Severe Thunderstorm Warning 33, NWS Milwaukee, WI

762 
WWUS53 KMKX 072252
SVSMKX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
552 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2020

WIC055-072302-
/O.EXP.KMKX.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-200707T2300Z/
Jefferson WI-
552 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 600 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 4307 8901 4316 8901 4320 8900 4320 8884
      4319 8871 4300 8876
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 273DEG 6KT 4314 8888 

$$

WOOD

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
341 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2020

.SHORT TERM...

This Evening Through Wednesday...Forecast Confidence is Medium...

Lingering showers and storms this evening but we will become more
quiet into the overnight period as the weak front pulls to our
north. This will bring us light southerly winds through Wednesday.
Currently Wednesday looks to be quite warm with temperatures in
the upper 80s to low 90s with heat indices approaching 100 across
much of the CWA. Thus we have issued a Heat Advisory for much of
the western parts of our CWA, which will have the best chances for
heat indices around 100. In addition, we will have some chances
for a few weak storms/showers across the area, perhaps driven by
the lake breeze. Much of the area may remain dry, especially
further west which is why the greatest concern for Heat Advisory
conditions remains further west. However, we cannot rule out close
to Heat Advisory conditions for the remainder of the CWA.

.LONG TERM...

Thursday through Tuesday...Forecast Confidence is Medium...

Thursday will become more active given a cold front from the
system to the north pushing through with plenty of upper level
support from a strong shortwave with decent low to midlevel
moisture. This will bring potential for thunderstorms across
southern Wisconsin with some potential for some stronger storms,
particularly for the western parts of the CWA. Thursday will be
our best chance for strong to severe storms this week with plenty
of instability and perhaps some weak deep-layer shear.

After the front pulls through a region higher pressure will fill
in behind for Friday. Models are suggesting we could see a system
Saturday into Sunday impact the area but there is quite a bit of
uncertainty from the models for track and timing but it looks
likely to move from northwest to southeast in association with a
fairly strong upper level shortwave. Following this system
uncertainty increases, though we should expect the ridge to start
to build back in by the beginning of next week. This would likely
keep the region mostly dry outside of mostly weak pop-up/air mass
thunderstorms/showers. In, addition the return of the ridge will
bring back the warm temperatures after a brief slightly cooler
period over the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION(18Z TAFS)...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will continue over the next
several hours perhaps causing brief periods of heavy rainfall,
small hail, and gusty winds. This may also cause brief periods of
MVFR VSBYS. Otherwise, look for mostly VFR conditions over the
next few hours with skies clearing out for the most part this
evening. VFR conditions are expected for the remainder of the TAF
period. Wednesday looks likely to remain mostly quiet with a few
scattered showers/storms, especially closer to the lake.

&&

.MARINE...

Primarily light southerly winds continue this evening across the
lake with scattered storms weakening as they push over the lake
but some breezy conditions are possible right along the western
shoreline from weakening storms. Mostly quiet conditions are
expected for Wednesday with weak high pressure over Michigan with
primarily light southerly winds expected. Southerly winds
Thursday will be a bit more breezy prior to the front pushing
through and bringing back light northwest flow Friday into the
weekend.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Wednesday for WIZ046-047-
     056-057-062-063-067-068.

LM...None.
&&

Tonight/Wednesday and Aviation/Marine...ARK
Wednesday Night through Tuesday...ARK

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
356 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2020

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-082100-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
356 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Lingering storms this evening, a few of which may be strong with
heavy rain, small hail, and gusty winds possible.

Air Quality Alert is in effect for counties along the shoreline
for ozone concentrations until 11pm tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Tuesday

Thunderstorm chances will continue through the remainder of the
week and into the weekend. The best chance for widespread storms
will be Thursday.

Max heat indices will be in the upper 90s to around 100 Wednesday.
Thus, a Heat Advisory has been issued from 11am to 7pm for the
western parts of the area and may need to be expanded further
east. It is important to keep an eye on neighbors and friends who
do not have access to air conditioning and may be susceptible to
heat-related illnesses.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LMZ643>646-082100-
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
356 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters from
Sheboygan Wisconsin to Winthrop Harbor Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Lingering storms possibly making their way towards the lake but
for the most part will dissipate as they move over the lake. But
any storms that remain over the lake may cause some gusty winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Tuesday

The chance for storms will continue into the weekend with the best
chances being on Thursday.

LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-082100-
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the
Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South
Fox Island 5NM offshore-
Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to
mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM
offshore to mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore
to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
356 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the open waters of Lake
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Lingering storms possibly making their way towards the lake but
for the most part will dissipate as they move over the lake. But
any storms that remain over the lake may cause some gusty winds,
primarily over the southwestern portions of the lake.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Tuesday

The chance for storms will continue into the weekend with the best
chances being on Thursday.

www.weather.gov/mkx

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
239 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2020

WIZ046-072045-
Marquette-

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN MARQUETTE COUNTY...

At 239 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Adams, or 7
miles south of Friendship, moving east at 30 mph.

Winds of 40 to 50 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Westfield, Lawrence, Neshkoro, Springfield Corners and Harrisville.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 4388 8917 4388 8920 4386 8920 4379 8960
      4398 8960 4398 8917
TIME...MOT...LOC 1939Z 251DEG 25KT 4387 8977

WOOD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
402 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2020

WIZ056-062-072200-
Iowa-Sauk-

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN IOWA AND SOUTHWESTERN
SAUK COUNTIES...

At 401 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Muscoda, or 11
miles south of Richland Center, moving east at 30 mph.

Winds of 40 to 50 mph and penny size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Spring Green, Arena, Plain, Avoca, Orion and Clyde.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 4320 9043 4320 9040 4321 9035 4321 9029
      4319 9028 4319 9025 4317 9020 4317 9019
      4332 9019 4338 9000 4312 8990 4305 9043
TIME...MOT...LOC 2101Z 253DEG 25KT 4317 9037

WOOD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
510 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     TSTM WND DMG     DODGEVILLE              42.96N 90.13W
07/07/2020                   IOWA               WI   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN THE CITY OF
            DODGEVILLE.

&&

AK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
518 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2020

WIZ059-060-072245-
Washington-Ozaukee-

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN OZAUKEE AND CENTRAL
WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

At 517 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Slinger, moving
east at 10 mph.

Winds of 40 to 50 mph and nickel size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
West Bend, Mequon, Hartford, Cedarburg, Jackson, Slinger, Germantown,
Newburg, Richfield, Kirchhayn, Keowns, Nabob and Saint Lawrence.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

LAT...LON 4327 8836 4342 8833 4345 8799 4321 8801
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 273DEG 7KT 4334 8828

KUROSKI

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
525 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2020

WIZ063-068-069-072330-
Green-Rock-Dane-

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN GREEN...
NORTHWESTERN ROCK AND EASTERN DANE COUNTIES...

At 524 PM CDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from Sun Prairie, to 6 miles north of New
Glarus, to Albany. Movement was east at 25 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail are possible with these
storms.

Locations impacted include...
Madison, Janesville, Sun Prairie, Fitchburg, Middleton, Stoughton,
Waunakee, Verona, Oregon, McFarland, Monona, Windsor, Edgerton,
Evansville, Marshall, Waterloo, Deforest, Cottage Grove, Belleville
and Deerfield.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 4267 8962 4281 8984 4286 8984 4286 8948
      4329 8962 4329 8937 4328 8936 4328 8901
      4263 8900
TIME...MOT...LOC 2224Z 271DEG 24KT 4317 8925 4291 8966 4269 8946

WOOD