Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 78, NWS Mobile, AL

September 14, 2020Covington County, Escambia County, Alabama; Okaloosa County, Santa Rosa County, Florida

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Sep 14, 2020, 3:28 PM CDT for Covington County, Escambia County, Alabama; Okaloosa County, Santa Rosa County, Florida. It took effect at Sep 16, 2020, 3:35 AM CDT. It was in force for 19 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 14, 2020, 3:28 PM CDT (20:28 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 16, 2020, 3:35 AM CDT
Expired
Oct 5, 2020, 3:28 PM CDT
In force
19 days
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Covington County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL

The radar

The Eglin Afb radar (KEVX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Blackwater River (AL) near Baker (BAKF1). The gauge peaked at 24.54 ft at Sep 17, 2020, 8:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderatemajor102009/1409/1509/1609/1709/1809/1909/2009/2109/2209/2309/2409/2509/2609/2709/2809/2909/3010/0110/0210/0310/0410/0510/06
Action stage
6 ft
Minor stage
11 ft
Moderate stage
16 ft
Major stage
24 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02370000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

822 
WGUS44 KMOB 142028
FLWMOB

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
328 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020

...The National Weather Service in Mobile AL has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...

  Murder Creek At Brewton affecting Escambia County.

  Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton affecting Escambia County.

  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

  Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County.

  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington, Okaloosa, Santa 
  Rosa and Escambia Counties.

  Big Coldwater Creek Near Milton affecting Okaloosa and Santa Rosa 
  Counties.

  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County.

For the Murder Creek...including Brewton...Moderate flooding is 
forecast.
For the Escambia River...including Century...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Blackwater River...including Baker...Moderate flooding is 
forecast.
For the Big Coldwater Creek...including Milton...Moderate flooding 
is forecast.
For the Shoal River...including Crestview...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&


ALC039-053-FLC091-113-150830-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0078.200916T0936Z-000000T0000Z/
/BAKF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
328 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker.
* From late Tuesday night until further notice.
* At 2:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 2.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early Wednesday 
  morning and continue to rise to 16.7 feet Wednesday evening. It 
  will then fall below flood stage Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Some residential flooding occurs downstream 
  from Baker.


&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
      3070 8690 3082 8675

$$

FLC091-113-150830-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0079.200916T1605Z-000000T0000Z/
/MLNF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
328 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Big Coldwater Creek Near Milton.
* From Wednesday morning until further notice.
* At 2:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 2.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  Wednesday morning to a crest of 15.9 feet Thursday morning. It 
  will then fall below flood stage late Friday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3091 8696 3088 8694 3081 8700 3068 8696
      3068 8697 3080 8704

$$

ALC053-FLC033-150830-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0080.200916T1903Z-200917T0304Z/
/CTYF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
328 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Escambia River Near Century.
* From Wednesday afternoon to Wednesday evening.
* At 2:05 PM CDT Monday the stage was 3.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Wednesday afternoon and continue rising to a crest of 22.1 feet 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 23.3 feet, Widespread flooding of pasture and farm 
  land. Water begins to reach Mystic Springs Road, Worley Road, 
  Mamer Holley Lane and River Bend Road. Approximately 5 houses 
  become isolated in the McDavid and Molino communities. Public boat 
  ramps at Mystic Springs and Fairground Road are submerged.


&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
      3077 8733 3093 8731

$$

FLC091-150830-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0081.200916T2200Z-200917T0601Z/
/CRVF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
328 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview.
* From Wednesday afternoon to late Wednesday night.
* At 2:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 4.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  Wednesday afternoon and continue rising to a crest of 11.2 feet 
  early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, Flooding becomes a threat to the Trevor 
  Court and Rattlesnake Bluff areas.


&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
      3070 8663 3070 8655

$$

ALC053-150830-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0082.200916T2243Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWMA1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
328 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Murder Creek At Brewton.
* From Wednesday afternoon until further notice.
* At 1:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  Wednesday afternoon to a crest of 26.0 feet Thursday morning. It 
  will then fall below flood stage late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Water will reach to Downing Street in 
  Brewton. Portions of Snowden Street in East Brewton will become 
  flooded. Flooding of Highway 29 will worsen and become impassable. 
  St. Nicholas street begins to flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.9 
  feet on 09/30/1998.


