Alert archive / California / Red Flag Warnings in 2020

Red Flag Warning 10, NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

October 20, 20205 counties in California

NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA issued this red flag warning at Oct 20, 2020, 10:46 AM PDT for 5 counties in California. It took effect at Oct 21, 2020, 10:00 PM PDT. It was in force for 28 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 20, 2020, 10:46 AM PDT (17:46 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 21, 2020, 10:00 PM PDT
Expired
Oct 23, 2020, 2:18 AM PDT
In force
28 hr
Issued by
NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

Counties Alameda County, CA, Contra Costa County, CA, San Mateo County, CA, Santa Clara County, CA, Santa Cruz County, CA

The radar

The San Francisco radar (KMUX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Oakland, CA (KOAK), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 36 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Oakland, CA at 12:00Z on 2020-10-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Oakland, CA at 12:00Z on 2020-10-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 11 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2144 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
6 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

019 
WWUS86 KMTR 201746
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area
1046 AM PDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...Dry conditions and bursts of gusty offshore winds forecast in
the hills of the San Francisco Bay Area over the next several 
days...

.The continuation of gusty, dry offshore winds and low humidity, 
in combination with very dry fuels, will result in an increased 
risk of new wildfire starts and rapid wildfire spread. Gusty 
northerly winds will initially affect the North Bay Mountains and
East Bay Hills and Valleys late Wednesday evening and expand 
overnight into the Santa Cruz Mountains and portions of Coastal 
San Mateo County through Thursday morning. A lull in the offshore
winds is expected from late Thursday morning through Thursday 
evening, but another burst is expected overnight and into Friday
morning. 

CAZ507-210500-
/O.UPG.KMTR.FW.A.0008.201022T0500Z-201023T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KMTR.FW.W.0010.201022T0500Z-201023T1500Z/
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-201021T1500Z/
North Bay Mountains-
1046 AM PDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM PDT WEDNESDAY
FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
507...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM WEDNESDAY TO 8 AM PDT
FRIDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 507...

The National Weather Service in San Francisco has issued a Red 
Flag Warning...which is in effect from 10 PM Wednesday to 8 AM 
PDT Friday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. 



* AFFECTED AREA...North Bay Mountains.

* WIND...Through Wednesday evening north to northeast 10 to 25 
  mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Winds will be strongest during the 
  overnight hours. From Wednesday evening through Friday morning 
  north to northeast 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. Locally
  stronger winds are possible over the higher ridges and peaks.

* HUMIDITY...Daytime humidities in the 12-20 percent range with 
  poor overnight recoveries in the 20-30 percent range.

* HIGHEST THREAT...Mountains of Napa County and northeastern 
  Sonoma County.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will likely spread rapidly due
  to the combination of dry fuels, gusty north-northeasterly 
  winds, and low humidities. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ511-210500-
/O.UPG.KMTR.FW.A.0008.201022T0500Z-201023T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KMTR.FW.W.0010.201022T0500Z-201023T1500Z/
East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range-
1046 AM PDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM WEDNESDAY TO 8 AM PDT
FRIDAY FOR FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 511...

The National Weather Service in San Francisco has issued a Red 
Flag Warning...which is in effect from 10 PM Wednesday to 8 AM 
PDT Friday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. 


* WIND...North to northeast 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 
  mph. Winds will be strongest during the overnight hours. 
  Locally stronger winds are possible over the higher ridges and 
  peaks. 

* HUMIDITY...Daytime humidities in the 12-18 percent range with 
  poor overnight recoveries in the 20-30 percent range.

* HIGHEST THREAT...The East Bay Hills.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will likely spread rapidly due
  to the combination of dry fuels, gusty north-northeasterly 
  winds, and low humidities. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ512-210500-
/O.UPG.KMTR.FW.A.0008.201022T0800Z-201023T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KMTR.FW.W.0010.201022T0800Z-201023T1500Z/
Santa Cruz Mountains-
1046 AM PDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 8 AM PDT
FRIDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 512...

The national weather service in San Francisco has issued a Red 
Flag Warning...which is in effect from 1 AM Thursday to 8 AM PDT 
Friday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. 


* WIND...North to northeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 
  mph. Winds will be strongest during the overnight hours. 
  Locally stronger winds are possible over the higher ridges and 
  peaks. 

* HUMIDITY...Daytime humidities in the 12-20 percent range with 
  poor overnight recoveries in the 20-30 percent range.

