Alert archive / Puerto Rico / Flash Flood Watches in 2020
Flash Flood Watch 4, NWS JSJ
NWS JSJ issued this flash flood watch at Nov 9, 2020, 1:33 AM CST. It was in force for 4 days.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 9, 2020, 1:33 AM CST (07:33 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 12, 2020, 6:00 PM CST
- In force
- 4 days
- Issued by
- NWS JSJ
- Flood severity
- None
The text
As transmitted.
925 WGCA62 TJSJ 090733 FFASJU Flood Watch National Weather Service San Juan PR 333 AM AST Mon Nov 9 2020 .Unstable weather conditions along with abundant tropical moisture will cause periods of heavy rainfall through midweek. .Saturated soils and rainy weather will result in a high potential for flash flooding and mudslides. PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-092015- /O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.201109T0733Z-201112T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior-North Central-Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-Northwest-Western Interior-Mayaguez and Vicinity-Southwest-Culebra-Vieques- St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands-St Croix- Including the cities of Morovis, Santa Isabel, Toa Alta, Las Piedras, Cabo Rojo, Lajas, Trujillo Alto, Yabucoa, Arecibo, Mayaguez, Maunabo, Anna's Retreat, San Sebastian, Aibonito, Guayama, Corozal, Charlotte Amalie, Naguabo, Maricao, Charlotte Amalie West, San Juan, Jayuya, Gurabo, Hormigueros, Carolina, Aguada, Rincon, Adjuntas, Vega Alta, Vieques, Christiansted, Lares, Loiza, Florida, Manati, Aguadilla, Cidra, Canovanas, Sabana Grande, Orocovis, Luquillo, Isabela, Arroyo, Ponce, Moca, Juncos, Vega Baja, Camuy, Aguas Buenas, Guanica, Culebra, Bayamon, Guayanilla, Cruz Bay, San German, Catano, Ceiba, Ciales, Juana Diaz, Quebradillas, Frederiksted Southeast, Yauco, Rio Grande, Utuado, Las Marias, San Lorenzo, Humacao, Villalba, Baranquitas, Caguas, Charlotte Amalie East, Penuelas, Coamo, Hatillo, Naranjito, Guaynabo, Comerio, Frederiksted, Dorado, Grove Place, Toa Baja, Barceloneta, Anasco, Cayey, Fajardo, Patillas, and Salinas 333 AM AST Mon Nov 9 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... The National Weather Service in San Juan has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands, including the following areas, in Puerto Rico, Central Interior, Culebra, Eastern Interior, Mayaguez and Vicinity, North Central, Northeast, Northwest, Ponce and Vicinity, San Juan and Vicinity, Southeast, Southwest, Vieques and Western Interior. In Virgin Islands, St Croix and St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands. * Through Wednesday evening * Tropical Storm Eta, which is located northwest of the forecast area, will continue to pull a deep plume of tropical moisture across the local islands. This moisture combined with favorable environmental conditions will increase the potential for flooding and mudslides across the local islands through at least Wednesday. Based on the latest guidance, the intensity and areal coverage of showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to increase each day through at least Wednesday. Eastern and southern Puerto Rico as well as the US Virgin Islands are the areas with the highest chance for showers and thunderstorms through midweek. At this time, there is a potential for rainfall accumulations of up to 2 inches today and up to 3-4 inches each day for Tuesday and Wednesday across eastern Puerto Rico and U.S Virgin Islands. Across western Puerto Rico, the potential exists for rainfall totals of between 1 and 2 inches each day. Soils are already saturated across the eastern third of Puerto Rico, where rivers and small streams are running well above normal. Therefore, any prolonged period of heavy rainfall will result in flooding and possible mudslides in areas of steep terrain. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. You should monitor the latest forecasts and be prepared to take action if Flash Flood Warnings are issued. && $$ OMS/GL
12 follow-up statements
900 WGCA62 TJSJ 091440 FFASJU Flood Watch National Weather Service San Juan PR 1040 AM AST Mon Nov 9 2020 .Unstable weather conditions along with abundant tropical moisture will cause periods of heavy rainfall through midweek. .Saturated soils and rainy weather will result in a high potential for flash flooding and mudslides. PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-100200- /O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-201112T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior-North Central-Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-Northwest-Western Interior-Mayaguez and Vicinity-Southwest-Culebra-Vieques- St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands-St Croix- Including the cities of Morovis, Santa Isabel, Toa Alta, Las Piedras, Cabo Rojo, Lajas, Trujillo Alto, Yabucoa, Arecibo, Mayaguez, Maunabo, Anna's Retreat, San Sebastian, Aibonito, Guayama, Corozal, Charlotte Amalie, Naguabo, Maricao, Charlotte Amalie West, San Juan, Jayuya, Gurabo, Hormigueros, Carolina, Aguada, Rincon, Adjuntas, Vega Alta, Vieques, Christiansted, Lares, Loiza, Florida, Manati, Aguadilla, Cidra, Canovanas, Sabana Grande, Orocovis, Luquillo, Isabela, Arroyo, Ponce, Moca, Juncos, Vega Baja, Camuy, Aguas Buenas, Guanica, Culebra, Bayamon, Guayanilla, Cruz Bay, San German, Catano, Ceiba, Ciales, Juana Diaz, Quebradillas, Frederiksted Southeast, Yauco, Rio Grande, Utuado, Las Marias, San Lorenzo, Humacao, Villalba, Baranquitas, Caguas, Charlotte Amalie East, Penuelas, Coamo, Hatillo, Naranjito, Guaynabo, Comerio, Frederiksted, Dorado, Grove Place, Toa Baja, Barceloneta, Anasco, Cayey, Fajardo, Patillas, and Salinas 1040 AM AST Mon Nov 9 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands, including the following areas, in Puerto Rico, Central Interior, Culebra, Eastern Interior, Mayaguez and Vicinity, North Central, Northeast, Northwest, Ponce and Vicinity, San Juan and Vicinity, Southeast, Southwest, Vieques and Western Interior. In Virgin Islands, St Croix and St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands. * Through Wednesday evening * Tropical Storm Eta, which is located northwest of the forecast area, will continue to pull a deep plume of tropical moisture across the local islands. This moisture combined with favorable environmental conditions will increase the potential for flooding and mudslides across the local islands through at least Wednesday. Based on the latest guidance, the intensity and areal coverage of showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to increase each day through at least Wednesday. Eastern and southern Puerto Rico as well as the U.S. Virgin Islands are the areas with the highest chance of showers and thunderstorms through midweek. At this time, there is a potential for rainfall accumulations of up to 2 inches today, and up to 2-4 inches each day for Tuesday and Wednesday across eastern Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Across western Puerto Rico, the potential exists for rainfall totals of between 1 and 2 inches each day. Soils are already saturated across the eastern third of Puerto Rico, where rivers and small streams are running well above normal. Therefore, any prolonged period of heavy rainfall will result in flooding and possible mudslides in areas of steep terrain. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. You should monitor the latest forecasts and be prepared to take action if Flash Flood Warnings are issued. && $$ JA
916 WGCA62 TJSJ 100103 FFASJU Flood Watch National Weather Service San Juan PR 903 PM AST Mon Nov 9 2020 PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-101015- /O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-201112T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior-North Central-Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-Northwest-Western Interior-Mayaguez and Vicinity-Southwest-Culebra-Vieques- St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands-St Croix- Including the cities of Morovis, Santa Isabel, Toa Alta, Las Piedras, Cabo Rojo, Lajas, Trujillo Alto, Yabucoa, Arecibo, Mayaguez, Maunabo, Anna's Retreat, San Sebastian, Aibonito, Guayama, Corozal, Charlotte Amalie, Naguabo, Maricao, Charlotte Amalie West, San Juan, Jayuya, Gurabo, Hormigueros, Carolina, Aguada, Rincon, Adjuntas, Vega Alta, Vieques, Christiansted, Lares, Loiza, Florida, Manati, Aguadilla, Cidra, Canovanas, Sabana Grande, Orocovis, Luquillo, Isabela, Arroyo, Ponce, Moca, Juncos, Vega Baja, Camuy, Aguas Buenas, Guanica, Culebra, Bayamon, Guayanilla, Cruz Bay, San German, Catano, Ceiba, Ciales, Juana Diaz, Quebradillas, Frederiksted Southeast, Yauco, Rio Grande, Utuado, Las Marias, San Lorenzo, Humacao, Villalba, Baranquitas, Caguas, Charlotte Amalie East, Penuelas, Coamo, Hatillo, Naranjito, Guaynabo, Comerio, Frederiksted, Dorado, Grove Place, Toa Baja, Barceloneta, Anasco, Cayey, Fajardo, Patillas, and Salinas 903 PM AST Mon Nov 9 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands, including the following areas, in Puerto Rico, Central Interior, Culebra, Eastern Interior, Mayaguez and Vicinity, North Central, Northeast, Northwest, Ponce and Vicinity, San Juan and Vicinity, Southeast, Southwest, Vieques and Western Interior. In Virgin Islands, St Croix and St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands. * Through Wednesday evening * Tropical Storm Eta, which is located northwest of the forecast area, will continue to pull a deep plume of tropical moisture across the local islands. This moisture combined with favorable environmental conditions will increase the potential for flooding and mudslides across the local islands through at least Wednesday. Based on the latest guidance, the intensity and areal coverage of showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to increase each day through Wednesday. Eastern and southern Puerto Rico as well as the U.S. Virgin Islands are the areas with the highest chance of showers and thunderstorms through midweek. At this time, there is a potential for rainfall accumulations of up to 2 inches today, and up to 2-4 inches each day for Tuesday and Wednesday across eastern Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Eastern Puerto Rico may have local maximums of 6 inches or more both Tuesday and Wednesday. Across western Puerto Rico, the potential exists for rainfall totals of between 1 and 2 inches each day. Soils are already saturated across the eastern third of Puerto Rico, where rivers and small streams are running well above normal. Therefore, any prolonged period of heavy rainfall will result in flooding and possible mudslides in areas of steep terrain. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become unstable and unsafe. && $$ WS
771 WGCA62 TJSJ 100757 FFASJU Flood Watch National Weather Service San Juan PR 357 AM AST Tue Nov 10 2020 .Unstable weather conditions along with abundant tropical moisture will cause periods of heavy rainfall through at least Wednesday. .Saturated soils and rainy weather will result in a high potential for flash flooding and mudslides. PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-102000- /O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-201112T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior-North Central-Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-Northwest-Western Interior-Mayaguez and Vicinity-Southwest-Culebra-Vieques- St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands-St Croix- Including the cities of Morovis, Santa Isabel, Toa Alta, Las Piedras, Cabo Rojo, Lajas, Trujillo Alto, Yabucoa, Arecibo, Mayaguez, Maunabo, Anna's Retreat, San Sebastian, Aibonito, Guayama, Corozal, Charlotte Amalie, Naguabo, Maricao, Charlotte Amalie West, San Juan, Jayuya, Gurabo, Hormigueros, Carolina, Aguada, Rincon, Adjuntas, Vega Alta, Vieques, Christiansted, Lares, Loiza, Florida, Manati, Aguadilla, Cidra, Canovanas, Sabana Grande, Orocovis, Luquillo, Isabela, Arroyo, Ponce, Moca, Juncos, Vega Baja, Camuy, Aguas Buenas, Guanica, Culebra, Bayamon, Guayanilla, Cruz Bay, San German, Catano, Ceiba, Ciales, Juana Diaz, Quebradillas, Frederiksted Southeast, Yauco, Rio Grande, Utuado, Las Marias, San Lorenzo, Humacao, Villalba, Baranquitas, Caguas, Charlotte Amalie East, Penuelas, Coamo, Hatillo, Naranjito, Guaynabo, Comerio, Frederiksted, Dorado, Grove Place, Toa Baja, Barceloneta, Anasco, Cayey, Fajardo, Patillas, and Salinas 357 AM AST Tue Nov 10 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands, including the following areas, in Puerto Rico, Central Interior, Culebra, Eastern Interior, Mayaguez and Vicinity, North Central, Northeast, Northwest, Ponce and Vicinity, San Juan and Vicinity, Southeast, Southwest, Vieques and Western Interior. In Virgin Islands, St Croix and St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands. * Through Wednesday evening * Deep tropical moisture across the local islands will continue to combine with favorable environmental conditions to result in periods of heavy rainfall. Soils are already saturated and small streams and rivers are running above normal levels, therefore, there is a high risk for flooding and mudslides across the local islands through at least Wednesday. Eastern and southern Puerto Rico as well as the U.S. Virgin Islands are the areas with the highest chance of showers and thunderstorms. At this time, there is a potential for daily rainfall accumulations of up to 2-4 inches today and Wednesday across eastern Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Eastern Puerto Rico may have local maximums of 6 inches or more both days. Across western Puerto Rico, the potential exists for rainfall totals of between 1 and 2 inches each day. Any prolonged period of heavy rainfall will result in flooding, some of which may be significant. Mudslides in areas of steep terrain likely. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. You should monitor the latest forecasts and be prepared to take action if Flash Flood Warnings are issued. && $$ OMS/GL
720 WGCA62 TJSJ 101415 FFASJU FLASH FLOOD WATCH National Weather Service San Juan PR 1015 AM AST Tue Nov 10 2020 .Unstable weather conditions along with abundant tropical moisture will cause periods of heavy rainfall through at least Wednesday. .Saturated soils and rainy weather will result in a high potential for flash flooding and mudslides. PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-102215- /O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-201112T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior- North Central-Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-Northwest- Western Interior-Mayaguez and Vicinity-Southwest-Culebra-Vieques- St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands-St Croix- Including the cities of Bayamon, Carolina, Catano, Guaynabo, San Juan, Toa Alta, Toa Baja, Trujillo Alto, Ceiba, Canovanas, Fajardo, Humacao, Loiza, Luquillo, Naguabo, Rio Grande, Arroyo, Guayama, Maunabo, Patillas, Salinas, Yabucoa, Aguas Buenas, Caguas, Cayey, Cidra, Comerio, Gurabo, Juncos, Las Piedras, San Lorenzo, Arecibo, Barceloneta, Dorado, Florida, Manati, Vega Alta, Vega Baja, Aibonito, Baranquitas, Ciales, Coamo, Corozal, Jayuya, Morovis, Naranjito, Orocovis, Villalba, Guayanilla, Juana Diaz, Yauco, Penuelas, Ponce, Santa Isabel, Aguadilla, Camuy, Hatillo, Isabela, Quebradillas, Adjuntas, Lares, Las Marias, Maricao, Sabana Grande, San Sebastian, Utuado, Aguada, Anasco, Hormigueros, Mayaguez, Moca, Rincon, San German, Cabo Rojo, Guanica, Lajas, Culebra, Vieques, Anna's Retreat, Charlotte Amalie, Charlotte Amalie East, Charlotte Amalie West, Cruz Bay, Christiansted, Frederiksted, Frederiksted Southeast, and Grove Place 1015 AM AST Tue Nov 10 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. * Through Wednesday evening. * Deep tropical moisture across the region will continue to combine with favorable environmental conditions to result in periods of heavy rainfall. Soils are already saturated and small streams and rivers are running above normal levels, therefore, there is a high risk for flooding and mudslides across the local islands through at least Wednesday. Eastern and southern Puerto Rico as well as the U.S. Virgin Islands are the areas with the highest chance of showers and thunderstorms. At this time, there is a potential for daily rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches today and Wednesday across eastern Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Eastern Puerto Rico may have local maximums of 6 inches or more both days. Across western Puerto Rico, the potential exists for rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches each day. Any prolonged period of heavy rainfall will result in flooding, some of which may be significant. Mudslides in areas of steep terrain likely. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. You should monitor the latest forecasts and be prepared to take action if Flash Flood Warnings are issued. && $$
400 WGCA62 TJSJ 102253 FFASJU FLASH FLOOD WATCH National Weather Service San Juan PR 653 PM AST Tue Nov 10 2020 .Unstable weather conditions along with abundant tropical moisture accompanying and trailing a tropical wave now crossing the region will continue to cause periods of heavy rainfall through at least Wednesday. .Saturated soils and frequent periods of passing showers with areas of heavy rains will result in a high potential for flash flooding and mudslides across these areas. PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-110800- /O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-201112T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior- North Central-Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-Northwest- Western Interior-Mayaguez and Vicinity-Southwest-Culebra-Vieques- St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands-St Croix- Including the cities of Bayamon, Carolina, Catano, Guaynabo, San Juan, Toa Alta, Toa Baja, Trujillo Alto, Ceiba, Canovanas, Fajardo, Humacao, Loiza, Luquillo, Naguabo, Rio Grande, Arroyo, Guayama, Maunabo, Patillas, Salinas, Yabucoa, Aguas Buenas, Caguas, Cayey, Cidra, Comerio, Gurabo, Juncos, Las Piedras, San Lorenzo, Arecibo, Barceloneta, Dorado, Florida, Manati, Vega Alta, Vega Baja, Aibonito, Baranquitas, Ciales, Coamo, Corozal, Jayuya, Morovis, Naranjito, Orocovis, Villalba, Guayanilla, Juana Diaz, Yauco, Penuelas, Ponce, Santa Isabel, Aguadilla, Camuy, Hatillo, Isabela, Quebradillas, Adjuntas, Lares, Las Marias, Maricao, Sabana Grande, San Sebastian, Utuado, Aguada, Anasco, Hormigueros, Mayaguez, Moca, Rincon, San German, Cabo Rojo, Guanica, Lajas, Culebra, Vieques, Anna's Retreat, Charlotte Amalie, Charlotte Amalie East, Charlotte Amalie West, Cruz Bay, Christiansted, Frederiksted, Frederiksted Southeast, and Grove Place 653 PM AST Tue Nov 10 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands, including the following areas, in Puerto Rico, Central Interior, Culebra, Eastern Interior, Mayaguez and Vicinity, North Central, Northeast, Northwest, Ponce and Vicinity, San Juan and Vicinity, Southeast, Southwest, Vieques, and Western Interior. In Virgin Islands, St Croix and St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands. * Through Wednesday evening * Deep tropical moisture across the region will continue to combine with favorable environmental conditions to result in periods of heavy rainfall. Soils