&&

LAT...LON 3114 8704 3113 8701 3107 8709 3108 8713

$$

ALC053-FLC033-150830-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0083.200917T1251Z-000000T0000Z/
/FLMA1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
328 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton.
* From Thursday morning until further notice.
* At 2:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 6.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Thursday morning 
  and continue to rise to 19.6 feet early Thursday afternoon. It 
  will then fall below flood stage late Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Water reaches several homes on north side 
  of Highway 31.


&&

LAT...LON 3106 8731 3099 8722 3098 8724 3104 8733

$$

ALC025-129-150830-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0084.200917T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
328 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020

The National Weather Service in Mobile has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy.
* From Thursday afternoon until further notice.
* At 2:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 3.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Thursday afternoon to a crest of 25.2 feet Thursday evening. It 
  will then fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands 
  begins. Cattle in low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.


&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
      3114 8802 3149 8793

$$
12 follow-up statements
978 
WGUS84 KMOB 150246
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
946 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Florida...

  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington, Okaloosa, Santa 
  Rosa and Escambia Counties.

For the Blackwater River...including Baker...Moderate flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

&&


ALC039-053-FLC091-113-151500-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0078.200916T0936Z-000000T0000Z/
/BAKF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
946 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker.
* From late Tuesday night until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 2.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early Wednesday 
  morning and continue to rise to 17.0 feet Wednesday evening. It 
  will then fall below flood stage late Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Some residential flooding occurs downstream 
  from Baker.


&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
      3070 8690 3082 8675

$$
387 
WGUS84 KMOB 151539
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1039 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Florida...

  Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton affecting Escambia County.

  Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County.

  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington, Okaloosa, Santa 
  Rosa and Escambia Counties.

  Big Coldwater Creek Near Milton affecting Okaloosa and Santa Rosa 
  Counties.

  Shoal River Near Crestview affecting Okaloosa County.

For the Big Escambia Creek...including Flomaton...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Escambia River...including Century...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Blackwater River...including Baker...Moderate flooding is 
forecast.
For the Big Coldwater Creek...including Milton...Moderate flooding 
is forecast.
For the Shoal River...including Crestview...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued as updates occur.

&&


ALC039-053-FLC091-113-160345-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0078.200916T0936Z-000000T0000Z/
/BAKF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1039 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker.
* From late tonight until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 2.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late tonight and 
  continue to rise to 17.0 feet tomorrow evening. It will then fall 
  below flood stage late Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Some residential flooding occurs downstream 
  from Baker.


&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
      3070 8690 3082 8675

$$

FLC091-113-160345-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0079.200916T1605Z-000000T0000Z/
/MLNF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1039 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Big Coldwater Creek Near Milton.
* From Wednesday morning until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 2.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  tomorrow morning to a crest of 15.9 feet Thursday morning. It will 
  then fall below flood stage late Friday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3091 8696 3088 8694 3081 8700 3068 8696
      3068 8697 3080 8704

$$

ALC053-FLC033-160345-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0080.200916T1903Z-200917T0304Z/
/CTYF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1039 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Escambia River Near Century.
* From Wednesday afternoon to Wednesday evening.
* At 8:05 PM CDT Monday the stage was 3.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage early tomorrow 
  afternoon and continue to rise to 22.1 feet early Friday 
  afternoon. It will then fall again but remain above flood stage.
* Impact...At 23.3 feet, Widespread flooding of pasture and farm 
  land. Water begins to reach Mystic Springs Road, Worley Road, 
  Mamer Holley Lane and River Bend Road. Approximately 5 houses 
  become isolated in the McDavid and Molino communities. Public boat 
  ramps at Mystic Springs and Fairground Road are submerged.


&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
      3077 8733 3093 8731

$$

FLC091-160345-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0081.200916T2200Z-200917T0601Z/
/CRVF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1039 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Shoal River Near Crestview.
* From Wednesday afternoon to late Wednesday night.
* At 8:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 5.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  tomorrow evening to a crest of 11.2 feet early Friday morning. It 
  will then fall below flood stage Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, Flooding becomes a threat to the Trevor 
  Court and Rattlesnake Bluff areas.


