Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2020
River Flood Warning 87, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Sep 15, 2020, 10:55 AM CDT for Covington County, Crenshaw County, Escambia County, Alabama. It took effect at Sep 16, 2020, 9:51 PM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 15, 2020, 10:55 AM CDT (15:55 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 16, 2020, 9:51 PM CDT
- Expired
- Sep 20, 2020, 9:35 PM CDT
- In force
- 4 days
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
Counties Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Escambia County, AL
The radar
The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Conecuh River at River Falls (RVFA1). The gauge peaked at 38.06 ft at Sep 16, 2020, 10:00 PM CDT.
- Action stage
- 32 ft
- Minor stage
- 37 ft
- Moderate stage
- 43 ft
- Major stage
- 52 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02372430, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
380
WGUS44 KMOB 151555
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1055 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020
...The National Weather Service in Mobile AL has issued a Flood
Warning for the following river in Alabama...
Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington, Crenshaw and
Escambia Counties.
For the Conecuh River...including River Falls, Brewton...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be as updates occur.
&&
ALC039-041-053-160400-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0087.200917T1608Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVFA1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1055 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020
The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the Conecuh River At River Falls.
* From Thursday morning until further notice.
* At 9:45 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 4.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
Thursday morning and continue rising to a crest of 46.5 feet early
Saturday afternoon.
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8653 3134 8651 3111 8685 3113 8688
3122 8671 3128 8660
$$13 follow-up statements
105
WGUS84 KMOB 152148
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
448 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Alabama...
Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington, Crenshaw and
Escambia Counties.
For the Conecuh River...including River Falls, Brewton...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued as changes occur.
&&
ALC039-041-053-161000-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0087.200917T1608Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVFA1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
448 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Conecuh River At River Falls.
* From Thursday morning until further notice.
* At 3:45 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 7.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
Thursday morning and continue rising to a crest of 46.5 feet early
Saturday afternoon.
* At 43 feet...portions of U.S. Highway 84 will flood. Some
residential flooding will also occur along the river. At 40 feet...
considerable flooding of farmlands and some rural roads in the
area will occur.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 46.4
feet on 09/29/1998.
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8653 3134 8651 3125 8656 3111 8685
3113 8688 3122 8671 3128 8660
$$
JW210
WGUS84 KMOB 160235
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
935 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Alabama...
Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington, Crenshaw and
Escambia Counties.
For the Conecuh River...including River Falls, Brewton...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued Wednesday morning at 930 AM CDT.
&&
ALC039-041-053-161445-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0087.200917T1608Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVFA1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
935 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Conecuh River At River Falls.
* From Thursday morning until further notice.
* At 7:45 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 8.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early Thursday
afternoon and continue to rise to 46.7 feet Saturday morning. It
will then gradually begin to lower over the weekend but remain
above flood stage into early next week.
* At 43 feet...portions of U.S. Highway 84 will flood. Some
residential flooding will also occur along the river. At 40 feet...
considerable flooding of farmlands and some rural roads in the
area will occur.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 46.4
feet on 09/29/1998.
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8653 3134 8651 3125 8656 3111 8685
3113 8688 3122 8671 3128 8660
$$
JW288
WGUS84 KMOB 161342
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
842 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Alabama...Florida...
Murder Creek At Brewton affecting Escambia County.
Burnt Corn Creek Near Brewton affecting Escambia County.
Conecuh River At Brewton affecting Covington and Escambia
Counties.
Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington, Crenshaw and
Escambia Counties.
Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County.
Yellow River At Milligan affecting Covington, Okaloosa and Santa
Rosa Counties.
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Florida...
Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton affecting Escambia County.
Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County.
For the Murder Creek...including Brewton...Major flooding is
forecast.
For the Conecuh River...including River Falls, Brewton...Moderate
flooding is forecast.
For the Escambia River...including Century...Moderate flooding is
forecast.
For the Shoal River...including Crestview...Major flooding is
forecast.