* HIGHEST THREAT...Locations with high fuel loads in the Santa
  Cruz Mountains.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will likely spread rapidly due
  to the combination of dry fuels, gusty north-northeasterly 
  winds, and low humidities. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ510-210500-
/O.NEW.KMTR.FW.W.0010.201022T0500Z-201023T1500Z/
East Bay Interior Valleys-
1046 AM PDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM WEDNESDAY TO 8 AM PDT
FRIDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 510...

The National Weather Service in San Francisco has issued a Red 
Flag Warning...which is in effect from 10 PM Wednesday to 8 AM 
PDT Friday.


* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 510.

* WIND...North to northeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
  Winds will be strongest during the overnight hours. Locally 
  stronger winds are possible as winds from the higher ridges and 
  peaks mix down to the valley floors.

* HUMIDITY...Daytime humidities in the 30-35 percent range but
  falling quickly overnight. Poor overnight recoveries expected,
  with widespread humidities in the 15-20 percent range.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ509-210500-
/O.NEW.KMTR.FW.W.0010.201022T0800Z-201023T1500Z/
San Francisco Peninsula Coast-
1046 AM PDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 8 AM PDT
FRIDAY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 509...

The National Weather Service in San Francisco has issued a Red 
Flag Warning...which is in effect from 1 AM Thursday to 8 AM PDT 
Friday.


* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 509.

* WIND...North to northeast 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
  Winds will be strongest during the overnight hours. Locally
  stronger winds are possible over the higher ridges, peaks, and
  passages that lead to the shoreline.

* HUMIDITY...Daytime humidities gradually falling to the 15-30
  percent range, even down to the coast. Poor overnight humidity 
  recoveries in the 12-20 percent range.

* HIGHEST THREAT...is located from Half Moon Bay southward as dry
  winds from the mountains race down to the coast.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
7 follow-up statements
706 
WWUS86 KMTR 210405
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area
905 PM PDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...Dry conditions and bursts of gusty offshore winds forecast in
the hills of the San Francisco Bay Area over the next several 
days...

.The overarching weather pattern prevails around the Bay Area,
providing an increased risk of new wildfire starts and rapid 
wildfire spread this evening and through the end of the week. 
Gusty northerly winds and dry conditions provide the threat of new
wildfire starts through Wednesday morning. After a brief lull,
wind gusts will strengthen again on Wednesday evening over
affecting the North Bay Mountains, East Bay Hills and Valleys, 
and expand in the early Thursday morning timeframe over the Santa
Cruz Mountains and portions of San Mateo coast. Winds will once
again weaken in the afternoon before another round of gustier
offshore winds expected overnight Thursday into Friday morning.


CAZ507-211200-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-201021T1500Z/
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0010.201022T0500Z-201023T1500Z/
North Bay Mountains-
905 PM PDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM PDT WEDNESDAY
FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
507...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM WEDNESDAY 
TO 8 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS 
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 507...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 507 including the North Bay 
  Mountains.

* WIND...Through Wednesday evening north to northeast 10 to 25 
  mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Winds will be strongest during 
  the overnight hours. From Wednesday evening through Friday 
  morning north to northeast 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 
  mph. Locally stronger winds are possible over the higher 
  ridges and peaks. 

* HUMIDITY...Daytime humidities in the 12-20 percent range with 
  poor overnight recoveries in the 20-30 percent range.

* HIGHEST THREAT...Mountains of Napa County and northeastern 
  Sonoma County.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will likely spread rapidly due 
  to the combination of dry fuels, gusty north-northeasterly 
  winds, and low humidities.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ510-511-211200-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0010.201022T0500Z-201023T1500Z/
East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range-
905 PM PDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM WEDNESDAY TO
8 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 510 AND 511...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 510 AND 511 including the 
  East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range and the East Bay Interior 
  Valleys
  

* WIND...North to northeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 
  mph. Winds will be strongest during the overnight hours. 
  Locally stronger winds are possible as winds from the higher 
  ridges and peaks mix down to the valley floors.

* HUMIDITY...Daytime humidities in the 30-35 percent range but 
  falling quickly overnight. Poor overnight recoveries 
  expected, with widespread humidities in the 15-20 percent 
  range.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ509-512-211200-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0010.201022T0800Z-201023T1500Z/
San Francisco Peninsula Coast-Santa Cruz Mountains-
905 PM PDT Tue Oct 20 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 8 AM
PDT FRIDAY FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR FIRE 
WEATHER ZONES 509 AND 512...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 509 AND 512 including the
  Santa Cruz Mountains and the San Mateo Coastline 

* WIND...North to northeast 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 
  mph. Winds will be strongest during the overnight hours. 
  Locally stronger winds are possible over the higher ridges, 
  peaks, and passages that lead to the shoreline.