&&

LAT...LON 3078 8650 3078 8649 3069 8653 3069 8663
      3070 8663 3070 8655

$$

ALC053-FLC033-160345-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0083.200917T1251Z-000000T0000Z/
/FLMA1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1039 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Big Escambia Creek At Flomaton.
* From Thursday morning until further notice.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  Thursday morning to a crest of 6.8 feet early this morning. It 
  will then fall below flood stage late Thursday evening. It will 
  then rise to 19.6 feet early Thursday afternoon. Additional rises 
  are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Water reaches several homes on north side 
  of Highway 31.


&&

LAT...LON 3106 8731 3099 8722 3098 8724 3104 8733

$$
371 
WGUS44 KMOB 151547
FLWMOB

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1047 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020

...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity and 
increased in duration for the following river in Alabama...Florida...

  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington, Okaloosa, Santa 
  Rosa and Escambia Counties.

For the Blackwater River...including Baker...Major flooding is 
forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 1100 PM CDT.

&&


ALC039-053-FLC091-113-160400-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0078.200916T0755Z-200919T2208Z/
/BAKF1.3.ER.200916T0755Z.200917T1200Z.200919T1607Z.UU/
1047 AM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity and 
increased in duration until Saturday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker.
* From late tonight to Saturday afternoon.
* At 10:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 2.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight to a crest of 25.2 feet Thursday morning. 
  It will then fall below flood stage late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Highway 4 bridge is closed.


&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
      3070 8690 3082 8675

$$
979 
WGUS84 KMOB 160218
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
918 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Alabama...
Florida...

  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington, Okaloosa, Santa 
  Rosa and Escambia Counties.

For the Blackwater River...including Baker...Major flooding is 
forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued as updates occur.

&&


ALC039-053-FLC091-113-161430-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0078.200916T0835Z-200919T2100Z/
/BAKF1.3.ER.200916T0835Z.200917T1800Z.200919T1500Z.UU/
918 PM CDT Tue Sep 15 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Saturday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker.
* From late tonight to Saturday afternoon.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 5.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  tonight to a crest of 25.1 feet early Thursday afternoon. It will 
  then fall below flood stage late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Highway 4 bridge is closed.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.0 
  feet on 10/06/1995.


&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
      3070 8690 3082 8675

$$

JW
289 
WGUS44 KMOB 161342
FLWMOB

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
842 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...Florida...

  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington, Okaloosa, Santa 
  Rosa and Escambia Counties.

  Big Coldwater Creek Near Milton affecting Okaloosa and Santa Rosa 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

  Styx River Near Elsanor affecting Baldwin County.

  Fish River Near Silverhill affecting Baldwin County.

For the Styx River...including Elsanor...Major flooding is forecast.
For the Blackwater River...including Baker...Major flooding is 
forecast.
For the Big Coldwater Creek...including Milton...Moderate flooding 
is forecast.
For the Fish River...including Silverhill...Major Flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued as changes occur.

&&


FLC091-113-170145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0079.200916T1342Z-200919T1953Z/
/MLNF1.2.ER.200916T1215Z.200917T1800Z.200919T1353Z.NR/
842 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Big Coldwater Creek Near Milton.
* From this morning to Saturday afternoon.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast. 
  This approaches the flood of record.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:00 AM CDT Wednesday was 10.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 22.5 feet 
  early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage 
  Saturday morning.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.0 
  feet on 03/17/1990.


&&

LAT...LON 3091 8696 3088 8694 3081 8700 3068 8696
      3068 8697 3080 8704

$$

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-170145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-200919T2112Z/
/BAKF1.3.ER.200916T1101Z.200917T1200Z.200919T1512Z.UU/
842 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Saturday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker.
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:00 AM CDT Wednesday was 12.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 25.2 feet 
  tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage late 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Highway 4 bridge is closed.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.0 
  feet on 10/06/1995.


