Alert archive / Florida / Hurricane Warnings in 2020
Hurricane Warning 1029, NWS Key West, FL
NWS Key West, FL issued this hurricane warning at Nov 8, 2020, 10:20 AM EST for Monroe County, Florida. It was in force for 18 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 8, 2020, 10:20 AM EST (15:20 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 9, 2020, 4:24 AM EST
- In force
- 18 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Key West, FL
County Monroe County, FL
The radar
The Miami radar (KAMX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Miami, FL (KMFL), launched 12:00Z, 3.3 hours before the alert went out and 69 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 548 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -3 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 642 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 6 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -61 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -54 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
446
WTUS82 KKEY 081520
TCVKEY
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Eta Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 33
National Weather Service Key West FL AL292020
1020 AM EST Sun Nov 8 2020
FLZ078-082230-
/O.NEW.KKEY.SS.W.1029.201108T1520Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KKEY.HU.W.1029.201108T1520Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KKEY.TR.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KKEY.SS.A.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KKEY.HU.A.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Monroe Lower Keys-
1020 AM EST Sun Nov 8 2020
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
...STORM SURGE WARNING IN EFFECT...
A Hurricane Warning means hurricane-force winds are expected
somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Key West
- Sugarloaf Key
- Big Pine Key
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Strong Tropical Storm force
wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 45-60 mph with gusts to 75 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: early this evening
until Monday afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74
to 110 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or
2 hurricane force.
- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property
should be urgently completed. Prepare for considerable wind
damage.
- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some
having window, door, and garage door failures leading to
structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some
destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles.
Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within
urban or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways,
and access routes impassable.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Begins this morning
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of
greater than 3 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: Evacuation efforts and flood preparations should
soon be brought to completion before conditions become
unsafe.
- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for
your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or
needlessly risk lives.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated
by waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the
coast.
- Sections of escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable
low spots.
- Major beach erosion.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially
in unprotected anchorages.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally
higher amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
localized flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
localized flooding from heavy rain.
- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
- Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in
usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding
of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor
drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds
become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and
bridge closures.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a
few tornadoes.
- PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to
tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before
hazardous weather arrives.
- ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter
quickly.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
power and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- Family emergency plans: Federal Emergency Management Agency
- http://ready.gov/
- Local weather conditions and forecasts: NOAA/Florida Keys National Weather Service
- http://www.weather.gov/key/
$$
FLZ077-082230-
/O.NEW.KKEY.SS.W.1029.201108T1520Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KKEY.HU.W.1029.201108T1520Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KKEY.TR.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KKEY.SS.A.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KKEY.HU.A.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Monroe Middle Keys-
1020 AM EST Sun Nov 8 2020
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
...STORM SURGE WARNING IN EFFECT...
A Hurricane Warning means hurricane-force winds are expected
somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Marathon
- Key Colony Beach
- Layton
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Strong Tropical Storm force
wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 45-60 mph with gusts to 75 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: early this evening
until Monday afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74
to 110 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or
2 hurricane force.
- PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property
should be urgently completed. Prepare for considerable wind
damage.
- ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Considerable roof damage to sturdy buildings, with some
having window, door, and garage door failures leading to
structural damage. Mobile homes severely damaged, with some
destroyed. Damage accentuated by airborne projectiles.
Locations may be uninhabitable for weeks.
- Many large trees snapped or uprooted along with fences and
roadway signs blown over.
- Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within
urban or heavily wooded places. Several bridges, causeways,
and access routes impassable.
- Large areas with power and communications outages.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: through early Tuesday morning
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of
greater than 3 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should
be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from
storm surge flooding.
- ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture
outside.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally
higher amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
moderate flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues
are possible.
- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action may result in serious injury or loss of life.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations
and rescues.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken
foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas
of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and
poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on
moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge
closures.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a
few tornadoes.
- PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to
tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before
hazardous weather arrives.
- ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter
quickly.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
power and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- Family emergency plans: Federal Emergency Management Agency
- http://ready.gov/
- Local weather conditions and forecasts: NOAA/Florida Keys National Weather Service
- http://www.weather.gov/key/
$$
FLZ076-082230-
/O.NEW.KKEY.SS.W.1029.201108T1520Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KKEY.HU.W.1029.201108T1520Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KKEY.TR.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KKEY.SS.A.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KKEY.HU.A.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-
1020 AM EST Sun Nov 8 2020
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
...STORM SURGE WARNING IN EFFECT...
A Hurricane Warning means hurricane-force winds are expected
somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Islamorada
- Key Largo
- Ocean Reef
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 35-45 mph with gusts to 60 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: until Monday
afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74
to 110 mph
- The wind threat has increased from the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or
2 hurricane force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts should solely focus on
protecting life. The area remains subject to considerable
wind damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from life-threatening wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: through early Tuesday morning
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against life-threatening storm surge of
greater than 3 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: Flood preparations and ordered evacuations should
be complete. Evacuees should be in shelters well away from
storm surge flooding.
- ACT: Remain sheltered in a safe location. Do not venture
outside.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally
higher amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major
flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has increased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are
likely.
- PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially
if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and
rescues.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover
escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some
weakened or washed out.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include possible
tornadoes.
- PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the
latest tornado situation.
- ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter
if a tornado warning is issued.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
power and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- Family emergency plans: Federal Emergency Management Agency
- http://ready.gov/
- Local weather conditions and forecasts: NOAA/Florida Keys National Weather Service
- http://www.weather.gov/key/
$$
CLR7 follow-up statements
744 WHUS72 KKEY 081524 MWWKEY URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Key West FL 1024 AM EST Sun Nov 8 2020 GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-082230- /O.UPG.KKEY.TR.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.UPG.KKEY.HU.A.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KKEY.HU.W.1029.201108T1524Z-000000T0000Z/ Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and Buttonwood Sound- Bayside and Gulf side from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge- Gulf waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out and beyond 5 fathoms- Gulf of Mexico including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel- Gulf of Mexico from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal out to 5 Fathoms- Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef- Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out to the reef- Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal out to the reef- Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry Tortugas out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out- Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge 20 to 60 NM out- Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out- Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry Tortugas 20 to 60 NM out- 1024 AM EST Sun Nov 8 2020 ...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT... * WHAT...Winds 35 to 55 kt with gusts up to 75 kt and seas 17 to 22 feet. * WHERE...Straits of Florida, Hawk Channel, Florida Bay and the Gulf waters including the Dry Tortugas. * WHEN...Tropical Storm force winds possible from late this afternoon until Tuesday evening. Hurricane force winds possible from early Monday morning until Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Extremely strong winds will cause hazardous seas which will likely capsize or damage vessels and severely reduce visibility. Docked and moored vessels should prepare for large tugging forces on docks and lines. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for extreme conditions. Batten the hatches, reduce windage, check your bilges, and get to shore. && $$ CLR
937
WTUS82 KKEY 082107
TCVKEY
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Eta Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 34
National Weather Service Key West FL AL292020
407 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2020
FLZ078-090415-
/O.CON.KKEY.SS.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Monroe Lower Keys-
407 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2020
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Key West
- Sugarloaf Key
- Big Pine Key
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 45-55 mph with gusts to 70 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: until Monday
afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74
to 110 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or
2 hurricane force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts should solely focus on
protecting life. The area remains subject to considerable
wind damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from life-threatening wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Begins this afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of
greater than 3 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: Evacuation efforts and flood preparations should
soon be brought to completion before conditions become
unsafe.
- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for
your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or
needlessly risk lives.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated
by waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the
coast.
- Sections of escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable
low spots.
- Major beach erosion.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially
in unprotected anchorages.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally
higher amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
moderate flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has increased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues
are possible.
- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action may result in serious injury or loss of life.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations
and rescues.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken
foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas
of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and
poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on
moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge
closures.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is favorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has increased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include the
potential for several tornadoes.
- PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the
latest tornado situation.
- ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter
if a tornado warning is issued.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few
spots of considerable damage, power loss, and
communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped
or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed
about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- Family emergency plans: Federal Emergency Management Agency
- http://ready.gov/
- Local weather conditions and forecasts: NOAA/Florida Keys National Weather Service
- http://www.weather.gov/key/
$$
FLZ077-090415-
/O.CON.KKEY.SS.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Monroe Middle Keys-
407 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2020
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Marathon
- Key Colony Beach
- Layton
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 45-55 mph with gusts to 65 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: until Monday
afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74
to 110 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or
2 hurricane force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts should solely focus on
protecting life. The area remains subject to considerable
wind damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from life-threatening wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 1-3 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Begins this afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
- The storm surge threat has decreased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against storm surge flooding greater than 1
foot above ground.
- PREPARE: All flood preparations should be complete. Expect
flooding of low-lying roads and property.
- ACT: Stay away from storm surge prone areas. Continue to
follow the instructions of local officials.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally
higher amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
moderate flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues
are possible.
- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action may result in serious injury or loss of life.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations
and rescues.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken
foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas
of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and
poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on
moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge
closures.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is favorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has increased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include the
potential for several tornadoes.
- PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the
latest tornado situation.
- ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter
if a tornado warning is issued.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few
spots of considerable damage, power loss, and
communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped
or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed
about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- Family emergency plans: Federal Emergency Management Agency
- http://ready.gov/
- Local weather conditions and forecasts: NOAA/Florida Keys National Weather Service
- http://www.weather.gov/key/
$$
FLZ076-090415-
/O.CON.KKEY.SS.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-
407 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2020
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Islamorada
- Key Largo
- Ocean Reef
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 45-55 mph with gusts to 65 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: until Monday
afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74
to 110 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or
2 hurricane force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts should solely focus on
protecting life. The area remains subject to considerable
wind damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from life-threatening wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 1-3 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Begins this afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
- The storm surge threat has decreased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against storm surge flooding greater than 1
foot above ground.
- PREPARE: All flood preparations should be complete. Expect
flooding of low-lying roads and property.
- ACT: Stay away from storm surge prone areas. Continue to
follow the instructions of local officials.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 4-8 inches, with locally
higher amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for major
flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
major flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are
likely.
