Severe Thunderstorm Warning 79, NWS New Orleans, LA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
357 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2020

.DISCUSSION...
Convection is currently ongoing from a squall line that originated
further up in northern Mississippi. These storms have been pretty
marginal so far with gusts up to around 30kts recorded in areas
affected so far. This line of storms will continue to move south
to southwestward into the area. Additionally, a few pop up storms
have been bubbling up off on seabreezes south of I-10. Can't
completely rule out any severe wind potential due to large CAPE
values well into the 2000-3000 J/kg range and decent PW values
around 1.5 inch. The steady rain should help cool down the
oppressive heat that has been sticking around the last few days.
The squall line is currently pretty progressive and does not have
the same back building features as the storms did yesterday but
areas where storms train over for a while could pick up 1 to 2
inches of rain.
Moving into Friday, the trough currently over the
eastern coast will dig southward and kick up a weak front. This
front currently is looking to stall pretty much right over us
around I-12 and the coastal Mississippi line. This front along
with impulses moving in from the north will keep us in a
persistent wet pattern through around Tuesday. PW values are
forecasted around 2 inches throughout the rest of the week into
next week. While individual storms should not be dumping too much
rain at once, due to the persistence heavy rain may become an
issue in the long run for areas that get repeated rounds of
storms. -BL

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR to MVFR conditions will prevail for the forecast period.
Convection from the north along with typical seabreeze popup
storms may also reduce conditions if they pass directly over
terminals. Winds could briefly gust up due to storms or outflow
boundaries. Otherwise, VCSH or light showers will be more likely
going into tomorrow morning. -BL

&&

.MARINE...
The winds for the coastal waters will generally be westerly and
light. There are a few times where it reaches a little above 10kts
this week but not expecting anything to hit any type of criteria.
Showers and thunderstorms will be in the forecast for the 5 days
or so. -BL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  75  91  74  89 /  40  70  40  70
BTR  76  92  74  90 /  20  70  40  60
ASD  75  92  74  91 /  30  70  40  70
MSY  78  91  76  89 /  30  70  50  70
GPT  76  90  76  88 /  40  70  40  70
PQL  74  93  74  90 /  50  70  50  80

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
258 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2020

LAZ037-039-040-071-072-MSZ069-070-077-080>082-022045-
Washington-St. Helena-Northern Tangipahoa-Southern Tangipahoa-St.
Tammany-Pike-Jackson-Harrison-Hancock-Amite-Pearl River-
258 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2020

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN ST.
HELENA...ST. TAMMANY...NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA AND SOUTHWESTERN
WASHINGTON PARISHES...SOUTHWESTERN PIKE...SOUTHEASTERN AMITE...
HARRISON...HANCOCK...SOUTHERN JACKSON AND SOUTHWESTERN PEARL RIVER
COUNTIES...

At 258 PM CDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Magnolia to 6 miles northeast of
Wilmer to Sun to near Lyman to near Big Point. Movement was southwest
at 15 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Gulfport, Biloxi, Slidell, Ocean Springs, Long Beach, Moss Point,
Picayune, Bay St. Louis, Covington, Waveland, Franklinton, Amite, St.
Martin, Escatawpa, Diamondhead, Gautier, D'iberville, Amite City,
Pearl River and Magnolia.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

LAT...LON 3032 8851 3043 8885 3030 8927 3037 8935
      3031 8933 3015 8958 3017 8972 3037 9024
      3049 9024 3098 9083 3124 9053 3092 9022
      3070 8983 3053 8909 3061 8841 3041 8840
TIME...MOT...LOC 1958Z 033DEG 14KT 3113 9053 3086 9027 3065 8988 3047
8914 3057 8841

24/RR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
337 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2020

LAZ035>037-040-048>050-058-060>064-069>072-MSZ068-069-080-022130-
Orleans-St. Charles-Livingston-Ascension-East Feliciana-Southern
Tangipahoa-Lower St. Bernard-St. Tammany-East Baton Rouge-West
Feliciana-Lower Plaquemines-Upper St. Bernard-St. Helena-Northern
Tangipahoa-St. John The Baptist-Upper Plaquemines-Upper
Jefferson-Wilkinson-Amite-Hancock-
337 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2020

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WESTERN ST. BERNARD...
ORLEANS...NORTHEASTERN WEST FELICIANA...SOUTHERN ST. TAMMANY...
NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON...NORTHEASTERN EAST BATON ROUGE...CENTRAL ST.
JOHN THE BAPTIST...NORTHEASTERN ASCENSION...NORTHWESTERN ST.
CHARLES...ST. HELENA...LIVINGSTON...EAST FELICIANA...TANGIPAHOA AND
NORTHWESTERN PLAQUEMINES PARISHES...EASTERN WILKINSON...AMITE AND
SOUTHWESTERN HANCOCK COUNTIES...

At 336 PM CDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Liberty to near Covington to 6 miles
southeast of Pearlington. Movement was southwest at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
New Orleans, Slidell, Hammond, Zachary, Denham Springs, Covington,
Jackson, Clinton, Liberty, Greensburg, Reserve, Amite, Metairie,
Laplace, Marrero, Chalmette, Avondale, Harvey, East New Orleans and
Timberlane.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 3135 9055 3100 9059 3055 9017 3023 8942
      3016 8966 3015 8963 3000 8985 2994 8984
      2994 8977 2987 8970 2986 8962 2968 8971
      3000 9050 3074 9127 3100 9127 3133 9119
TIME...MOT...LOC 2036Z 028DEG 25KT 3113 9085 3051 9020 3021 8950

24/RR