Alert archive / Louisiana / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 77, NWS Lake Charles, LA

September 28, 2020Allen Parish, Calcasieu Parish, Jefferson Davis Parish, Louisiana

NWS Lake Charles, LA issued this river flood warning at Sep 28, 2020, 2:14 PM CDT for Allen Parish, Calcasieu Parish, Jefferson Davis Parish, Louisiana. It took effect at Oct 1, 2020, 1:00 AM CDT. It was in force for .

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Sep 28, 2020, 2:14 PM CDT (19:14 UTC)
In effect from: Oct 1, 2020, 1:00 AM CDT
Expired: Sep 30, 2020, 10:52 AM CDT
In force
Issued by: NWS Lake Charles, LA
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Allen Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA

The river

Written for the forecast point Calcasieu River near Kinder (KDRL1).

Action stage: 13.5 ft
Minor stage: 16 ft
Moderate stage: 20 ft
Major stage: 23 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08015500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

249 
WGUS44 KLCH 281914
FLWLCH

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
214 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

...The National Weather Service in Lake Charles LA has issued a 
Flood Warning for the following rivers in Louisiana...

  Whisky Chitto Creek Near Mittie

  Calcasieu River NEAR White Oak Park

  Calcasieu River Near Oakdale

  Calcasieu River Near Oberlin

  Calcasieu River Near Kinder

LAC019-291915-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FL.W.0073.200928T1914Z-000000T0000Z/
/CWOL1.1.ER.200928T1635Z.201005T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
214 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Calcasieu River NEAR White Oak Park.
* From this afternoon until further notice.
* At 1:35 PM CDT Monday the stage was 2.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  evening and continue rising to 3.5 feet Monday morning. Additional 
  rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 3.0 feet, Water over lowest portions of Goos Ferry 
  Road. Cars should be moved to higher ground.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu          

Calcasieu River
White Oak Park 2.0   2.0   Mon 1 pm CDT 2.2   2.6   2.8          





&&

LAT...LON 3038 9314 3031 9303 3025 9308 3019 9321
      3030 9329

$$

LAC003-079-291915-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FL.W.0074.200929T1200Z-201004T0900Z/
/OKDL1.1.ER.200929T1200Z.201001T0000Z.201003T0900Z.NO/
214 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Calcasieu River Near Oakdale.
* From Tuesday morning to late Saturday night.
* There is no current observed data.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  tomorrow morning to a crest of 13.0 feet Wednesday evening. It 
  will then fall below flood stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding, mainly forested 
  areas along the river will occur. Park and picnic ground off of 
  Highway 10 begins to flood.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu          

Calcasieu River
Oakdale        12.0  MSG   unknown      12.3  12.9  12.9         





&&

LAT...LON 3090 9265 3077 9267 3077 9272 3088 9270
      3090 9269

$$

LAC003-011-291915-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FL.W.0075.200929T2100Z-201003T1000Z/
/MTTL1.1.ER.200929T2100Z.200930T1800Z.201002T2200Z.NO/
214 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Whisky Chitto Creek Near Mittie.
* From Tuesday afternoon to late Friday night.
* At 1:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 16.5 feet early Wednesday 
  afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding near the creek will 
  occur.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu          

Whisky Chitto Creek
Mittie             15.0  13.5  Mon 1 pm CDT 14.7  16.5  16.1         





&&

LAT...LON 3074 9284 3059 9287 3049 9285 3047 9294
      3061 9299 3075 9294

$$

LAC003-291915-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FL.W.0076.200930T1300Z-000000T0000Z/
/OBCL1.1.ER.200930T1300Z.201002T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
214 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Calcasieu River Near Oberlin.
* From Wednesday morning until further notice.
* At 1:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  Wednesday morning and continue rising to a crest of 14.9 feet 
  early Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Moderate flooding will occur with several 
  access roads to the river flooded.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu          

Calcasieu River
Oberlin        13.0  10.8  Mon 1 pm CDT 11.1  13.5  14.6         





&&

LAT...LON 3078 9267 3058 9277 3058 9289 3071 9283
      3077 9273

$$

LAC003-019-053-291915-
/O.NEW.KLCH.FL.W.0077.201001T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/KDRL1.1.ER.201001T0600Z.201002T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
214 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

The National Weather Service in Lake Charles has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Calcasieu River Near Kinder.
* From late Wednesday night until further notice.
* At 1:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 15.4 feet tomorrow evening. It 
  will then fall to 15.3 feet and begin rising again early Wednesday 
  morning. It will rise above flood stage early Thursday morning and 
  continue to rise to 17.0 feet early Saturday morning. It will then 
  fall again but remain above flood stage.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Flooding of wooded areas near the river 
  will occur.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu          

Calcasieu River
Kinder         16.0  15.1  Mon 1 pm CDT 15.4  15.5  16.6         





&&

LAT...LON 3059 9277 3045 9293 3033 9309 3035 9318
      3058 9290

$$

4 follow-up statements

250 
WGUS84 KLCH 290109 RRA
FLSLCH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
809 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Calcasieu River Near Kinder

LAC003-019-053-300115-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0077.201001T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/KDRL1.1.ER.201001T0600Z.201002T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
809 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Calcasieu River Near Kinder.
* From late Wednesday night until further notice.
* At 7:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Thursday morning and continue rising to a crest of 15.4 feet just 
  after midnight tonight. It will then rise to 17.0 feet Friday 
  morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Flooding of wooded areas near the river 
  will occur.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu          

Calcasieu River
Kinder         16.0  15.3  Mon 7 pm CDT 15.4  15.7  16.8         





&&

LAT...LON 3059 9277 3045 9293 3033 9309 3035 9318
      3058 9290

$$

Mogged

268 
WGUS84 KLCH 291526
FLSLCH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1026 AM CDT Tue Sep 29 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Calcasieu River Near Oakdale

  Calcasieu River Near Kinder

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...Texas...

  Whisky Chitto Creek Near Mittie

  Sabine River Near Deweyville

  Calcasieu River NEAR White Oak Park

  Calcasieu River Near Glenmora

LAC003-079-301530-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-201004T2100Z/
/OKDL1.1.ER.201001T0600Z.201002T0600Z.201003T2100Z.NO/
1026 AM CDT Tue Sep 29 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Sunday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Calcasieu River Near Oakdale.
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* The latest estimated stage is 11.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Thursday morning to a crest of 13.0 feet early Friday morning. It 
  will then fall below flood stage Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding, mainly forested 
  areas along the river will occur. Park and picnic ground off of 
  Highway 10 begins to flood.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Calcasieu River
Oakdale        12.0  MSG   unknown      11.9  12.6  12.9         





&&

LAT...LON 3090 9265 3077 9267 3077 9272 3088 9270
      3090 9269

$$

LAC011-019-TXC351-361-301530-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-201002T0600Z/
/DWYT2.1.ER.200925T0452Z.200928T2015Z.201001T1800Z.NO/
1026 AM CDT Tue Sep 29 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Sabine River Near Deweyville.
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 9:45 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 24.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:45 AM CDT Tuesday was 24.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  Thursday afternoon and continue falling to 23.2 feet Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Lowest roads beside the river flood around 
  Deweyville and subject to being closed. In addition, low-lying 
  roads in Southwest Beauregard Parish are flooded including Robert 
  Clark Road. Flooding occurs on the south side of Niblett Bluff 
  Park with access roads to camp houses cut off around the park. 
  Access roads to the river in Northeastern Orange County become 
  flooded.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Sabine River
Deweyville  24.0  24.8  Tue 9 am CDT 24.4  24.0  23.6         





&&

LAT...LON 3057 9363 3011 9364 3011 9378 3031 9381
      3062 9378

$$

LAC003-011-301530-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0075.201001T0600Z-201002T0600Z/
/MTTL1.1.ER.201001T0600Z.201001T0600Z.201001T1800Z.NO/
1026 AM CDT Tue Sep 29 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Whisky Chitto Creek Near Mittie.
* From late Wednesday night to late Thursday night.
* At 10:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Thursday morning to a crest of 15.0 feet early Thursday morning. 
  It will then fall below flood stage early Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding near the creek will 
  occur.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Whisky Chitto Creek
Mittie             15.0  12.9  Tue 10 am CD 14.6  15.0  14.2         





&&

LAT...LON 3074 9284 3059 9287 3049 9285 3047 9294
      3061 9299 3075 9294

$$

LAC003-019-053-301530-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0077.201001T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/KDRL1.1.ER.201001T0900Z.201002T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 AM CDT Tue Sep 29 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Calcasieu River Near Kinder.
* From late Wednesday night until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Thursday morning and continue rising to a crest of 15.6 feet this 
  afternoon. It will then rise to 17.0 feet Friday morning. 
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Flooding of wooded areas near the river 
  will occur.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Calcasieu River
Kinder         16.0  15.6  Tue 10 am CD 15.4  16.4  17.0         





&&

LAT...LON 3059 9277 3045 9293 3033 9309 3035 9318
      3058 9290

$$

LAC019-301530-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CWOL1.1.ER.200928T1635Z.201003T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 AM CDT Tue Sep 29 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Calcasieu River NEAR White Oak Park.
* Until further notice.
* At 9:35 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 1.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  tomorrow afternoon and continue rising to 2.9 feet early Saturday 
  afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 3.0 feet, Water over lowest portions of Goos Ferry 
  Road. Cars should be moved to higher ground.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Calcasieu River
White Oak Park 2.0   1.2   Tue 9 am CDT 2.0   2.4   2.6          





&&

LAT...LON 3038 9314 3031 9303 3025 9308 3019 9321
      3030 9329

$$

LAC079-301530-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLML1.1.ER.200924T0024Z.200930T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 AM CDT Tue Sep 29 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Calcasieu River Near Glenmora.
* Until further notice.
* At 9:45 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:45 AM CDT Tuesday was 14.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.5 feet 
  early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Flooding of secondary roads near the river 
  and its tributaries begins, including Ashmore Road. Strothers 
  Crossing Road near Calcasieu and Price Crossing Road near Hineston 
  have several feet of water over them and subject to washouts.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Calcasieu River
Glenmora       12.0  14.9  Tue 9 am CDT 15.5  15.4  14.9         





&&

LAT...LON 3115 9275 3105 9265 3090 9262 3090 9269
      3113 9279

$$

Brazzell

899 
WGUS84 KLCH 300057
FLSLCH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
757 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2020

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...Texas...

  Calcasieu River Near Oakdale
  Calcasieu River Near Oberlin
  Calcasieu River Near Kinder
  Sabine River Near Deweyville

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Whisky Chitto Creek Near Mittie
  Calcasieu River Near White Oak Park
  Calcasieu River Near Glenmora

LAC003-079-010100-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OKDL1.1.ER.201001T2230Z.201003T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
757 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Calcasieu River Near Oakdale.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was estimated at 11.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  Thursday afternoon and continue rising to a crest of 13.0 feet 
  Friday evening.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding, mainly forested 
  areas along the river will occur. Park and picnic ground off of 
  Highway 10 begins to flood.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Low secondary roads near the river begin to 
  flood. Several houses in close proximity to the river are subject 
  to flooding.

&&


               Fld   Estimate           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Calcasieu River
Oakdale        12.0  11.7  Tue 7 pm CDT 11.7  12.1  13.0         





&&

LAT...LON 3090 9265 3077 9267 3077 9272 3088 9270
      3090 9269

$$

LAC011-019-TXC351-361-010100-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-201002T1800Z/
/DWYT2.1.ER.200925T0452Z.200928T2015Z.201002T0600Z.NO/
757 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Sabine River Near Deweyville.
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 6:45 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 24.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 6:45 PM CDT Tuesday was 24.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  Friday morning and continue falling to 23.1 feet Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Lowest roads beside the river flood around 
  Deweyville and subject to being closed. In addition, low-lying 
  roads in Southwest Beauregard Parish are flooded including Robert 
  Clark Road. Flooding occurs on the south side of Niblett Bluff 
  Park with access roads to camp houses cut off around the park. 
  Access roads to the river in Northeastern Orange County become 
  flooded.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Sabine River
Deweyville  24.0  24.7  Tue 6 pm CDT 24.4  24.1  23.7         





&&

LAT...LON 3057 9363 3011 9364 3011 9378 3031 9381
      3062 9378

$$

LAC003-010100-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0076.200930T1612Z-000000T0000Z/
/OBCL1.2.ER.200930T1612Z.201002T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
757 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Calcasieu River Near Oberlin.
* From Wednesday morning until further notice.
* At 7:15 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  tomorrow morning and continue rising to a crest of 15.0 feet 
  Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Moderate flooding will occur with several 
  access roads to the river flooded.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Calcasieu River
Oberlin        13.0  11.1  Tue 7 pm CDT 14.1  15.0  14.9         





&&

LAT...LON 3078 9267 3058 9277 3058 9289 3071 9283
      3077 9273

$$

LAC003-019-053-010100-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0077.201002T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KDRL1.1.ER.201002T0000Z.201003T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
757 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2020

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Calcasieu River Near Kinder.
* From Thursday evening until further notice.
* At 7:15 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  Thursday evening and continue rising to a crest of 17.0 feet 
  Friday evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Flooding of wooded areas near the river 
  will occur.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, If gage reading at Kinder reaches 18 feet, 
  flooding begins to cut off some of the roads around Topsy in 
  Northwest Jefferson Davis Parish.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Calcasieu River
Kinder         16.0  15.6  Tue 7 pm CDT 15.4  16.0  17.0         





&&

LAT...LON 3059 9277 3045 9293 3033 9309 3035 9318
      3058 9290

$$

LAC019-010100-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CWOL1.1.ER.200928T1635Z.201004T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
757 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Calcasieu River NEAR White Oak Park.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:35 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 1.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 2.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Thursday morning and continue rising to 3.0 feet early Sunday 
  afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 3.0 feet, Water over lowest portions of Goos Ferry 
  Road. Cars should be moved to higher ground.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Calcasieu River
White Oak Park 2.0   1.5   Tue 7 pm CDT 1.9   2.3   2.6          





&&

LAT...LON 3038 9314 3031 9303 3025 9308 3019 9321
      3030 9329

$$

LAC079-010100-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLML1.1.ER.200924T0024Z.201001T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
757 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Calcasieu River Near Glenmora.
* Until further notice.
* At 6:45 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 6:45 PM CDT Tuesday was 14.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.5 feet 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Flooding of secondary roads near the river 
  and its tributaries begins, including Ashmore Road. Strothers 
  Crossing Road near Calcasieu and Price Crossing Road near Hineston 
  have several feet of water over them and subject to washouts.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, When the river is rising and forecast to 
  reach 16 feet, portions of Highway 112 between Highway 121 and 
  Beechwood Church is subject to flooding.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Calcasieu River
Glenmora       12.0  14.9  Tue 6 pm CDT 15.2  15.5  15.1         





&&

LAT...LON 3115 9275 3105 9265 3090 9262 3090 9269
      3113 9279

$$

LAC003-011-010100-
/O.CON.KLCH.FL.W.0075.201001T0600Z-201002T0600Z/
/MTTL1.1.ER.201001T0600Z.201001T0600Z.201001T1800Z.NO/
757 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2020

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Whisky Chitto Creek Near Mittie.
* From late Wednesday night to late Thursday night.
* At 7:15 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Thursday morning to a crest of 15.0 feet early Thursday morning. 
  It will then fall below flood stage early Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding near the creek will 
  occur.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Whisky Chitto Creek
Mittie             15.0  12.8  Tue 7 pm CDT 14.8  14.9  13.8         





&&

LAT...LON 3074 9284 3059 9287 3049 9285 3047 9294
      3061 9299 3075 9294

$$

Warthen

351 
WGUS84 KLCH 301552
FLSLCH

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1052 AM CDT Wed Sep 30 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Calcasieu River Near Kinder

LAC003-019-053-301700-
/O.CAN.KLCH.FL.W.0077.201002T0000Z-200930T1552Z/
/KDRL1.1.ER.700125T2031Z.700125T2031Z.700125T2031Z.NO/
1052 AM CDT Wed Sep 30 2020

...The Flood Warning for the Calcasieu River Near Kinder has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Calcasieu River Near Kinder.
* At 10:15 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 15.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.6 feet 
  Friday evening.

