Beach Hazards Statement 35, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

817 
WHUS42 KMHX 240839
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
439 AM EDT Mon Aug 24 2020

NCZ196-204-205-242045-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0035.200824T1200Z-200825T0000Z/
East Carteret-Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
439 AM EDT Mon Aug 24 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents.

* WHERE...The beaches from Cape Hatteras to Cape Lookout.

* WHEN...From 8 AM EDT this morning through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away 
  from shore into deeper water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 6 AM and 7 PM today.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm.
Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the
shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

&&

$$

198 
WHUS42 KMHX 241518
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1118 AM EDT Mon Aug 24 2020

NCZ196-204-205-241630-
/O.CAN.KMHX.BH.S.0035.000000T0000Z-200825T0000Z/
East Carteret-Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
1118 AM EDT Mon Aug 24 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS CANCELLED...

High rip current risks have been lowered to Moderate due to
current buoy data.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
705 PM EDT Sun Aug 23 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will slowly strengthen and build in from the east
through early next week, before shifting a bit further south by
mid week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/..
As of 705 PM Sunday...Showers with some embedded thunderstorms
impacting the southwestern zones earlier, but has dissipated
with only a few very light showers or sprinkles. Will keep a
very small PoPs over the southwestern inland sections of the CWA
for another hour or two and will probably be able to drop
completely on the next update. Did maintain the very low chance
of coastal showers toward morning as a few high-resolution
models still hint at this. Lows tonight low to mid 70s area-
wide.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
As of 330 PM Sunday...Not a huge different from today with a
fair amount of mid and high level clouds still expect with highs
mainly in the 80s. Highest threat for showers and storms will be
roughly in the same area as today, along the southwest part of
our area.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 300 AM Sun...High pressure expected to be the main
influence in the long term, with hot conditions expected by mid
week. Mostly dry weather expected through the beginning of next
weekend, when low pressure or a cold front move into the region.

Monday and Tuesday...Strong high pressure will be centered off
the SE coast Monday and Tuesday, with subsidence and dry air
keeping the area mostly dry. However, mid to upper level
moisture will continue to stream into the area from the Tropical
Cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico, which will lead to some overcast
skies (filtered sunshine at best), and chances for some
occasional sprinkles. Despite low level heights building,
aforementioned cloud cover will limit highs to the upper 80s to
around 90. Tuesday could get a little warmer depending on how
quickly the high level moisture clears out of the area, and if
unfiltered sunshine returns before the afternoon is over.

Wednesday through Saturday...An approaching upper level trough
over Great Lake/Northeast will squeeze high pressure southwestward
on Wednesday, and then high pressure rebuilds over the SE
Atlantic Thursday through Saturday. Low level heights will
continue to increase during this period and hot temperatures are
expected with afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s. With high
humidity, heat index values of 100-105 are possible as well.
Despite hot temps mostly dry conditions are expected Wednesday
and Thursday, with increasing (scattered) chances expected
Friday and Saturday as a upper level trough moves across the
Great Lakes and a cold front approaches from the NW. There is
some chance that the remnants of Laura could push across the
area, but there is still high uncertainty with the evolution of
that.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Short Term /through 00Z Tuesday/...
As of 705 PM Sunday...With any very light precipitation ending
soon, conditions will be VFR through the overnight hours and
through the end of the TAF cycle at 18Z Monday. Overnight
model guidance suggests some MVFR cigs possible briefly prior to
sunrise. Given the abundance of mid and high clouds, will
continue to leave out of the forecast.

Winds near calm tonight, becoming southwest 5 to 10 kts again
Monday.

Long Term /Monday night through Friday/...
As of 315 AM Sun...Mostly VFR conditions expected through the
long term as high pressure builds in. Some isolated bouts of
early morning fog/stratus will be possible though.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term /through Tonight/...
As of 705 PM Sunday...Increased winds just a bit over the far
southern tier and Pamlico Sound for the evening, but the daily
diurnal increase should trend downward later this evening, with
seas overnight 2-3 feet. Similar winds Monday with southwest
winds 10 to 15 kts, but some gusts toward 20 kts possible late
afternoon/evening. As we begin to see the fringe swell from
Laura, seas will build to 3 to 5 feet late in the day into the
evening.

Long Term /Monday through Thursday/...
As of 315 AM Sun...Decent boating conditions expected this
week, with winds remaining light. Only wildcard will be how much
swell builds into the area from distant Tropical Storm (and
possibly Hurricane) Laura. Right now, seas are expected to peak
at 3-5 feet Monday through Wednesday, with a brief period of 6
feet possible during the peak on Tuesday. Winds will be mostly
out of the SW at 5-15 kts, though could briefly increase to
15-20 kts Tuesday night/Wednesday morning, before becoming SW
10-15 the rest of Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...CTC
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...SGK
AVIATION...EH/CTC/SGK
MARINE...EH/CTC/SGK

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
431 AM EDT Sun Aug 23 2020

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094-193-194-198-203-240845-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Beaufort-
Mainland Hyde-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Pamlico-Northern Craven-
Southern Craven-Inland Onslow-Northern Outer Banks-
431 AM EDT Sun Aug 23 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Hot and humid conditions will return Wednesday through Friday with
heat index values of 100 to 105.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ195-196-199-204-205-240845-
West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island-
Hatteras Island-
431 AM EDT Sun Aug 23 2020

...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Rip Current Risk.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Hot and humid conditions will return Wednesday through Friday with
heat index values of 100 to 105.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.