High Wind Warning 25, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

112 
WWUS74 KMAF 121935
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
235 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020

TXZ272-273-277-278-130600-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-200413T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.WI.Y.0012.200413T0000Z-200413T0600Z/
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Fort Davis, and Alpine
235 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM
CDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, west winds 30 to 40 mph with 
  gusts up to 60 mph expected. For the Wind Advisory, west winds 
  20 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected.

* WHERE...Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor and Davis Mountains 
  Foothills, Eastern Culberson County, and Davis Mountains.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from 8 AM this morning to 7 
  PM CDT this evening. For the Wind Advisory, from 7 PM this 
  evening to 1 AM CDT Monday. 

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches.  If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

NMZ027-TXZ270-271-130745-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-200413T0700Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.A.0016.200413T2100Z-200414T0300Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Queen, Guadalupe Mountains NP, 
and Pine Springs
135 PM MDT Sun Apr 12 2020

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM MDT MONDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, west winds 35 to 45 mph with 
  gusts up to 65 mph expected. For the High Wind Watch, 
  southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph possible. 

* WHERE...Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, from 7 AM this morning to 1 
  AM MDT Monday. For the High Wind Watch, from Monday afternoon 
  through Monday evening. 

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Severe 
  turbulence near the mountains will be hazardous for low flying 
  light aircraft. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches.  If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

NMZ029-TXZ045>048-130745-
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.W.0001.200413T0900Z-200413T1500Z/
Northern Lea County-Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-
Including the cities of Tatum, Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, and Snyder
235 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020 /135 PM MDT Sun Apr 12 2020/

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM CDT /3 AM MDT/ TO
10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ MONDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing temperatures of 32 expected.

* WHERE...In New Mexico, Northern Lea County. In Texas, Gaines 
  and Dawson Counties. 

* WHEN...From 4 AM CDT /3 AM MDT/ to 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ Monday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly.  Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

NMZ028-TXZ059-060-067>069-075-082-274-276-279-282-130000-
/O.CON.KMAF.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200413T0000Z/
Eddy County Plains-Loving-Winkler-Ward-Crane-Upton-Pecos-Terrell-
Reeves County Plains-Marfa Plateau-Central Brewster County-
Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Artesia, Carlsbad, Carlsbad Caverns NP, 
Mentone, Kermit, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Fort Stockton,
Dryden, Sanderson, Pecos, Marfa, Big Bend NP, Panther Junction, 
Marathon, Lajitas, and Castolon
235 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020 /135 PM MDT Sun Apr 12 2020/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest and western Texas.

* WHEN...From 8 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle.  Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/maf

735 
WWUS74 KMAF 130015
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
715 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020

TXZ272-273-277-278-130600-
/O.EXP.KMAF.HW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-200413T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200413T0600Z/
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Fort Davis, and Alpine
715 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor and Davis Mountains 
  Foothills, Eastern Culberson County, and Davis Mountains.

* WHEN...7 PM this evening to 1 AM CDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NMZ028-TXZ059-060-067>069-075-082-274-276-279-282-130115-
/O.EXP.KMAF.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-200413T0000Z/
Eddy County Plains-Loving-Winkler-Ward-Crane-Upton-Pecos-Terrell-
Reeves County Plains-Marfa Plateau-Central Brewster County-
Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Artesia, Carlsbad, Carlsbad Caverns NP, 
Mentone, Kermit, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Fort Stockton,
Dryden, Sanderson, Pecos, Marfa, Big Bend NP, Panther Junction, 
Marathon, Lajitas, and Castolon
715 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020 /615 PM MDT Sun Apr 12 2020/

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Winds have decreased below advisory criteria, thus the Advisory
has been allowed to expire as scheduled.

$$

NMZ027-TXZ270-271-131215-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-200413T0700Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.A.0016.200413T2100Z-200414T0300Z/
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Queen, Guadalupe Mountains NP, 
and Pine Springs
615 PM MDT Sun Apr 12 2020

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM MDT MONDAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, west winds 35 to 45 mph with 
  gusts up to 65 mph expected. For the High Wind Watch, 
  southwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph possible.

