Alert archive / Oregon / Winter Storm Warnings in 2020
Winter Storm Warning 5, NWS Medford, OR
NWS Medford, OR issued this winter storm warning at Mar 13, 2020, 12:53 PM PDT for Siskiyou County, California; Curry County, Josephine County, Oregon. It took effect at Mar 13, 2020, 8:00 PM PDT. It was in force for 48 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 13, 2020, 12:53 PM PDT (19:53 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 13, 2020, 8:00 PM PDT
- Expired
- Mar 15, 2020, 8:00 PM PDT
- In force
- 48 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Medford, OR
Counties Siskiyou County, CA, Curry County, OR, Josephine County, OR
The radar
The Medford radar (KMAX), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 9:00 PM PDT | HEAVY SNOW 1 | Mount Shasta, CA | HEAVY SNOW STARTED AT 14/2030 PST. 1.0 INCHES FELL IN 30 MINUTES. |
| Mar 15, 8:44 AM PDT | SNOW 8 | 6 E Gold Beach, OR | 24 HOUR TOTAL. LIGHT SNOW FALLING AT TIME OF OBSERVATION. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 58 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1247 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -9 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 8 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
532 WWUS46 KMFR 131953 WSWMFR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 1253 PM PDT Fri Mar 13 2020 ...Late season storm likely to bring impactful snowfall late this evening into Sunday evening... .A cold front will move through the area tonight followed by periods of snow showers through at least Sunday evening. With initially high snow levels, the impact will begin this evening on the higher peaks of the southern Oregon Cascades and Siskiyou Mountains above 4500 feet. Snow levels will fall to as low as 2000 feet by Saturday morning with a noteworthy snowfall also developing above 2500 feet in both the Kalmiopsis Wilderness and in western Siskiyou County. On Saturday afternoon, the focus for highest snowfall amounts will shift to central and southeast Siskiyou County, including the Mt. Shasta area. However, uncertainty remains on exact timing of when travel impacts are expected so a watch remains in effect for that area. Significant snowfall is likely to continue in the southern Oregon Cascades and Siskiyou Mountains through Saturday night, and through Sunday evening in the other aforementioned areas. Those traveling should consider altering travel plans to avoid this period of impacting weather. ORZ024-141000- /O.UPG.KMFR.WS.A.0004.200314T0600Z-200316T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.WS.W.0005.200314T0300Z-200315T0300Z/ Eastern Curry County and Josephine County- 1253 PM PDT Fri Mar 13 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM PDT SATURDAY ABOVE 2500 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected above 2500 feet. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 9 inches with up to 12 to 14 inches on the highest peaks. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Eastern Curry County and Josephine County, including the Kalmiopsis Wilderness. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 8 PM PDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Most intense snowfall late this evening into early Saturday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ CAZ080-141000- /O.UPG.KMFR.WS.A.0004.200314T0600Z-200316T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.200314T0600Z-200316T0000Z/ Western Siskiyou County- 1253 PM PDT Fri Mar 13 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM PDT SUNDAY ABOVE 2500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected above 2500 feet. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 10 inches with up to 16 inches possible in the higher elevations. * WHERE...Elevations above 2500 feet in Western Siskiyou County, to include the Russian Wilderness, Marble Mountains, and Sawyers Bar road. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 5 PM PDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Most intense snowfall late this evening into early Saturday morning and again Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ ORZ025-141000- /O.EXB.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.200314T0300Z-200315T0300Z/ Eastern Douglas County Foothills- 1253 PM PDT Fri Mar 13 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM PDT SATURDAY ABOVE 2500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected above 2500 feet. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 8 inches with up to 10 inches possible in higher terrain. * WHERE...Eastern Douglas County Foothills. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 8 PM PDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult at times. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The heaviest snowfall is expected this evening into Saturday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See https://www.tripcheck.com for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ ORZ027-028-141000- /O.EXT.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.200314T0300Z-200315T0300Z/ South Central Oregon Cascades- Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades- Including the cities of Crater Lake and Diamond Lake 1253 PM PDT Fri Mar 13 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM PDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...South Central Oregon Cascades, Siskiyou Mountains, and Southern Oregon Cascades. This includes Diamond Lake, Crater Lake, Lake of the Woods, and Mt. Ashland. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 8 PM PDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult at times. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels falling from around 5000 feet this evening to below 3500 feet for late tonight through Saturday night. The heaviest snowfall is expected this evening into Saturday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See https://www.tripcheck.com for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ CAZ082-083-141000- /O.EXT.KMFR.WS.A.0004.200314T1800Z-200316T0600Z/ South Central Siskiyou County- North Central and Southeast Siskiyou County- Including the cities of Dunsmuir, McCloud, Mount Shasta, and Pondosa 1253 PM PDT Fri Mar 13 2020 ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 9 to 14 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...South Central Siskiyou County to include, Snowmans Summit, portions of California highway 89 between Mount Shasta City and McCloud, and Interstate 5 south of Weed including Black Butte Summit to Dunsmuir. * WHEN...From late Saturday morning through Sunday evening. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Heaviest snow is likely Saturday evening through Sunday morning into the afternoon. Snow levels at the lowest valley floors may rise to around 3000 feet on Saturday then fall to all valley floors again late Saturday night. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Stock emergency kit with tire chains, flashlight, batteries, blankets, food, water, and medications. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * Plan now to avoid traveling during the storm. * A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow accumulations that may create dangerous travel. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
7 follow-up statements
886 WWUS46 KMFR 140507 WSWMFR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 1007 PM PDT Fri Mar 13 2020 ...Late season storm likely to bring impactful snowfall late this evening into Sunday evening... .A cold front will move through the area tonight followed by periods of snow showers through at least Sunday evening. With initially high snow levels, the impact will begin this evening on the higher peaks of the southern Oregon Cascades and Siskiyou Mountains above 4500 feet. Snow levels will fall to as low as 2000 feet by Saturday morning with a noteworthy snowfall also developing above 2500 feet in both the Kalmiopsis Wilderness and in western Siskiyou County. On Saturday afternoon, the focus for highest snowfall amounts will shift to central and southeast Siskiyou County, including the Mt. Shasta area. However the window of opportunity for snow to accumulate on roads is expected to be shortly after dark Saturday into at least mid morning Sunday. Snow is expected to taper off in the Mount Shasta region Sunday afternoon. Significant snowfall is likely to continue in the southern Oregon Cascades and Siskiyou Mountains through Saturday night, and through Sunday evening in the other aforementioned areas. Those traveling should consider altering travel plans to avoid this period of impacting weather. CAZ082-083-150000- /O.UPG.KMFR.WS.A.0004.200314T1800Z-200316T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KMFR.WS.W.0005.200315T0000Z-200315T1800Z/ /O.EXB.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.200315T0000Z-200315T1800Z/ South Central Siskiyou County- North Central and Southeast Siskiyou County- Including the cities of Dunsmuir, McCloud, Mount Shasta, Pondosa, and Tennant 1007 PM PDT Fri Mar 13 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SATURDAY TO 11 AM PDT SUNDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SATURDAY TO 11 AM PDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 14 inches. For the Winter Weather Advisory, snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 9 inches. * WHERE...In the Warning Area, South Central Siskiyou County to include, Snowmans Summit, portions of California highway 89 between Mount Shasta City and McCloud. In the Advisory area, Interstate 5 just south of Weed to Dunsmuir and portions of highway 97 northeast of Weed. * WHEN...From 5 PM Saturday to 11 AM PDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Wet to slushy road conditions are generally expected to develop due to above freezing road surface temperatures during the day Saturday. However heavier snow showers could accumulate at times on bridges and overpasses which will be cooler. Snow is expected to accumulate on roads shortly after dark Saturday as we lose daytime heating and remain snow covered into Sunday morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... Snow will be heaviest Saturday evening into Sunday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ ORZ024-150000- /O.CON.KMFR.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200315T0300Z/ Eastern Curry County and Josephine County- 1007 PM PDT Fri Mar 13 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT SATURDAY ABOVE 2500 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected above 2500 feet. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 9 inches with up to 12 to 14 inches on the highest peaks. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Eastern Curry County and Josephine County, including the Kalmiopsis Wilderness. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 8 PM PDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Most intense snowfall late this evening into early Saturday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ ORZ027-028-150000- /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200315T0300Z/ South Central Oregon Cascades- Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades- Including the cities of Crater Lake and Diamond Lake 1007 PM PDT Fri Mar 13 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...South Central Oregon Cascades, Siskiyou Mountains, and Southern Oregon Cascades. This includes Diamond Lake, Crater Lake, Lake of the Woods, and Mt. Ashland. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 8 PM PDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult at times. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels falling from around 5000 feet this evening to below 3500 feet for late tonight through Saturday night. The heaviest snowfall is expected this evening into Saturday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See https://www.tripcheck.com for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ ORZ025-150000- /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200315T0300Z/ Eastern Douglas County Foothills- 1007 PM PDT Fri Mar 13 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT SATURDAY ABOVE 2500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected above 2500 feet. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches with up to 8 inches possible in higher terrain. * WHERE...Eastern Douglas County Foothills. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 8 PM PDT Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult at times. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The heaviest snowfall is expected this evening into Saturday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See https://www.tripcheck.com for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ CAZ080-150000- /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.200314T0600Z-200316T0000Z/ Western Siskiyou County- 1007 PM PDT Fri Mar 13 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT SUNDAY ABOVE 2500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected above 2500 feet. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 10 inches with up to 16 inches possible in the higher elevations. * WHERE...Elevations above 2500 feet in Western Siskiyou County, to include the Russian Wilderness, Marble Mountains, and Sawyers Bar road. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 5 PM PDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Most intense snowfall late this evening into early Saturday morning and again Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
492 WWUS46 KMFR 141122 WSWMFR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 422 AM PDT Sat Mar 14 2020 ...Late season storm likely to bring impactful snowfall into Sunday evening... .Periods of snow showers will bring significant accumulations into Sunday evening. Snow levels will fall to as low as 2000 feet early this morning with a noteworthy snowfall developing above 2500 feet in both the Kalmiopsis Wilderness and in western Siskiyou County. This afternoon, the focus for highest snowfall amounts will shift to central and southeast Siskiyou County, including the Mt. Shasta area. However, the window of opportunity for snow to accumulate on roads is expected to be shortly after dark this evening into at least mid-morning Sunday. Snow is expected to taper off in the Mount Shasta region Sunday afternoon. Significant snowfall is likely to continue in the southern Oregon Cascades and Siskiyou Mountains through this evening, and through Sunday afternoon in the other aforementioned areas. Those traveling should consider altering travel plans to avoid this period of impacting weather. CAZ082-083-150015- /O.CON.KMFR.WS.W.0005.200315T0000Z-200315T1800Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.200315T0000Z-200315T1800Z/ South Central Siskiyou County- North Central and Southeast Siskiyou County- Including the cities of Dunsmuir, McCloud, Mount Shasta, Pondosa, and Tennant 422 AM PDT Sat Mar 14 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM PDT SUNDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM PDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 14 inches. For the Winter Weather Advisory, snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 9 inches. * WHERE...In the Warning Area, South Central Siskiyou County to include, Snowmans Summit, portions of California highway 89 between Mount Shasta City and McCloud. In the Advisory area, Interstate 5 just south of Weed to Dunsmuir and portions of highway 97 northeast of Weed. * WHEN...From 5 PM this evening to 11 AM PDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Wet to slushy road conditions are generally expected to develop due to above freezing road surface temperatures during the day today. However, heavier snow showers could accumulate at times on bridges and overpasses which will be cooler. Snow is expected to accumulate on roads shortly after dark this evening as we lose daytime heating and remain snow covered into Sunday morning. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... Snow will be heaviest this evening into Sunday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ ORZ024-150015- /O.CON.KMFR.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200315T0300Z/ Eastern Curry County and Josephine County- 422 AM PDT Sat Mar 14 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING ABOVE 2500 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected above 2500 feet. Total snow accumulations of 7 to 9 inches with up to 12 to 14 inches on the highest peaks. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Eastern Curry County and Josephine County, including the Kalmiopsis Wilderness. * WHEN...Through 8 PM PDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Most intense snowfall early this morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ ORZ027-028-150015- /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200315T0300Z/ South Central Oregon Cascades- Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades- Including the cities of Crater Lake and Diamond Lake 422 AM PDT Sat Mar 14 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...South Central Oregon Cascades, Siskiyou Mountains, and Southern Oregon Cascades. This includes Diamond Lake, Crater Lake, Lake of the Woods, and Mt. Ashland. * WHEN...Through 8 PM PDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult at times. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels below 3500 feet through this evening. The heaviest snowfall is expected early this morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See https://www.tripcheck.com for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ ORZ025-150015- /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200315T0300Z/ Eastern Douglas County Foothills- 422 AM PDT Sat Mar 14 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING ABOVE 2500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected above 2500 feet. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches with up to 8 inches possible in higher terrain. * WHERE...Eastern Douglas County Foothills. * WHEN...Until 8 PM PDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult at times. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The heaviest snowfall is expected this evening into Saturday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See https://www.tripcheck.com for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ CAZ080-150015- /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200316T0000Z/ Western Siskiyou County- 422 AM PDT Sat Mar 14 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT SUNDAY ABOVE 2500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected above 2500 feet. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 10 inches with up to 16 inches possible in the higher elevations. * WHERE...Elevations above 2500 feet in Western Siskiyou County, to include the Russian Wilderness, Marble Mountains, and Sawyers Bar road. * WHEN...Through 5 PM PDT Sunday evening. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Most intense snowfall early this morning and again Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
749 WWUS46 KMFR 142003 WSWMFR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 103 PM PDT Sat Mar 14 2020 CAZ082-083-150815- /O.EXT.KMFR.WS.W.0005.200315T0000Z-200316T0000Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.200315T0000Z-200316T0000Z/ South Central Siskiyou County- North Central and Southeast Siskiyou County- Including the cities of Dunsmuir, McCloud, Mount Shasta, Pondosa, and Tennant 103 PM PDT Sat Mar 14 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM PDT SUNDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 5 PM PDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 10 to 14 inches. For the Winter Weather Advisory, snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 9 inches. * WHERE...In the Warning Area, South Central Siskiyou County to include, Snowmans Summit, portions of California highway 89 between Mount Shasta City and McCloud. In the Advisory area, Interstate 5 just south of Weed to Dunsmuir and portions of highway 97 northeast of Weed. * WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 5 PM PDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Slushy and snow covered roads will make travel very difficult or even impossible at times. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will be heaviest this evening into Sunday morning. Wet to slushy road conditions are expected this evening due to above freezing road surface temperatures during the day today. However, accumulations are possible on bridges and overpasses under heavier snow showers due to cooler road surface temperatures. Snow is expected to accumulate on roads shortly after sunset this evening and remain snow covered into Sunday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ ORZ024-150300- /O.CON.KMFR.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200315T0300Z/ Eastern Curry County and Josephine County- 103 PM PDT Sat Mar 14 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING ABOVE 2500 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected above 2500 feet. New snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches expected through this evening. * WHERE...Eastern Curry County and Josephine County, including the Kalmiopsis Wilderness. * WHEN...Through 8 PM PDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Shower activity will diminish late this afternoon. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ CAZ080-150600- /O.EXT.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200315T0600Z/ Western Siskiyou County- 103 PM PDT Sat Mar 14 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING ABOVE 2500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected above 2500 feet. New snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches expected through this evening. * WHERE...Elevations above 2500 feet in Western Siskiyou County, to include the Russian Wilderness, Marble Mountains, and Sawyers Bar road. * WHEN...Until 11 PM PDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Shower activity will diminish after sunset. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ ORZ025-027-028-150300- /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200315T0300Z/ Eastern Douglas County Foothills-South Central Oregon Cascades- Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades- Including the cities of Crater Lake and Diamond Lake 103 PM PDT Sat Mar 14 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Snow expected above 2500 feet. New snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches expected through this evening. * WHERE...Eastern Douglas County Foothills above 2500 feet, South Central Oregon Cascades, Siskiyou Mountains, and Southern Oregon Cascades, including Diamond Lake, Crater Lake, Lake of the Woods, Mt. Ashland, and Greyback Road. * WHEN...Until 8 PM PDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult at times. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See https://www.tripcheck.com for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
862 WWUS46 KMFR 150258 WSWMFR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 758 PM PDT Sat Mar 14 2020 ORZ024-150400- /O.EXP.KMFR.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200315T0300Z/ Eastern Curry County and Josephine County- 758 PM PDT Sat Mar 14 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING ABOVE 2500 FEET... Snow showers will continue at times tonight into Sunday, however no significant accumulation is expected tonight and with a stronger March sun and showers expected to be lighter Sunday. Additional accumulations during the day Sunday are expected to be minor. $$ ORZ025-027-028-150400- /O.EXP.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200315T0300Z/ Eastern Douglas County Foothills-South Central Oregon Cascades- Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades- Including the cities of Crater Lake and Diamond Lake 758 PM PDT Sat Mar 14 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... Snow showers will continue at times tonight into Sunday, however no significant accumulation is expected tonight and with a stronger March sun and showers expected to be lighter Sunday. Additional accumulations during the day Sunday are expected to be minor. $$ CAZ082-083-160000- /O.CON.KMFR.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200316T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200316T0000Z/ South Central Siskiyou County- North Central and Southeast Siskiyou County- Including the cities of Dunsmuir, McCloud, Mount Shasta, Pondosa, and Tennant 758 PM PDT Sat Mar 14 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT SUNDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy snow expected. Total storm accumulations of 10 to 14 inches. For the Winter Weather Advisory, snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 9 inches. * WHERE...In the Warning Area, South Central Siskiyou County to include, Snowmans Summit, portions of California highway 89 between Mount Shasta City and McCloud. In the Advisory area, Interstate 5 just south of Weed to Dunsmuir and portions of highway 97 northeast of Weed. * WHEN...From 5 PM this afternoon to 5 PM PDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Slushy and snow covered roads will make travel very difficult or even impossible at times. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will light to moderate becoming heavy at times tonight. Snow showers will diminish some Sunday morning, then increase again Sunday afternoon. Roads will start out wet this evening, then snow is expected to to accumulate on roads later this evening and remain snow covered into Sunday morning. Roads could become wet again later Sunday morning, then are expected to become snow covered again Sunday afternoon. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ CAZ080-160000- /O.EXT.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200316T0000Z/ Western Siskiyou County- 758 PM PDT Sat Mar 14 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT SUNDAY ABOVE 2500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected above 2500 feet. New snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches expected through Sunday afternoon. * WHERE...Elevations above 2500 feet in Western Siskiyou County, to include the Russian Wilderness, Marble Mountains, and Sawyers Bar road. * WHEN...Until 5 PM PDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow showers will diminish tonight, then will increase again late Sunday morning into Sunday afternoon. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
335 WWUS46 KMFR 151130 WSWMFR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 430 AM PDT Sun Mar 15 2020 CAZ082-083-160000- /O.CON.KMFR.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200316T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200316T0000Z/ South Central Siskiyou County- North Central and Southeast Siskiyou County- Including the cities of Dunsmuir, McCloud, Mount Shasta, Pondosa, and Tennant 430 AM PDT Sun Mar 15 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches today. For the Winter Weather Advisory, snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches today. * WHERE...In the Warning Area, South Central Siskiyou County to include, Snowmans Summit, portions of California highway 89 between Mount Shasta City and McCloud. In the Advisory area, Interstate 5 just south of Weed to Dunsmuir and portions of highway 97 northeast of Weed. * WHEN...Through 5 PM PDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Slushy and snow covered roads will make travel very difficult at times. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels at the valley floor early this morning will rise slightly to near 3000 feet during the day with a change over to mixed rain and snow showers likely near Dunsmuir. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is strongly discouraged because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ CAZ080-160000- /O.CON.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200316T0000Z/ Western Siskiyou County- 430 AM PDT Sun Mar 15 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON ABOVE 2500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected above 2500 feet. Snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches expected today. * WHERE...Elevations above 2500 feet in Western Siskiyou County, to include the Russian Wilderness, Marble Mountains, and Sawyers Bar road. * WHEN...Through 5 PM PDT this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels near 2000 feet early this morning will rise to around 2500 feet today. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