- PREPARE: Strongly consider protective actions, especially
if you are in an area vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Extensive
- Major rainfall flooding may prompt many evacuations and
rescues.
- Flood waters can enter many structures within multiple
communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or
washed away. Many places where flood waters may cover
escape routes. Streets and parking lots become rivers of
moving water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions
become dangerous. Many road and bridge closures with some
weakened or washed out.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is favorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has increased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include the
potential for several tornadoes.
- PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the
latest tornado situation.
- ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter
if a tornado warning is issued.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few
spots of considerable damage, power loss, and
communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped
or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed
about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- Family emergency plans: Federal Emergency Management Agency
- http://ready.gov/
- Local weather conditions and forecasts: NOAA/Florida Keys National Weather Service
- http://www.weather.gov/key/
$$
CLR437 WHUS72 KKEY 082110 MWWKEY URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Key West FL 410 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2020 GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-090415- /O.CON.KKEY.HU.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and Buttonwood Sound- Bayside and Gulf side from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge- Gulf waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out and beyond 5 fathoms- Gulf of Mexico including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel- Gulf of Mexico from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal out to 5 Fathoms- Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef- Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out to the reef- Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal out to the reef- Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry Tortugas out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out- Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge 20 to 60 NM out- Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out- Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry Tortugas 20 to 60 NM out- 410 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2020 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... * WHAT...Winds 35 to 55 kt with gusts up to 75 kt and seas 17 to 22 feet. * WHERE...Straits of Florida, Hawk Channel, Florida Bay and the Gulf waters including the Dry Tortugas. * WHEN...Tropical Storm force winds possible from late this afternoon until Tuesday evening. Hurricane force winds possible after midnight tonight until Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Extremely strong winds will cause hazardous seas which will likely capsize or damage vessels and severely reduce visibility. Docked and moored vessels should prepare for large tugging forces on docks and lines. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for extreme conditions. Batten the hatches, reduce windage, check your bilges, and get to shore. && $$ CLR
811
WTUS82 KKEY 090302
TCVKEY
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Eta Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 35
National Weather Service Key West FL AL292020
1002 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2020
FLZ078-091115-
/O.CON.KKEY.SS.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Monroe Lower Keys-
1002 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2020
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Key West
- Sugarloaf Key
- Big Pine Key
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 45-55 mph with gusts to 70 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: until early Monday
afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74
to 110 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or
2 hurricane force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts should solely focus on
protecting life. The area remains subject to considerable
wind damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from life-threatening wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Begins this evening
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of
greater than 3 feet above ground.
- PREPARE: Evacuation efforts and flood preparations should
soon be brought to completion before conditions become
unsafe.
- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for
your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or
needlessly risk lives.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated
by waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the
coast.
- Sections of escape routes and secondary roads become
weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable
low spots.
- Major beach erosion.
- Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially
in unprotected anchorages.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 2-4 inches, with locally
higher amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
moderate flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues
are possible.
- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action may result in serious injury or loss of life.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations
and rescues.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken
foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas
of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and
poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on
moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge
closures.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include possible
tornadoes.
- PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the
latest tornado situation.
- ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter
if a tornado warning is issued.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
power and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- Family emergency plans: Federal Emergency Management Agency
- http://ready.gov/
- Local weather conditions and forecasts: NOAA/Florida Keys National Weather Service
- http://www.weather.gov/key/
$$
FLZ077-091115-
/O.CON.KKEY.SS.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Monroe Middle Keys-
1002 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2020
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Marathon
- Key Colony Beach
- Layton
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 40-50 mph with gusts to 70 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: until early Monday
afternoon
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74
to 110 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or
2 hurricane force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts should solely focus on
protecting life. The area remains subject to considerable
wind damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from life-threatening wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 1-3 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Begins this evening
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against storm surge flooding greater than 1
foot above ground.
- PREPARE: All flood preparations should be complete. Expect
flooding of low-lying roads and property.
- ACT: Stay away from storm surge prone areas. Continue to
follow the instructions of local officials.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally
higher amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
moderate flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues
are possible.
- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action may result in serious injury or loss of life.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations
and rescues.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken
foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas
of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and
poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on
moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge
closures.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include possible
tornadoes.
- PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the
latest tornado situation.
- ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter
if a tornado warning is issued.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
power and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- Family emergency plans: Federal Emergency Management Agency
- http://ready.gov/
- Local weather conditions and forecasts: NOAA/Florida Keys National Weather Service
- http://www.weather.gov/key/
$$
FLZ076-091115-
/O.CON.KKEY.SS.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CON.KKEY.HU.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-
1002 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2020
...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Islamorada
- Key Largo
- Ocean Reef
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 40-50 mph with gusts to 65 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: until late Monday
morning
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 74
to 110 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for life-threatening wind of equivalent CAT 1 or
2 hurricane force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts should solely focus on
protecting life. The area remains subject to considerable
wind damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from life-threatening wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 1-3 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Begins this evening
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against storm surge flooding greater than 1
foot above ground.
