Wind Advisory 23, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

790 
WWUS74 KMAF 130945
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
345 AM CST Sun Dec 13 2020

NMZ027-TXZ270-271-132100-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0054.000000T0000Z-201213T2200Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Queen, Guadalupe Mountains NP, 
and Pine Springs
245 AM MST Sun Dec 13 2020

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 35 to 45 mph, becoming northeast before noon.
  Gusts up to 65 mph.

* WHERE...Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM MST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile
  vehicles.  Severe turbulence near the mountains will be 
  hazardous for low flying light aircraft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches.  If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

TXZ082-272-275-276-132100-
/O.EXB.KMAF.WI.Y.0023.201213T0945Z-201213T2200Z/
Terrell-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Chinati Mountains-
Marfa Plateau-
Including the cities of Dryden, Sanderson, Van Horn, and Marfa
345 AM CST Sun Dec 13 2020

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Terrell County, Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor and 
  Marfa Plateau, and Chinati Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM CST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects.  
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle.  Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NMZ028-029-033-034-TXZ045-050-059>063-067>070-075-273-274-277-278-
132100-
/O.EXT.KMAF.WI.Y.0023.201213T0945Z-201213T2200Z/
Eddy County Plains-Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-
Southern Lea County-Gaines-Andrews-Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-
Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-
Including the cities of Artesia, Carlsbad, Carlsbad Caverns NP, 
Tatum, Hobbs, Lovington, Eunice, Jal, Seminole, Andrews, Mentone,
Kermit, Odessa, Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, 
Rankin, Big Lake, Fort Stockton, Pecos, Fort Davis, and Alpine
345 AM CST Sun Dec 13 2020 /245 AM MST Sun Dec 13 2020/

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST /3 PM MST/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and southwest and 
  western Texas.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM CST /3 PM MST/ this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects.  
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle.  Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/maf

44

806 
WWUS74 KMAF 131918
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
118 PM CST Sun Dec 13 2020

NMZ027-TXZ270-271-140000-
/O.EXT.KMAF.HW.W.0054.000000T0000Z-201214T0000Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Queen, Guadalupe Mountains NP, 
and Pine Springs
1218 PM MST Sun Dec 13 2020

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...North winds 40 to 50 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* WHERE...Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 5 PM MST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile
  vehicles. Severe turbulence near the mountains will be 
  hazardous for low flying light aircraft.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

NMZ028-029-033-034-TXZ045-050-059>063-067>070-075-082-272>278-
140000-
/O.EXT.KMAF.WI.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-201214T0000Z/
Eddy County Plains-Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-
Southern Lea County-Gaines-Andrews-Loving-Winkler-Ector-Midland-
Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-
Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-
Including the cities of Artesia, Carlsbad, Carlsbad Caverns NP, 
Tatum, Hobbs, Lovington, Eunice, Jal, Seminole, Andrews, Mentone,
Kermit, Odessa, Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, 
Rankin, Big Lake, Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, Van Horn, 
Pecos, Marfa, Fort Davis, and Alpine
118 PM CST Sun Dec 13 2020 /1218 PM MST Sun Dec 13 2020/

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...North winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast New Mexico and southwest and 
  western Texas.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/maf

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1112 AM CST Sat Dec 12 2020

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR. A weak front backdoored into the area overnight leaving an
east wind at most TAF sites, but should return to the south in the
afternoon. By sunrise the wind should be westerly with speeds
increasing by midmorning before a strong cold front with a gusty
north wind blows through during the late morning to afternoon.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 345 AM CST Sat Dec 12 2020/

DISCUSSION...

WV imagery shows brief zonal flow aloft over West Texas and
Southeast New Mexico this morning, but only because the region is
between two troughs in a very progressive synoptic pattern.

The next upper trough is currently over ID, and will dig down
through the Rockies today, and arrive in eastern New Mexico at 12Z
Sunday.  Today, a weak front from the last trough will backdoor into
the area, resulting in afternoon highs a few degrees below
yesterday's, especially northeast.

As the next trough approaches eastern NM overnight, the NAM develops
a strong mountain wave signature over the Guadalupes, increasing
westerly flow through the mountains.  This should continue through
mid-morning Sunday.  Meanwhile, a strong cold front will be
barreling through the South Plains, and will move through the area
directly behind the trough.  Sfc pressure gradients along/behind
this front are forecast to be very tight, making for a blustery day
Sunday.  A wind advisory will be needed for much, if not most, of
the CWA.  Some areas could even briefly hit high wind criteria with
fropa.  For now, we'll put northern/central Lea County in a watch
for fropa Sunday morning.  For the Guadalupes, we'll issue a warning
for the first wind event, which will be pre-frontal westerlies, and
another for post-frontal winds.  Post-frontal high winds may only be
realized through KGDP, but two high wind warnings in one product for
the same area risks sowing enough confusion as is, so we'll keep
both warnings to the Guadalupes as a whole.  Also, gradients are
tight enough that winds will be up through the whole mtn range
regardless.  We'll hold off issuing advisories for now, as there's
still some areas where a high wind warning may be more appropriate,
and later shifts can pull those triggers.

Unfortunately, this looks to be a dry event, as the track of the
trough will keep precip to the north, except for the far NE, which
could see a brief spit of rain Sunday.  Sunday looks to be our
coldest day this forecast, w/most areas topping out in the 40s and
50s Sunday afternoon.

After a hard freeze area-wide Sunday night, temperatures attempt to
recover Monday, but another upper trough will move through the
Panhandles Monday night, bringing another shot of cold air into the
region Tuesday/Wednesday.  Weak ridging follows this trough,
w/temperatures rebounding to above-normal by Friday.  Yet another
trough arrives Friday night, bringing temps Saturday afternoon a
little closer to normal, although by this time, models differ quite
a bit in solutions.

Unfortunately, aside from the aforementioned rain in the extreme NE
Sunday, grids remain dry.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     58  43  51  25 /   0   0  10   0
Carlsbad                       64  37  49  22 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         70  43  64  30 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  71  44  53  28 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 58  35  43  26 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          58  35  45  22 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          65  33  50  18 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           61  43  51  26 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         62  41  50  26 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           65  37  52  23 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...High Wind Watch Sunday morning for Central Lea County-Northern
     Lea County.

     High Wind Warning from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM MST Sunday for
     Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

     High Wind Warning from 10 AM to 3 PM MST Sunday for Guadalupe
     Mountains of Eddy County.

TX...High Wind Warning from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM MST Sunday for
     Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware
     Mountains.

     High Wind Warning from 10 AM to 3 PM MST Sunday for Guadalupe
     Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
159 PM CST Sat Dec 12 2020

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-132000-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
159 PM CST Sat Dec 12 2020 /1259 PM MST Sat Dec 12 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

A High Wind Warning is in effect tonight for the Guadalupe and
Delaware Mountains.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A High Wind Warning remains in effect Sunday for the Guadalupe and
Delaware Mountains. A Wind Advisory is in effect Sunday for the
Southeast New Mexico plains, most of West Texas including much of the
Permian Basin, Trans Pecos, and Davis Mountains.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland