hills and Mt Diablo. * HUMIDITY...30-45% Saturday night but lowering by sunrise Sunday. Humidity values 10-25% Sunday with no overnight recovery Sunday night into Monday morning. * HIGHEST THREAT...The I-680 corridor and I-580 east of the Altamont as well as the Highway 4 corridor. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CAZ511-262230- /O.EXT.KMTR.FW.W.0005.200927T0400Z-200928T1800Z/ East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range- 303 AM PDT Sat Sep 26 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 511... * WIND...Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph on Saturday will increase Saturday night into Sunday morning with gusts 40 to 50 mph. Winds will ease during the day Sunday but then another burst of winds will develop Sunday night into Monday. These winds will be from the East as pure offshore flow develops. * HUMIDITY...30-45% Saturday night but lowering to around 30% by sunrise Sunday. RH values staying steady from 10-25% Sunday into early Monday with no humidity recovery Sunday night. * HIGHEST THREAT...Mount Diablo and the East Bay Hills above 1000 feet including much of the East Bay Regional Park District lands. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
303 WWUS86 KMTR 261947 RFWMTR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 1247 PM PDT Sat Sep 26 2020 CAZ505>507-270500- /O.EXT.KMTR.FW.W.0005.200927T0400Z-200929T0400Z/ Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore- North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains- 1247 PM PDT Sat Sep 26 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 PM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE NORTH BAY VALLEYS AND COAST... * WIND...Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph will develop after midnight. These dry winds will rapidly lower humidity values by sunrise Sunday. Persistent northeast winds during the day Sunday then a secondary burst Sunday night will drive all the way to the coast with local gusts 30-45 mph. * HUMIDITY...30-45% Saturday night but lowering to around 30% by sunrise Sunday. RH values staying steady from 12-25% Sunday into Monday with no humidity recovery Sunday night. Dry conditions persist through Monday. * HIGHEST THREAT...All lower elevation unburned areas west of Highway 101 including around Mt Tamalpais as well as Pt Reyes National Seashore. Any remaining heat in the Wallbridge fire may flare up as well. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CAZ510-270500- /O.EXT.KMTR.FW.W.0005.200927T0400Z-200929T0400Z/ East Bay Interior Valleys- 1247 PM PDT Sat Sep 26 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 PM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 510... * WIND...Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with frequent gusts 35 to 45 mph Saturday night into Sunday morning. Winds will ease through the day Sunday but then another burst of offshore winds will develop Sunday night, these winds will be almost purely offshore and from an easterly direction. East wind events are often the strongest offshore winds for the East Bay hills and Mt Diablo. * HUMIDITY...30-45% Saturday night but lowering by sunrise Sunday. Humidity values 10-25% Sunday with no overnight recovery Sunday night into Monday. Dry conditions persist through Monday. * HIGHEST THREAT...The I-680 corridor and I-580 east of the Altamont as well as the Highway 4 corridor. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CAZ511-270500- /O.EXT.KMTR.FW.W.0005.200927T0400Z-200929T0400Z/ East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range- 1247 PM PDT Sat Sep 26 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 PM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 511... * WIND...Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph on Saturday will increase Saturday night into Sunday morning with gusts 40 to 50 mph. Winds will ease during the day Sunday but then another burst of winds will develop Sunday night into Monday. These winds will be from the East as pure offshore flow develops. * HUMIDITY...30-45% Saturday night but lowering to around 30% by sunrise Sunday. RH values staying steady from 10-25% Sunday into Monday with no humidity recovery Sunday night. Dry conditions persist through Monday. * HIGHEST THREAT...Mount Diablo and the East Bay Hills above 1000 feet including much of the East Bay Regional Park District lands. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
847 WWUS86 KMTR 270501 RFWMTR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 1001 PM PDT Sat Sep 26 2020 CAZ505>507-271315- /O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200929T0400Z/ Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore- North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains- 1001 PM PDT Sat Sep 26 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE ENTIRE NORTH BAY... * WIND...North to northeast winds will increase late Saturday night into Sunday morning with gusts 40 to 50 mph developing in the hills. Offshore winds in the hills will ease during the day Sunday but then another burst of winds will develop Sunday night into early Monday. For lower elevations, expect wind gusts of 20 to 35 mph, with strongest winds expected Sunday and Sunday night. * HUMIDITY...30-45% Saturday night but lowering to around 30% by sunrise Sunday. RH values staying steady from 12-25% Sunday into Monday with no humidity recovery Sunday night. Dry conditions persist through Monday. * HIGHEST THREAT...Elevations above 1500 feet where winds will be strongest. Any remaining heat in the Wallbridge fire may flare up as well. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CAZ510-271315- /O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200929T0400Z/ East Bay Interior Valleys- 1001 PM PDT Sat Sep 26 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 510... * WIND...North to northeast winds 10 to 20 mph with with local gusts of 25 to 35 mph will develop late Saturday night into Sunday and continue into Sunday night. * HUMIDITY...40-60% Saturday night but lowering by sunrise Sunday. Humidity values from 10-25% Sunday and Monday. * HIGHEST THREAT...The I-680 corridor and I-580 east of the Altamont as well as the Highway 4 corridor. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CAZ511-271315- /O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200929T0400Z/ East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range- 1001 PM PDT Sat Sep 26 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT MONDAY FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 511... * WIND...North to northeast winds increasing to 10 to 20 mph by late Saturday night with gusts of 30 to 40 mph. Winds will ease during the day Sunday but then another burst of offshore winds will develop Sunday night into Monday. These winds will be from the east as pure offshore flow develops. * HUMIDITY...30-45% Saturday night but lowering to around 30% by sunrise Sunday. RH values staying steady from 10-25% Sunday into Monday with no humidity recovery Sunday night. Dry conditions persist through Monday. * HIGHEST THREAT...Mount Diablo and the East Bay Hills above 1000 feet including much of the East Bay Regional Park District lands. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
228 WWUS86 KMTR 271259 RFWMTR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 559 AM PDT Sun Sep 27 2020 CAZ505>507-280500- /O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200929T0400Z/ Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore- North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains- 559 AM PDT Sun Sep 27 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE ENTIRE NORTH BAY... * WIND...Gusty offshore winds will continue in the hills through this morning with gusts of 40 to 60 mph persisting. Offshore winds in the hills will ease by this afternoon but then another burst of winds will develop tonight into early Monday. For lower elevations, expect wind gusts of 20 to 35 mph, with strongest winds expected today and tonight. * HUMIDITY...Lowering to around 30% by sunrise Sunday. RH values staying steady from 12-25% Sunday into Monday with no humidity recovery Sunday night. * HIGHEST THREAT...Elevations above 1500 feet where winds will be strongest. Any remaining heat in the Wallbridge fire may flare up as well. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CAZ510-280500- /O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200929T0400Z/ East Bay Interior Valleys- 559 AM PDT Sun Sep 27 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 510... * WIND...North to northeast winds 10 to 20 mph with with local gusts of 30 will continue into Sunday Night. * HUMIDITY...Humidity values from 10-25% Sunday and Monday with very little recovery Sunday Night. * HIGHEST THREAT...The I-680 corridor and I-580 east of the Altamont as well as the Highway 4 corridor. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and breezy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CAZ511-280500- /O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200929T0400Z/ East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range- 559 AM PDT Sun Sep 27 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT MONDAY FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 511... * WIND...North to northeast wind gusts from 30 to 40 mph on Sunday morning. Winds will ease by Sunday afternoon but then another burst of offshore winds will develop Sunday night into early Monday. * HUMIDITY...Lowering to around 30% by sunrise Sunday. RH values staying steady from 10-25% Sunday into Monday with no humidity recovery Sunday night. * HIGHEST THREAT...Mount Diablo and the East Bay Hills above 1000 feet including much of the East Bay Regional Park District lands. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the hot, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
352 WWUS86 KMTR 280213 RFWMTR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 713 PM PDT Sun Sep 27 2020 ...Critical Fire Weather Conditions through Monday... .Gusty north to northeast winds, very low humidity with very poor overnight recovery, and extremely dry fuels will result in critical fire weather conditions tonight and Monday. CAZ505>507-281100- /O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200929T0400Z/ Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore- North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains- 713 PM PDT Sun Sep 27 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE ENTIRE NORTH BAY... * WIND...Gusty north to northeast winds will redevelop in the hills this evening and then continue overnight and into Monday morning. Gusts up to around 50 mph are possible higher peaks and ridges, and to 25 mph in the valleys. Winds will gradually diminish during the day on Monday with lighter winds continuing Monday night and Tuesday. * HUMIDITY...RH values staying generally steady from 12-22% Sunday evening into Monday with no humidity recovery Sunday night. * HIGHEST THREAT...Elevations above 1500 feet where winds will be strongest. * IMPACTS....Conditions conducive to rapid fire spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CAZ510-281100- /O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200929T0400Z/ East Bay Interior Valleys- 713 PM PDT Sun Sep 27 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT MONDAY FOR OFFSHORE WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 510... * WIND...Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph with with local gusts to around 25 mph will continue into Monday morning. Winds will gradually diminish during the day on Monday with lighter winds continuing Monday night and Tuesday. * HUMIDITY...Humidity values from 25-35% Sunday night and Monday with very little overnight recovery. * HIGHEST THREAT...The I-680 corridor and I-580 wast of the Altamont as well as the Highway 4 corridor. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the very warm, dry and breezy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CAZ511-281100- /O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200929T0400Z/ East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range- 713 PM PDT Sun Sep 27 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT MONDAY FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 511... * WIND...Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph will continue into Monday morning. Winds will gradually diminish during the day on Monday with lighter winds continuing Monday night and Tuesday. * HUMIDITY...RH values staying generally steady from 20-35% Sunday into Monday with little humidity recovery Sunday night. * HIGHEST THREAT...Mount Diablo and the East Bay Hills above 1000 feet including much of the East Bay Regional Park District lands. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the warm, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
292 WWUS86 KMTR 281104 RFWMTR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 404 AM PDT Mon Sep 28 2020 ...Critical Fire Weather Conditions through today... .Gusty north to northeast winds, very low humidity with very poor overnight recovery, and extremely dry fuels will result in critical fire weather conditions through today. CAZ505>507-290400- /O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200929T0400Z/ Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore- North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains- 404 AM PDT Mon Sep 28 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE ENTIRE NORTH BAY... * WIND...Gusty north to northeast will continue early Monday morning. Gusts up to around 50 mph are possible at the higher peaks and ridges, and to up to 25 mph in the valleys. Winds will gradually diminish during the day on Monday, with lighter winds forecast for Monday night and Tuesday. * HUMIDITY...RH values staying generally steady from 12-22% through Monday morning and dropping as low as the single digits by Monday afternoon. * HIGHEST THREAT...Elevations above 1500 feet where winds will be strongest. * IMPACTS....Conditions conducive to rapid fire spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CAZ510-290400- /O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200929T0400Z/ East Bay Interior Valleys- 404 AM PDT Mon Sep 28 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR OFFSHORE WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 510... * WIND...Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph with with local gusts to around 25 mph will continue into Monday morning. Winds will gradually diminish during the day on Monday with lighter winds forecast for Monday night and Tuesday. * HUMIDITY...Humidity values from 25-35% early on Monday dropping into the teens Monday afternoon. * HIGHEST THREAT...The I-680 corridor and I-580 wast of the Altamont as well as the Highway 4 corridor. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the very warm, dry and breezy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ CAZ511-290400- /O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200929T0400Z/ East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range- 404 AM PDT Mon Sep 28 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 511... * WIND...Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph will continue into Monday morning. Winds will gradually diminish during the day on Monday with lighter winds continuing Monday night and Tuesday. * HUMIDITY...RH values staying generally steady from 20-35% into Monday morning before dropping into the teens Monday afternoon. * HIGHEST THREAT...Mount Diablo and the East Bay Hills above 1000 feet including much of the East Bay Regional Park District lands. * IMPACTS....Any fires that develop will spread rapidly in the warm, dry and windy weather. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
625 WWUS86 KMTR 290336 RFWMTR URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 836 PM PDT Mon Sep 28 2020 CAZ505>507-290445- /O.EXP.KMTR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200929T0400Z/ Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore- North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains- 836 PM PDT Mon Sep 28 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR THE ENTIRE NORTH BAY... The strongest offshore winds have ended. However another night of poor humidity recovery for much of the Glass Fire. Along the coast fog has returned to Point Reyes and is pushing through the Golden Gate. Some southerly winds may work towards Santa Rosa with higher humidity but the hills will remain warm and dry overnight and the next several days. $$ CAZ510-290445- /O.EXP.KMTR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200929T0400Z/ East Bay Interior Valleys- 836 PM PDT Mon Sep 28 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR OFFSHORE WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 510... The strongest offshore winds have ended. However the return of westerly breezes will bring locally breezy winds into the East Bay valleys overnight into Tuesday. Warm and dry weather to continue for much of this week. $$ CAZ511-290445- /O.EXP.KMTR.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200929T0400Z/ East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range- 836 PM PDT Mon Sep 28 2020 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 511... The period of strongest offshore winds has ended. However another warm and dry night is forecast for the East Bay hills. Some minor cooling for Tuesday but overall a warm and dry week ahead for much of the East Bay hills. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Sep 24, 10:12 PM PDT, 5 hours 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 24, 10:12 PM PDT, 5 hours 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area
1012 PM PDT Thu Sep 24 2020
.SYNOPSIS...Friday offers another day of mild temperatures and
onshore winds before a change this weekend. Saturday will begin a
warming trend with widespread 80s and 90s for inland areas.