are already saturated and small streams and rivers are running above normal levels, therefore, there is a high risk for flooding and mudslides across the local islands through at least Wednesday. Eastern and southern Puerto Rico as well as the U.S. Virgin Islands are the areas with the highest chance of showers and thunderstorms. So far rainfall accumulations between 1 to 4 inches have fallen across the forecast area today. There is still potential for additional daily rainfall accumulations between 1 to 3 inches through Wednesday across eastern Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. With this event, eastern Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands may acquire local rainfall total between 4 and 6 inches with the heaviest rains, while western Puerto Rico, the potential exists for rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches at least through Wednesday. Any prolonged period of heavy rainfall will result in flooding, some of which may be significant. Mudslides in areas of steep terrain remain likely. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. You should monitor the latest forecasts and be prepared to take action if Flash Flood Warnings are issued. && $$
130 WGCA62 TJSJ 110809 FFASJU Flood Watch National Weather Service San Juan PR 409 AM AST Wed Nov 11 2020 .Unstable weather conditions with periods of heavy rainfall are still expected today. .Saturated soils and frequent periods of passing showers with areas of heavy rains will result in a high risk for flash flooding and mudslides. PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-112000- /O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-201112T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior-North Central-Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-Northwest-Western Interior-Mayaguez and Vicinity-Southwest-Culebra-Vieques- St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands-St Croix- Including the cities of Morovis, Santa Isabel, Toa Alta, Las Piedras, Cabo Rojo, Lajas, Trujillo Alto, Yabucoa, Arecibo, Mayaguez, Maunabo, Anna's Retreat, San Sebastian, Aibonito, Guayama, Corozal, Charlotte Amalie, Naguabo, Maricao, Charlotte Amalie West, San Juan, Jayuya, Gurabo, Hormigueros, Carolina, Aguada, Rincon, Adjuntas, Vega Alta, Vieques, Christiansted, Lares, Loiza, Florida, Manati, Aguadilla, Cidra, Canovanas, Sabana Grande, Orocovis, Luquillo, Isabela, Arroyo, Ponce, Moca, Juncos, Vega Baja, Camuy, Aguas Buenas, Guanica, Culebra, Bayamon, Guayanilla, Cruz Bay, San German, Catano, Ceiba, Ciales, Juana Diaz, Quebradillas, Frederiksted Southeast, Yauco, Rio Grande, Utuado, Las Marias, San Lorenzo, Humacao, Villalba, Baranquitas, Caguas, Charlotte Amalie East, Penuelas, Coamo, Hatillo, Naranjito, Guaynabo, Comerio, Frederiksted, Dorado, Grove Place, Toa Baja, Barceloneta, Anasco, Cayey, Fajardo, Patillas, and Salinas 409 AM AST Wed Nov 11 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands, including the following areas, in Puerto Rico, Central Interior, Culebra, Eastern Interior, Mayaguez and Vicinity, North Central, Northeast, Northwest, Ponce and Vicinity, San Juan and Vicinity, Southeast, Southwest, Vieques and Western Interior. In Virgin Islands, St Croix and St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands. * Through this evening * Unstable weather conditions with periods of heavy rainfall are still expected today due to abundant tropical moisture accompanying and trailing a tropical wave. Soils are already saturated and small streams and rivers are running above normal levels, particularly across eastern Puerto Rico. Therefore, any prolonged period of heavy rainfall will result in flooding and mudslides in areas of steep terrain. There is still potential for additional rainfall accumulations between 2 to 4 inches today across eastern Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Across western Puerto Rico, the potential exists for rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. You should monitor the latest forecasts and be prepared to take action if Flash Flood Warnings are issued. && $$
497 WGCA62 TJSJ 111403 FFASJU Flood Watch National Weather Service San Juan PR 1003 AM AST Wed Nov 11 2020 .Unstable weather conditions with periods of heavy rainfall are still expected today. .Saturated soils and frequent periods of passing showers with areas of heavy rains will result in a high risk for flash flooding and mudslides. PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-112215- /O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-201112T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior-North Central-Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-Northwest-Western Interior-Mayaguez and Vicinity-Southwest-Culebra-Vieques- St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands-St Croix- Including the cities of Morovis, Santa Isabel, Toa Alta, Las Piedras, Cabo Rojo, Lajas, Trujillo Alto, Yabucoa, Arecibo, Mayaguez, Maunabo, Anna's Retreat, San Sebastian, Aibonito, Guayama, Corozal, Charlotte Amalie, Naguabo, Maricao, Charlotte Amalie West, San Juan, Jayuya, Gurabo, Hormigueros, Carolina, Aguada, Rincon, Adjuntas, Vega Alta, Vieques, Christiansted, Lares, Loiza, Florida, Manati, Aguadilla, Cidra, Canovanas, Sabana Grande, Orocovis, Luquillo, Isabela, Arroyo, Ponce, Moca, Juncos, Vega Baja, Camuy, Aguas Buenas, Guanica, Culebra, Bayamon, Guayanilla, Cruz Bay, San German, Catano, Ceiba, Ciales, Juana Diaz, Quebradillas, Frederiksted Southeast, Yauco, Rio Grande, Utuado, Las Marias, San Lorenzo, Humacao, Villalba, Baranquitas, Caguas, Charlotte Amalie East, Penuelas, Coamo, Hatillo, Naranjito, Guaynabo, Comerio, Frederiksted, Dorado, Grove Place, Toa Baja, Barceloneta, Anasco, Cayey, Fajardo, Patillas, and Salinas 1003 AM AST Wed Nov 11 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands, including the following areas, in Puerto Rico, Central Interior, Culebra, Eastern Interior, Mayaguez and Vicinity, North Central, Northeast, Northwest, Ponce and Vicinity, San Juan and Vicinity, Southeast, Southwest, Vieques and Western Interior. In Virgin Islands, St Croix and St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands. * Until 8 PM AST this evening * Unstable weather conditions with periods of heavy rainfall are still expected today due to abundant tropical moisture accompanying and trailing a tropical wave. Soils are already saturated and small streams and rivers are running above normal levels, particularly across eastern Puerto Rico. Therefore, any prolonged period of heavy rainfall will result in flooding and mudslides in areas of steep terrain. There is still potential for additional rainfall accumulations between 2 to 4 inches today across eastern Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Across western Puerto Rico, the potential exists for rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. You should monitor the latest forecasts and be prepared to take action if Flash Flood Warnings are issued. && $$ MB
073 WGCA62 TJSJ 112255 FFASJU URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WATCH National Weather Service San Juan PR 655 PM AST Wed Nov 11 2020 .Very moist and unstable weather conditions with periods of moderate to heavy rainfall is still expected to continue. .Saturated soils and occasional periods of passing showers with areas of moderate to heavy rains will result in a high risk for flash flooding and mudslides and rockfall in areas of steep terrain across the forecast area overnight into Thursday Morning. PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-120700- /O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-201112T1400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior- North Central-Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-Northwest- Western Interior-Mayaguez and Vicinity-Southwest-Culebra-Vieques- St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands-St Croix- Including the cities of Bayamon, Carolina, Catano, Guaynabo, San Juan, Toa Alta, Toa Baja, Trujillo Alto, Ceiba, Canovanas, Fajardo, Humacao, Loiza, Luquillo, Naguabo, Rio Grande, Arroyo, Guayama, Maunabo, Patillas, Salinas, Yabucoa, Aguas Buenas, Caguas, Cayey, Cidra, Comerio, Gurabo, Juncos, Las Piedras, San Lorenzo, Arecibo, Barceloneta, Dorado, Florida, Manati, Vega Alta, Vega Baja, Aibonito, Baranquitas, Ciales, Coamo, Corozal, Jayuya, Morovis, Naranjito, Orocovis, Villalba, Guayanilla, Juana Diaz, Yauco, Penuelas, Ponce, Santa Isabel, Aguadilla, Camuy, Hatillo, Isabela, Quebradillas, Adjuntas, Lares, Las Marias, Maricao, Sabana Grande, San Sebastian, Utuado, Aguada, Anasco, Hormigueros, Mayaguez, Moca, Rincon, San German, Cabo Rojo, Guanica, Lajas, Culebra, Vieques, Anna's Retreat, Charlotte Amalie, Charlotte Amalie East, Charlotte Amalie West, Cruz Bay, Christiansted, Frederiksted, Frederiksted Southeast, and Grove Place 655 PM AST Wed Nov 11 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING... The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for * Portions of Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands, including the following areas, in Puerto Rico, Central Interior, Culebra, Eastern Interior, Mayaguez and Vicinity, North Central, Northeast, Northwest, Ponce and Vicinity, San Juan and Vicinity, Southeast, Southwest, Vieques, and Western Interior. In Virgin Islands, St Croix and St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands. * At least until Thursday morning * Considerable amounts of moisture trailing a tropical wave will and lifted up across the region to maintain unstable weather conditions with periods of moderate to heavy rainfall across the forecast area overnight into Thursday morning. Soils are already very saturated and many small streams,rivers and guts are swollen and running above normal levels, particularly across eastern Puerto Rico. Therefore, any prolonged periods of moderate to heavy rainfall will quickly result in Flash Flooding and mudslides in areas of steep terrain. Although the tropical wave and broad moisture field continues to slowly move away, there is still potential for additional rainfall accumulations between 1 to 3 inches overnight mainly across eastern and the south coastal areas of Puerto Rico with additional amounts of 1 inch or more in portions of the U.S. Virgin Islands. For this reason the Flash Flood Watch has been extended at least until Thursday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. Mudslides and rockfall will also remain possible in areas of steep terrain. You should monitor the latest forecasts and be prepared to take action if Flash Flood Warnings are issued. && $$
797 WGCA62 TJSJ 112308 CCA FFASJU URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WATCH...CORRECTED National Weather Service San Juan PR 708 PM AST Wed Nov 11 2020 .Very moist and unstable weather conditions with periods of moderate to heavy rainfall is still expected to continue. .Saturated soils and occasional periods of passing showers with areas of moderate to heavy rains will result in a high risk for flash flooding and mudslides and rockfall in areas of steep terrain across the forecast area overnight into Thursday Morning. PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-120700- /O.COR.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-201112T1400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior- North Central-Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-Northwest- Western Interior-Mayaguez and Vicinity-Southwest-Culebra-Vieques- St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands-St Croix- Including the cities of Bayamon, Carolina, Catano, Guaynabo, San Juan, Toa Alta, Toa Baja, Trujillo Alto, Ceiba, Canovanas, Fajardo, Humacao, Loiza, Luquillo, Naguabo, Rio Grande, Arroyo, Guayama, Maunabo, Patillas, Salinas, Yabucoa, Aguas Buenas, Caguas, Cayey, Cidra, Comerio, Gurabo, Juncos, Las Piedras, San Lorenzo, Arecibo, Barceloneta, Dorado, Florida, Manati, Vega Alta, Vega Baja, Aibonito, Baranquitas, Ciales, Coamo, Corozal, Jayuya, Morovis, Naranjito, Orocovis, Villalba, Guayanilla, Juana Diaz, Yauco, Penuelas, Ponce, Santa Isabel, Aguadilla, Camuy, Hatillo, Isabela, Quebradillas, Adjuntas, Lares, Las Marias, Maricao, Sabana Grande, San Sebastian, Utuado, Aguada, Anasco, Hormigueros, Mayaguez, Moca, Rincon, San German, Cabo Rojo, Guanica, Lajas, Culebra, Vieques, Anna's Retreat, Charlotte Amalie, Charlotte Amalie East, Charlotte Amalie West, Cruz Bay, Christiansted, Frederiksted, Frederiksted Southeast, and Grove Place 708 PM AST Wed Nov 11 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING... The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for * Portions of Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands, including the following areas, in Puerto Rico, Central Interior, Culebra, Eastern Interior, Mayaguez and Vicinity, North Central, Northeast, Northwest, Ponce and Vicinity, San Juan and Vicinity, Southeast, Southwest, Vieques, and