&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
      3070 8690 3082 8675

$$

ALC003-170145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-200918T2342Z/
/STXA1.3.ER.200916T0946Z.200917T0000Z.200918T1742Z.NR/
842 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Friday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Styx River Near Elsanor.
* Until Friday evening.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast. This 
  approaches the flood of record.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:00 AM CDT Wednesday was 17.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 27.2 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage early Friday 
  afternoon.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 28.6 
  feet on 09/28/1998.


&&

LAT...LON 3063 8758 3060 8747 3050 8742 3050 8746
      3053 8752 3057 8753 3061 8759

$$

ALC003-170145-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-200918T1030Z/
/FSHA1.3.ER.200916T0954Z.200917T0000Z.200918T0430Z.NR/
842 AM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Fish River Near Silverhill.
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 7:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast. 
  This approaches the flood of record.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 AM CDT Wednesday was 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 22.0 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow 
  evening.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Water begins to flood County Road 54.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.8 
  feet on 07/20/1997.


&&

LAT...LON 3062 8779 3044 8778 3044 8783 3062 8784

$$
712 
WGUS44 KMOB 170143
FLWMOB

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
843 PM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Alabama...
Florida...

  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington, Okaloosa, Santa 
  Rosa and Escambia Counties.

For the Blackwater River...including Baker...Major flooding is 
forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued as changes occur.

&&


ALC039-053-FLC091-113-171345-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-200919T1138Z/
/BAKF1.3.ER.200916T1101Z.200917T1800Z.200919T0538Z.UU/
843 PM CDT Wed Sep 16 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 20.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:00 PM CDT Wednesday was 20.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.0 feet 
  early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage 
  early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Highway 4 bridge is closed.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.1 
  feet on 03/09/1998.


&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
      3070 8690 3082 8675

$$
343 
WGUS84 KMOB 170729
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
229 AM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Florida...

  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington, Okaloosa, Santa 
  Rosa and Escambia Counties.

For the Blackwater River...including Baker...Major flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued as changes occur.

&&


ALC039-053-FLC091-113-171930-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-200919T1110Z/
/BAKF1.3.ER.200916T1101Z.200917T1800Z.200919T0510Z.UU/
229 AM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 1:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 22.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 1:00 AM CDT Thursday was 22.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.2 feet 
  this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Highway 4 bridge is closed.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.0 
  feet on 03/17/1990.


&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
      3070 8690 3082 8675

$$

DRE
329 
WGUS44 KMOB 171529
FLWMOB

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1029 AM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Alabama...
Florida...

  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington, Okaloosa, Santa 
  Rosa and Escambia Counties.

For the Blackwater River...including Baker...Major flooding is 
forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued as changes occur.

&&


ALC039-053-FLC091-113-180330-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-200919T0929Z/
/BAKF1.3.ER.200916T1101Z.200917T1800Z.200919T0329Z.UU/
1029 AM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 24.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:00 AM CDT Thursday was 24.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 25.1 feet 
  this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow 
  evening.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Highway 4 bridge is closed.


&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
      3070 8690 3082 8675

$$
687 
WGUS84 KMOB 172056
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
356 PM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Alabama...
Florida...

  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington, Okaloosa, Santa 
  Rosa and Escambia Counties.

For the Blackwater River...including Baker...Moderate flooding is 
forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued as changes occur.

&&


ALC039-053-FLC091-113-180900-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-200919T0551Z/
/BAKF1.2.ER.200916T1101Z.200917T1330Z.200918T2351Z.UU/
356 PM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 3:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 23.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 3:00 PM CDT Thursday was 24.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow evening and continue falling to 0.0 feet early Tuesday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Buildings underwater in Highway 4 roadside 
  park


&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
      3070 8690 3082 8675

$$
096 
WGUS84 KMOB 172255
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
555 PM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Alabama...Florida...

  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington, Okaloosa, Santa 
  Rosa and Escambia Counties.

For the Blackwater River...including Baker...Moderate flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued as changes occur.

