River Flood Warning 42, NWS Mobile, AL

287 
WGUS84 KMOB 250218
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
918 PM CDT Tue Mar 24 2020
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Heavy rainfall is forecast to occur north of the area over the next 24 to 48 hours. 
As a result...river levels are forecast to rise and a flood warning is now in effect. It is emphasized that the following forecast is based on the expected rainfall during the next 24 to 48 hours. If less rainfall occurs...it may be necessary to revise this stage forecast downward.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-260217-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0042.200327T1912Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.200327T1912Z.200330T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
918 PM CDT Tue Mar 24 2020

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
  The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From Friday early afternoon until further notice.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was 18.1 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday early afternoon and continue to 
  rise near 26.0 feet by Sunday evening. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

517 
WGUS84 KMOB 251517
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1017 AM CDT Wed Mar 25 2020
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-261517-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0042.200328T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.200328T0000Z.200330T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1017 AM CDT Wed Mar 25 2020

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From Friday evening until further notice.
* At 10AM Wednesday the stage was 19.1 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* River is forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday evening and continue to 
  rise to near 25.5 feet by Monday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

828 
WGUS84 KMOB 260216
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
916 PM CDT Wed Mar 25 2020
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-270216-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0042.200327T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.200327T1800Z.200330T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
916 PM CDT Wed Mar 25 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From Friday afternoon until further notice.
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 20.0 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday afternoon and continue to 
  rise near 25.4 feet by Sunday evening. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

376 
WGUS84 KMOB 261509
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1009 AM CDT Thu Mar 26 2020
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-271509-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0042.200327T2230Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.200327T2230Z.200330T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1009 AM CDT Thu Mar 26 2020

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From tomorrow afternoon until further notice.
* At 10AM Thursday the stage was 21.2 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 25.1 feet by Sunday evening.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

351 
WGUS84 KMOB 270143
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
843 PM CDT Thu Mar 26 2020
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-280143-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0041.200327T2000Z-200331T2230Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.200327T2000Z.200329T1800Z.200331T1630Z.NO/
843 PM CDT Thu Mar 26 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* From tomorrow afternoon until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 8PM Thursday the stage was 27.0 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and continue to rise 
  near 30.3 feet by Sunday early afternoon. The river will fall below flood 
  stage by .
* At 29.0 feet...Pastureland becomes flooded. Livestock should be moved to 
  higher ground. Old Ferry Road near the river begins to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-280143-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0042.200328T0224Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.200328T0224Z.200330T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
843 PM CDT Thu Mar 26 2020

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From tomorrow late evening until further notice.
* At 8PM Thursday the stage was 21.8 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late evening and continue to 
  rise near 25.1 feet by Sunday evening.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

281 
WGUS84 KMOB 271403
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
903 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-281403-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0042.200328T0900Z-200401T1424Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.200328T0900Z.200330T0600Z.200401T0824Z.NO/
903 AM CDT Fri Mar 27 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From early tomorrow morning until Wednesday morning.
* At 8AM Friday the stage was 22.5 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow morning and   
  continue to rise to near 25 feet by early Monday morning.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

696 
WGUS84 KMOB 281354
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
854 AM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-291354-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-200401T0130Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.200328T2000Z.200329T1800Z.200331T1930Z.NO/
854 AM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* From late this afternoon until Tuesday evening.
* At 8 AM Saturday the stage was 23.6 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and continue to rise
  near 24.6 feet by Saturday afternoon. The river is forecast to fall below
  flood stage by Tuesday evening.
* At 24.0 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

271 
WGUS84 KMOB 291544
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1044 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-301544-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-200331T0800Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.200329T0045Z.200330T0000Z.200331T0200Z.NO/
1044 AM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until late Monday night.
* At 10AM Sunday the stage was 24.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will crest at 24.4 feet by this evening, then will fall below flood  
  stage by late tomorrow evening.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

039 
WGUS84 KMOB 301522
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1022 AM CDT Mon Mar 30 2020
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-310112-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-200331T0112Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.200329T0045Z.200330T0400Z.200330T1912Z.NO/
1022 AM CDT Mon Mar 30 2020

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until this evening.
* At 10AM Monday the stage was 24.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river will continue to gradually fall, falling below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

790 
WGUS84 KMOB 302241
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
541 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2020
 
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties.

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC023-025-129-302311-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-200331T0112Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.200329T0045Z.200330T0400Z.200330T2124Z.NO/
541 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* At 5PM Monday the stage was 24 feet. 
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* The river has fallen below flood stage and will continue to fall through 
  midweek.
* At 24 feet...Flooding of low lying farm and pasturelands begins. Cattle in 
  low lying areas should be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
631 AM CDT Tue Mar 24 2020

.AVIATION...
12Z issuance...Predominately MVFR ceilings are present over much of
the area with some locations over the interior western Florida
panhandle with VLIFR conditions in patchy dense fog. Conditions
improve areawide to VFR by mid morning along with southerly winds
increasing to near 15 knots by midday. VFR conditions continue
into the evening hours while the southerly flow gradually
diminishes. Isolated to potentially scattered showers are
expected over interior areas mainly tonight, and IFR/MVFR
ceilings with patchy fog are possible towards the end of the
period. /29

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 400 AM CDT Tue Mar 24 2020/

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Wednesday/...A modest shortwave trof
over the southern Plains amplifies while advancing across much of
the eastern states tonight then continues into the western Atlantic
on Wednesday. An associated surface low advances across Oklahoma
through the mid morning hours today while a quasi-stationary
frontal boundary which extends eastward across central
Mississippi/Alabama lifts into northern Mississippi/Alabama. The
surface low continues to advance eastward along the frontal
boundary through tonight, moving to near the coast of North
Carolina by early Wednesday morning. As the surface low moves off
into the western Atlantic later on Wednesday, the trailing frontal
boundary weakens while advancing slowly southward into the
southern portion of the forecast area. For today, expect mostly
dry conditions over the forecast area except for the potential for
a few showers well inland in the afternoon. As the surface low
passes north of the area overnight, isolated to potentially
showers will be possible over interior areas. Mainly dry
conditions are expected on Wednesday although a few showers cannot
be ruled out but not sufficient in coverage to mention pops.
Highs today and Wednesday will be in the mid 80s except for lower
80s near the coast, and these values will be close to record highs
at Mobile and Pensacola. Lows tonight will be mainly in the mid
60s. A moderate risk of rip currents is expected through Wednesday.
/29

SHORT TERM /Wednesday night Through Thursday night/...The area
dries out during this period as the upper level ridge over the Gulf
continues to build into the Southeast. Slightly drier air will
briefly trickle into the area and PWATs finally fall under an inch
by the middle part of the work week. Despite high temperatures
soaring into the mid to upper 80s (with a few spots even hitting
90°F) on Thursday afternoon, it may not feel incredibly humid as
afternoon dewpoints stay in the upper 50s inland with 60s closer to
the coast. Temperatures will fall into the upper 50s and low 60s on
Wednesday night, while staying slightly warmer (60s area-wide) on
Thursday night.

Climate Note - The overnight temperatures on Wednesday night and
Thursday night are 10-20°F above normal for this time of year. The
record high temperature on Thursday is 86°F in Mobile and 83°F in
Pensacola, so we may break some daytime high temperature records on
Thursday.

The rip current risk remains MODERATE for coastal Alabama and
northwest Florida beaches through Wednesday night before falling to
a LOW risk on Thursday. 07/mb

EXTENDED TERM /Friday Through Monday/...Upper ridging will
persist through the end of the week and into the first part of
next weekend. Above average temperatures and dry weather will
persist through this period. Latest model ensemble guidance
suggests that the next upper level trough will eject from the Four
Corners region late this week, across the Central Plains, and
into the vicinity of the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley by late in the
weekend. This scenario supports the likelihood of a weakening
front entering our area and slowing/stalling near our region. The
most active weather and severe potential appears to remain well to
our northwest at this time, where the best overlap of synoptic
forcing, shear, and instability should reside. This will be
monitored through the next several days to ensure that this trend
persists. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may eventually
develop into our region with this weakening front towards the end
of next weekend. Temperatures should remain warm ahead of the
front, but may cool if the front makes it south into the northern
Gulf waters before stalling out. /JLH

MARINE...Moderate southwesterly winds today diminish somewhat on
Wednesday then a light southerly flow is expected for Thursday. Will
have Small Craft Should Exercise Caution wording today as the flow
increases to around 15 knots with the sea breeze. A light to
moderate southerly flow follows for Friday and Saturday. /29

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mob

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mobile AL
351 AM CDT Tue Mar 24 2020

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-250900-
Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-
Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George-
351 AM CDT Tue Mar 24 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Alabama...southwest Alabama...northwest Florida and southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a moderate risk of rip currents for coastal Alabama and
northwest Florida beaches.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A moderate risk of rip currents continues through Wednesday night
for coastal Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of SkyWarn Severe Storm Spotter networks is not
expected through Monday.

GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675-250900-
Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound-
Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Western Choctawhatchee Bay-
Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay-
Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola
FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL from
20 to 60 NM-
351 AM CDT Tue Mar 24 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the coastal
waters of Alabama and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Moderate to occasionally strong southerly winds may create
hazardous conditions for small craft.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Moderate to occasionally strong winds over the open Gulf waters may
create hazardous conditions for small craft Wednesday morning and
again late Friday night into Saturday morning.