Western Interior. In Virgin Islands, St Croix and St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands. * At least until Thursday morning * Considerable amounts of moisture trailing a tropical wave will be lifted up across the region to maintain unstable weather conditions with periods of moderate to heavy rainfall across the forecast area overnight into Thursday morning. Soils are already very saturated and many small streams,rivers and guts are swollen and running above normal levels, particularly across eastern Puerto Rico. Therefore, any prolonged periods of moderate to heavy rainfall will quickly result in Flash Flooding and mudslides in areas of steep terrain. Although the tropical wave and broad moisture field continues to slowly move away, there is still potential for additional rainfall accumulations between 1 to 3 inches overnight mainly across eastern and the south coastal areas of Puerto Rico with additional amounts of 1 inch or more in portions of the U.S. Virgin Islands. For this reason the Flash Flood Watch has been extended at least until Thursday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. Mudslides and rockfall will also remain possible in areas of steep terrain. You should monitor the latest forecasts and be prepared to take action if Flash Flood Warnings are issued. && $$
405 WGCA62 TJSJ 120652 FFASJU Flood Watch National Weather Service San Juan PR 252 AM AST Thu Nov 12 2020 PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-121400- /O.CON.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-201112T1400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior-North Central-Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-Northwest-Western Interior-Mayaguez and Vicinity-Southwest-Culebra-Vieques- St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands-St Croix- Including the cities of Morovis, Santa Isabel, Toa Alta, Las Piedras, Cabo Rojo, Lajas, Trujillo Alto, Yabucoa, Arecibo, Mayaguez, Maunabo, Anna's Retreat, San Sebastian, Aibonito, Guayama, Corozal, Charlotte Amalie, Naguabo, Maricao, Charlotte Amalie West, San Juan, Jayuya, Gurabo, Hormigueros, Carolina, Aguada, Rincon, Adjuntas, Vega Alta, Vieques, Christiansted, Lares, Loiza, Florida, Manati, Aguadilla, Cidra, Canovanas, Sabana Grande, Orocovis, Luquillo, Isabela, Arroyo, Ponce, Moca, Juncos, Vega Baja, Camuy, Aguas Buenas, Guanica, Culebra, Bayamon, Guayanilla, Cruz Bay, San German, Catano, Ceiba, Ciales, Juana Diaz, Quebradillas, Frederiksted Southeast, Yauco, Rio Grande, Utuado, Las Marias, San Lorenzo, Humacao, Villalba, Baranquitas, Caguas, Charlotte Amalie East, Penuelas, Coamo, Hatillo, Naranjito, Guaynabo, Comerio, Frederiksted, Dorado, Grove Place, Toa Baja, Barceloneta, Anasco, Cayey, Fajardo, Patillas, and Salinas 252 AM AST Thu Nov 12 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM AST THIS MORNING... The Flash Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands, including the following areas, in Puerto Rico, Central Interior, Culebra, Eastern Interior, Mayaguez and Vicinity, North Central, Northeast, Northwest, Ponce and Vicinity, San Juan and Vicinity, Southeast, Southwest, Vieques and Western Interior. In Virgin Islands, St Croix and St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands. * Until 10 AM AST this morning * Unstable weather conditions with periods of heavy rainfall are still expected today due to abundant tropical moisture. Soils are saturated and small streams and rivers are running above normal levels, particularly across eastern Puerto Rico. Therefore, any prolonged period of heavy rainfall will result in flooding and mudslides in areas of steep terrain. Additional rainfall accumulation of 1 to 3 inches is possible today across eastern Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Across western Puerto Rico, the potential exists for rainfall totals of up to 2 inches. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. You should monitor the latest forecasts and be prepared to take action if Flash Flood Warnings are issued. && $$
453 WGCA62 TJSJ 121313 FFASJU Flood Watch National Weather Service San Juan PR 913 AM AST Thu Nov 12 2020 PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-130000- /O.EXT.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-201113T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior-North Central-Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-Northwest-Western Interior-Mayaguez and Vicinity-Southwest-Culebra-Vieques- St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands-St Croix- Including the cities of Morovis, Santa Isabel, Toa Alta, Las Piedras, Cabo Rojo, Lajas, Trujillo Alto, Yabucoa, Arecibo, Mayaguez, Maunabo, Anna's Retreat, San Sebastian, Aibonito, Guayama, Corozal, Charlotte Amalie, Naguabo, Maricao, Charlotte Amalie West, San Juan, Jayuya, Gurabo, Hormigueros, Carolina, Aguada, Rincon, Adjuntas, Vega Alta, Vieques, Christiansted, Lares, Loiza, Florida, Manati, Aguadilla, Cidra, Canovanas, Sabana Grande, Orocovis, Luquillo, Isabela, Arroyo, Ponce, Moca, Juncos, Vega Baja, Camuy, Aguas Buenas, Guanica, Culebra, Bayamon, Guayanilla, Cruz Bay, San German, Catano, Ceiba, Ciales, Juana Diaz, Quebradillas, Frederiksted Southeast, Yauco, Rio Grande, Utuado, Las Marias, San Lorenzo, Humacao, Villalba, Baranquitas, Caguas, Charlotte Amalie East, Penuelas, Coamo, Hatillo, Naranjito, Guaynabo, Comerio, Frederiksted, Dorado, Grove Place, Toa Baja, Barceloneta, Anasco, Cayey, Fajardo, Patillas, and Salinas 913 AM AST Thu Nov 12 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AST THIS EVENING... The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for * Portions of Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands, including the following areas, in Puerto Rico, Central Interior, Culebra, Eastern Interior, Mayaguez and Vicinity, North Central, Northeast, Northwest, Ponce and Vicinity, San Juan and Vicinity, Southeast, Southwest, Vieques and Western Interior. In Virgin Islands, St Croix and St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands. * Until 8 PM AST this evening * Unstable weather conditions with periods of heavy rainfall are still expected today due to abundant tropical moisture. Soils are saturated and small streams and rivers are running above normal levels, particularly across eastern Puerto Rico. Therefore, any prolonged period of heavy rainfall will result in flooding and mudslides in areas of steep terrain. Additional rainfall accumulation of up to 2 inches is possible across eastern Puerto Rico through this evening. Across western Puerto Rico and the USVI, isolated areas could see up to 1 to 2 inches of rain. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation. You should monitor the latest forecasts and be prepared to take action if Flash Flood Warnings are issued. && $$ MB
