Tornado Warning 60, NWS Memphis, TN

022 
WWUS54 KMEG 281519
SVSMEG

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1019 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2020

MSC117-139-145-281545-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0060.000000T0000Z-200828T1545Z/
Union MS-Tippah MS-Prentiss MS-
1019 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2020

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN UNION...SOUTHEASTERN TIPPAH AND WEST CENTRAL PRENTISS
COUNTIES...
    
At 1019 AM CDT, doppler radar indicated a severe thunderstorm
producing a tornado was located near Keownville, or 11 miles west of
Baldwyn, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Geeville, Locum, Graham and Frankstown. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a storm shelter or an interior room on the
lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are
outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest
substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3453 8885 3457 8888 3470 8871 3454 8861
TIME...MOT...LOC 1519Z 245DEG 29KT 3457 8883 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...0.00IN

$$

SGW

552 
WWUS54 KMEG 281522
SVSMEG

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1022 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2020

MSC117-139-145-281532-
/O.CAN.KMEG.TO.W.0060.000000T0000Z-200828T1545Z/
Union MS-Tippah MS-Prentiss MS-
1022 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2020

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN UNION...SOUTHEASTERN TIPPAH
AND WEST CENTRAL PRENTISS COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3453 8885 3457 8888 3470 8871 3454 8861
TIME...MOT...LOC 1521Z 245DEG 29KT 3458 8880 

$$

SGW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
706 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2020

.UPDATE...
See Aviation discussion.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 516 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2020/

DISCUSSION...
The circulation center of Tropical Depression Laura was evident
on KNQA radar approximately 50 miles west/northwest of Jonesboro
at 5 AM CDT. KNQA radar showed 50 kt at 2 KFT AGL, increasing to
around 65 kt at 3500 FT AGL. Partial downward mixing of this
momentum will continue along and ahead of the comma-shaped rain
shield through much of the morning. With the onset of daytime
heating, expect some of shallow convective bands within and ahead
of the rain shield to become more discrete, with an increasing
tornado potential as early as 9 AM CDT. This potential may persist
into the late afternoon, Laura's remnant low lifts into western
KY.

Main change for the morning forecast package a slight southward
extension of the Flash Flood Watch to include Tupelo. This area
may be a greater risk of training cells this afternoon, leading
to a localized flash flood threat.

With Tropical Depression Laura out of the picture on Saturday, we
return to a more typical late summer pattern. Weak west/northwest
flow aloft will prevail around a broad upper level ridge over
south TX, into the gulf. The most identifiable wave arrives
Saturday night into early Sunday, bringing thunderstorms from the
southern plains through the Midsouth.

Toward midweek, the models remain consistent in depicting height
falls over Rockies developing into a closed upper low over the
central/southern plains. This cut-off feature will be slow to move
and will combine with late summer heat and humidity to bring
thunderstorms to the Midsouth during the middle and late portions
of next week.

PWB

&&

AVIATION...
Tropical Depression Laura is moving through the region this
morning. Gusty winds and rain will be the rule for the next
several hours. Low ceilings and some periods of heavy rain will
reduce the visibility. Continue to expect wind shear as winds
aloft are near 50kt a couple thousand feet above the surface. Will
make adjustments and amendments when needed.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for Clay-Craighead-
     Crittenden-Cross-Greene-Lee AR-Phillips-Poinsett-St.
     Francis.

     Wind Advisory until 4 PM CDT this afternoon for Clay-Craighead-
     Crittenden-Cross-Greene-Lee AR-Mississippi-Phillips-
     Poinsett-St. Francis.

     Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for Mississippi.

MO...Wind Advisory until 4 PM CDT this afternoon for Dunklin-Pemiscot.

     Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for Dunklin-Pemiscot.

MS...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for Coahoma-Quitman-
     Tallahatchie-Tunica.

     Wind Advisory until 4 PM CDT this afternoon for Coahoma-DeSoto-
     Marshall-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica.

     Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for Alcorn-Benton MS-
     DeSoto-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS-Marshall-Panola-Pontotoc-
     Prentiss-Tate-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union.

     Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for Benton MS.

TN...Wind Advisory until 4 PM CDT this afternoon for Dyer-Lake-
     Lauderdale-Obion-Shelby-Tipton.

     Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for Benton TN-Carroll-
     Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Hardeman-
     Hardin-Haywood-Henderson-Henry-Lake-Lauderdale-Madison-
     McNairy-Obion-Shelby-Tipton-Weakley.

     Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for Benton TN-Carroll-
     Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Gibson-Hardeman-Haywood-
     Henderson-Henry-Madison-Weakley.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Memphis TN
403 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2020

ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-291115-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lee AR-Lee MS-
Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-Panola-Pemiscot-
Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-Shelby-St. Francis-
Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-
Yalobusha-
403 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms through midevening
south of a line from Marianna Arkansas to Memphis to Paris
Tennessee. There is a Marginal Risk to the north of this area.

The primary severe weather risk is tornadoes, embedded in rain
bands of Tropical Depression Laura. Secondary risks include flash
flooding and damaging wind gusts.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over east Arkansas
Saturday night, accompanied by a Marginal Risk over the remainder
of the Midsouth. Primary risks include damaging winds and large
hail.

There is a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms over all the
Midsouth on Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed today.

PWB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
729 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 AM     TORNADO          2 ESE OXFORD            34.35N  89.49W
08/28/2020                   LAFAYETTE          MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TORNADO REPORTED BY EMA.

&&

CJC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
809 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 AM     TORNADO          1 NE OXFORD             34.37N  89.52W
08/28/2020                   LAFAYETTE          MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TORNADO REPORTED BY OXFORD CITY EMA.

&&

CORRECTED LOCATION...REMARKS

CJC