&&


               Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat          

Calcasieu River
Kinder         16.0  15.5  Wed 10 am CD 15.4  15.5  15.6         





&&

LAT...LON 3059 9277 3045 9293 3033 9309 3035 9318
      3058 9290

$$

87

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lake Charles, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 28, 12:34 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 28, 12:34 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1234 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

.DISCUSSION...
18Z TAFS

&&

.AVIATION...
The frontal boundary has just made it through ARA as denoted by
the northerly wind shift. A broken shield of light to moderate
showers with a few embedded thunderstorms will trail the front
primarily impacting LFT and ARA through the early afternoon. A
sharp clearing line denoted on visible satellite this afternoon
across northwest Louisiana will allow a return to VFR conditions
by mid evening. Gusty northerly winds in the wake of the front
will continue through the evening, moderate somewhat overnight
and then increase again during the day Tuesday.

Jones

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 950 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020/

UPDATE...
Just made some minor tweaks for current frontal placement and
speed in the first period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 706 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020/

DISCUSSION...
For the 09/28/20 1200 UTC TAF package.

AVIATION...
Convection pushing through Central LA this morning ahead of a
CDFNT that just recently pushed through a Lufkin to Conroe TX
line. A window of TSTMS with HVY rain and gusty NW winds will
accompany this convection, followed by a period of MVFR CIGS for a
couple of hours before improving to VFR thereafter under mid level
clouds and eventual clearing by tonight. Gusty NW winds will
prevail following FROPA, settling down though remaining elevated
tonight. The same general forecast structure was carried at the
southern terminals, with timing adjusted forward based on short
range consensus of frontal timing. Near term forecast concern for
these sites is the IFR/LIFR CIGS/VSBYS owing to fog/low stratus.
These conditions are expected to persist for another couple of
hours, with improvement to prevailing MVFR by mid morning ahead of
the front.

13

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 443 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020/

SYNOPSIS...
Latest UA analysis and WV imagery shows shortwave energy diving
south acrs the plains, deepening a mid level trough over the cntl
CONUS and helping to propel a cold front toward the area. As of 4
AM, the front extends from roughly El Dorado AR to College Station
TX. Ahead of front, southerly winds continue to transport warm and
moist air into the region. Temperatures are currently in the
middle to upper 70s acrs much of the area with dewpoints at or
just a degree or two lower than the air temps. Satellite imagery
and sfc obs indicated widespread low clouds and patchy fog have
developed acrs the area.

A cluster of showers and storms, including a few strong storms,
have been developing along the front as it encounters the warm and
modestly buoyant airmass. Additional convection continues to
develop further south along the boundary, with a few of these
storms moving into the Lakes Region of SE TX.

24

DISCUSSION...
The front is expected to enter our NW zones at the start of the
fcst period this morning, then quickly sweep acrs the area through
the day, exiting south cntl LA by late this aftn. Southerly winds
will allow moisture to pool ahead of the boundary, with precip
water values climbing to near 2 inches in the vcnty of the front.
Frontal convergence will be the primary forcing mechanism for
convective development, with sctd to nmrs showers forming along
and behind the boundary as it crosses the area. Elevated
instability atop the post frontal airmass should be enough for a
few thunderstorms to develop with the shower activity. Ahead of
the front, daytime heating will contribute to CAPE values reaching
between 2000-2500 J/kg acrs portions of southern LA, allowing for
storms to become a little more widespread. However the potential
for any strong to severe storms will be limited due to weak shear
and marginal lapse rates.

Much cooler and drier weather will follow the front tonight into
Wednesday. Temperatures the next couple of nights will be ~8 to 12
degrees below normal, with lows in the 50s both nights. The
coolest temps can be expected Wednesday morning, with lows near 50
north and in the lower to middle 50s south. Aftn temperatures
will also run below normal with highs in the 70s Tuesday, and into
the upper 70s/around 80 Wednesday.

An amplified pattern aloft will persist through the workweek as a
series of shortwaves moving south out of Canada maintain a deep
trough over the eastern CONUS, with a ridge over the western
states. This will keep a dry northwesterly flow over the region.
Temperatures will warmup slightly by Thursday as the initial sfc
high slides south and east ahead of another front. A reinforcement
of cool high pres will follow this front. No rain is expected as
dry air will remain entrenched acrs the area.

24

MARINE...
Onshore flow will shift northwesterly and increase sharply in the
wake of a cold front today. A much cooler and drier airmass
spreading over the warm nearshore waters will produce strong winds
and rough seas this aftn through Tues morning, with Small Craft
Advisories in effect. Sctd showers and a few tstms will also
accompany the front as it crosses the coastal waters today.

Offshore flow will diminish Tuesday, with a light to moderate
offshore flow persisting through much of the period. Winds and
seas will briefly increase Friday in the wake of a secondary
reinforcing front.

24

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  53  76  51  78 /  10   0   0   0
LCH  57  77  54  79 /  10   0   0   0
LFT  57  75  52  78 /  20   0   0   0
BPT  57  78  54  81 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT Tuesday for GMZ450-452-455-
     470-472-475.

     Small Craft Exercise Caution through Tuesday afternoon for
     GMZ430-432-435.

&&

AVIATION...66

Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 28, 4:21 AM CDT, 9 hours 53 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
421 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-290930-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-East Cameron-
Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-Northern Newton-
Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
421 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Louisiana, south
central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west central Louisiana and
southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Scattered to numerous showers and a few thunderstorms can be expected
this morning through this afternoon as a cold front sweeps through
the area. Some brief moderate to heavy rainfall and wind gusts will
be possible with the storms, along with occasional cloud to ground
lightning. However, no widespread hazardous weather is expected at
this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-290930-
Coastal waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA
out 20 NM-Waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA from
20 to 60 NM-
421 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM
CDT TUESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Gulf of Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Small Craft Advisory.

A few showers or thunderstorms will be possible along a cold front as
it crosses the coastal waters today. Occasional cloud to water
lightning is the primary hazard expected with any storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Small Craft Advisory.

Otherwise, No hazardous weather is expected for the remainder of the
period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

GMZ430-432-435-290930-
Sabine Lake-Calcasieu Lake-Vermilion Bay-
421 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal lakes and bays of
the Gulf of Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Scattered to numerous showers and a few thunderstorms can be expected
this morning through this afternoon as a cold front sweeps through
the area. Some brief moderate to heavy rainfall and wind gusts will
be possible with the storms, along with occasional cloud to water
lightning.

Winds will shift northerly and strengthen in the wake of the front.
Exercise caution flags have been raised through tonight for strong
winds and rough seas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Exercise caution conditions will continue into Tuesday morning, with
winds diminishing and seas decreasing through the afternoon and
evening.

Otherwise, No hazardous weather is expected for the remainder of the
period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 28, 8:56 AM CDT, 5 hours 18 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
856 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

LAZ027-028-031-281430-
Allen LA-Vernon LA-Rapides LA-
856 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN RAPIDES...
SOUTHEASTERN VERNON AND NORTHEASTERN ALLEN PARISHES UNTIL 930 AM
CDT...

At 856 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Pitkin, moving southeast at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Oakdale, Elizabeth, Pitkin, Mittie, Grant, Allen Parish Airport,
Fullerton and Cravens.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3076 9262 3063 9290 3078 9298 3088 9298
      3088 9303 3098 9308 3108 9287
TIME...MOT...LOC 1356Z 330DEG 21KT 3093 9292

Jones

Special weather statement, Sep 28, 9:05 AM CDT, 5 hours 9 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
905 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

LAZ028-031-032-281430-
Evangeline LA-Allen LA-Rapides LA-
905 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL RAPIDES...
NORTHWESTERN EVANGELINE AND NORTHEASTERN ALLEN PARISHES UNTIL 930 AM
CDT...

At 905 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles south of Hineston, moving southeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Oakdale, Glenmora, Beaver, Mcnary and Union Hill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3098 9279 3108 9267 3093 9237 3076 9262
TIME...MOT...LOC 1405Z 304DEG 31KT 3101 9276

Jones

Special weather statement, Sep 28, 10:26 AM CDT, 3 hours 48 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1026 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

LAZ030>032-041-042-073-TXZ215-216-262-281600-
West Cameron LA-Calcasieu LA-Jefferson Davis LA-Evangeline LA-
Allen LA-Beauregard LA-Orange TX-Jefferson TX-Southern Newton TX-
1026 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CAMERON...
NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS...SOUTHWESTERN EVANGELINE...SOUTHEASTERN
BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU AND ALLEN PARISHES...CENTRAL JEFFERSON...SOUTH
CENTRAL NEWTON AND ORANGE COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 AM CDT...

At 1026 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles northeast of Mittie to near La Belle.
Movement was south at 20 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Beaumont, Lake Charles, Port Arthur, Sulphur, Orange, Nederland,
Groves, Port Neches, Vidor, Bridge City, Westlake, West Orange,
Vinton, Kinder, Oberlin, Elton, Elizabeth, Fenton, Reeves and Moss
Bluff.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3088 9292 3089 9280 3058 9248 2975 9389
      2980 9391 2983 9381 2989 9377 2997 9376
      3000 9379 2998 9383 2999 9386 2997 9384
      2983 9392 2984 9395 2981 9393 2981 9395
      2974 9389 2968 9399 2966 9410 2994 9435
TIME...MOT...LOC 1526Z 342DEG 16KT 3076 9282 2989 9419

Jones

Special weather statement, Sep 28, 11:12 AM CDT, 3 hours 2 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1112 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

LAZ032-042-043-052-281645-
Acadia LA-Jefferson Davis LA-Vermilion LA-Evangeline LA-
1112 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS...
SOUTHWESTERN EVANGELINE...ACADIA AND NORTHWESTERN VERMILION PARISHES
UNTIL 1145 AM CDT...

At 1112 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Kinder, moving southeast at 40 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Crowley, Jennings, Welsh, Lake Arthur, Basile, Iota, Elton,
Mermentau, Evangeline, Morse, Riceville, Mowata, Maxie, Egan, Pine
Island, Estherwood, Roanoke, Hathaway and Midland.

LAT...LON 2995 9261 3004 9262 3004 9269 3029 9293
      3049 9269 3049 9263 3050 9262 3052 9262
      3056 9258 3049 9248 3048 9249 3048 9247
      3031 9223
TIME...MOT...LOC 1612Z 301DEG 33KT 3042 9287

Jones

Local storm report, Sep 28, 1:12 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
112 PM CDT MON SEP 28 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N MILTON              30.12N 92.07W
09/28/2020                   LAFAYETTE          LA   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE FELL ON HOME.

&&

CASTIGGER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lake Charles, LA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Sep 27, 9:30 PM CDT	Small Craft Advisory	LCH		46 hr
Sep 28, 8:56 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LCH	Allen	34 min
Sep 28, 9:05 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LCH	Evangeline	25 min
Sep 28, 10:26 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LCH	Allen, Calcasieu	34 min
Sep 28, 10:46 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LCH	Acadia, Allen, Jefferson Davis	29 min
Sep 28, 11:12 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LCH	Acadia, Jefferson Davis	33 min
Sep 28, 11:19 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LCH	Acadia, Evangeline, Jefferson Davis, Vermilion	26 min
Sep 28, 11:44 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LCH	Acadia, Lafayette, Vermilion	31 min
Sep 28, 2:14 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LCH	Calcasieu	29 days
Sep 28, 2:14 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LCH	Allen, Rapides	68 hr
Sep 28, 2:14 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LCH	Allen, Beauregard	45 hr
Sep 28, 2:14 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LCH	Allen	21 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Louisiana, 2020 Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.