689 WGCA62 TJSJ 130001 FFASJU FLASH FLOOD WATCH National Weather Service San Juan PR 801 PM AST Thu Nov 12 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH ALLOWED TO EXPIRE... .The potential for widespread flash flooding will continue to diminish and is no longer a major impact for the forecast area. PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-130115- /O.EXP.TJSJ.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-201113T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior- North Central-Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-Northwest- Western Interior-Mayaguez and Vicinity-Southwest-Culebra-Vieques- St.Thomas...St. John...and Adjacent Islands-St Croix- Including the cities of Bayamon, Carolina, Catano, Guaynabo, San Juan, Toa Alta, Toa Baja, Trujillo Alto, Ceiba, Canovanas, Fajardo, Humacao, Loiza, Luquillo, Naguabo, Rio Grande, Arroyo, Guayama, Maunabo, Patillas, Salinas, Yabucoa, Aguas Buenas, Caguas, Cayey, Cidra, Comerio, Gurabo, Juncos, Las Piedras, San Lorenzo, Arecibo, Barceloneta, Dorado, Florida, Manati, Vega Alta, Vega Baja, Aibonito, Baranquitas, Ciales, Coamo, Corozal, Jayuya, Morovis, Naranjito, Orocovis, Villalba, Guayanilla, Juana Diaz, Yauco, Penuelas, Ponce, Santa Isabel, Aguadilla, Camuy, Hatillo, Isabela, Quebradillas, Adjuntas, Lares, Las Marias, Maricao, Sabana Grande, San Sebastian, Utuado, Aguada, Anasco, Hormigueros, Mayaguez, Moca, Rincon, San German, Cabo Rojo, Guanica, Lajas, Culebra, Vieques, Anna's Retreat, Charlotte Amalie, Charlotte Amalie East, Charlotte Amalie West, Cruz Bay, Christiansted, Frederiksted, Frederiksted Southeast, and Grove Place 801 PM AST Thu Nov 12 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM AST THIS EVENING... The Flash Flood Watch for portions of Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands will expire at 8 PM AST this evening. Although a plume of moisture trailing a broad and vigorous tropical wave now over the central Caribbean will linger across the region overnight through early Friday, a drier airmass and more stable airmass will gradually filter in across the region from the north and east sections of the forecast area. As as result the potential for flash flooding will continue to diminish. Consequently the Flash Flood Watch will be allowed to expire at 8:00 PM AST this evening. However soils remain saturated and some small streams and rivers are running above normal levels, particularly across eastern and southern Puerto Rico. Therefore, any prolonged period of moderate to heavy rainfall in isolated areas may still result in minor flooding and mudslides in areas of steep terrain. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS JSJ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Nov 8, 7:57 PM CST, 5 hours 36 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 8, 7:57 PM CST, 5 hours 36 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service San Juan PR
957 PM AST Sun Nov 8 2020
.UPDATE...Heavy rain in southerly flow brought 6 to 8 inch
accumulations to parts of south and east Puerto Rico. This rain
also impeded the balloon launch, so no sounding was received
tonight. Doppler radar did show veering winds from the surface to
30 kft that were generally less than 20 knots. Winds began at
south southeast at the surface, became southwest at 19 kft, west
at 24 kft and northwest at 30 kft. Changes to the forecast
generally involved POP adjustments, an increase in the expected
quantities of rain expected through Tuesday, and a few minor
changes to the temperatures. The latest GFS model appeared to be
boosting the winds speeds too much so the original forecast was
held.
&&
.AVIATION...RA is dissipating slowly across the eastern and
western ends of Puerto Rico and SHRA embedded in light rain
continue across the northern USVI with very light rain over Saint
Croix. A new line of SHRA is apchg wrn PR, but may not arrive at
TAF sites tonight. TSRA are still drifting north thru the Mona
Channel. SHRA/TSRA will redevlp across the FA aft 09/14Z. Sfc
winds S less than 10 kt with land breezes. Winds bcmg E 10-15 kt
aft 09/14Z.
&&
.MARINE...No changes to the marine discussion.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 348 PM AST Sun Nov 8 2020/
SYNOPSIS...
Active weather will persist into midweek, as the tail of Tropical
Storm Eta, located to the northwest and moving away, pulls
moisture across the area. Widespread showers and isolated
thunderstorms are expected across the region, and locally moderate
to heavy rainfall is possible. There is an increasing risk during
this time of flooding and mudslides. After midweek, though, a
drier air mass is forecast to make its way over the area, leading
to a more stable weather pattern.
SHORT TERM...Rest of Today through Tuesday...
As expected, there is a deep layer of moisture over the area, with
above average precipitable water values; the precipitable water was
2.13 inches in this morning's sounding. Relative humidity was
observed to be in excess of 50% from the surface through about 550
hPa, and above 40% through 250 hPa. With this deep moisture over the
area comes rain, and shower activity has persisted through the
morning, and was then accompanied by convective development in the
afternoon. The major driving force behind these conditions is
Tropical Storm Eta, which is located near Cuba, and is forecast to
move into the Gulf of Mexico. The tail of Eta is pulling moisture
into the area from the east, adding to an already fairly moist
environment. Additionally, there is a tropical wave near the
Windward Islands, which will also make its way towards the region,
likely by late tomorrow, adding to the moisture convergence
occurring. The increase in instability over the region, which
contributes to the depth of the column of moisture, is related to
the erosion of a mid to upper-level ridge, in large part due to
the effects of the tropical cyclone. Increasing moisture is
expected over the next couple of days, with precipitable water
values rising to around 2.3 to 2.6 inches, which will persist into
midweek. These values are near or exceeding 2 standard deviations
above seasonal normals.