&&


ALC039-053-FLC091-113-181100-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-200919T0627Z/
/BAKF1.2.ER.200916T1101Z.200917T1330Z.200919T0027Z.UU/
555 PM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Saturday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 5:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:00 PM CDT Thursday was 24.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage Friday 
  evening and continue falling to a stage of 3.3 feet by Tuesday.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Buildings underwater in Highway 4 roadside 
  park


&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
      3070 8690 3082 8675

$$

CL
878 
WGUS84 KMOB 180257
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
957 PM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Florida...

  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington, Okaloosa, Santa 
  Rosa and Escambia Counties.

For the Blackwater River...including Baker...Moderate flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued as changes occur.

&&


ALC039-053-FLC091-113-181500-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-200919T0627Z/
/BAKF1.2.ER.200916T1101Z.200917T1330Z.200919T0027Z.UU/
957 PM CDT Thu Sep 17 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker.
* Until late Friday night.
* At 9:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 20.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:00 PM CDT Thursday was 24.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage by 
  Friday evening and continue falling to a stage of 3.3 feet by 
  Tuesday.
* At 23.0 feet, Buildings underwater in Highway 4 roadside park


&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
      3070 8690 3082 8675

$$

CL
803 
WGUS84 KMOB 181613
FLSMOB

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1113 AM CDT Fri Sep 18 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in 
Alabama...Florida...

  Blackwater River Near Baker affecting Covington, Okaloosa, Santa 
  Rosa and Escambia Counties.

For the Blackwater River...including Baker...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued as changes occur.

&&


ALC039-053-FLC091-113-190415-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-200919T0931Z/
/BAKF1.2.ER.200916T1101Z.200917T1330Z.200919T0331Z.UU/
1113 AM CDT Fri Sep 18 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Blackwater River Near Baker.
* Until late tonight.
* At 10:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 10:00 AM CDT Friday was 24.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this evening and continue falling to 3.6 feet Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Some residential flooding occurs downstream 
  from Baker.


&&

LAT...LON 3099 8674 3099 8671 3075 8672 3068 8688
      3070 8690 3082 8675

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 14, 1:57 PM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 14, 1:57 PM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
157 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020

.NEAR TERM /Now Through Tuesday/...An upper level ridge will
continue to build over the western and central CONUS, with a
northern stream upper trough over the northeastern CONUS. A
surface cold front, draped over the Carolinas, over the Tennessee
Valley, and down through southeastern Texas, will progress very
slowly southeastward through Tuesday. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm
Sally has strengthened into a hurricane early this afternoon. At
this time, Sally will continue its west-northwest trajectory and
approach the western edge of a mid level ridge to its northeast,
and thus expected to be slowing while also turning more northward
across the MS Sound. Landfall is forecast to most likely be along
the coast of Mississippi late Tuesday night; however, it is
extremely important to stay vigilant and have an action plan in
place as short term adjustments to track and intensity can still
occur. Therefore, please make sure to continue to check our page
as well as the National Hurricane Center (www.hurricanes.gov) for
the latest updates and information on Hurricane Sally.

Through Tuesday, expect increasing heavy rain and strong winds as
rain bands move over the area from Hurricane Sally. Tropical
storm force gusts will spread along the immediate coast this
afternoon then spread further inland overnight. In addition,
hurricane force winds are possible for southeast Mississippi and
coastal Alabama Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning as
Sally makes landfall. The threat of a few tornadoes will increase
across the southern portion of the local area this evening then
expand inland later tonight through Wednesday. Furthermore, this
will be a prolonged event with significant and historic flooding
becoming more likely. The heaviest rain totals and greatest
flooding potential will be Tuesday through Wednesday, with storm
total rainfall forecast to range between 15-20 inches (with
locally higher amounts of 25 inches) for coastal Alabama and
southeast Mississippi. 10-15 inches of rain with locally higher
amounts are then possible further inland across the remainder of
the local area (interior southwest Alabama, south-central Alabama,
and the western Florida Panhandle). The storm surge forecast has
also increased overall. 6-9 feet of inundation is forecast for the
Mississippi/Alabama border to Dauphin Island, 5-8 feet for Mobile
Bay, and 4-7 feet for coastal Baldwin. Meanwhile, 2-4 feet of
surge is forecast for Pensacola to Navarre (Florida) and between
1-3 feet from Navarre to Destin (Florida). However, the
aforementioned totals for rain and surge are dependent on the
track of Hurricane Sally. Thus, it is important to continue to
check back for updates as short fused changes to the forecast
track and intensity are possible.