* HUMIDITY...Daytime humidities gradually falling to the 12-20
  percent range, even down to the coast. Poor overnight humidity
  recoveries in the 20-30 percent range.

* HIGHEST THREAT...is located from Half Moon Bay southward as 
  dry winds from the mountains race down to the coast. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
091 
WWUS86 KMTR 211459
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area
759 AM PDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...Dry conditions and bursts of gusty offshore winds forecast in 
the hills of the San Francisco Bay Area over the next several 
days...

.The overarching weather pattern prevails around the Bay Area,
providing a continued risk of new wildfire starts and rapid 
wildfire spread this evening and through the end of the week. 
Gusty northerly winds and dry conditions provide the threat of new
wildfire starts through Friday morning. After a brief lull during
the day today, wind gusts will strengthen again on Wednesday 
evening affecting the North Bay Mountains, East Bay Hills and 
Valleys, and expand in the early Thursday morning timeframe over 
the Santa Cruz Mountains and portions of San Mateo coast. Winds 
will once again weaken in the afternoon before another round of 
gustier offshore winds take hold overnight Thursday into Friday 
morning.

CAZ507-220400-
/O.EXP.KMTR.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-201021T1500Z/
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0010.201022T0500Z-201023T1500Z/
North Bay Mountains-
759 AM PDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
8 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 507... 
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 AM PDT THIS MORNING FOR 
GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
507...

* WIND...Wednesday evening through Friday morning north to 
  northeast 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. Locally stronger
  winds are possible over the higher ridges and peaks. 

* HUMIDITY...Daytime humidities in the 12-20 percent range with 
  poor overnight recoveries in the 20-30 percent range.

* HIGHEST THREAT...Mountains of Napa County and northeastern 
  Sonoma County.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will likely spread rapidly due 
  to the combination of dry fuels, gusty north-northeasterly 
  winds, and low humidities.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ510-511-220400-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0010.201022T0500Z-201023T1500Z/
East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range-
759 AM PDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
8 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 510 AND 511...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 510 AND 511 including the 
  East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range and the East Bay Interior 
  Valleys 

* WIND...North to northeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 
  mph. Winds will be strongest during the overnight hours. 
  Locally stronger winds are possible as winds from the higher 
  ridges and peaks mix down to the valley floors.

* HUMIDITY...Daytime humidities in the 30-35 percent range but 
  falling quickly overnight. Poor overnight recoveries 
  expected, with widespread humidities in the 15-20 percent 
  range. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ509-512-220400-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0010.201022T0800Z-201023T1500Z/
San Francisco Peninsula Coast-Santa Cruz Mountains-
759 AM PDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 8 AM
PDT FRIDAY FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR FIRE 
WEATHER ZONES 509 AND 512...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 509 AND 512 including the
  Santa Cruz Mountains and the San Mateo Coastline. 

* WIND...North to northeast 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 
  mph. Winds will be strongest during the overnight hours. 
  Locally stronger winds are possible over the higher ridges, 
  peaks, and passages that lead to the shoreline.

* HUMIDITY...Daytime humidities gradually falling to the 12-20 
  percent range, even down to the coast. Poor overnight 
  humidity recoveries in the 20-30 percent range.

* HIGHEST THREAT...is located from Half Moon Bay southward as 
  dry winds from the mountains race down to the coast.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
629 
WWUS86 KMTR 220333
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area
833 PM PDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...Dry conditions and bursts of gusty offshore winds forecast in 
higher terrain around the San Francisco Bay Area over the next 
several days...

Offshore winds increase Wednesday evening once again bringing dry
conditions around the Bay Area providing a continued risk of new 
wildfire starts and rapid wildfire spread through Friday morning.
Strongest wind gusts are expected at higher elevations of the
North Bay Mountains and East Bay Hills, with winds mixing down and
increasing in the East Bay Valleys. By early Thursday morning,
offshore winds will increase over the Santa Cruz Mountains and
reach the San Mateo coastline. Expect winds to subside slightly
Thursday afternoon, before increasing for yet another round of
gustier offshore winds Thursday evening into Friday morning.

CAZ510-511-221230-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0010.201022T0500Z-201023T1500Z/
East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range-
833 PM PDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR
FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR FIRE WEATHER 
ZONES 510 AND 511...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 510 AND 511 including the 
  East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range and the East Bay Interior 
  Valleys. 

* WIND...North to northeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 
  mph. Winds will be strongest during the overnight hours. 
  Locally stronger winds are possible as winds from the higher 
  ridges and peaks mix down to the valley floors.

* HUMIDITY...Daytime humidities in the 12-19 percent range with
  poor overnight recoveries expected, with maximum humidities in 
  the 20-30 percent range. 

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ509-512-221230-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0010.201022T0800Z-201023T1500Z/
San Francisco Peninsula Coast-Santa Cruz Mountains-
833 PM PDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 8 AM
PDT FRIDAY FOR FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 509 AND 512...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 509 AND 512 including the 
  Santa Cruz Mountains and the San Mateo Coastline. 

* WIND...North to northeast 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 
  mph. Winds will be strongest during the overnight hours. 
  Locally stronger winds are possible over the higher ridges, 
  peaks, and passages that lead to the shoreline.

* HUMIDITY...Daytime humidities gradually falling to the 12-20
  percent range, even down to the coast. Poor overnight humidity
  recoveries in the 20-30 percent range.

* HIGHEST THREAT...is located from Half Moon Bay southward as 
  dry winds from the mountains race down to the coast.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ507-221230-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0010.201022T0500Z-201023T1500Z/
North Bay Mountains-
833 PM PDT Wed Oct 21 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR
FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
507...

* WIND...Wednesday evening through Friday morning north to 
  northeast 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. Locally 
  stronger winds are possible over the higher ridges and peaks. 

* HUMIDITY...Daytime humidities in the 12-20 percent range with 
  poor overnight recoveries in the 20-30 percent range.

* HIGHEST THREAT...Mountains of Napa County and northeastern 
  Sonoma County.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will likely spread rapidly due 
  to the combination of dry fuels, gusty north-northeasterly 
  winds, and low humidities.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
446 
WWUS86 KMTR 220954
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area
254 AM PDT Thu Oct 22 2020

CAZ510-511-222230-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-201023T1500Z/
East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range-
254 AM PDT Thu Oct 22 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR
FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 
510 AND 511...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 510 AND 511 including the 
  East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range and the East Bay Interior 
  Valleys. 

* WIND...North to northeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.
  Winds will be strongest through mid-morning and then again
  tonight. Locally stronger winds are possible as winds from the 
  higher ridges and peaks mix down to the valley floors.

* HUMIDITY...15-30% and drying through the day with little or no
  recovery tonight.

* IMPACTS...Any new fires that start will spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ509-512-222230-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-201023T1500Z/
San Francisco Peninsula Coast-Santa Cruz Mountains-
254 AM PDT Thu Oct 22 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR
FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 
509 AND 512...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 509 AND 512 including the 
  Santa Cruz Mountains and the San Mateo Coastline. 

* WIND...North to northeast 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
  Winds will be strongest through mid-morning. Locally stronger
  winds are possible over the higher ridges, peaks, and passes 
  that lead to the shoreline.

* HUMIDITY...20-40% with little or no night time recovery in the
  hills. The immediate coast may see much higher humidity but if
  offshore winds mix down, rapid drying will occur.

* HIGHEST THREAT...The Santa Cruz mountains along Skyline Blvd
  including Highway 9, 17, 35 and 92.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

CAZ507-222230-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-201023T1500Z/
North Bay Mountains-
254 AM PDT Thu Oct 22 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR
FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
507...

* WIND...through Friday morning north to northeast 15 to 30 mph 
  with gusts up to 50 mph. Locally stronger winds are possible 
  over the higher ridges and peaks. 

* HUMIDITY...Daytime humidities in the 12-20 percent range with 
  poor overnight recoveries in the 20-30 percent range.

* HIGHEST THREAT...Mountains of Napa County and northeastern 
  Sonoma County.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that start will likely spread rapidly due 
  to the combination of dry fuels, gusty north-northeasterly 
  winds, and low humidities.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
285 
WWUS86 KMTR 222120
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area
220 PM PDT Thu Oct 22 2020

...Critical Fire Weather Conditions through Friday Morning for 
Gusty Wind and Low Humidity...

...Critical to Extreme Fire Weather Conditions Late Sunday Morning
through Tuesday Morning Due to Strong Winds and Critically Low 
Humidity...

.Critical fire weather conditions will persist over the North Bay
Mountains, East Bay Hills including the Diablo Range, and the 
interior East Bay Valleys through Friday morning. Winds generally
diminish with the return of onshore flow during the day Friday and
continue into Saturday. A significantly stronger offshore wind
event, potentially the strongest of the year, will develop over 
the region on Sunday and persist into early next week.


CAZ512-230600-
/O.CAN.KMTR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-201023T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KMTR.FW.A.0009.201025T1800Z-201027T1800Z/
Santa Cruz Mountains-
220 PM PDT Thu Oct 22 2020

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 
TUESDAY MORNING FOR STRONG WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 512... 
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 512...

