Alert archive / North Carolina / Beach Hazards Statements in 2020

Beach Hazards Statement 14, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

May 21, 2020Carteret County, Dare County, Hyde County, North Carolina

NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued this beach hazards statement at May 21, 2020, 8:18 PM EDT for Carteret County, Dare County, Hyde County, North Carolina. It took effect at May 22, 2020, 4:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 16 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 21, 2020, 8:18 PM EDT (00:18 UTC)
In effect from
May 22, 2020, 4:00 AM EDT
Expired
May 22, 2020, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
16 hr
Issued by
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

Counties Carteret County, NC, Dare County, NC, Hyde County, NC

The radar

The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 00:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 92 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 00:00Z on 2020-05-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1343 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 00:00Z on 2020-05-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 104 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1343 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
534 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
104 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

481 
WHUS42 KMHX 220018
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
818 PM EDT Thu May 21 2020

NCZ203-205-221230-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0013.000000T0000Z-200522T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0014.200522T1200Z-200523T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-200522T1500Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-200522T1500Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
818 PM EDT Thu May 21 2020

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
FRIDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 6 to
  9 feet in the surf zone. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2
  feet of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near 
  shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Beach Hazards Statement,
  dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the surf 
  zone.

* WHERE...Northern Outer Banks and Hatteras Island.

* WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 11 AM EDT Friday. For 
  the Beach Hazards Statement, from 8 AM EDT Friday through 
  Friday evening.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated
  road closures expected. Main impacts will be on the ocean side
  of the Outer Banks. Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions 
  and localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the 
  best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore
  break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom 
  causing neck and back injuries.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 2 PM Friday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm.
Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the
shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for  help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

&&

$$

NCZ196-221230-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0013.000000T0000Z-200522T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0014.200522T1200Z-200523T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-200522T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-200522T1500Z/
East Carteret-
818 PM EDT Thu May 21 2020

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 5 to
  8 feet in the surf zone. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to
  one foot of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas 
  near shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Beach Hazards 
  Statement, dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in 
  the surf zone.

* WHERE...East Carteret.

* WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 11 AM EDT Friday. For 
  the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 11 PM EDT this evening. For 
  the Beach Hazards Statement, from 8 AM EDT Friday through 
  Friday evening.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only 
  isolated road closures expected. Dangerous swimming and 
  surfing conditions and localized beach erosion. Rip currents 
  can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper 
  water. Dangerous shore break can throw a swimmer or surfer 
  head first into the bottom causing neck and back injuries.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 2 PM Friday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm.
Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the
shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for  help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

&&

$$

NCZ204-221230-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0013.000000T0000Z-200522T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0014.200522T1200Z-200523T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-200522T1500Z/
Ocracoke Island-
818 PM EDT Thu May 21 2020

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT FRIDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 6 to
  8 feet in the surf zone. For the Beach Hazards Statement, 
  dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves expected in the 
  surf zone.

* WHERE...Ocracoke Island beaches.

* WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 11 AM EDT Friday. For 
  the Beach Hazards Statement, from 8 AM EDT Friday through 
  Friday evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and 
  localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best 
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore 
  break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom 
  causing neck and back injuries.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 2 PM Friday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm.
Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the
shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for  help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

&&

$$

NCZ195-199-220130-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0013.000000T0000Z-200522T0000Z/
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
818 PM EDT Thu May 21 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT HAS EXPIRED...



$$

NCZ080-094-194-220300-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-200522T0300Z/
Beaufort-Pamlico-Southern Craven-
818 PM EDT Thu May 21 2020

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in low-
  lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Areas along the Pamlico Sound, Trent, Bay and lower 
  Neuse Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks, and areas along the 
  Pamlico and Pungo Rivers and adjacent tidal creeks.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Minor flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only 
  isolated road closures expected.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
742 
WHUS42 KMHX 220800
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
400 AM EDT Fri May 22 2020

NCZ203-205-222000-
/O.EXT.KMHX.BH.S.0014.200522T0800Z-200523T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-200522T1500Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-200522T1500Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
400 AM EDT Fri May 22 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 6 to
  9 feet in the surf zone. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2
  feet of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near 
  shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Beach Hazards Statement,
  dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the surf 
  zone.

* WHERE...Hatteras Island and Northern Outer Banks.

* WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 11 AM EDT this 
  morning. For the Beach Hazards Statement, through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only 
  isolated road closures expected. Dangerous swimming and 
  surfing conditions and localized beach erosion. Rip currents 
  can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper 
  water. Dangerous shore break can throw a swimmer or surfer 
  head first into the bottom causing neck and back injuries.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 2 PM Today.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm.
Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the
shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for  help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Duck  NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.0 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 2.8 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 22/08 AM     3.4       -0.3        0.5       4-5      None    
 22/08 PM     3.7        0.0       -0.1       3-4      None    
 23/09 AM     3.0       -0.7        0.1        3       None    
 23/09 PM     4.3        0.6        0.5       2-3      None    
 24/09 AM     3.6       -0.1        0.7       2-3      None    
 24/10 PM     4.9        1.2        1.1        4       None

Oregon Inlet NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 3.0 ft, Moderate 4.5 ft, Major 5.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 ft, Moderate 3.9 ft, Major 4.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 22/08 AM     2.1        1.5        1.4        1       None    
 22/10 PM     2.0        1.4        1.0        1       None    
 23/09 AM     1.5        0.9        0.8        1       None    
 23/08 PM     1.7        1.1        0.8        1       None    
 24/09 AM     1.2        0.6        0.6        1       None    
 24/10 PM     1.6        1.0        0.5        1       None

Coast Guard Hatteras NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 2.5 ft, Moderate 3.5 ft, Major 4.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 3.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 22/08 AM     1.7        0.5        1.1        1       None    
 22/07 PM     1.6        0.4        1.0        1       None    
 23/08 AM     1.4        0.2        0.8        1       None    
 23/09 PM     1.6        0.4        0.8        1       None    
 24/08 AM     1.3        0.1        0.8       1-2      None    
 24/09 PM     1.6        0.4        0.8        2       None

&&

$$

NCZ196-204-222000-
/O.EXT.KMHX.BH.S.0014.200522T0800Z-200523T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-200522T1500Z/
East Carteret-Ocracoke Island-
400 AM EDT Fri May 22 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 5 
  to 8 feet in the surf zone. For the Beach Hazards Statement, 
  dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the surf 
  zone.

* WHERE...Ocracoke Island and Core Banks beaches.

* WHEN...For the High Surf Advisory, until 11 AM EDT this 
  morning. For the Beach Hazards Statement, through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and 
  localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best 
  swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore 
  break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom 
  causing neck and back injuries.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 2 PM Friday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm.
Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the
shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for  help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

&&

$$

11
301 
WHUS42 KMHX 221519
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1119 AM EDT Fri May 22 2020

NCZ203-205-230000-
/O.EXP.KMHX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-200522T1500Z/
/O.EXP.KMHX.SU.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-200522T1500Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0014.000000T0000Z-200523T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
1119 AM EDT Fri May 22 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the 
  surf zone.

* WHERE...The beaches north of Cape Hatteras.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away 
  from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore break can throw 
  a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom causing neck 
  and back injuries.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 2 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm.
Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the
shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for  help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

&&

$$

NCZ196-204-230000-
/O.EXP.KMHX.SU.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-200522T1500Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0014.000000T0000Z-200523T0000Z/
East Carteret-Ocracoke Island-
1119 AM EDT Fri May 22 2020

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the 
  surf zone.

* WHERE...Ocracoke Island and Core Banks beaches.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away 
  from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore break can throw 
  a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom causing neck 
  and back injuries.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 2 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current remain calm.
Don't fight the current. Swim in a direction following the
shoreline. When out of the current, swim back to shore. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for  help.

Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at May 21, 4:23 PM EDT, 3 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 21, 4:23 PM EDT, 3 hours 55 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
423 PM EDT Thu May 21 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
A large low pressure system will remain stationary over the region
through Friday, before getting kicked out this weekend with mainly
dry weather returning.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
As of 340 PM Thurs...Periods of heavy rain with embedded
thunderstorms continue across Eastern NC this afternoon. Likely
3 to 6 inches or even more has fallen across the western half of
the area, with more rain still yet to come. The main batch of
rain that has been over the area all day is slowly weakening and
moving across NE NC, while a batch of convection has blossomed
over eastern SC/southern NC which will push northeastward into
the area this evening.

As low pressure develops over central NC tonight, deep tropical
moisture will remain over the area, which will keep the area in
the target zone for additional heavy rainfall overnight.
Continued presence of deep warm cloud layer and high PWAT
values approaching 2" will lead to very efficient rain
processes, with the potential for an additional 2-4 inches of
rain, with the heaviest amounts shifting slightly to the east of
what has been seen today. As a result, have extended the FFA
into Pitt and Greene counties, and think the highest amounts
will run from there south into northern Onslow county.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
As of 410 PM Thurs...The upper level low which has been stuck
over western NC/eastern TN will finally lift north out of the
area later tomorrow. But before it does, widespread heavy rain
is expected to continue tomorrow morning, before eventually
moving off the coast by late morning. Some additional flooding
is possible especially over the western half of the area, and
have extended the FFA through mid morning. Improving conditions
are expected in the afternoon, with some breaks of sun possible.
However, as the cut off low passes to the north, upper level
winds will increase, and the atmosphere will become unstable.
This will lead to some scattered thunderstorm development, with
the potential for a few organized cells to produce severe
weather. Temperatures will likely warm into the upper 70s to low
80s.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 415 PM Thursday...Closed upper level low that has plagued
the area with widespread over the last several days will
finally start to move away from the Tennessee Valley and toward
the Delmarva on Friday before moving offshore Saturday. High
pressure will build down the east coast from New England Sunday
into next week with finally some drier weather for the region.

Saturday...The upper level low finally moves offshore Saturday
as surface cold front approaches and moves offshore in the
evening. With the approaching front and some residual moisture,
will maintain at least a 30-40 percent PoP for Saturday. Warmer
Saturday with highs into the low and mid 80s for most inland
areas and upper 70s Outer Banks.

Sunday through Wednesday...Mid-level ridging finally develops
over the region with a surface ridge building south from New
England into the Carolinas. This will lead to below
climatological normals for precipitation and seasonal high
temperatures in the upper 70s to lower 80s, with lows in the
upper 50s to lower 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Short Term /through Friday Afternoon/...
As of 415 PM Thurs...A mix of IFR and MVFR conditions are
present this afternoon as widespread showers and thunderstorms
move through the area. Expect widespread cloudiness to continue,
though there could be a few brief breaks at times through this
evening. Conditions should be more IFR than MVFR with ceilings
hovering around 1000 ft. Heavy rain will reduce visibilities at
times through tomorrow morning. The forecast becomes less
confident tonight, with IFR conditions probable for some time,
and then conditions should lift to MVFR levels, though ceilings
will remain overcast or broken. Improving conditions later
tomorrow.

Long Term /Friday Night through Tuesday/...
As of 305 AM Thursday ...Sub-VFR conditions are likely during
the morning hours of Friday, but conditions should improve
during the afternoon as the upper level low finally moves north
of the area. While showers will be present, sub-VFR conditions
will only occur occasionally Friday. Generally VFR conditions
expected for the weekend into early next week as mid-level
ridging builds into the region.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term /Through Tomorrow/...
As of 420 PM Thurs...Hazardous boating conditions will continue
through tomorrow with winds SE 20-25 kts tonight, becoming 15-20
kts tomorrow, with seas 8-12 ft through midnight, and then
subsiding to 6-9 ft tomorrow.

Long Term /Friday Night through Tuesday/...
As of 310 AM Thursday...Small Craft Advisories will linger into
Friday night as strong upper level low finally moves north away
from the area. Seas will range as high as 8 feet Friday, before
finally dropping to below 6 feet late on Friday night. Light
West winds Saturday become north Saturday night with seas in the
3-5 foot range. A brief surge is likely behind a cold front
Saturday night early Sunday with NE winds 15-20 knots possible
later on Sunday, but seas should remain at or below 5 feet for
Sunday into Monday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 420 PM Thurs...Heavy rain is expected to become more
widespread again overnight. Additional rainfall totals of 2-4"
are expected with locally high amounts possible over the western
half of the area. This will lead to areas of minor flooding of
low lying areas, with additional flash flooding possible.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 420 PM Thu...Swell from long easterly fetch will continue
to impact the area over the next few days. This will result in
stronger and more frequent rip currents along with more powerful
surf and shorebreak which will make swimming dangerous for all
levels for much of this week.

The combination of strong easterly flow and long period swell
will result in a minor soundside flood threat across the western
Pamlico Sound region, affecting the Neuse and Pamlico Rivers,
Core Sound, and Back Sound areas. Ocean overwash and beach
erosion will impact Highway 12 from Hatteras Island to Duck, as
well. The soundside flood threat will linger through the first
half of tonight, with the beach erosion and ocean overwash
threat continuing through evening around the times of high tide.
Minor inundation 1-2 ft agl is expected.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ195-
     196-199-203>205.
     Flash Flood Watch through Friday morning for NCZ044-079-
     090>092-094-193>196-198-199.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for NCZ080-
     094-194-196.
     High Surf Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for NCZ196-203>205.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for NCZ203-205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Friday for AMZ135.
     Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ156-158.
     Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ152-154.
     Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Saturday for AMZ150.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...SGK
SHORT TERM...SGK
LONG TERM...CTC/SGK
AVIATION...CTC/SGK
MARINE...CTC/SGK
HYDROLOGY...MHX
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...MHX
Hazardous weather outlook, May 21, 5:16 AM EDT, 15 hours 2 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
516 AM EDT Thu May 21 2020

NCZ205-220930-
Hatteras Island-
516 AM EDT Thu May 21 2020

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.
   High Surf Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ204-220930-
Ocracoke Island-
516 AM EDT Thu May 21 2020

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.
   High Surf Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ196-220930-
East Carteret-
516 AM EDT Thu May 21 2020

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Surf Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ195-199-220930-
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
516 AM EDT Thu May 21 2020

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Beach Hazards Statement.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ029-044>047-079-081-220930-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Mainland Hyde-
516 AM EDT Thu May 21 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Periods of rain, heavy at times, will fall through tonight. There is
also a marginal threat of severe thunderstorms, especially later this
afternoon through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ203-220930-
Northern Outer Banks-
516 AM EDT Thu May 21 2020

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.
   High Surf Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ080-220930-
Beaufort-
516 AM EDT Thu May 21 2020

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ094-194-220930-
Pamlico-Southern Craven-
516 AM EDT Thu May 21 2020

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ090>092-193-198-220930-
Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Northern Craven-Inland Onslow-
516 AM EDT Thu May 21 2020

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 21, 3:49 PM EDT, 4 hours 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
349 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S HARGETTS CROSSROADS 34.97N 77.63W
05/21/2020                   ONSLOW             NC   PUBLIC

            FLOODING AT INTERSECTION OF AL TAYLOR ROAD
            AND HWY 258 NEAR RICHLANDS. WATER COVERING
            THE ROADWAY AND PORTIONS ARE LIKELY
            IMPASSABLE.

&&
Local storm report, May 21, 6:18 PM EDT, 2 hours before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
618 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0616 PM     HEAVY RAIN       1 NE CAPE CARTERET      34.71N 77.04W
05/21/2020  M10.01 INCH      CARTERET           NC   NWS EMPLOYEE

            10.01 IS THE STORM TOTAL SINCE 8 AM SUNDAY.
            1.47 FELL SINCE 8 AM THIS MORNING. 4.39 OF
            THE TOTAL WAS ASSOCIATED WITH TS ARTHUR.

&&

HEDEN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 22, 2:59 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningMHX46 min
May 22, 12:41 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningMHXDuplin64 hr
May 22, 7:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXDuplin, Greene, Jones, Lenoir, Onslow55 min
May 22, 7:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXCraven, Duplin, Jones, Lenoir, Onslow30 min

Nearby

Beach Hazards Statements in North Carolina, 2020Every beach hazards statement in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.