Offshore winds develop Saturday night into Sunday morning. The
strongest winds will be focused over the North and East Bay hills
where a Fire Weather Watch will go in effect Saturday morning.
Conditions will be hotter and drier Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday as
strong high pressure builds. Offshore winds are set to back off
into next week, but little heat relief is expected in the long
term forecast.
&&
.DISCUSSION...as of 09:09 PM PDT Thursday...The forecast
continues to be on track in the short and mid term, with some
variation in the longer term. Confidence continues to be high for
sharp increases in temperature over the weekend pairing with
offshore winds and drying conditions. Fire weather conditions in
the North Bay Mts and East Bay hills and valleys are still the
main concern through the weekend and into Monday morning.
Temperatures for Tuesday are now setting up to be comparable to
Sunday with Monday still offering the hottest conditions. Relief
from the heat is still looking like a slow-going process as our
upper level pattern continues to favor high pressure. Longer range
models keep 500 mb heights near 590 daM well into the late week.
This raises concerns for prolonged heat exposure.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...as of 01:50 PM PDT Thursday...Water vapor imagery
is currently capturing the moisture gradient associated with the
cold FROPA across Northern California, which has introduced much
needed moisture to far northern portions of the State. Visible
satellite imagery depicts the high-based cirrus associated with
the cold front moving in from the NW while that flow at the
surface has translated into the advection of offshore marine
stratus. Skies have substantially cleared over the SF Peninsula
this afternoon as a result of this push, while atmospheric ripples
can be observed interacting with the Monterey Peninsula as the
stratus continue to be advected towards the south/southeast.
Expecting max temps to remain seasonal, with 60s F and low 70s F
along the coast, 80s F in the interior, and our warmest isolated
locations nearing 90 F.
Medium-range models pick up on a weak shortwave moving into the
PAC NW Friday, which will both bring beneficial rain to areas
stricken by fires in that region while also maintaining zonal flow
aloft over our CWA which in turn will translate into onshore
surface flow that will keep us seasonal tomorrow. Following this
shortwave, the warming trend will commence. The GFS and ECMWF are
in agreement that the PAC mid-level ridge will begin building
Saturday and introducing 591dm heights to portions of our CWA that
day before becoming more widespread on Sunday and Monday. As
850hPa temps build on Saturday, will start to see warm up in
higher-terrain locations before the heat gradually builds along
interior locations like San Jose and Livermore, reaching temps in
the upper 80s F. Coastal locations will approach temps in the low
to mid- 70s F in the meantime. Still expecting RH values to be
decent across the region through most of Saturday, given the lag
associated with the hotter air mass mixing down to the surface.
Moisture to our north owing to moist zonal flow will also keep
conditions Saturday from deteriorating as quickly as they
otherwise would.
Nevertheless, once mixing has gone into full effect, offshore
flow will quickly dry out the higher terrain locations along the
East and North Bay as a tight pressure gradient sets up over
northeast California. Both the MTRWRF and NAM runs today pick up
on both the drier air advection and the wind shift picking up
Saturday evening, with 925 hPa winds progged around 35 mph and
some locations like Mt. Saint Helena, Mt. Diablo, and Mt.