363 WWUS46 KMFR 152146 WSWMFR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 246 PM PDT Sun Mar 15 2020 ...Snow Showers Continuing Into This Evening... .A cold and vigorous upper level low pressure system will continue to bring snow showers above 2500 foot elevations through this evening. The winter weather headlines have been extended from 5 PM PDT to 8 PM PDT because moderate snow showers could continue through that time. With the loss of solar heating on the roadways, roads could become slick in places, especially on untreated bridges and overpasses. CAZ082-083-160300- /O.EXT.KMFR.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200316T0300Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200316T0300Z/ South Central Siskiyou County- North Central and Southeast Siskiyou County- Including the cities of Dunsmuir, McCloud, Mount Shasta, Pondosa, and Tennant 246 PM PDT Sun Mar 15 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, additional snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches through 8 PM PDT. For the Winter Weather Advisory, snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches through 8 PM PDT this evening. * WHERE...In the Warning Area, South Central Siskiyou County to include, Snowmans Summit, portions of California highway 89 between Mount Shasta City and McCloud. In the Advisory area, Interstate 5 just south of Weed to Dunsmuir and portions of highway 97 northeast of Weed. * WHEN...Until 8 PM PDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Slushy and snow covered roads will make travel very difficult at times. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels near 3000 feet this afternoon will lower to near 2400 feet this evening. This means snow showers are likely to affect areas from Dunsmuir northward again this evening. Currently, mostly wet roads could become slick again this evening due to the combination of additional snow shower activity and cooling temperatures. Be especially cautious this evening on untreated roadways, bridges, and overpasses. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Travel is discouraged in the warning area because of dangerous conditions. * If you must travel, keep tire chains, a flashlight, blankets, food, water, medications, and a fully charged phone with you. * The safest place during a winter storm is indoors. * A Winter Storm Warning means that severe winter weather is likely and poses a threat to life and property. Take protective action now. && $$ CAZ080-160300- /O.EXT.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200316T0300Z/ Western Siskiyou County- 246 PM PDT Sun Mar 15 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING ABOVE 2500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected above 2500 feet. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches expected through 8 PM PDT this evening. * WHERE...Elevations above 2500 feet in Western Siskiyou County, to include portions of the Scott Valley including Etna, the Russian Wilderness, Marble Mountains, and Sawyers Bar road. * WHEN...Until 8 PM PDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Slushy and snow covered roads will make travel difficult at times. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow levels near 3000 feet this afternoon will lower to near 2200 feet this evening. Currently, mostly wet roads could become slick again this evening due to the combination of additional snow shower activity and cooling temperatures. Be especially cautious this evening on untreated roadways, bridges, and overpasses. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * Slow down and allow extra time to reach your destination. * Carry tire chains and be prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities. * See http://quickmap.dot.ca.gov for latest road conditions. * A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will cause travel difficulties. && $$ BTL Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
442 WWUS46 KMFR 160254 WSWMFR URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 754 PM PDT Sun Mar 15 2020 CAZ082-083-160400- /O.EXP.KMFR.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200316T0300Z/ /O.EXP.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200316T0300Z/ South Central Siskiyou County- North Central and Southeast Siskiyou County- Including the cities of Dunsmuir, McCloud, Mount Shasta, Pondosa, and Tennant 754 PM PDT Sun Mar 15 2020 ...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... Snow showers will continue this evening, but at the same time are expected to diminish in intensity. However roads could still be slick at times due to loss of daytime warming. $$ CAZ080-160400- /O.EXP.KMFR.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200316T0300Z/ Western Siskiyou County- 754 PM PDT Sun Mar 15 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING ABOVE 2500 FEET... Snow showers will continue this evening, but at the same time are expected to diminish in intensity. However roads could still be slick at times due to loss of daytime warming. $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Mar 13, 9:17 AM PDT, 3 hours 36 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 13, 9:17 AM PDT, 3 hours 36 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
917 AM PDT Fri Mar 13 2020
...Updated Marine Discussion...