The National Weather Service in San Francisco has issued a Fire
Weather Watch, which is in effect from Sunday morning through 
Tuesday morning. The Red Flag Warning has been cancelled.

* WIND...For late Sunday morning through Tuesday morning. North 
  to northeast 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Locally 
  stronger winds are possible over the higher ridges and peaks.

* HUMIDITY...For late Sunday morning through Tuesday morning. 
  Minimum daytime humidity of 10 to 15 percent. Maximum overnight 
  humidity generally between 15 and 35 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any new fires that start will spread rapidly.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

CAZ509-222230-
/O.CAN.KMTR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-201023T1500Z/
San Francisco Peninsula Coast-
220 PM PDT Thu Oct 22 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 509...

The National Weather Service in San Francisco has cancelled the
Red Flag Warning.

Critical fire weather conditions are no longer anticipated along
the San Mateo Coastline.

$$

CAZ510-511-230600-
/O.NEW.KMTR.FW.A.0009.201025T1800Z-201027T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-201023T1500Z/
East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range-
220 PM PDT Thu Oct 22 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR
GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 510 
AND 511... 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 
TUESDAY MORNING FOR STRONG WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 510 AND 511...

The National Weather Service in San Francisco has issued a Fire
Weather Watch, which is in effect from Sunday morning through 
Tuesday morning.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 510 AND 511. 

* WIND...Through Friday morning. North to northeast 10 to 20 mph
  with gusts up to 35 mph. Gusts to 45 mph in the higher ridges
  and peaks. Locally stronger winds may mix down to the valley
  floors. For late Sunday morning through Tuesday morning. For the
  Valleys, north to northeast wind 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 
  40 mph. For the Hills and Diablo Range, north to northeast wind 
  25 to 35 mph, with gusts to 40 to 60. Stronger gusts up to 70+ 
  mph may be possible over favored ridges and peaks during the 
  night and morning hours.

* HUMIDITY...Through Friday morning. Maximum overnight humidity 20
  to 30 percent, locally higher in the valleys. For late Sunday 
  morning through Tuesday morning. Minimum daytime humidity of 5 
  to 15 percent. Maximum overnight humidity generally between 15 
  and 30 percent.

* HIGHEST THREAT...Higher ridges of the East Bay Hills and Diablo
  Range.

* IMPACTS...Any new fires that start will spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

CAZ507-230600-
/O.NEW.KMTR.FW.A.0009.201025T1800Z-201027T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-201023T1500Z/
North Bay Mountains-
220 PM PDT Thu Oct 22 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR 
GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 507...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 
TUESDAY MORNING FOR STRONG WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 507...

The National Weather Service in San Francisco has issued a Fire
Weather Watch, which is in effect from Sunday morning through 
Tuesday morning.

* WIND...Through Friday morning. North to northeast 15 to 30 mph 
  with gusts up to 45 mph. Locally stronger winds are possible 
  over the higher ridges and peaks. For late Sunday morning 
  through Tuesday morning. North to northeast wind 25 to 35 mph, 
  with gusts to 40 to 60. Stronger gusts up to 70+ mph may be 
  possible over favored ridges and peaks during the night and 
  morning hours.

* HUMIDITY...Through Friday morning. Maximum overnight humidity 15
  to 30 percent, locally higher in the coastal ranges. For late 
  Saturday morning through Tuesday morning. Minimum daytime 
  humidity of 5 to 15 percent. Maximum overnight humidity 
  generally between 15 and 30 percent.

* HIGHEST THREAT...Mountains of Napa County and northeastern 
  Sonoma County.

* IMPACTS...Any new fires that start will spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

CAZ506-230600-
/O.NEW.KMTR.FW.A.0009.201025T1800Z-201027T1800Z/
North Bay Interior Valleys-
220 PM PDT Thu Oct 22 2020

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 
TUESDAY MORNING FOR STRONG WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 506...

The National Weather Service in San Francisco has issued a Fire
Weather Watch, which is in effect from Sunday morning through 
Tuesday morning.

* WIND...For late Sunday morning through Tuesday morning. North 
  to northeast wind 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. 

* HUMIDITY...For late Sunday morning through Tuesday morning. Minimum
  daytime humidity of 5 to 15 percent. Maximum overnight humidity
  generally between 15 and 30 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any new fires that start will spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$
413 
WWUS86 KMTR 230443
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area
943 PM PDT Thu Oct 22 2020

...Critical Fire Weather Conditions through Friday Morning for 
Gusty Wind and Low Humidity...