* WHERE...Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, until 1 AM MDT Monday. For 
  the High Wind Watch, from Monday afternoon through Monday 
  evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile 
  vehicles. Severe turbulence near the mountains will be hazardous
  for low flying light aircraft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

NMZ029-TXZ045>048-131215-
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.W.0001.200413T0900Z-200413T1500Z/
Northern Lea County-Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-
Including the cities of Tatum, Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, and Snyder
715 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020 /615 PM MDT Sun Apr 12 2020/

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM CDT /3 AM MDT/ TO
10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ MONDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing temperatures of 32 degrees or below expected.

* WHERE...In New Mexico, Northern Lea County. In Texas, Gaines
  Dawson, Borden, and Scurry counties.

* WHEN...From 4 AM CDT /3 AM MDT/ to 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ Monday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill or damage crops
  or other sensitive vegetation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/maf

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1207 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 06z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
All terminals are currently VFR for the moment, but watching TSRA
development over KMAF on the edge of the dryline. Storms will
press east quickly between 06-08z, allowing for the the tempo
being shortened at KMAF from previous. Once TSRA clears east, all
sites will be VFR heading through the period. Winds will increase
west to east by morning with winds >25kts expected at all
terminals by 16-18z. Winds will decrease toward sunset, but eyes
turn of a cold front pressing south after 00z Monday. Expect FROPA
at KHOB/KMAF at end of forecast time frame with increased winds
out of NE following passage.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 901 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2020/

UPDATE...
Tornado watch #100 has been cancelled.

DISCUSSION...
We have opted to cancel the Tornado Watch early due the lack of
development. However, there is still the potential for storms,
some severe, to develop after midnight. Currently the dryline is
in the far ern and srn CWFA, but is expected to retreat to near a
Gail...Odessa...Ft Stockton line by 06Z/Sun and with a 110kt 3h
jet overhead storms are favored to redevelop along/near dryline in
conjunction with the intensification of a 40kt low-level jet.
Forecast has been updated to reflect severe potential mainly
after midnight.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 352 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2020/

DISCUSSION...
An upper level trough/low is centered over southern Arizona with
southwest flow over West Texas and southeast New Mexico. A dryline
is expected to develop across the area then push east to the
eastern Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos later this afternoon
and this evening. The NAM12 is showing CAPE values of over 2,000
J/kg across the far eastern areas of the CWA this afternoon and 0
to 6 km bulk shear values of near 50 kts across the whole area and
mid-level lapse rates of over 7 degrees C/km. Current analysis
shows CAPE values of 3000+ J/kg across portions of the Permian
Basin and Western Low Rolling Plains. Upper lift will also be
enhanced across portions of the area late this afternoon into this
evening. These conditions will allow for a chance of severe
thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, mainly across the
Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos. A Tornado Watch is in effect
across the eastern Permian Basin and Western Low Rolling Plains
until 10 pm this evening. Temperatures today are expected to be
slightly warmer than yesterday with highs mostly in the 80s.

The upper trough moves over the region tonight into Sunday. This
upper trough will be connected to a broader upper trough which
will move over the Upper Midwest on Sunday. Strong winds at the
base of the trough moving over the CWA will result in very windy
conditions tonight through Sunday. A High Wind Warning is in
effect for the Guadalupe Mountains beginning this afternoon and
continuing into Sunday night. Possible high wind or wind advisory
conditions will be present further east on Sunday. These westerly
winds will be associated with a Pacific front which will result in
slightly cooler temperatures for Sunday. An even stronger cold
front associated with the upper trough over the Northern Plains
will move into the area Sunday night. This will result in quite a
significant temperature drop with temperatures in the 30s expected
across the Permian Basin and parts of southeast New Mexico Monday
morning. A Freeze Watch is in effect for north and central parts
of Lea County as well as Gaines and Dawson Counties. High
temperatures for Monday may only warm up into the 50s for northern
sections of the area. Cold temperatures are again expected Tuesday
morning with lows mostly in the 30s and 40s. Temperatures on
Tuesday may not be that much different than those on Monday with
the colder airmass remaining near the area. Southerly surface
winds will return to the area on Wednesday resulting in
temperatures warming into mostly the 60s and 70s. Temperatures
will generally be warming up into the extended forecast with highs
mostly in the 70s and 80s and not much in the way of precipitation
expected.