- PREPARE: All flood preparations should be complete. Expect
flooding of low-lying roads and property.
- ACT: Stay away from storm surge prone areas. Continue to
follow the instructions of local officials.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally
higher amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
moderate flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has decreased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues
are possible.
- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action may result in serious injury or loss of life.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations
and rescues.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken
foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas
of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and
poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on
moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge
closures.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is favorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include the
potential for several tornadoes.
- PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the
latest tornado situation.
- ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter
if a tornado warning is issued.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- The occurrence of scattered tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- Several places may experience tornado damage with a few
spots of considerable damage, power loss, and
communications failures.
- Locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile
homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped
or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed
about. Dangerous projectiles can add to the toll.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- Family emergency plans: Federal Emergency Management Agency
- http://ready.gov/
- Local weather conditions and forecasts: NOAA/Florida Keys National Weather Service
- http://www.weather.gov/key/
$$414 WHUS72 KKEY 090306 MWWKEY URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Key West FL 1006 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2020 GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-091115- /O.CON.KKEY.HU.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and Buttonwood Sound- Bayside and Gulf side from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge- Gulf waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out and beyond 5 fathoms- Gulf of Mexico including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel- Gulf of Mexico from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal out to 5 Fathoms- Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef- Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out to the reef- Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal out to the reef- Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry Tortugas out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out- Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge 20 to 60 NM out- Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out- Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry Tortugas 20 to 60 NM out- 1006 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2020 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... * WHAT...Winds 40 to 60 knots with gusts up to 70 knots. Seas and seas 17 to 25 feet beyond the Reef and over the deep Gulf waters. * WHERE...Straits of Florida, Hawk Channel, Florida Bay and the Gulf waters including the Dry Tortugas. * WHEN...Hurricane force wind gusts possible through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Extremely strong winds will cause hazardous seas which will likely capsize or damage vessels and severely reduce visibility. Docked and moored vessels should prepare for large tugging forces on docks and lines. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for extreme conditions. Batten the hatches, reduce windage, check your bilges, and get to shore. && $$
305
WTUS82 KKEY 090848
TCVKEY
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Eta Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 36
National Weather Service Key West FL AL292020
348 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2020
FLZ078-091700-
/O.NEW.KKEY.TR.W.1029.201109T0848Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KKEY.SS.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KKEY.HU.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Monroe Lower Keys-
348 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2020
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...STORM SURGE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm-force winds are
expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Key West
- Sugarloaf Key
- Big Pine Key
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Tropical Storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 30-40 mph with gusts to 50 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: through the next few
hours
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has decreased from the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now
be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 1-3 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Begins early this morning
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
- The storm surge threat has decreased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for storm surge flooding greater than 1 foot
above ground.
- PREPARE: Complete preparations for storm surge flooding,
especially in low-lying vulnerable areas, before conditions
become unsafe.
- ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for
your area.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Localized inundation with storm surge flooding mainly along
immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots, or in areas
farther inland near where higher surge waters move ashore.
- Sections of roads and parking lots inundated by surge
water. Driving conditions dangerous in places where surge
water covers the road.
- Moderate beach erosion.
- Minor to locally moderate damage to marinas, docks,
boardwalks, and piers. A few small craft broken away from
moorings.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 2-4 inches, with locally
higher amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
localized flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has decreased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
localized flooding from heavy rain.
- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
- Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in
usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding
of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor
drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds
become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and
bridge closures.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include possible
tornadoes.
- PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the
latest tornado situation.
- ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter
if a tornado warning is issued.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
power and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- Family emergency plans: Federal Emergency Management Agency
- http://ready.gov/
- Local weather conditions and forecasts: NOAA/Florida Keys National Weather Service
- http://www.weather.gov/key/
$$
FLZ077-091700-
/O.NEW.KKEY.TR.W.1029.201109T0848Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KKEY.SS.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KKEY.HU.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Monroe Middle Keys-
348 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2020
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...STORM SURGE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm-force winds are
expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Marathon
- Key Colony Beach
- Layton
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has decreased from the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now
be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for up to 2 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Begins early this morning
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against storm surge flooding greater than 1
foot above ground.
- PREPARE: All flood preparations should be complete. Expect
flooding of low-lying roads and property.
- ACT: Stay away from storm surge prone areas. Continue to
follow the instructions of local officials.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 3-6 inches, with locally
higher amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
localized flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has decreased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
localized flooding from heavy rain.
- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Localized rainfall flooding may prompt a few evacuations.
- Flood waters can enter a few structures, especially in
usually vulnerable spots. A few places where rapid ponding
of water occurs at underpasses, low-lying spots, and poor
drainage areas. Several storm drains and retention ponds
become near-full and begin to overflow. Some brief road and
bridge closures.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include possible
tornadoes.
- PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the
latest tornado situation.
- ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter
if a tornado warning is issued.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
power and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- Family emergency plans: Federal Emergency Management Agency
- http://ready.gov/
- Local weather conditions and forecasts: NOAA/Florida Keys National Weather Service
- http://www.weather.gov/key/
$$
FLZ076-091700-
/O.NEW.KKEY.TR.W.1029.201109T0848Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KKEY.SS.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KKEY.HU.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Monroe Upper Keys-
348 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2020
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...STORM SURGE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm-force winds are
expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours
* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Islamorada
- Key Largo
- Ocean Reef
* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 40 mph
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has decreased from the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Last minute efforts to protect property should now
be complete. The area remains subject to limited wind
damage.
- ACT: Now is the time to shelter from hazardous wind.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main wind event are unfolding.
* STORM SURGE
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Localized storm surge possible
- Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for up to 2 feet
above ground somewhere within surge prone areas
- Window of concern: Begins early this morning
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm
surge flooding greater than 1 foot above ground
- The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Shelter against storm surge flooding greater than 1
foot above ground.
- PREPARE: All flood preparations should be complete. Expect
flooding of low-lying roads and property.
- ACT: Stay away from storm surge prone areas. Continue to
follow the instructions of local officials.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Unfolding
- Potential impacts from the main surge event are unfolding.
* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 2-4 inches, with locally
higher amounts
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
moderate flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues
are possible.
- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action may result in serious injury or loss of life.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations
and rescues.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken
foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas
of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and
poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on
moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge
closures.
* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes
- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has decreased from the previous
assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should continue to include possible
tornadoes.
- PREPARE: Stay within your shelter keeping informed of the
latest tornado situation.
- ACT: Move quickly to the safest place within your shelter
if a tornado warning is issued.
- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
power and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.
* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
- Family emergency plans: Federal Emergency Management Agency
- http://ready.gov/
- Local weather conditions and forecasts: NOAA/Florida Keys National Weather Service
- http://www.weather.gov/key/
$$385 WHUS72 KKEY 090924 MWWKEY URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Key West FL 424 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2020 GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-091815- /O.CAN.KKEY.HU.W.1029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KKEY.TR.W.1029.201109T0924Z-000000T0000Z/ Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and Buttonwood Sound- Bayside and Gulf side from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge- Gulf waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out and beyond 5 fathoms- Gulf of Mexico including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel- Gulf of Mexico from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal out to 5 Fathoms- Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef- Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out to the reef- Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal out to the reef- Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry Tortugas out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out- Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge 20 to 60 NM out- Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out- Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry Tortugas 20 to 60 NM out- 424 AM EST Mon Nov 9 2020 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Southeast winds 35 to 45 knots with gusts up to 65 knots, strongest over the southeast Gulf waters. Seas of 13 to 18 feet, mainly over the deep Gulf and over the Straits beyond the Reef. Winds and seas will subside this afternoon and evening. * WHERE...Straits of Florida, Hawk Channel, Florida Bay, and the Gulf waters including the Dry Tortugas. * WHEN...Tropical Storm force winds possible until Tuesday afternoon, with the possibility lingering longest over the waters west of the Lower Keys. * IMPACTS...A Tropical Storm Warning means that sustained winds of 34 to 63 knots associated with a tropical storm are expected within 36 hours. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Impacts from Tropical Storm Eta will gradually decrease as Eta exits west of the Dry Tortugas this afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe conditions. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this hurricane warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Key West, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this hurricane warning went out at Nov 8, 4:24 AM EST, 5 hours 56 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 8, 4:24 AM EST, 5 hours 56 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
424 AM EST Sun Nov 8 2020
.SHORT TERM...(Through Tuesday)
Our attention is keenly focused on the progression of Tropical
Storm Eta over the next two days. At 4 am EST, the center of Eta
was located about 250 miles south-southeast of Marathon. It will
move north across Cuba this morning, then emerge over the
southeast Straits and turn northwest then west late today. The
track forecast has again shifted a little further south upon the
storm's closest approach to the Keys, most likely passing near or
just south of the Lower Keys tonight. This minor southward
adjustment in the forecast now places the entirety of the Florida
Keys on the right side of the storm as it passes. The right side
is typically the stronger side of tropical systems and will help
the Keys to realize the full potential of what Eta has to offer.
Eta currently has a sheared and ragged appearance in both
satellite and Cuban radar data. The disruptive shear across the
top of Eta should decrease late today as the center traverses the
82F-84F degree waters of the Straits. Eta is forecast to be a
high-end tropical storm upon closest approach to the Keys, with
forecast sustained marine-based winds of 60 knots (70 mph). So a
Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch are concurrently in
effect. This just means that tropical storm conditions are
expected, and hurricane conditions are possible. In terms of
timing, conditions will deteriorate rapidly starting this
afternoon. The worst conditions will occur tonight, followed by
the gradual exit of the strongest winds on Monday. Eta will have a
fairly large wind field, meaning that tropical storm conditions
could persist for about 24 hours.
Other risks with Eta include 2-4 feet of storm surge (inundation
of land immediately adjacent to the shore), isolated tornadoes
(SPC 2 percent probability within 25 miles of any given point),
and localized flooding from any pivoting or slow-moving bands of
rain. The QPF forecast from WPC shows areal average of 5+ inches
of rain through Tuesday night.
