Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 126, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

May 28, 2020Brewster County, Pecos County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 28, 2020, 3:23 PM CDT for Brewster County, Pecos County, Texas. It was in force for 67 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 28, 2020, 3:23 PM CDT (20:23 UTC)
Expired
May 28, 2020, 4:30 PM CDT
In force
67 min
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.25 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Brewster County, TX, Pecos County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 198 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 199 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2020-05-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 699 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2020-05-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -115 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
699 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-169 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1616 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-115 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
28 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-3.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 28, 2:55 PM CDT, 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 28, 2:55 PM CDT, 28 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
255 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020

.DISCUSSION...
A deep upper level low over Arkansas has provided northerly flow
over the Permian Basin that pushed a cold front through earlier
today. This low will move northeast into the Great Lakes and a
high pressure system near the Four Corners Region will move east,
sitting over the South Plains by Sunday. Normally this would bring
very hot temperatures to West Texas, especially this time of year,
but models are indicating a weak low developing over South Texas
and retrograding west into northern Mexico. This feature will
prevent low level warm air from advecting north into Texas and
keep temperatures in the lower 90s this week. It would be really
nice if MEX guidance was correct with highs in the 80s in most
locations into next week but 850 mb temperatures suggest highs
will be around 5 degrees higher.

Models next week show a deep upper low forming off the California
coast slowly moving inland with a broad and weak upper ridge over
the southern U.S. Increasing southerly flow ahead of the low
should allow for more warm air to move north and increase
temperatures by the end of next week. Rain chances after today
will be near zero into next week as the upper high moves into the
Great Plains but there may be some hope for rain late next week.
The weak southern U.S. will probably allow weak disturbances to
move into it and combined with warmer surface temperatures may
decrease stability. For now will keep the forecast next week dry
but there may be isolated showers possible after Wednesday.

Hennig

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     60  88  61  90 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       62  90  63  93 /  10   0   0   0
Dryden                         65  90  65  90 /  30   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  62  88  63  90 /  10   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 60  82  60  85 /  10   0   0   0
Hobbs                          58  88  60  90 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          55  86  53  88 /  20   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           62  88  63  91 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         61  88  63  90 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           62  91  63  93 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

12/10
Hazardous weather outlook, May 28, 1:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 50 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
133 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-291845-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
133 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020 /1233 PM MDT Thu May 28 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Severe storms are possible in the Big Bend this afternoon. Large
hail and damaging winds are the main threats with these storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 28, 2:02 PM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
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Special weather statement, May 28, 2:09 PM CDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before
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Special weather statement, May 28, 2:31 PM CDT, 52 minutes before
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Special weather statement, May 28, 2:35 PM CDT, 48 minutes before
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Special weather statement, May 28, 2:49 PM CDT, 34 minutes before
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Special weather statement, May 28, 3:12 PM CDT, 11 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
312 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020

TXZ075-278-279-282100-
Pecos TX-Central Brewster County TX-Davis Mountains Foothills TX-
312 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN PECOS AND NORTH
CENTRAL BREWSTER COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

At 311 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Marathon, or 31 miles east of Alpine, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Marathon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2997 10316 3011 10340 3062 10319 3035 10260
TIME...MOT...LOC 2011Z 220DEG 38KT 3024 10315

88

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 28, 1:11 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFBrewster34 min
May 28, 2:02 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFBrewster28 min
May 28, 2:09 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFBrewster36 min
May 28, 2:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster38 min
May 28, 2:31 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAF29 min
May 28, 2:35 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFReagan25 min
May 28, 2:49 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPresidio26 min
May 28, 3:12 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAF48 min
May 28, 3:34 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPresidio41 min
May 28, 3:55 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPresidio50 min
May 28, 4:00 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFBrewster19 min
May 28, 4:19 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFBrewster, Presidio116 min
May 28, 4:41 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMAFPresidio2 hr
May 28, 4:53 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPresidio52 min
May 28, 4:54 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPresidio51 min
May 28, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFPresidio48 min
May 28, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFPresidio61 min
May 28, 5:27 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFTerrell33 min
May 28, 5:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFJeff Davis, Presidio24 min
May 28, 6:07 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAF38 min
May 28, 6:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFJeff Davis, Presidio52 min
May 28, 6:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster, Jeff Davis34 min
May 28, 6:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFTerrell15 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2020Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.