...Critical to Extreme Fire Weather Conditions Late Sunday Morning
through Tuesday Morning Due to Strong Winds and Critically Low 
Humidity...

.Critical fire weather conditions will persist over the North Bay
Mountains, East Bay Hills including the Diablo Range, and the 
interior East Bay Valleys through Friday morning. Winds generally
diminish with the return of onshore flow during the day Friday and
continue into Saturday. A significantly stronger offshore wind
event, potentially the strongest of the year, will develop over 
the region on Sunday and persist into early next week.

CAZ510-511-231300-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-201023T1500Z/
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.A.0009.201025T1800Z-201027T1800Z/
East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range-
943 PM PDT Thu Oct 22 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR
GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
510 AND 511...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 
TUESDAY MORNING FOR STRONG WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 510 AND 511... 


* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 510 AND 511.

* WIND...Through Friday morning. North to northeast 10 to 20 
  mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Gusts to 45 mph in the higher 
  ridges and peaks. Locally stronger winds may mix down to the 
  valley floors. For late Sunday morning through Tuesday 
  morning. For the Valleys, north to northeast wind 10 to 20 
  mph with gusts up to 40 mph. For the Hills and Diablo Range, 
  north to northeast wind 25 to 35 mph, with gusts to 40 to 60. 
  Stronger gusts up to 70+ mph may be possible over favored 
  ridges and peaks during the night and morning hours.

* HUMIDITY...Through Friday morning. Maximum overnight humidity
  20 to 30 percent, locally higher in the valleys. For late 
  Sunday morning through Tuesday morning. Minimum daytime 
  humidity of 5 to 15 percent. Maximum overnight humidity 
  generally between 15 and 30 percent. 

* HIGHEST THREAT...Higher ridges of the East Bay Hills and 
  Diablo Range. 

* IMPACTS...Any new fires that start will spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

CAZ507-231300-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-201023T1500Z/
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.A.0009.201025T1800Z-201027T1800Z/
North Bay Mountains-
943 PM PDT Thu Oct 22 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR
GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 507...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING FOR STRONG WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 507...

* WIND...Through Friday morning. North to northeast 15 to 30 mph 
  with gusts up to 45 mph. Locally stronger winds are possible 
  over the higher ridges and peaks. For late Sunday morning 
  through Tuesday morning. North to northeast wind 25 to 35 mph, 
  with gusts to 40 to 60. Stronger gusts up to 70+ mph may be 
  possible over favored ridges and peaks during the night and 
  morning hours. 

* HUMIDITY...Through Friday morning. Maximum overnight humidity
  15 to 30 percent, locally higher in the coastal ranges. For 
  late Saturday morning through Tuesday morning. Minimum 
  daytime humidity of 5 to 15 percent. Maximum overnight 
  humidity generally between 15 and 30 percent.

* HIGHEST THREAT...Mountains of Napa County and northeastern 
  Sonoma County.

* IMPACTS...Any new fires that start will spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

CAZ506-512-231300-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.A.0009.201025T1800Z-201027T1800Z/
North Bay Interior Valleys-Santa Cruz Mountains-
943 PM PDT Thu Oct 22 2020

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR STRONG WINDS AND CRITICALLY LOW
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 506...

* WIND...For late Sunday morning through Tuesday morning. North 
  to northeast wind 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. 

* HUMIDITY...For late Sunday morning through Tuesday morning.
  Minimum daytime humidity of 5 to 15 percent. Maximum 
  overnight humidity generally between 15 and 30 percent. 

* IMPACTS...Any new fires that start will spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$
930 
WWUS86 KMTR 230918
RFWMTR

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
218 AM PDT Fri Oct 23 2020

...Critical to Extreme Fire Weather Conditions Late Sunday through
Tuesday Morning Due to Strong Winds and Critically Low 
Humidity...

.A significantly stronger offshore wind event, likely the 
strongest of the year, will develop over the region on Sunday and
peak Sunday night before winds ease by early Tuesday.

CAZ507-510-511-231030-
/O.CAN.KMTR.FW.W.0010.000000T0000Z-201023T1500Z/
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.A.0009.201025T1800Z-201027T1800Z/
North Bay Mountains-East Bay Interior Valleys-
East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range-
218 AM PDT Fri Oct 23 2020

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR THE NORTH AND EAST BAY... 

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE NORTH AND EAST BAY FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in San Francisco has cancelled the
Red Flag Warning.

* WIND...For Sunday through Tuesday morning. North to northeast
  wind 25 to 35 mph, with gusts to 40 to 60. Stronger gusts up to
  70+ mph may be possible over favored ridges and peaks Sunday
  night into Monday morning.

* HUMIDITY...15-30% later Sunday through Tuesday.

* HIGHEST THREAT...The North and East Bay including the hills and
  valleys.

* IMPACTS...Any new fires that start will spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

CAZ506-512-231030-
/O.CON.KMTR.FW.A.0009.201025T1800Z-201027T1800Z/
North Bay Interior Valleys-Santa Cruz Mountains-
218 AM PDT Fri Oct 23 2020

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY 
FOR THE NORTH BAY VALLEYS AND SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS...

* WIND...For late Sunday through Tuesday morning. North to
  northeast wind 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* HUMIDITY...For late Sunday Tuesday morning. Minimum daytime 
  humidity of 5 to 15 percent. Maximum overnight humidity 
  generally between 15 and 30 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any new fires that start will spread rapidly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Oct 20, 10:46 AM PDT, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 20, 10:46 AM PDT, 0 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area
1046 AM PDT Tue Oct 20 2020

.SYNOPSIS...Gusty, dry offshore winds combined with persistent low
humidity will result in heightened fire weather concerns in the
hills through much of the week. Locally gusty north to northeast
winds will continue at the higher elevations of the North Bay
today through Wednesday morning. Stronger and more widespread
offshore winds are then forecast for the North and East Bay Hills
from Wednesday night through Friday morning, as well as locally in
the Santa Cruz Mountains. Temperatures will remain warmer than
seasonal averages today and Wednesday, but then cool to near
normal late in the week and into the weekend. Another offshore
wind event is possible in the hills from Saturday night through
Monday morning.

&&

.DISCUSSION...as of 08:08 AM PDT Tuesday...Moderate overnight
winds were observed in the North Bay, with stations in the the
Napa Mountains and northeastern Sonoma County measuring gusts in
the 20-30 mph range. Some of our highest peaks in the North Bay
measured stronger gusts (e.g. Mt St Helena observed an overnight
max gust of 44 mph). Overall, winds did trend slightly lighter
than progged owing to weaker vertical mixing. Humidity recoveries
in the valleys have also remained moderate due to the marine
layer influence. Bodega Bay Profiler has observed a gradual
compression of the marine layer depth and currently in the 100-300
ft range. Higher terrain locations, on the other hand, have
observed poorer recoveries, especially those locations over 2500
ft where some stations are currently running in the 20-25% range.
As such, expect the marine layer moisture to become less pronounced
in the coming days along the North Bay shoreline, especially as the
first trough digs into the Great Basin by midweek and helps in
introducing the next series of offshore bursts. Will have updates on
both the active Red Flag Warning and the Fire Weather Watches later
this morning.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...As of 3:45 AM PDT Tuesday...The primary forecast
concern throughout the remainder of the week and into next weekend
will be periods of gusty offshore winds at the higher elevations
of the SF Bay Area. These winds, combined with persistent low
humidity, will result in periodic critical fire weather
conditions in the hills. See the Fire Weather Discussion below for
details.

Early morning satellite imagery shows that low clouds and fog are
mostly confined to areas along the Santa Cruz and Monterey County
Coasts, as well as the Salinas Valley. Developing offshore winds
in the hills of the SF Bay Area has limited coastal stratus/fog to
just a few patches from San Mateo County northward. The marine
layer remains relatively shallow and so we could continue to see
patchy dense fog until a few hours after sunrise, especially near
Monterey Bay.

The synoptic pattern hasn't changed all that much since yesterday
with a rex block remaining anchored offshore along 140W. Thus,
expect little change in temperatures today except the potential
for slight warming in coastal portions of the Bay Area due to
offshore flow in the hills and reduced onshore surface winds.
Temperatures are then likely to cool slightly on Wednesday as the
rex block retrogrades a bit and a slightly cooler airmass moves
into our area. In any case, temperatures will remain warmer than
seasonal averages through midweek.

A cooling trend is then forecast from Thursday through Saturday as
a couple of shortwave troughs dropping southeast out of western
Canada deepen a longwave trough over the western half of CONUS and
also shift the longwave trough position farther to the west
towards California. 850 mb temps over our area are forecast to
cool from about 20 deg C today down as low as 11 C by Saturday. By
the end of the work week we can expect our temperatures to return
to near normal. The cooler airmass, along with continued dry air
and mostly clear skies, will mean cool overnight lows later this
week and into the upcoming weekend, with lower 40s likely in the
inland valleys, and perhaps a few upper 30s in the coldest spots.