&&
.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Eta will get trapped over the eastern Gulf from Wednesday through
at least Friday, or longer. The persistence of Eta over the
eastern Gulf will maintain strong and somewhat confluent
southeast- south flow over the Keys. This will keep well above
normal rain chances in the forecast through at least Thursday.
The GFS ensemble mean 500 mb heights show a weak and narrow east-
west ridge axis developing over the FL Peninsula late this week
and next weekend. Assuming Eta either dissipates or exits the
eastern Gulf, PW values are forecast on Friday and Saturday to
dry out close to normal for mid- November. Though it is hard to
believe, November is typically the start of our dry season.
Accordingly, PoPs for Friday and Saturday will drop back into the
near-normal 10-15 percent range on Days 6-7.
&&
.MARINE...
Tropical Storm Eta is forecast to bring high-end tropical storm
conditions to the waters from this afternoon through at least
Monday. A Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch is in effect
for the waters, meaning tropical storm conditions are expected,
and hurricane conditions are possible.
From synopsis...At 4 am EST, the center of Tropical Storm Eta was
located about 250 miles south-southeast of Marathon. Eta was
moving to the northeast at 12 mph and will cross Cuba this morning.
The center will emerge over the Straits north of Cuba late today
on Sunday, then turn northwest into the Straits of Florida. The
center will cross the Florida Keys early Monday morning, then move
westward through the waters north of the Dry Tortugas on Monday
evening. Eta could be near hurricane strength as it approaches and
moves near the Florida Keys.
Eta will get trapped over the eastern Gulf for much of the week
ahead, maintaining strong southeast breezes.
&&
.AVIATION...
Tropical Storm Eta will continue to move closer to the Florida Keys
throughout the day, bringing an increase in showers, isolated
thunderstorms and strong winds. The passing squalls will cause
periods of IFR vis and MVFR cigs that will become more frequent
tonight. Winds NE near 15 knots with gusts to 25 knots this morning,
increasing to near 25 knots with gusts to 35 knots in the early
afternoon and 30 to 35 knots with gusts near 50 knots this
evening.
&&
.CLIMATE...
On this date in 1982, the daily record rainfall of 1.74 inches was
recorded at Marathon.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Key West 80 74 81 77 / + + + 80
Marathon 80 76 81 78 / + + 90 80
&&
.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Hurricane Watch for FLZ076>078.
Tropical Storm Warning for FLZ076>078.
Storm Surge Watch for FLZ076>078.
GM...Hurricane Watch for GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075.
Tropical Storm Warning for GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075.
&&
Event Coordinator...Jacobson
Public/Marine/Fire...Haner
Aviation/Nowcasts....WLC/SDR
Data Acquisition.....Williams
Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key
Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at:
www.facebook.com/nwskeywest
www.twitter.com/nwskeywestHazardous weather outlook, Nov 8, 4:58 AM EST, 5 hours 22 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Key West FL 458 AM EST Sun Nov 8 2020 FLZ076>078-GMZ031>035-042>044-052>055-072>075-091100- Monroe Upper Keys-Monroe Middle Keys-Monroe Lower Keys- Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and Buttonwood Sound- Bayside and Gulf side from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge- Gulf waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out and beyond 5 fathoms- Gulf of Mexico including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel- Gulf of Mexico from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal out to 5 Fathoms- Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef- Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out to the reef- Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal out to the reef- Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry Tortugas out 20 NM- Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out- Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge 20 to 60 NM out- Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out- Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry Tortugas 20 to 60 NM out- 458 AM EST Sun Nov 8 2020 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT... ...STORM SURGE WATCH IN EFFECT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Florida Keys and adjacent coastal waters. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT Tropical Storm Eta is forecast to move across central Cuba during the next few hours and then move into the Florida Straits later this morning. Eta is forecast to pass near or over the Florida Keys tonight and early Monday and be over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico late Monday and Tuesday. A tropical storm warning, hurricane watch, and storm surge watch remains in effect for all of the Florida Keys. The risk for multiple hazards continues to increase for the area, including a significant period of tropical storm force winds, storm surge, heavy rainfall, and isolated tornadoes. Tropical storm conditions are most likely to arrive into the Keys island chain this evening, then continue overnight. The roughest weather will be tonight and Monday morning, when sustained winds of 40 to 60 mph and gusts up to 75 mph are expected. Only slight strengthening of Eta above the current forecast could bring Category 1 hurricane force sustained winds around 75 mph across parts of the Keys tonight into Monday morning. Strong winds will contribute to storm surge and overwash along shorelines beginning this evening. Tidal anomalies are running about three quarters of a foot above normal, and Eta could result in one to two additional feet of saltwater flooding. The shallow sounds to the east and west of the 18-mile stretch, including Barnes, Buttonwood, and Card Sounds, and also the extreme Gulf side of the Lower Keys, could potentially experience storm surge inundation as high as three to four feet. Heavy rainfall of 6 to 12 inches with isolated maximum totals near 18 inches may cause significant rainwater flooding, including areas not impacted by storm surge. Isolated tornadoes will be possible as Eta approaches and moves near the Keys late this afternoon and tonight. Over the Keys coastal waters, strong tropical storm force winds are expected from this afternoon through Monday afternoon. Hurricane force winds are possible. Winds from all directions will offer very few locations in the lee. Large and dangerous seas and strong currents will develop across the Florida Keys, including protected harbors, channels, and nearshore waters between the island chain. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY Tropical storm conditions will continue through much of Monday, with conditions gradually improving from east to west across the area late Monday and Monday night. The roughest weather will continue into Monday morning, when sustained winds of 40 to 60 mph and gusts up to 75 mph are expected. Storm surge, heavy rainfall and the threat of isolated tornadoes will continue along the Keys island chain through much of Monday. Dangerous conditions with strong tropical storm to near hurricane force winds and large seas will also continue on the Keys coastal waters. Tropical storm conditions are forecast to exit the Lower Straits of Florida and offshore Gulf waters on Tuesday morning. However, Eta is forecast to linger over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico through much of this week, causing fresh to strong southerly breezes and continued large seas across the Keys coastal waters. Small Craft Advisories will probably be needed from Tuesday through at least Thursday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Nov 8, 9:50 AM EST, 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
950 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0310 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 10 SW KEY WEST 24.46N 81.89W
11/08/2020 M41.00 MPH GMZ044 FL C-MAN STATION
AN EAST WIND GUST OF 36 KTS, OR 41 MPH, WAS RECORDED BY
THE SAND KEY C-MAN STATION AT 310 AM EST.
