River Flood Warning 34, NWS Mobile, AL

101 
WGUS84 KMOB 040104
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
704 PM CST Tue Mar 3 2020
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-050103-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0034.200306T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0600Z.200310T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
704 PM CST Tue Mar 3 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* From early Friday morning until further notice.
* At 6 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.5 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and continue to 
  rise near 25.5 feet by Tuesday morning. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 26.0 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

247 
WGUS84 KMOB 041651
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1051 AM CST Wed Mar 4 2020
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-051650-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0034.200306T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0300Z.200310T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1051 AM CST Wed Mar 4 2020

...Flood Warning extended until further notice for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* From tomorrow late evening until further notice.
* At 10AM Wednesday the stage was 16.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late evening and continue to 
  rise near 25.5 feet by Tuesday morning. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 26 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

464 
WGUS84 KMOB 050136
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
736 PM CST Wed Mar 4 2020
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-060135-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0034.200306T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0300Z.200310T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
736 PM CST Wed Mar 4 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* From tomorrow late evening until further notice.
* At 7PM Wednesday the stage was 16.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue to 
  rise near 25.5 feet by Tuesday morning. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* At 26 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

983 
WGUS84 KMOB 051611
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1011 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2020
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-061611-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0034.200306T0040Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0040Z.200310T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1011 AM CST Thu Mar 5 2020

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* From this evening until further notice.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 18.4 feet. 
* No flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to rise near 
  25.5 feet by Tuesday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* At 26.0 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

240 
WGUS84 KMOB 060146
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
746 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2020
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-070146-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0125Z.200310T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
746 PM CST Thu Mar 5 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* From this evening until further notice.
* At 7 PM Thursday the stage was 20 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to rise near 
  25.5 feet by early Tuesday morning.
* At 26 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

748 
WGUS84 KMOB 061634
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1034 AM CST Fri Mar 6 2020
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-071634-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0133Z.200311T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1034 AM CST Fri Mar 6 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until further notice.
* At 10AM Friday the stage was 21.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet by Wednesday morning.  
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 26.0 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

806 
WGUS84 KMOB 070138
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
738 PM CST Fri Mar 6 2020
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-080138-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0133Z.200311T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
738 PM CST Fri Mar 6 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until further notice.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 22.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet by Wednesday morning.  
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 26.0 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

640 
WGUS84 KMOB 071636
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1036 AM CST Sat Mar 7 2020
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-081636-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0133Z.200311T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1036 AM CST Sat Mar 7 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until further notice.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 23.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet by Wednesday morning.
* At 26.0 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

567 
WGUS84 KMOB 081351
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
851 AM CDT Sun Mar 8 2020
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-091350-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0133Z.200311T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
851 AM CDT Sun Mar 8 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until further notice.
* At 8 AM Sunday the stage was 24.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet by Wednesday morning then 
  begin falling.
* At 26.0 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

334 
WGUS84 KMOB 090121
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
821 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2020
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-100121-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0133Z.200311T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
821 PM CDT Sun Mar 8 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until further notice.
* At 7 PM Sunday the stage was 24.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet by Wednesday morning then 
  begin falling.
* At 26.0 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

947 
WGUS84 KMOB 091436
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
936 AM CDT Mon Mar 9 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-101435-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0133Z.200311T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
936 AM CDT Mon Mar 9 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until further notice.
* At 9 AM Monday the stage was 24.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet by Wednesday morning then 
  begin falling.
* At 26.0 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

900 
WGUS84 KMOB 100053
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
753 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2020
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Leaf Near Mclain affecting George...Greene and Perry Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-111-110053-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-200312T0600Z/
/MCLM6.1.ER.200308T0922Z.200310T1200Z.200312T0000Z.NO/
753 PM CDT Mon Mar 9 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Leaf Near Mclain
* until late Wednesday night.
* At 7 PM Monday the stage was 19.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 19.5 feet by tomorrow morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage  Wednesday evening.
* At 18.0 feet...Considerable flooding of agricultural and lowlands near the 
  river.

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8914 3125 8914 3123 8885 3099 8871
 3098 8877 3114 8887                  

$$

721 
WGUS84 KMOB 101427
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
927 AM CDT Tue Mar 10 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-111426-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0133Z.200311T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
927 AM CDT Tue Mar 10 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until further notice.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 25.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet by tomorrow morning then 
  begin falling.
* At 26.0 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

356 
WGUS84 KMOB 110132
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
832 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2020
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-120131-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-200316T0130Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0133Z.200311T1200Z.200315T1930Z.NO/
832 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Sunday evening.
* At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 25.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet by tomorrow morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage Sunday early afternoon.
* At 26.0 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

838 
WGUS84 KMOB 111532
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1032 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2020
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-121531-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-200316T1400Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0133Z.200311T1800Z.200316T0800Z.NO/
1032 AM CDT Wed Mar 11 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Monday morning.
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 25.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.6 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* At 26.0 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

434 
WGUS84 KMOB 120210
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
910 PM CDT Wed Mar 11 2020
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-130209-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-200316T1400Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0133Z.200312T0100Z.200316T0800Z.NO/
910 PM CDT Wed Mar 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Monday morning.
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage was 25.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring. 
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Monday morning.
* At 26 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

895 
WGUS84 KMOB 121447
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
947 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020
 

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Pascagoula At Merrill affecting George...Greene and Jackson Counties.
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...Florida...
Mississippi...
 
  Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam affecting Dallas...Monroe and Wilcox 
  Counties. 
  Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam affecting Clarke...Monroe and Wilcox Counties.
  
  Escambia River Near Century affecting Escambia County. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Bayou Sara At Saraland affecting Mobile County. 
  Mobile River At Barry Steam Plant affecting Baldwin and Mobile Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and 
  Washington Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC047-099-131-131446-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200314T0621Z/
/MRFA1.1.ER.200305T0612Z.200309T2000Z.200314T0021Z.NO/
947 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Friday night...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam
* until late Friday night.
* At 8AM Thursday the stage was 73.8 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 66.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tomorrow evening.

&&

LAT...LON 3215 8726 3205 8719 3203 8732 3184 8738
 3184 8756 3215 8749                  

$$

ALC025-099-131-131446-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-200317T1200Z/
/CLBA1.3.ER.200209T1517Z.200214T1600Z.200317T0600Z.NO/
947 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 8AM Thursday the stage was 52.8 feet. 
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Tuesday morning.
* At 50.0 feet...Roads in the Mabien Lake area begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3184 8756 3184 8738 3146 8753 3114 8786
 3114 8797 3150 8766                  

$$

ALC097-131446-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.200314T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SARA1.1.ER.200314T0000Z.200316T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
947 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Bayou Sara At Saraland
* From tomorrow evening until further notice.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* At 5.0 feet...Street flooding east of the railroad becomes widespread.

&&

LAT...LON 3084 8808 3083 8804 3082 8805 3082 8808


$$

ALC003-097-131446-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BCKA1.1.ER.200310T0945Z.200314T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
947 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mobile River At Barry Steam Plant
* until further notice.
* At 8AM Thursday the stage was 13.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.7 feet by tomorrow evening then 
  begin falling.
* At 12.0 feet...Considerable overflow of lowlands in the area. A few county 
  roads become flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3114 8797 3114 8792 3099 8792 3068 8796
 3067 8806 3102 8803                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-131446-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.3.ER.200207T1935Z.200222T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
947 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until further notice.
* At 8AM Thursday the stage was 38.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 37.2 feet by .
* At 40.0 feet...Widespread flooding of timber and pastureland. Portions of 
  State Highway 114 east of the river becomes covered by water. Cabins on Old 
  Ferry Road flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-131446-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.2.ER.200208T0932Z.200223T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
947 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until further notice.
* At 9AM Thursday the stage was 28.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 28.7 feet by .
* At 30.0 feet...Roads along the east side of the river near Jackson begin to 
  flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

ALC053-FLC033-131000-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-200313T1000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.200311T0645Z.200312T1800Z.200313T0400Z.UU/
947 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Escambia River Near Century
* until late tonight.
* At 9AM Thursday the stage was 17.5 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  will fall below flood stage  tonight.
* At 17.0 feet...Considerable flooding of lowlands.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
 3077 8733 3093 8731                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-131446-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0133Z.200313T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
947 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until further notice.
* At 9AM Thursday the stage was 25.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.0 feet by this evening then begin 
  falling.
* At 26.0 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

MSC039-041-059-121517-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-200313T1200Z/
/MRRM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
947 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Pascagoula At Merrill
* until Friday morning.
* At 9AM Thursday the stage was 21.7 feet. 
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* At 22.0 feet...Flood Stage. Water approaches homes in west Merrill.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 8877 3098 8872 3082 8871 3074 8864
 3074 8868 3082 8879                  

$$

754 
WGUS84 KMOB 130047
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
746 PM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020
 

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-140046-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0133Z.200312T1630Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
746 PM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until further notice.
* At 7 PM Thursday the stage was 25.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring. 
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.9 feet by after midnight tomorrow 
  then begin falling.
* At 26 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

750 
WGUS84 KMOB 131520
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1019 AM CDT Fri Mar 13 2020
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam affecting Dallas...Monroe and Wilcox 
  Counties. 
  Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam affecting Clarke...Monroe and Wilcox Counties.
  
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Mississippi...
 
  Bayou Sara At Saraland affecting Mobile County. 
  Mobile River At Barry Steam Plant affecting Baldwin and Mobile Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and 
  Washington Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC047-099-131-141200-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-200314T1200Z/
/MRFA1.1.ER.200305T0612Z.200309T2000Z.200314T0600Z.NO/
1019 AM CDT Fri Mar 13 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Alabama River Near Millers Ferry Dam
* until Saturday morning.
* At 10AM Friday the stage was 69.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 66.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by after midnight 
  tomorrow.
* At 66.0 feet...Farm and pasturelands in the area will flood and cattle should 
  be moved to higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3215 8726 3205 8719 3203 8732 3184 8738
 3184 8756 3215 8749                  

$$

ALC025-099-131-141519-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-200317T1338Z/
/CLBA1.3.ER.200209T1517Z.200214T1600Z.200317T0738Z.NO/
1019 AM CDT Fri Mar 13 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 9AM Friday the stage was 51.8 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Tuesday morning.
* At 50.0 feet...Roads in the Mabien Lake area begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3184 8756 3184 8738 3146 8753 3114 8786
 3114 8797 3150 8766                  

$$

ALC097-141519-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SARA1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.200316T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1019 AM CDT Fri Mar 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Bayou Sara At Saraland
* until further notice.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* At 5.0 feet...Street flooding east of the railroad becomes widespread.

&&

LAT...LON 3084 8808 3083 8804 3082 8805 3082 8808


$$

ALC003-097-141519-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BCKA1.1.ER.200310T0945Z.200314T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1019 AM CDT Fri Mar 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mobile River At Barry Steam Plant
* until further notice.
* At 9AM Friday the stage was 13.7 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.8 feet by this evening then begin 
  falling.
* At 12.0 feet...Considerable overflow of lowlands in the area. A few county 
  roads become flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3114 8797 3114 8792 3099 8792 3068 8796
 3067 8806 3102 8803                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-141519-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.3.ER.200207T1935Z.200222T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1019 AM CDT Fri Mar 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until further notice.
* At 9AM Friday the stage was 37.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 35.9 feet by .
* At 40.0 feet...Widespread flooding of timber and pastureland. Portions of 
  State Highway 114 east of the river becomes covered by water. Cabins on Old 
  Ferry Road flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-141519-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.2.ER.200208T0932Z.200223T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1019 AM CDT Fri Mar 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until further notice.
* At 10AM Friday the stage was 28.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 28.6 feet by this afternoon then begin 
  falling.
* At 30.0 feet...Roads along the east side of the river near Jackson begin to 
  flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

ALC053-FLC033-140600-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0040.200313T1519Z-200314T0600Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.200313T1220Z.200314T0000Z.UU/
1019 AM CDT Fri Mar 13 2020

* until late tonight.
* At 10AM Friday the stage was 17.2 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this evening.
* At 17.0 feet...Considerable flooding of lowlands.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8718 3100 8715 3090 8728 3077 8729
 3077 8733 3093 8731                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-141519-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0133Z.200312T1630Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1019 AM CDT Fri Mar 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until further notice.
* At 9AM Friday the stage was 25.6 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 24.3 feet by .
* At 26.0 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

085 
WGUS84 KMOB 140053
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
753 PM CDT Fri Mar 13 2020
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-150053-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0133Z.200312T1630Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
753 PM CDT Fri Mar 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until further notice.
* At 7PM Friday the stage was 25 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring. 
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 22.8 feet by early 
  Sunday morning.
* At 26 feet...Flooding at the highway bridge begins.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

200 
WGUS84 KMOB 141518
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
1018 AM CDT Sat Mar 14 2020
 

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
Mississippi...
 
  Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington 
  Counties. 
  Tombigbee River Near Leroy affecting Choctaw...Clarke and Washington Counties. 
  Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam affecting Clarke...Monroe and Wilcox Counties.
  
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Bayou Sara At Saraland affecting Mobile County. 
  Mobile River At Barry Steam Plant affecting Baldwin and Mobile Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

ALC097-151518-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SARA1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.200315T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1018 AM CDT Sat Mar 14 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Bayou Sara At Saraland
* until further notice.
* At 9AM Saturday the stage was 5.4 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 5.8 feet by tomorrow early afternoon 
  then begin falling.
* At 6.0 feet...Flooding of residences in the area will occur.

&&

LAT...LON 3084 8808 3083 8804 3082 8805 3082 8808


$$

ALC025-099-131-151518-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-200317T0723Z/
/CLBA1.3.ER.200209T1517Z.200214T1600Z.200317T0123Z.NO/
1018 AM CDT Sat Mar 14 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Alabama River Near Claiborne Dam
* until late Monday night.
* At 9AM Saturday the stage was 49.9 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Monday evening.
* At 50.0 feet...Roads in the Mabien Lake area begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3184 8756 3184 8738 3146 8753 3114 8786
 3114 8797 3150 8766                  

$$

ALC003-097-151518-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BCKA1.1.ER.200310T0945Z.200314T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1018 AM CDT Sat Mar 14 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mobile River At Barry Steam Plant
* until further notice.
* At 9AM Saturday the stage was 13.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.9 feet by this afternoon then begin 
  falling.
* At 12.0 feet...Considerable overflow of lowlands in the area. A few county 
  roads become flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3114 8797 3114 8792 3099 8792 3068 8796
 3067 8806 3102 8803                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-151518-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-200319T1200Z/
/CLDA1.3.ER.200207T1935Z.200222T1400Z.200319T0600Z.NO/
1018 AM CDT Sat Mar 14 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...The Flood Warning continues 
for
  the Tombigbee River Near Coffeeville Dam
* until Thursday morning.
* At 9AM Saturday the stage was 35.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Thursday 
  morning.
* At 40.0 feet...Widespread flooding of timber and pastureland. Portions of 
  State Highway 114 east of the river becomes covered by water. Cabins on Old 
  Ferry Road flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3231 8805 3232 8791 3178 8809 3160 8804
 3160 8810 3178 8822                  

$$

ALC023-025-129-151518-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.2.ER.200208T0932Z.200223T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1018 AM CDT Sat Mar 14 2020

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tombigbee River Near Leroy
* until further notice.
* At 10AM Saturday the stage was 28.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 27.4 feet by .
* At 30.0 feet...Roads along the east side of the river near Jackson begin to 
  flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3160 8810 3160 8804 3149 8786 3114 8792
 3114 8802 3149 8793                  

$$

MSC039-041-153-151312-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-200315T1312Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0133Z.200312T1630Z.200315T0712Z.NO/
1018 AM CDT Sat Mar 14 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Sunday morning.
* At 9AM Saturday the stage was 23.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by after midnight 
  tomorrow.
* At 22.0 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues and some roads in low lying 
  areas become cut off by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

310 
WGUS84 KMOB 150047
FLSMOB
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mobile, AL
747 PM CDT Sat Mar 14 2020
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...
 
  Chickasawhay At Leakesville affecting George...Greene and Wayne Counties. 

.Recent heavy rains have caused significant rises along the river. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather radio.

&&

MSC039-041-153-151312-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-200315T1312Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.200306T0133Z.200312T1630Z.200315T0712Z.NO/
747 PM CDT Sat Mar 14 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chickasawhay At Leakesville
* until Sunday morning.
* At 7PM Saturday the stage was 21.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring. 
* Flood stage is 20 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Sunday 
  morning.
* At 22 feet...Flooding of lowlands continues and some roads in low 
  lying areas become cut off by high water.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 8857 3144 8846 3108 8854 3098 8873
 3100 8875 3110 8858                  

$$

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
638 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020

.AVIATION...
12Z issuance...Expect mostly MVFR cigs and visibilities through
about 04.06z followed by mostly MVFR to IFR cigs and visibilities
through 04.12z. Winds will be mostly south at 5 to 10 knots with
possible gusts to up to 20 knots in heavy showers and
thunderstorms late tonight through 04.12z. 32/ee