.DISCUSSION...No major updates needed this morning. Aside from
some scattered high level clouds and patchy areas of fog in
portions of the Coquille and Umpqua Basins, clear skies prevail
across the forecast area. Afternoon temperatures will be around 5
to 10 degrees cooler than previous days due to increasing cloud
cover moving into the area this afternoon. This will be the last
day of sunny skies with relatively warmer temperatures as today
will be a transition day to a much cooler and active weather
pattern that will be with us through at least mid-week next week.
An upper level low will dig offshore today, sending a cold front
through the area this afternoon and overnight. Snow levels will
sharply lower with this front, bringing the return of snow to
lower elevations. The focus for this afternoon's package will be
honing in on the details of the low snow levels and adjusting the
necessary winter weather headlines accordingly. Details on the
current forecast and expected weather can be found in the previous
discussion below. /BR-y
&&
.MARINE...Updated 915 AM PDT Friday 12 March 2020...Have updated the
marine weather warning to get rid of the mentions of gale
conditions, since they have subsided. The current forecast is rather
complex with gusty north winds and steep to very steep wind driven
seas continuing across the waters through this morning, with the
strongest winds occurring south of Gold Beach. The trough
responsible for these conditions will weaken late this morning and
seas will gradually subside, but only briefly. A front will move
across the waters later today. Steep to very steep swell dominated
seas will build into the area tonight and Saturday combing with
strong westerly winds that could see some isolated gale gusts north
of Cape Blanco beyond 10 NM. These seas will subside Saturday night
into Sunday, but should remain at small craft advisory levels.
Unsettled conditions will persist into next week, with north to
northeast winds Sunday night through Monday night and steep seas
developing Monday night. -Schaaf
&&
PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 553 AM PDT Fri Mar 13 2020/
DISCUSSION...A frost advisory remains in effect for a portion of
the coast north of Port Orford early this morning. But, this is
the last vestige of our current, very soon to change weather
pattern of clear, cold nights and very warm, sunny days.
A cold front moving southeast out of the Gulf of Alaska will
bring a substantial, noteworthy shift in our weather this evening.
The conditions during the past few days would be typical for late
April while our wintry weekend weather will be similar to what
would usually be associated with mid-February. The associated
upper level low is moving relatively quickly down the Pacific
Northwest coast, but will slow down and persist over and then near
our region this weekend into early next week.
As stated, the cold front will track across the area tonight, but
a majority of the impact will be due to periods of showers and
snow showers in the long-lingering very cold post-frontal air
mass. The inherent hit or miss nature of showers and the effect
of small changes in the track/positioning of the closed upper
level low upon the snow level makes this a challenging forecast
of snow levels and precipitation/snow amounts. Thus, there is the
most confidence in the big picture of periods of higher elevation
snow and low elevation rain this afternoon through Sunday night.
Rain is likely to develop over the coastal waters, the coast from
Cape Blanco northward, and northern Douglas County northward
before the end of the afternoon. The front will sweep across the
remainder of our area tonight with the first in a series of post-
frontal disturbances already reaching the coast late this evening.
The main changes to the forecast were to expand in area and in
time the coverage of winter weather headlines (Please see the
PDXWSWMFR winter weather message for specific details). Also, the
addition of a slight chance of thunderstorms over a portion of
the southern coastal waters late Saturday night, then shifting
inland on Sunday. This is due to the upper low likely to be
centered offshore of Cape Mendocino, often a favorable location to
create convection, and good model agreement on a strong shortwave
rotating inland during peak heating Sunday afternoon.
Snow associated with the frontal passage will very likely be
initially focused on the higher peaks (above 4500 feet) of the
Cascades and Siskiyou Mountains from western Oregon into far
western Siskiyou County. But, the highest amounts of snow in our
area are very likely to be focused on the Kalmiopsis Wilderness in
far southwest Oregon as well as in western and southern Siskiyou
County with 7 to 15 inches forecast (with heavier amounts still to
the south, over the Sierra Nevada).