For the Yellow River...including Milligan...Major flooding is
forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued as updates occur.
&&
FLC091-170145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0081.200916T1342Z-200920T2000Z/
/CRVF1.3.ER.200916T1001Z.200917T1800Z.200920T1400Z.NR/
842 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Shoal River Near Crestview.
* From this morning to Sunday afternoon.
* At 7:15 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 8.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast. This
approaches the flood of record.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 7:15 AM CDT Wednesday was 8.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 19.7 feet
early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late
Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 21.4 feet, Water in homes at Trevor Court and Antioch
Roads. Buildings underwater in Highway 85 roadside park. Highway
90 bridge flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.4
feet on 09/30/1998.
&&
LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
3070 8663 3070 8655
$$
ALC053-170145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0082.200916T1942Z-200919T1917Z/
/BWMA1.3.ER.200916T1942Z.200917T1800Z.200919T1317Z.NO/
842 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday
afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Murder Creek At Brewton.
* From this afternoon to Saturday afternoon.
* At 7:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this
afternoon to a crest of 32.6 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It
will then fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, The Highway 29 Bridge across Murder Creek
and Highway 31 Bridge across Burnt Corn Creek will be flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 32.6
feet on 03/17/1990.
&&
LAT...LON 3114 8704 3113 8701 3107 8709 3108 8713
$$
ALC053-FLC033-170145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0083.200916T2030Z-200919T0632Z/
/FLMA1.3.ER.200916T2030Z.200917T1200Z.200919T0032Z.NR/
842 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton.
* From this afternoon to late Friday night.
* At 7:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast. This approaches the flood of record.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
this afternoon to a crest of 24.6 feet tomorrow morning. It will
then fall below flood stage Friday evening.
* Impact...At 22.5 feet...residential flooding will occur in
Flomaton and some evacuations will likely be needed.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.9
feet on 03/31/1929.
&&
LAT...LON 3106 8731 3099 8722 3098 8724 3104 8733
$$
ALC053-170145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0085.200916T2144Z-200918T2304Z/
/BCNA1.2.ER.200916T2144Z.200917T1200Z.200918T1704Z.NR/
842 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Friday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Burnt Corn Creek Near Brewton.
* From this afternoon to Friday evening.
* At 7:45 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 6.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
this afternoon to a crest of 22.1 feet tomorrow morning. It will
then fall below flood stage early Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Flooding of Persimmon and Ann Streets.
Burnt Corn Creek Park is flooded. Downtown board-walk businesses
are in jeopardy of flood waters. Grede Foundary is threatened if
water continues to rise.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.2
feet on 09/29/1998.
&&
LAT...LON 3117 8713 3118 8707 3111 8705 3108 8709
$$
ALC053-FLC033-170145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0080.200916T2230Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.2.ER.200916T2230Z.200918T1800Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
842 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Escambia River Near Century.
* From this afternoon until further notice.
* At 8:05 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
this afternoon and continue rising to a crest of 27.4 feet early
Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 24.2 feet...water enters several houses on Worley
Road, Daffin Road, and Fairground road.
&&
LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
3077 8733 3093 8731
$$
ALC039-FLC091-113-170145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0090.200916T2248Z-200921T0045Z/
/MLGF1.3.ER.200916T2248Z.200919T0000Z.200920T1845Z.UU/
842 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Sunday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Yellow River At Milligan.
* From this afternoon to Sunday evening.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 8.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
this afternoon to a crest of 21.8 feet Friday evening. It will
then fall below flood stage early Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.3 feet, Many homes on both sides of the river,
along Antioch Road and east of U.S. Highway 90, flood with up to
three feet of water in some homes on Antioch Road.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.3
feet on 03/10/1998.
&&
LAT...LON 3099 8658 3099 8652 3069 8663 3069 8667
$$
ALC039-053-170145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0086.200917T0916Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.200917T0916Z.200918T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
842 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Conecuh River At Brewton.
* From late tonight until further notice.
* At 7:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
tonight and continue rising to a crest of 32.6 feet early Friday
afternoon.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Some county roads become flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 31.2
feet on 12/02/1948.
&&
LAT...LON 3118 8680 3111 8676 3103 8709 3107 8712
$$
ALC039-041-053-170145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0087.200917T1236Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVFA1.2.ER.200917T1236Z.200919T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
842 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Conecuh River At River Falls.
* From Thursday morning until further notice.
* At 7:45 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
tomorrow morning and continue rising to a crest of 46.0 feet early
Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 43 feet...portions of U.S. Highway 84 will flood. Some
residential flooding will also occur along the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 45.9
feet on 03/27/1913.
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8653 3134 8651 3125 8656 3111 8685
3113 8688 3122 8671 3128 8660
$$856
WGUS84 KMOB 170049
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
749 PM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in
Alabama...
Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington, Crenshaw and
Escambia Counties.
For the Conecuh River...including River Falls...Moderate flooding is
forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued as updates occur.
&&
ALC039-041-053-171800-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0087.200917T0251Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVFA1.2.ER.200917T0251Z.200919T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
749 PM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Conecuh River At River Falls.
* From this evening until further notice.
* At 6:45 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 34.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
this evening and continue rising to a crest of 45.3 feet Saturday
morning.
* Impact...At 43.0 feet, Portions of U.S. Highway 84 will flood.
Some residential flooding will also occur along the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 45.9
feet on 03/27/1913.
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8653 3134 8651 3125 8656 3111 8685
3113 8688 3122 8671 3128 8660
$$544
WGUS44 KMOB 170730
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
230 AM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington, Crenshaw and
Escambia Counties.
For the Conecuh River...including River Falls, Brewton...Minor
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued as updates occur.
&&
ALC039-041-053-171930-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-200921T2015Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.200917T0119Z.200919T1200Z.200921T1415Z.NO/
230 AM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Conecuh River At River Falls.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 1:45 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 37.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 1:45 AM CDT Thursday was 38.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 41.6 feet
Saturday morning. It will then fall below flood stage late Monday
morning.
* Impact...At 43.0 feet, Portions of U.S. Highway 84 will flood.
Some residential flooding will also occur along the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 41.4
feet on 04/04/1960.
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8653 3134 8651 3125 8656 3111 8685
3113 8688 3122 8671 3128 8660
$$
DRE603
WGUS84 KMOB 171531
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1031 AM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Alabama...
Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington, Crenshaw and
Escambia Counties.
For the Conecuh River...including River Falls, Brewton...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued as updates occur.
&&
ALC039-041-053-180345-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-200921T1845Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.200917T0119Z.200919T1200Z.200921T1245Z.NO/
1031 AM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Conecuh River At River Falls.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 9:45 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 33.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late
this afternoon to a crest of 41.3 feet Saturday morning. It will
then fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, Considerable flooding of farm lands and
some rural roads in the area will occur.
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8653 3134 8651 3125 8656 3111 8685
3113 8688 3122 8671 3128 8660
$$952
WGUS84 KMOB 172316
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
616 PM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Alabama...
Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington, Crenshaw and
Escambia Counties.
For the Conecuh River...including River Falls, Brewton...Minor
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued as updates occur.
&&
ALC039-041-053-181130-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-200922T0834Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.200917T0119Z.200919T0600Z.200922T0234Z.NO/
616 PM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Conecuh River At River Falls.
* Until late Monday night.
* At 4:45 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 35.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this
evening and crest to a stage of 41.6 feet late Friday evening. It
will then begin to slowly fall, falling below flood stage by late
Monday evening.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, considerable flooding of farm lands and
some rural roads in the area will occur. At 43.0 feet, portions of
U.S. Highway 84 will flood. Some residential flooding will also
occur along the river.
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8653 3134 8651 3125 8656 3111 8685
3113 8688 3122 8671 3128 8660
$$
CL259
WGUS44 KMOB 180243
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
943 PM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington, Crenshaw and
Escambia Counties.
For the Conecuh River...including River Falls, Brewton...Minor
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued as updates occur.
&&
ALC039-041-053-181445-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-200922T0651Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.200917T0119Z.200919T0000Z.200922T0051Z.NO/
943 PM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Conecuh River At River Falls.
* Until late Monday night.
* At 8:45 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 37.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 8:45 PM CDT Thursday was 38.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 41.3 feet
by Friday evening. It will then begin to fall, falling below flood
stage by Monday evening.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, considerable flooding of farmlands and some
rural roads in the area will occur. At 43.0 feet, portions of U.S.
Highway 84 will flood. Some residential flooding will also occur
along the river.
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8653 3134 8651 3125 8656 3111 8685
3113 8688 3122 8671 3128 8660
$$
CL048
WGUS84 KMOB 181616
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1116 AM CDT Fri Sep 18 2020
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Alabama...
Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington, Crenshaw and
Escambia Counties.
For the Conecuh River...including River Falls, Brewton...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued this evening at 1115 PM CDT.
&&
ALC039-041-053-190430-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-200922T1224Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.200917T0119Z.200920T1200Z.200922T0624Z.NO/
1116 AM CDT Fri Sep 18 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Conecuh River At River Falls.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 9:45 AM CDT Friday the stage was 37.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending
at 9:45 AM CDT Friday was 37.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 39.2 feet
Sunday morning. It will then fall below flood stage early Tuesday
morning.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, Considerable flooding of farmlands and some
rural roads in the area will occur.
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8653 3134 8651 3125 8656 3111 8685
3113 8688 3122 8671 3128 8660
$$279
WGUS84 KMOB 191404
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
904 AM CDT Sat Sep 19 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Alabama...
Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington, Crenshaw and
Escambia Counties.
For the Conecuh River...including River Falls, Brewton...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued as updates occur.
&&
ALC039-041-053-200215-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-200921T1800Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.200917T0119Z.200917T0515Z.200921T1200Z.NO/
904 AM CDT Sat Sep 19 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Conecuh River At River Falls.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 7:45 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 35.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage just
after midnight tonight to a crest of 37.4 feet early tomorrow
afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Flooding of low-lying farm and pasture
lands in the area will occur.
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8653 3134 8651 3125 8656 3111 8685
3113 8688 3122 8671 3128 8660
$$
JW467
WGUS84 KMOB 200154
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
854 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2020
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Alabama...
Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington, Crenshaw and
Escambia Counties.
For the Conecuh River...including River Falls, Brewton...Minor
flooding is forecast.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
&&
ALC039-041-053-201400-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-200922T0000Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.200917T0119Z.200917T0515Z.200921T1800Z.NO/
854 PM CDT Sat Sep 19 2020
...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Monday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Conecuh River At River Falls.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 7:45 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 34.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
tomorrow evening to a crest of 37.1 feet early Monday morning. It
will then fall below flood stage early Monday evening.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Flooding of low-lying farm and pasturelands
in the area will occur.
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8653 3134 8651 3125 8656 3111 8685
3113 8688 3122 8671 3128 8660
$$344
WGUS84 KMOB 201358
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
858 AM CDT Sun Sep 20 2020
...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Alabama...
Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington, Crenshaw and
Escambia Counties.
For the Conecuh River...including River Falls, Brewton...Minor
flooding is forecast.
Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.
The next statement will be issued as updates warrant.
&&
ALC039-041-053-210200-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-200922T0000Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.200917T0119Z.200917T0515Z.200921T1800Z.NO/
858 AM CDT Sun Sep 20 2020
...The Flood Warning remains in effect...
The Flood Warning continues for
the Conecuh River At River Falls.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 7:45 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 35.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early
tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 37.1 feet just after midnight
tonight. It will then fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Flooding of low-lying farm and pasture
lands in the area will occur.
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8653 3134 8651 3125 8656 3111 8685
3113 8688 3122 8671 3128 8660
$$
JW352
WGUS84 KMOB 210235
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
935 PM CDT Sun Sep 20 2020
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in
Alabama...
Conecuh River At River Falls affecting Covington, Crenshaw and
Escambia Counties.
ALC039-041-053-210345-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-200921T0235Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.700119T1231Z.700119T1231Z.700119T1234Z.NO/
935 PM CDT Sun Sep 20 2020
...The Flood Warning for the Conecuh River At River Falls has been
cancelled...
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Conecuh River At River Falls.
* At 8:45 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 35.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 37.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested and will continue to fall.
&&
LAT...LON 3137 8653 3134 8651 3125 8656 3111 8685
3113 8688 3122 8671 3128 8660
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 15, 5:55 AM CDT, 5 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 15, 5:55 AM CDT, 5 hours before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
555 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020
.AVIATION...
12Z issuance...Outer bands from Hurricane Sally are rotating
westward and impinging/expanding over the Gulf coast this
morning. As bands continue to rotate in off the Gulf in the near
term, expect cigs to lower to MVFR/IFR categories and vsby can be
quickly reduced to IFR categories with the passage of better
defined rain-bands. In addition to very heavy rain, hazards to
approaches and departures will be strong wind gusts in convective
bands. Some of the bands can contain tornadoes. /10
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 447 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020/
NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Wednesday/...Hurricane Sally was
located about 90 miles south of the east end of Dauphin Island and
is crawling west northwest at ~ 2 mph. Bursts of deep
convection/cold cloud tops to between -80C/-85C continue at the core
of the hurricane, but comes in cycles and has not persisted for any
substantial length of time. The lack of persistence is due to
upwelling of cooler oceanic water to the surface due to Sally's slow
forward speed and entrainment of drier air at mid-levels. Northeast
of Sally's center, radar data indicates a strong convective band
with embedded supercells rotating westward over the coastal waters.
With these supercells, doppler radar storm relative velocities have
shown rotating couplets which is an indication of an increased
tornado threat as the band pivots up near the coast this morning.
This is supported by 0-1 KM storm relative helicity values aligned
along the outer band which range from 250 to 500 M2/S2; these values
are intersecting the coast. Sally's center though was ragged
since Monday evening but seems to have achieved a better
representation early this morning. Even so, latest discussions
from the National Hurricane Center indicate that Sally is coming
into an area of moderate to high mid to upper level shear.
Considering this the forecast intensity has been lowered. Little
change has occurred in the track approach to the coast, but what
has changed is at a slower forward speed per the 15.09Z advisory.
The official forecast now has Sally crossing coastal Mobile county
late Wednesday morning at category one strength but gusts could
still achieve category two strength. Considering this, Hurricane
force winds remain likely Tuesday night and Wednesday for Mobile
and Baldwin counties. But Sally's wind field is forecast to
weaken/shrink rapidly soon after landfall.
Conditions are expected to deteriorate today as more organized
outer rainbands lash the Gulf coast with tropical storm force
winds and very heavy rainfall. These bands will spread further
northwest and northward through the course of the day bringing
tropical storm force wind gusts to portions of the interior. Sally
begins re-curvature into the day Wednesday with the core moving
up across the Mobile/Tensaw River Valleys late in the day,
progressing northeast into the interior of southwest AL by
evening. In addition to evolving life threatening storm surge,
dangerously high breaking waves/high surf will likely result in
coastal erosion. Other impacts will be deadly rip currents and
dangerous torrential rainfall which will likely result in life
threatening flash flooding. The tornado threat will also be on the
increase.
It is extremely important to stay vigilant and have an action plan
in place as short term adjustments to track and intensity can still
occur. Therefore, please make sure to continue to check our web-page
(weather.gov/mob) as well as the National Hurricane Center
(www.hurricanes.gov) for the latest updates and information on
Hurricane Sally. /10
SHORT TERM /Wednesday night Through Friday night/...Sally's
prolonged torrential rain could potentially reach historic levels.