0350 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 10 SW KEY WEST 24.46N 81.88W
11/08/2020 M39.00 MPH GMZ044 FL C-MAN STATION
AN EAST-NORTHEAST WIND GUST OF 34 KTS, OR 39 MPH, WAS
RECORDED BY THE SAND KEY C-MAN STATION AT 350 AM EST.
0408 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 11 ESE CARD SOUND BRIDG 25.23N 80.21W
11/08/2020 M39.00 MPH GMZ052 FL NEWSPAPER
AN EAST WIND GUST OF 34 KTS, OR 39 MPH, WAS RECORDED BY
THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT CARYSFORT REEF LIGHT
AT 408 AM EST.
0440 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 10 SW KEY WEST 24.46N 81.89W
11/08/2020 M39.00 MPH GMZ044 FL C-MAN STATION
AN EAST-NORTHEAST WIND GUST OF 34 KTS, OR 39 MPH, WAS
RECORDED BY THE SAND KEY C-MAN STATION AT 440 AM EST.
0458 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 11 ESE CARD SOUND BRIDG 25.23N 80.21W
11/08/2020 M39.00 MPH GMZ052 FL MESONET
AN EAST WIND GUST OF 34 KTS, OR 39 MPH, WAS RECORDED BY
THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT CARYSFORT REEF LIGHT
AT 458 AM EST.
0513 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 11 ESE CARD SOUND BRIDG 25.23N 80.21W
11/08/2020 M40.00 MPH GMZ052 FL MESONET
AN EAST WIND GUST OF 35 KTS, OR 40 MPH, WAS RECORDED BY
THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET ON CARYSFORT REEF LIGHT AT 513 AM
EST.
0533 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 11 ESE CARD SOUND BRIDG 25.23N 80.21W
11/08/2020 M41.00 MPH GMZ052 FL MESONET
AN EAST WIND GUST OF 36 KTS, OR 41 MPH, WAS RECORDED BY
THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET AT CARYSFORT REEF LIGHT AT 533 AM
EST.
0553 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 11 ESE CARD SOUND BRIDG 25.23N 80.21W
11/08/2020 M48.00 MPH GMZ052 FL MESONET
AN EAST WIND GUST OF 42 KTS, OR 48 MPH, WAS RECORDED BY
THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION ON CARYSFORT REEF LIGHT
AT 553 AM EST.
0613 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 11 ESE CARD SOUND BRIDG 25.23N 80.21W
11/08/2020 M41.00 MPH GMZ052 FL MESONET
AN EAST WIND GUST OF 36 KTS, OR 41 MPH, WAS RECORDED BY
THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET AT CARYSFORT REEF LIGHT AT 613 AM
EST.
0616 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 4 SE TEATABLE KEY 24.85N 80.62W
11/08/2020 M39.00 MPH GMZ042 FL MESONET
AN EAST-NORTHEAST WIND GUST OF 34 KTS, OR 39 MPH, WAS
RECORDED BY THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT ALLIGATOR
REEF LIGHT AT 616 AM EST.
0638 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 11 ESE CARD SOUND BRIDG 25.23N 80.21W
11/08/2020 M41.00 MPH GMZ052 FL MESONET
AN EAST-NORTHEAST WIND GUST OF 36 KTS, OR 41 MPH, WAS
RECORDED BY THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT CARYSFORT
REEF LIGHT AT 638 AM EST.
0641 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 4 SE TEATABLE KEY 24.85N 80.62W
11/08/2020 M43.00 MPH GMZ042 FL MESONET
AN EAST-NORTHEAST WIND GUST OF 37 KTS, OR 43 MPH, WAS
RECORDED BY THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT ALLIGATOR
REEF LIGHT AT 641 AM EST.