Tamalpais progged to reach gusts of up to 50 mph. Expecting the
North and East Bay hills to experience gusty conditions Saturday
night and into Sunday morning as a result. Poor overnight humidity
and temperature recoveries will carry over through the rest of
the weekend and into Monday, with Sunday and Monday progged to be
the warmest days of this initial part of the warming trend. This
upper-level ridge is expected to continue to build through Monday
and into the early part of next week, allowing for interior temps
to reach the 100-105 F range, while coastal locations will run
between the 76F-86F range. Coastal max temps will be challenging
to forecast this weekend given the nature of onshore flow. It
should be noted that by Sunday and Monday 850hPa temps do soar to
the 25F-27F range. Should the upper-level ridge and thermal
surface trough win out, the marine layer/coastal AC could shut
off. As such, will be adjusting coastal temps regularly and issue
any heat hazards should they come up. For now, the greatest threat
with this weekend set up is the offshore wind signature.
Anticipate for the current Fire Weather Watch to be upgraded to a
Red Flag warning sometime early Friday as a result.
While the added moisture has greatly helped with fire fighting
operations across the far northern portions of the State, the
August and North Complex fires are not expected to experience
significant improvements as this offshore event will just dry us
out again. As of this afternoon, the August Complex is 38%
contained. As offshore winds pick up in the coming days, can
expect the smoke to once again affect air quality in the North
Bay.
For more information of air quality concentrations, please refer
to AirNow and the Bay Area Air Quality District. For more
information on current firefighting operations, please refer to
CALFIRE or your local Sheriffs Office.
Looking ahead into the rest of next week, ensembles and long-range
model guidance on the ECMWF and GFS expecting this ridging pattern
to stay in place along the West Coast through the end of the
month, which raises concerns for ongoing fires along with smoke
concerns. As mentioned, the wind shift this weekend will likely
reintroduce smoke from the August Complex to the North Bay. Smoke
could linger through most of next week across greater portions of
the CWA given the stagnant air mass. Thankfully, total smoke
canopy is much less compared to the Tuesday after Labor Day, but
will keep an eye on any changes between now and then. Stay tuned.
&&
.AVIATION...As of 10:12 PM PDT Thursday...For the 06z TAFs. VFR
except for patchy IFR to MVFR ceilings along the coast tonight and
Friday morning.
Vicinity of KSFO...VFR. Tempo IFR ceiling 09z-13z Friday morning.
West wind increasing to 20 to 25 knots Friday afternoon and early
evening.
SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to KSFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals...VFR, west winds decreasing to light and
variable winds tonight and Friday morning. Patchy MVFR possible
late tonight and Friday morning. West winds 10 to 15 knots Friday
afternoon.
&&
.BEACHES...as of 4:00 PM PDT Thursday...A deep low in the Gulf of
Alaska has produced a large long-period swell train that will
impact the coastline through tomorrow afternoon. Swells by this
afternoon 10 to 12 ft with a 15 to 16 second period. The main
impacts will be increased wave heights breaking near the shoreline
and an increased risk of rip currents developing along coastal
beaches. This may produce breaking wave heights in the surf zone
of 15 to 20 feet, particularly at west to northwest facing
beaches. Therefore, a Beach Hazards Statement has been issued from
5 PM PDT this afternoon until 2 PM PDT Friday. With the increase
in temperatures inland expected late in the week, beachgoers
should be mindful of the increased wave activity and rip
currents.The wave activity is forecast to subside into Friday
evening.
&&
.MARINE...as of 9:09 PM PDT Thursday...Northwest winds will
increase across the waters tonight and tomorrow in the post cool
frontal environment with strongest winds forecast along the Big
Sur Coast. A larger long period northwest swell will continue with
swell heights of 9 to 12 feet at periods of 14 to 17 seconds
through tomorrow. Swell heights and periods then expected to
quickly diminish.
&&
.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.Tngt...SCA...Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm
SCA...Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm
SCA...Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm
SCA...Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm
SCA...Pt Arena to Pigeon Pt 10-60 nm
SCA...Pigeon Pt to Pt Piedras Blancas 10-60 nm
&&
PUBLIC FORECAST: Diaz/Murdock/DK
AVIATION: Canepa
MARINE: Canepa
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www.twitter.com/nwsbayarea
www.youtube.com/nwsbayareaThe office that day
Everything else NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 4:52 AM PDT | High Surf Advisory | MTR | Monterey | 15 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in California, 2020Every red flag warning in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.