High Wind Warning 11, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

619 
WWUS74 KMAF 181703
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1103 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2020

TXZ271-191200-
/O.EXT.KMAF.HW.W.0011.200218T1703Z-200219T1500Z/
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains NP and Pine Springs
1003 AM MST Tue Feb 18 2020

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM MST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...East to northeast winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts to 60 mph.

* WHERE...Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains in Texas, especially 
  Guadalupe Pass.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM MST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power 
  lines. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile 
  vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/maf

462 
WWUS74 KMAF 191000
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
400 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

TXZ271-191500-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-200219T1500Z/
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains NP and Pine Springs
300 AM MST Wed Feb 19 2020

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM MST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...East to northeast winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts to 60 
  mph.

* WHERE...Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains in Texas, especially 
  Guadalupe Pass.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM MST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power 
  lines. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile 
  vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/maf

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
355 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2020

.DISCUSSION...

The much advertised cold front continues to push through the
region  early this morning, and is currently nearing the Pecos
River. The front will continue its southward progression through
the day today, and should reach the Rio Grande by late this
afternoon. Cold advection in the wake of the front along with
increasing cloud cover will yield much cooler temperatures,
especially along/north of I-10, where highs in the upper 40s and
50s will be nearly 30 degrees cooler than yesterday. Further
south, highs closer to the Rio Grande will reach the 70s to
around 80 degrees, where the front moves through a bit closer to
peak heating. Strong northeasterly gap winds are also expected
through Guadalupe Pass beginning late this afternoon and
continuing through Wednesday morning, so the High Wind Watch for
the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains has been upgraded to a High
Wind Warning. Northeasterly surface flow will provide continued
cold advection through Thursday, yielding continued below normal
temperatures with highs in the 40s and 50s Wednesday, and even
some cooler highs in the upper 30s possible across northern zones
on Thursday in response to a secondary push of colder air.

Isentropic upglide will begin tonight, continuing in earnest
Wednesday into Thursday, yielding increasing rain chances first
across portions of the Rio Grande Valley and Stockton Plateau
tonight, and expanding across much of the area Wednesday and
Thursday. Model guidance has continued the trend of coming in
warmer and drier, with the greatest QPF focused just east of the
forecast area. Thus, the primary precipitation type is expected to
be a cold rain or drizzle, though across northern Lea county and
portions of the northwestern Permian Basin where temperatures dip
below freezing early Thursday, a rain/freezing rain mix may be
possible. Rain chances will diminish through Thursday, though
lingering light precipitation will be possible Thursday night,
mainly along and south of I-10, with a wintry mix of rain,
freezing rain, and sleet possible, particularly across the higher
terrain. No accumulations are currently expected, and thus,
impacts are expected to be fairly minimal.

Dry conditions return Friday, and after one more day of below
normal temperatures, a warming trend begins Saturday and
continues into early next week. A shortwave ahead of an
approaching trough could yield some rain showers, mainly across
portions of Southeast New Mexico and the northern Permian Basin
Saturday into Saturday night, though models have been trending
drier, thus have maintained only slight chance mention. By
Sunday, highs will reach into the 60s for most, while the
aforementioned trough moves out of the Rockies and lifts
northeastward across northeastern New Mexico toward the Central
Plains. Given the northern trajectory of the trough, windy to
very windy conditions may result across much of the area during
the day on Sunday. Looking into early next week, Monday will see
above normal temperatures in the middle 60s to middle 70s, with
the potential for another wind event on Tuesday. However, GFS and
ECMWF solutions remain out of phase, thus have not deviated much
from the blended solution at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     51  34  47  36 /  10   0  50  50
Carlsbad                       54  34  48  34 /   0   0  10  10
Dryden                         66  44  50  42 /  10  20  60  30
Fort Stockton                  59  37  46  37 /   0   0  50  30
Guadalupe Pass                 51  30  48  33 /   0   0  10   0
Hobbs                          48  30  45  33 /   0   0  10  20
Marfa                          63  34  51  36 /   0  10  30  10
Midland Intl Airport           51  34  46  36 /   0   0  40  30
Odessa                         49  34  45  36 /   0   0  40  30
Wink                           54  37  47  36 /   0   0  30  20

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...High Wind Warning from 5 PM this afternoon to 8 AM MST Wednesday
     for Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains.

&&

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
339 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2020

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-190945-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
339 AM CST Tue Feb 18 2020 /239 AM MST Tue Feb 18 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

High Wind Warning in effect from 5 PM this afternoon to 6 AM MST
Wednesday for gap winds through Guadalupe Pass.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

High Wind Warning in effect from 6 AM to 8 AM MST Wednesday for gap
winds through Guadalupe Pass.

A wintry mix of precipitation will be possible in extreme
southeastern New Mexico and the northwestern Permian Basin early
Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

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