Forecasters continue to advertise 15 to 20 inches over the southern
portions of the I-65 corridor including Mobile/Baldwin counties to
the Florida Panhandle. Localized higher amounts of up to 30
inches is possible when all is said and done. Stages along many
rivers will be responding to this, forecast to go into moderate to
major flood. The wind field shrinks rapidly as Sally weakens to a
Tropical Depression while lifting over the far northeast zones
early Thursday morning. Although the remnants of Sally will be
moving away, up across eastern AL/western GA Thursday, it is
likely that rain will linger through the day on Thursday. Will
take awhile for the Gulf to calm down with high surf and life
threatening rip currents likely to persist into the end of the
week. In the wake of Sally, an upper trof will be aligned
northeast to southwest from the TN Valley to along the TX coast
and western Gulf. At the same time, a weak front settles across
the Carolinas to the Lower MS River Valley. Southeast of the
boundary and upper trof, enough deep moisture remains to maintain
the potential for isolated to scattered showers and storms Friday.
Daytime highs Thursday and Friday, in the upper 70s to lower 80s,
will be well below climatology normals. There are indications that
the front will make passage Friday night with overnight lows
trending downward a few degrees. In fact, the cooler numbers in the
short term, in the mid 60s, are positioned over the interior
northwest zones. /10
EXTENDED TERM /Saturday Through Tuesday/...Global spectral models
show mid-level trough from the Appalachians to the TX coast Saturday
slipping southward by the early half of next week. Rain chances
lower to 10% or less over the interior but will keep a small PoP
going over the coast. After Sally, will look forward to a more
settled/quieter pattern. The significant rainfall and runoff from
Sally in the near and short term periods will keep local river
stages high with moderate to major river flooding continuing over
many rivers in the local Hydrologic Service Area. A high risk of
rip currents will likely linger into the weekend. /10
MARINE...Dangerous conditions to continue over the marine area
with Hurricane Sally. /10
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for ALZ051>060-
261>266.
Tropical Storm Warning for ALZ051>053.
Storm Surge Warning for ALZ261-263>266.
Hurricane Warning for ALZ261>266.
Tropical Storm Watch for ALZ054>056-059.
High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for ALZ265-266.
High Surf Warning until 6 PM CDT Wednesday for ALZ265-266.
FL...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for FLZ201>206.
Tropical Storm Warning for FLZ205-206.
Storm Surge Warning for FLZ202-204-206.
Hurricane Warning for FLZ201>204.
High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for FLZ202-204-
206.
High Surf Warning until 6 PM CDT Wednesday for FLZ202-204-206.
MS...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for MSZ067-075-076-
078-079.
Tropical Storm Warning for MSZ067-075-076.
Hurricane Warning for MSZ078-079.
GM...Tropical Storm Warning for GMZ635-636.
Hurricane Warning for GMZ630>634-650-655-670-675.
&&
This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mobThe office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 3:17 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 88 min | |
| Sep 15, 4:44 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 91 min | |
| Sep 15, 6:17 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 59 min | |
| Sep 15, 7:32 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 88 min | |
| Sep 15, 9:04 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 61 min | |
| Sep 15, 9:59 AM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 91 min | |
| Sep 15, 10:51 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Escambia | 54 hr |
| Sep 15, 10:52 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Covington, Escambia | 21 days |
| Sep 15, 11:03 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Dallas, Monroe, Wilcox | 21 days |
| Sep 15, 11:03 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | MOB | Clarke, Monroe, Wilcox | 21 days |
| Sep 15, 12:14 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 91 min | |
| Sep 15, 1:56 PM CDT | Special Marine Warning | MOB | 94 min | |
| Sep 15, 3:35 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Baldwin | 8 hr |
| Sep 15, 5:09 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Mobile | 8 hr |
| Sep 15, 5:49 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MOB | Baldwin | 5 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.