Snow levels are forecast to drop tonight to around 2000 feet by
early Saturday morning. But, warm soil/ground temperatures will
likely prevent any accumulation below around 2500 feet. The first
batch of post-frontal showers late tonight into Saturday morning
will also be focused roughly west of Interstate 5, except also
from northern Jackson County northward to include eastern Douglas
County. Meantime, at least a light accumulation of rain and snow
is likely across the area by the end of Saturday morning.
Snow levels will likely rise slightly during the day Saturday then
reach their lowest levels early Sunday morning at 1500 to 2000
feet, locally slightly lower over the coastal range of mountains.
Day-time heating should bring another modest increase of snow
levels during Sunday to around 2500 to 3000 feet. The main
episodes of showers are expected through Sunday evening.
Model agreement diminishes beyond Sunday evening with the low
expected to continue southward along the California coast. But,
uncertainty in the track/timing of shortwaves rotating around the
northern fringe of the low leads to uncertainty in just how far
north that new batches of showers/snow showers will occur during
Monday into Wednesday. The departure of the core of the upper low
will bring a modest warming trend during the early portion of the
work week, back up to around normal values.
The upper level pattern is likely to become more complex at mid-
week,continuing into the next weekend. The upper low is likely to
swing eastward into the Great Basin of Nevada while another broad, cold
upper trough moves south out of the Gulf of Alaska...likely
remaining farther offshore than this weekend's weather producer.
This will result in a frequent though mostly relatively low
probability of showers, with a currently low confidence in the
daily details.
AVIATION...For the 13/12Z TAF Cycle...VFR conditions will prevail
initially, but an incoming front will bring areas of MVFR cigs/vsbys
in low clouds and rain to the area. The lower conditions will
develop over the coastal waters soon, then move onshore late this
morning with higher terrain becoming obscured. The lower conditions
will spread inland to the Cascades and Siskiyous Friday afternoon
and evening, then prevail through Friday night. Gusty west to
southwest winds will develop ahead of the front, especially at the
coast, over ridgelines, and across the East Side, and mountain
turbulence is likely downwind of higher terrain. Freezing levels
will drop to around 3000 feet as the front passes onshore, dropping
further Friday night.
MARINE...Updated 230 AM PDT Friday 12 March 2020...Strong north
winds and steep to very steep wind driven seas will continue across
the waters through tonight, with Gales south of Gold Beach. The
trough will weaken Friday morning and seas will gradually subside,
but only briefly, since a front will move across the waters later
Friday. Steep to very steep swell dominated seas will build into the
area Friday night and Saturday, subsiding Saturday night into
Sunday. Unsettled conditions will persist into next week, with north
to northeast winds Sunday night through Monday night and steep seas
developing Monday night.
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...Winter Weather Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 5 AM PDT
Sunday for ORZ027-028.
Winter Storm Watch from this evening through Sunday evening
above 2500 feet in the for ORZ024.
CA...Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Sunday evening for
CAZ082-083.
Winter Storm Watch from this evening through Sunday evening
above 2500 feet in the for CAZ080.
Pacific Coastal Waters...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM PDT Saturday for PZZ356.
Hazardous Seas Warning from 5 PM this afternoon to 11 AM PDT
Saturday for PZZ350-356-370-376.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM PDT this morning for PZZ350.
Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM PDT this afternoon for PZZ376.
Hazardous Seas Warning until 11 AM PDT this morning for PZZ376.
Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM PDT this afternoon for PZZ370.The office that day
Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 4:38 AM PDT | Winter Weather Advisory | MFR | Siskiyou | 63 hr |
| Mar 13, 2:36 AM PDT | Small Craft Advisory | MFR | 38 hr | |
| Mar 13, 2:36 AM PDT | Hazardous Seas Warning | MFR | 24 hr | |
| Mar 13, 2:01 PM PDT | Small Craft Advisory | MFR | 33 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Oregon, 2020Winter Storm Warnings in California, 2020Every winter storm warning in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.