A Hurricane Warning is now in effect for Mobile and Baldwin
counties and a Tropical Storm Warning has been extended to include
Clarke and Choctaw counties. A Storm Surge Warning has also been
issued for coastal Alabama and Mobile Bay. Although the Coastal
Flood Advisory is still in effect for the western Florida
Panhandle coast, we will continue to monitor these areas for a
potential Storm Surge Warning. Further impacts include a Flash
Flood Watch which remains in effect for the entire area, a HIGH
RISK of rip currents, and a High Surf Advisory for dangerously
high surf (large breaking waves of 8-12 feet) through at least
midweek. /26

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1252 PM CDT Mon Sep 14 2020/

AVIATION...
18Z issuance...Tropical Storm Sally has strengthened to a
hurricane early this afternoon. This storm is expected to bring
heavy rainfall and strong winds, especially beginning late tonight
through midweek, for southeast Mississippi, southwest Alabama,
and portions of the western Florida Panhandle. Thus, expect an
increase in rain and winds during this time. With this will come
lower CIGs and VIS, especially in the heavier rain. MVFR
conditions are expected this afternoon, with decreasing conditions
to at least IFR (or lower) by early Tuesday morning. Towards the
coast, sustained easterly winds this afternoon between 15-20 knots
(gusts around 25 knots) are expected to further increase through
Tuesday morning to be around 30 knots with gusts to 35-40 knots.
Winds further inland will be around 15 knots sustained (gusts to
around 20 knots) by Tuesday afternoon. In addition, wind shear
will also become a concern for southeast Mississippi, southwest
Alabama, and portions of the western Florida Panhandle on Tuesday
as Sally draws closer to the coast. /26

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      74  82  73  82  72  84  69  82 / 100 100 100  90  60  70  40  50
Pensacola   76  82  76  83  75  85  73  84 /  90 100  90  90  70  70  50  50
Destin      76  82  76  82  77  84  74  83 /  90 100  90  90  70  70  50  50
Evergreen   74  81  72  80  71  82  69  81 /  60  90  80  90  70  70  40  50
Waynesboro  73  79  70  77  69  79  67  78 /  40  90 100  90  60  60  30  40
Camden      74  81  71  78  70  80  68  79 /  40  80  80  80  70  70  40  50
Crestview   73  82  72  81  72  84  70  83 /  80  90  90  90  70  70  40  60

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for ALZ051>060-
     261>266.

     Tropical Storm Warning for ALZ051>053.

     Storm Surge Warning for ALZ263>266.

     Hurricane Warning for ALZ261>266.

     High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for ALZ265-266.

     High Surf Warning until 1 PM CDT Wednesday for ALZ265-266.

FL...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for FLZ201>206.

     Tropical Storm Warning for FLZ201>206.

     High Rip Current Risk through Thursday morning for FLZ202-204-
     206.

     Coastal Flood Advisory until 1 PM CDT Wednesday for FLZ202-204-
     206.

     High Surf Warning until 1 PM CDT Wednesday for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for MSZ067-075-076-
     078-079.

     Tropical Storm Warning for MSZ067-075-076.

     Hurricane Warning for MSZ078-079.

GM...Tropical Storm Warning for GMZ634>636-655-675.

     Hurricane Warning for GMZ630>633-650-670.

&&

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mob

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 13, 10:29 PM CDTStorm Surge WarningMOBBaldwin, Mobile69 hr
Sep 14, 9:50 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBBaldwin3 days
Sep 14, 9:51 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBBaldwin21 days
Sep 14, 9:57 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBBaldwin5 days
Sep 14, 9:59 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBMobile3 days
Sep 14, 3:28 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBEscambia12 days
Sep 14, 3:28 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBEscambia21 days
Sep 14, 3:28 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBEscambia67 hr
Sep 14, 3:28 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBClarke, Washington21 days
Sep 14, 3:28 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBOkaloosa, Santa Rosa21 days
Sep 14, 3:28 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBOkaloosa7 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2020River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.