0648 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 11 ESE CARD SOUND BRIDG 25.23N 80.21W
11/08/2020 M43.00 MPH GMZ052 FL MESONET
AN EAST-NORTHEAST WIND GUST OF 37 KTS, OR 43 MPH, WAS
RECORDED BY THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET SITE AT CARYSFORT
REEF LIGHT AT 648 AM EST.
0656 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 4 SE TEATABLE KEY 24.85N 80.62W
11/08/2020 M39.00 MPH GMZ042 FL MESONET
AN NORTHEAST WIND GUST OF 34 KTS, OR 39 MPH, WAS RECORDED
BY THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT ALLIGATOR REEF
LIGHT AT 656 AM EST.
0708 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 11 ESE CARD SOUND BRIDG 25.23N 80.21W
11/08/2020 M43.00 MPH GMZ052 FL MESONET
AN EAST-NORTHEAST WIND GUST OF 37 KTS, OR 43 MPH, WAS
RECORDED BY THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET SITE AT CARYSFORT
REEF LIGHT AT 708 AM EST.
0721 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 4 SE TEATABLE KEY 24.85N 80.62W
11/08/2020 M39.00 MPH GMZ042 FL MESONET
AN EAST-NORTHEAST WIND GUST OF 34 KTS, OR 39 MPH, WAS
RECORDED BY THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT ALLIGATOR
REEF LIGHT AT 721 AM EST.
0728 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 11 ESE CARD SOUND BRIDG 25.23N 80.21W
11/08/2020 M39.00 MPH GMZ052 FL MESONET
AN EAST-NORTHEAST WIND GUST OF 34 KTS, OR 39 MPH, WAS
RECORDED BY THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET SITE AT CARYSFORT
REEF LIGHT AT 728 AM EST.
0731 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 4 SE TEATABLE KEY 24.85N 80.62W
11/08/2020 M42.00 MPH GMZ042 FL MESONET
AN EAST-NORTHEAST WIND GUST OF 36 KTS, OR 42 MPH, WAS
RECORDED BY THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT ALLIGATOR
REEF LIGHT AT 731 AM EST.
0741 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 4 SE TEATABLE KEY 24.85N 80.62W
11/08/2020 E40.00 MPH GMZ042 FL MESONET
AN EAST-NORTHEAST WIND GUST OF 35 KTS, OR 40 MPH, WAS
RECORDED BY THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT ALLIGATOR
REEF LIGHT AT 741 AM EST.
0748 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 11 ESE CARD SOUND BRIDG 25.23N 80.21W
11/08/2020 M41.00 MPH GMZ052 FL MESONET
AN EAST WIND GUST OF 36 KTS, OR 41 MPH, WAS RECORDED BY
THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET SITE AT CARYSFORT REEF LIGHT AT
748 AM EST.
0818 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 11 ESE CARD SOUND BRIDG 25.23N 80.21W
11/08/2020 M45.00 MPH GMZ052 FL MESONET
AN EAST-NORTHEAST WIND GUST OF 39 KTS, OR 45 MPH, WAS
RECORDED BY THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET SITE AT CARYSFORT
REEF LIGHT AT 818 AM EST. WINDS WERE SUSTAINED AT 35 KTS,
OR 40 MPH.
0821 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 4 SE TEATABLE KEY 24.85N 80.62W
11/08/2020 M44.00 MPH GMZ042 FL MESONET
AN NORTHEAST WIND GUST OF 38 KTS, OR 44 MPH, WAS RECORDED
BY THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT ALLIGATOR REEF
LIGHT AT 821 AM EST.
0831 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 4 SE TEATABLE KEY 24.85N 80.62W
11/08/2020 M39.00 MPH GMZ042 FL MESONET
AN NORTHEAST WIND GUST OF 34 KTS, OR 39 MPH, WAS RECORDED
BY THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT ALLIGATOR REEF
LIGHT AT 831 AM EST.
0833 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 11 ESE CARD SOUND BRIDG 25.23N 80.21W
11/08/2020 M49.00 MPH GMZ052 FL MESONET
A NORTHEAST WIND GUST OF 43 KTS, OR 49 MPH, WAS RECORDED
BY THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET SITE AT CARYSFORT REEF LIGHT
AT 833 AM EST.
0840 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 10 SW KEY WEST 24.46N 81.89W
11/08/2020 M40.00 MPH GMZ044 FL C-MAN STATION
A NORTHEAST WIND GUST OF 35 KTS, OR 40 MPH, WAS RECORDED
BY THE SAND KEY C-MAN STATION AT 840 AM EST.
0906 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 4 SE TEATABLE KEY 24.85N 80.62W
11/08/2020 M39.00 MPH GMZ042 FL MESONET
AN EAST-NORTHEAST WIND GUST OF 34 KTS, OR 39 MPH, WAS
RECORDED BY THE WEATHERFLOW MESONET STATION AT ALLIGATOR
REEF LIGHT AT 906 AM EST.
&&
JAMThe office that day
Everything else NWS Key West, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 10:20 AM EST | Storm Surge Warning | KEY | Monroe | 17 hr |
Nearby
Hurricane Warnings in Florida, 2020Every hurricane warning in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.