FIRE WEATHER...
A dryline is pushing east across the area today with gusty west
wind  in its wake. A High Wind Warning in effect for the
Guadalupe Mountains with a High Wind Watch for the surrounding
plains. Minimum RH below 10 percent will be possible west of the
dryline. A RFD remains in effect today for near critical fire
weather conditions for Southeast New Mexico southward across the
mountains to the Presidio Valley. The dryline will retreat west
tonight with good recovery for most of the region. Near critical
fire weather conditions are possible Sunday across the Big Bend. A
strong cold front will blow into the area late Sunday with much
colder temperatures... higher RH... and a gusty NE wind.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     83  52  77  36 /  40  30   0  10
Carlsbad                       82  50  78  41 /   0   0   0  20
Dryden                         92  57  84  48 /  10  20   0   0
Fort Stockton                  85  53  77  43 /  10  10   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 70  42  66  40 /   0   0   0  10
Hobbs                          81  48  74  33 /  20   0   0  20
Marfa                          77  41  71  40 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           83  52  78  37 /  30  20   0  10
Odessa                         81  52  78  38 /  30  20   0  10
Wink                           85  51  80  40 /  20   0   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...High Wind Watch from 6 AM MDT Sunday through Sunday evening for
     Eddy County Plains.

     Freeze Watch from late Sunday night through Monday morning for
     Central Lea County-Northern Lea County.

     High Wind Warning until 11 PM MDT Sunday for Guadalupe Mountains
     of Eddy County.

TX...High Wind Watch from 7 AM CDT Sunday through Sunday evening for
     Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-Eastern Culberson
     County-Reeves County Plains-Van Horn and Highway 54
     Corridor.

     Freeze Watch from late Sunday night through Monday morning for
     Dawson-Gaines.

     High Wind Warning until 11 PM MDT Sunday for Guadalupe Mountains
     Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

&&

87/44

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
342 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-130845-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
342 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020 /242 AM MDT Sun Apr 12 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

High Wind Warning in effect beginning this morning, through the
afternoon for; the Guadalupe mountains of Texas, Delaware mountains,
Culberson county, and the Davis mountains and adjacent foothills. The
High Wind Warning will expire this evening everywhere, except the
Guadalupe mountain area, where this will expire closer to midnight
local time.

A Wind Advisory is in effect beginning this morning for the plains of
Eddy county, as well as the Guadalupe mountains of Eddy county. Wind
Advisory will extend east across the Pecos River valley, southwest
Permian Basin, Upper Trans-Pecos, across the Big Bend and Marfa
Plateau. A second Wind Advisory will take effect in the evening for
all areas in the High Wind Warning earlier in the day (Outside the
Guadalupe mountains).

Strong cold front will move through the region beginning this evening
with gusty northeast winds and rapidly falling temperatures.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

A Freeze Warning is now in effect Monday morning for northern Lea
County and the Northern Permian Basin.

A High Wind Watch is in effect for the Guadalupe and Delaware
mountains Monday afternoon and early evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1250 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1247 AM     HAIL             GREENWOOD               32.03N 101.90W
04/12/2020  E1.00 INCH       MIDLAND            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SCOTT.KLEEBAUER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
102 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1243 AM     HAIL             2 SE MIDLAND            31.98N 102.06W
04/12/2020  E1.00 INCH       Midland            TX   SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

SCOTT.KLEEBAUER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
155 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 AM     HAIL             BIG SPRING              32.25N 101.48W
04/12/2020  E1.75 INCH       HOWARD             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL WITH SOME GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL AT
            TIMES

&&

SCOTT.KLEEBAUER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
201 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 AM     HAIL             CRANE                   31.39N 102.35W
04/12/2020  M1.00 INCH       CRANE              TX   SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

SCOTT.KLEEBAUER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
207 AM CDT SUN APR 12 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0140 AM     HAIL             1 N GARDEN CITY         31.88N 101.48W
04/12/2020  M1.75 INCH       Glasscock          TX   SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

SCOTT.KLEEBAUER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
228 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020

TXZ048-053-120815-
Mitchell TX-Scurry TX-
228 AM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MITCHELL AND SOUTHEASTERN SCURRY
COUNTIES UNTIL 315 AM CDT...

At 228 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Colorado City, moving northeast at 40 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Snyder, Colorado City, Loraine, Colorado City Airport, Lake Colorado
City, Lake Colorado City State Park, Inadale, Champion Creek
Reservoir, Westbrook, Hermleigh, Winston Field, Cuthbert, Buford,
Dunn and Ira.

This includes Interstate 20 between mile markers 201 and 228.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3209 10118 3277 10102 3279 10066 3209 10067
TIME...MOT...LOC 0728Z 243DEG 33KT 3247 10080

29