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 517 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020/

NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Wednesday/...An upper low currently
located near the northern Baja area advances slowly eastward into
western Texas through tonight while an upper trof over the
northern and central Plains advances into the interior eastern
states. A frontal boundary which currently extends from near the
ArkLaTex to the Ohio River valley advances slowly southward into
central Mississippi and northern Alabama this morning. The
frontal boundary continues southward into the forecast area
this afternoon then gradually advances to near the coast by late
tonight. A series of shortwaves and a persistent warm, moist low
level southerly flow are expected to lead to two periods of
enhanced deep layer lift over the forecast area. The first of
these occurs this morning and mainly affects the interior portion
of the area. The second period develops after the late this
evening and continues Wed and will be enhanced by the frontal
boundary moving slowly through the area. Abundant deep layer
moisture remains in place over the area through the period with
precipitable water values near 1.5 inches. Will have mainly likely
pops well inland overnight tapering to slight chance pops near
the coast, then pops increase to likely to categorical over
interior areas this morning while lesser pops continue closer to
the coast. While a relative lull in the series of shortwaves
occurs this afternoon, some modest forcing will be present which
when combined with the frontal boundary slowly advancing into the
area will support likely to categorical pops over much of the
area. Pops then increase to categorical over essentially the
entire area later tonight as deep layer lift increases in response
to a stronger series of shortwaves set to move across the area.

MLCAPE values remain low through the remainder of tonight (200
J/kg or less) then increase to potentially around 500 J/kg by mid
afternoon. 0-1 km Helicity values increase to 200-300 m2/s2
overnight, but an examination of model soundings shows that the
meager instability is located mainly well aloft (above ~ 700 mb)
and it's also likely that the convection will not be surface
based. Based on this, the potential for strong or severe storm
development overnight continues to look low. Shear values trend
much lower during the day on today (0-1 km Helicity generally
less than 50 m2/s2) so the potential for strong to severe storm
development remains low. This is supported by Convective Allowing
Models (CAMs) although it should be noted that the CAMs show
potentially stronger convective activity further north, which is
due to more favorable mid level lapse rates. Indicated shear
values increase significantly tonight, but model soundings show
that convection will rather likely be elevated (and rooted near
900-800 mb), and becomes increasingly elevated as the frontal
boundary advances to near the coast late in the night. That said,
will need to continue to monitor this pattern. A moist southerly
flow continues during the period, which is favoring in fog
developing over the cool bays and near shore waters with
visibilities potentially dropping below 1 nm. A Marine Dense Fog
Advisory is in effect through this evening and may need to be
extended into Wed. A High Risk of rip currents remains in effect
as a persistent onshore flow leads to a gradual increase in
onshore swell. /29

SHORT TERM /Wednesday night Through Thursday night/...The
models have come into fairly decent agreement in regards to the
upper level pattern for the short term. Zonal flow aloft will give
way to an upper level low that will advance over the southeastern
CONUS through late week. At the surface, a low pressure system will
be centered over south Louisiana, with a stalled boundary over the
northern Gulf coast. This stalled front, associated with the low
pressure to the west, will advance back north as a warm front
through late Wednesday night. By Thursday morning, the low will
progress eastward over the northern Gulf coast and be centered over
the southern Alabama coast and the northwestern Florida panhandle.
By this time, the warm front will be located over south-central
Alabama, with a cold front moving over the Gulf waters. The low will
then quickly progress northeast over the Carolinas and towards the
Atlantic through Thursday.

The ECMWF is a bit more aggressive with the QPF compared with the
GFS, but wet and unsettled weather will be the theme through early
Thursday. PWATs will range from 1.6 to 1.8 inches over the area
Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday night, then begin to decrease
into Thursday morning. Anywhere between three quarters of an inch to
1.5 inches of rain are expected over the area Wednesday evening
through Thursday afternoon. That's after about 1.5 to 2 inches of
rain that is expected to fall Tuesday through Wednesday, with
locally higher amounts possible. Flash flooding will be a primary
concern, with additional flooding concerns for our rivers
(particularly for those still in flood). In terms of thunderstorms,
MLCAPE ranges from 300 J/kg far inland to around 700 J/kg along the
coast overnight Wednesday into Thursday. As the low progresses
eastward through Thursday morning, CAPE will decrease. Also, SBCAPE
shown by the models will be generally be between 200 and 600 J/kg
along the coast and over the open Gulf waters overnight Wednesday.
Therefore, the greatest risk seems to be near the coast and over the
Gulf, but embedded thunderstorms will be possible over the inland
areas as well (mainly south of the warm front).

Another concern will be patchy to dense fog formation, particularly
near the coast and over the near shore Gulf waters through early
Thursday morning as seen from model probabilities. However, fog will
diminish by mid-morning Thursday with the eastward progression of
the surface low. A HIGH RISK of rip currents is also in effect
through Thursday afternoon.

Lows overnight Wednesday into early Thursday will generally be in
the lower to mid 50s over the inland areas and in the upper 50s to
lower 60s near the coast. Highs Thursday will then be in the mid 60s
to around 70 degrees along and north of I-65, with lower to mid 70s
expected south of I-65. Lows Thursday night will then be chillier,
in the mid to upper 40s inland to the upper 40s to around 50 degrees
along the coast. /26

EXTENDED TERM /Friday Through Monday/...An upper ridge pushes east
over the region this weekend in the wake of the Wednesday/Thursday
system. Meanwhile at the surface, high pressure builds from the
eastern CONUS into the western Atlantic. This pattern supports dry
conditions through the weekend, with winds gradually veering from
northerly on Friday to easterly Saturday and southerly by Sunday.
The southerly flow begins the slow process of transporting Gulf
moisture back into the region and cloud cover increases Sunday as
a result. Aloft, the flow pattern becomes more zonal and a jet
streak advances eastward across the south plains, leading to
increasing upper-level divergence overspreading the region. With
large scale forcing and deep-layer moisture both on the rise, rain
chances return to the area Monday.

High temps Friday and Saturday will be in the low to mid 60s and
lows Friday/Saturday nights will be in the upper 30s to low 40s. A
warming trend begins Sunday with the return of onshore flow.
Temperatures climb into the upper 60s and low 70s Sunday/Monday
afternoons and remain in the upper 40s and low 50s Sunday night.
/49

MARINE...Widespread fog, locally dense at times, is expected
tonight and may continue through Wednesday night. Southerly winds
and seas will slowly build through tonight becoming mostly east on
Wednesday ahead of a developing surface low approaching from the
west. A weak frontal boundary well north of the coast early today
will shift south towards the coast through early Wednesday as the
area of low pressure nears from the west. Widespread showers with
embedded thunderstorms will develop late today and continue through
early Thursday with a few strong thunderstorms possible on Wednesday.
A moderate to strong northerly flow is expected late Thursday
through early Saturday as the front moves well offshore. 32/ee

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
     206.

MS...None.
GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 6 PM CST Wednesday for GMZ630>636-650-
     655.

&&

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mob

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
623 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-041230-
Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-
Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George-
623 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Alabama...southwest Alabama...northwest Florida and southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorm development this
morning through early to mid afternoon generally over northern
sections of the forecast area or north of a line stretching from
Leakesville MS to Andalusia AL. The main threat will be damaging
wind gusts, large hail and maybe an isolated tornado.

There is a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorm development
generally south of a line stretching from Leakesville MS to
Andalusia AL late tonight. The main threat will be damaging wind
gusts, a few tornadoes and heavy rainfall. Some flooding will also
be possible.

A high Risk for rip currents continues along the Gulf beaches of
Al and northwest FL through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

There is a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorm development
generally south of a line stretching from Leakesville MS to
Andalusia AL Wednesday and Wednesday night. The main threat will
be damaging wind gusts, a few tornadoes and heavy rainfall. Some
flooding will also be possible.

A high Risk for rip currents will continue along the Gulf beaches
of Al and northwest FL through Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of SkyWarn Severe Storm Spotter networks is not
expected through Monday.

GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675-041230-
Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound-
Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Western Choctawhatchee Bay-
Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay-
Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola
FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL from
20 to 60 NM-
623 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the coastal
waters of Alabama and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Widespread dense fog will be likely over the near shore waters
of Alabama and Northwest Florida today and tonight. A dense fog
Advisory is in effect today and tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Widespread dense fog will be likely over the near shore waters
of Alabama and Northwest Florida on Wednesday. A dense fog
Advisory is in effect through Wednesday afternoon.

Hazardous wind and wave conditions for small craft will be
possible in the wake of a cold front Thursday through Saturday
morning.