As the upper trough to our east digs deeper and farther to the
west later this week and into the weekend, northerly winds will
increase in the hills. resulting in more widespread fire weather
concerns at the higher elevations of the SF Bay Area starting
Wednesday night and continuing off and on through Monday morning.
Based on the pattern evolution, the strongest winds would likely
occur late in the weekend when Wind Advisories may be needed in
the North and East Bay Hills.

Longer range models agree that the blocking pattern over the
Eastern Pacific will break down early next week, allowing the
ridge offshore to shift eastward and over California during the
first half of next week, resulting in warmer temperatures and
lighter winds by next Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...as of 10:50 AM PDT Tuesday...For the 18z TAFs.
A very shallow marine layer banked up along the Pacific coast and
just inland a few miles along the San Mateo/Santa Cruz/Monterey
coasts, including just over KMRY. Otherwise, expect widespread
VFR conditions through the day tonight and most of the night. May
see some extremely shallow mist and possibly fog late in the night
into the sunrise Wednesday, but much less so than this morning. An
increasing offshore bias will develop overnight and mostly keep
the region dry through the period. At this point, not expecting
any LLWS but that could become an increasing likelihood later in
the week. At KAPC, may see a few localized gusts this evening
that are stronger than usual due to these offshore winds.

Vicinity of KSFO...VFR. Wind light in the morning, increasing
to near 15 knots in the afternoon and early evening. Light west
wind tonight and Wednesday morning.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to KSFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...Calm to light southeast winds shifting
to onshore near 10 knots in the afternoon and early evening.
VLIFR-IFR tonight and Wednesday morning.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...As of 3:30 AM PDT Tuesday...A localized offshore
wind event is underway early this morning with weather stations
above 3000 feet in the North Bay currently reporting wind gusts up
to 30 mph. Based on the lastest NAM and local WRF models, winds in
the North Bay Mountains will peak between sunrise and mid morning
when gusts to 40 mph are likely. Winds will then taper off for
the remainder of the day before increasing once again at the
higher elevations of the North Bay tonight into early Wednesday.
Compared to previous offshore wind events this season, this
current event is quite localized with only moderate offshore winds.
However, given the very dry fuels and persistent low humidity,
critical fire weather conditions will be met. A Red Flag Warning
is currently in effect for the North Bay Mountains through 8 am
Wednesday.

Expect a lull in winds for most of the day Wednesday before the
next stronger and more widespread offshore wind event gets
underway on Wednesday night. This second event will primarily
impact the North and East Bay hills from late Wednesday evening
through Friday morning, with strongest winds expected late
Wednesday night and Thursday morning. Wind gust of 40 to 50 mph
are likely in the higher hills of both the North and East Bay,
with locally higher gusts possible across the highest ridges and
peaks. In addition, wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph are possible in the
Santa Cruz Mountains. A Fire Weather Watch is currently in effect
for this second event and covers the North and East Bay Hills
from late Wednesday evening through Friday morning and the Santa
Cruz Mountains from Wednesday night through Friday morning. A
decision on whether to transition this watch to a Red Flag Warning
will likely be made later this morning.

Longer range models indicate there will be another lull in the
winds later Friday into Saturday. However, forecast confidence is
increasing for a potential third offshore wind event later in the
weekend into early next week as a cold trough dives in the Great
Basin. This type of pattern would likely result in stronger
northerly winds than the two preceeding events this week, with
winds likely peaking on Sunday night.

&&

.MARINE...As of 2:54 AM PDT Tuesday...Northwest winds will
increase to gales across the northern outer coastal waters tonight
and continue through late Wednesday night and Thursday morning.
Small craft advisory winds will steadily develop to the south
across the coastal waters through mid-week. These winds will
generate steep fresh swell resulting in hazardous seas conditions.
Mixed seas will persist with a moderate northwest swell and
longer period southerly swell.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
     .Tday...Red Flag Warning...CAZ507
             SCA...Pt Arena to Pigeon Pt 10-60 nm
             SCA...Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm from 3 PM

&&

PUBLIC FORECAST: Diaz
AVIATION: DRP
MARINE: Canepa
FIRE WEATHER: Dykema

Visit us at www.weather.gov/sanfrancisco

Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube at:
www.facebook.com/nwsbayarea
www.twitter.com/nwsbayarea
www.youtube.com/nwsbayarea

The office that day

Everything else NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 20, 2:40 AM PDTGale WarningMTR66 hr
Oct 20, 2:40 AM PDTSmall Craft AdvisoryMTR6 days

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in California, 2020Every red flag warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.