Because of the deep, significantly higher than normal moisture and
good instability aloft, wet and active weather conditions will
continue; tonight through Tuesday, conditions are expected to be
more active than present. Scattered to numerous showers are expected
overnight tonight through tomorrow, especially over the USVI and
eastern Puerto Rico, as well as the local waters. Isolated
thunderstorms will accompany this shower activity, becoming more
widespread across the area. In the afternoon, the focus of activity
is likely to be northwestern and interior Puerto Rico, though
continuing scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms
are likely across the region. And essentially a repeat is expected
for Monday night through Tuesday. Locally moderate to heavy rainfall
is likely.
Soils were already saturated before today's activity. With the
addition of the anticipated rainfall, flooding will increasingly
become a concern. Even before taking soil moisture into
consideration, the shower activity will cause an increasing risk of
urban and small stream flooding; with the saturated ground in mind,
there is the potential for mudslides and river flooding. The areas
of highest risk are eastern Puerto Rico and western interior
portions of Puerto Rico.
LONG TERM...Wednesday through Sunday...From Prev Discussion...
Weather conditions will continue to remain unsettled on Wednesday
as deep tropical moisture will linger across the area. Therefore,
periods of enhanced shower and thunderstorm activity can be
expected with the heaviest activity expected across the eastern
half of Puerto Rico and the USVI during the morning hours followed
by additional activity across western Puerto Rico during late
morning into the afternoon hours. Urban and small stream flooding
as well as river flooding and mudslides in areas of steep terrain
will continue to be a threat. A surface high pressure over the
western and central Atlantic will then advect a drier air mass
into the region by late Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night.
Therefore, improving weather conditions can be expected during
this time period.
More tranquil weather conditions still expected Thursday through
Saturday as the aformentioned dry air mass will prevail. Patches
of low-level moisture embedded within the easterly trade wind
flow, however, will move across the area from time to time. This
will result in some passing showers across portions of eastern PR
and the USVI during the overnight and early morning hours followed
by the development of some afternoon convection across western
Puerto Rico. Rainfall accumulations for the most part should
remain limited. Breezy conditions are also expected as the
aformentioned surface high pressure will tighten the local
pressure gradient. Winds will be the strongest Thursday and
Friday.
The weather pattern looks to turn more unsettled by the end of
the long term period due to a mid to upper-level low moving over
the area. This will induce a low-level trough, which will advect
deeper moisture into the area from the southeast. Therefore, if
model guidance is correct with its current solution, an increase
in shower and thunderstorm activity can be expected.
AVIATION...SHRA across the local area will cause VCSH across most
of the local terminals today. VCTS possible at TJBQ and TJPS
after 08/18Z. Widespread cloudiness could cause CIGs at around
FL050-070 and around FL020-030 with the SHRA/TSRA. ESE winds with
sea breeze variations at around 15kt for the rest of today,
decreasing after 08/22Z. BKN/OVC SKY through the night at
FL060-080 possible. Conds ovr the NW part of PR are expected to
imprv aft 09/01Z. Maximum winds WNW-NW 35-45 kt btwn FL410-490.
MARINE...
Seas of up to 6 feet are expected for the offshore Atlantic waters
and around the northern part of the Anegada Passage today through
tomorrow. Generally, seas of up to 5 feet will continue for the rest
of the local waters. Increasing winds associated with a building
surface high over the western and central Atlantic will lead to
increasing seas, becoming choppy to hazardous as soon as tomorrow
evening for northern and eastern portions of the local waters; these
conditions will spread across much of the local waters, and persist
for several days. The moderate risk of rip currents continues for
most north-facing beaches across the local islands, as well as most
beaches of Culebra, and eastern beaches of Vieques and St. Croix.
The risk is forecast to gradually increase starting tonight.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 76 87 75 85 / 90 80 70 80
STT 76 86 76 84 / 90 90 80 90
&&
.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...High Rip Current Risk from 6 AM AST Monday through late Monday
night for Northeast-Northwest-Southeast.
High Rip Current Risk through late Monday night for North
Central-San Juan and Vicinity.
High Rip Current Risk from 6 AM AST Monday through Monday
afternoon for Culebra.
VI...High Rip Current Risk from 6 AM AST Monday through late Monday
night for St Croix.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM Monday to 8 PM AST Wednesday for
Anegada Passage Southward to 17N-Atlantic Waters of Puerto
Rico and USVI from 10 NM to 19.5N.
&&
SHORT TERM...WS
LONG TERM....ERG
PUBLIC DESK...ICPHazardous weather outlook, Nov 8, 2:45 AM CST, 22 hours 48 minutes before
Perspectivas sobre Condiciones Peligrosas del Tiempo Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia San Juan PR 423 AM AST domingo 8 de noviembre de 2020 AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-090830- San Juan y Vecindad-Noreste-Sureste-Este Interior-Norte Central- Interior Central-Ponce y Vecindad-Noroeste-Oeste Interior-Mayaguez Vecindad-Suroeste-Culebra-Vieques-Aguas cercanas y mar afuera y del Atlantico y Caribe- 423 AM AST domingo 8 de noviembre de 2020 Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para Puerto Rico y las aguas costeras del Atlantico. .Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche .Inundcaciones...Lluvias fuertes podrian ocasionar inundaciones urbanas y de riachuelos pequenos. .Oleaje...Se espera oleaje picado de hasta 6 pies a traves de las aguas mar afuera del Atlantico y el pasaje de Anagada. .Corrientes Marinas...Existe un riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas para las playas del norte de Puerto Rico, Vieques y Culebra. .Dias dos hasta el siete...lunes a sabado Condiciones inestables son esperadas hasta mediados de semana. Esto aumentara el potencial para inundaciones urbanas y de pequenos riachuelos. El terreno esta saturado, por lo tanto, existe el potencial de deslizamientos e inundaciones de rios particularmente en el este de Puerto Rico y porciones del oeste interior martes y miercoles. Riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas continuara hasta temprano la proxima semana laboral. .Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores... No se anticipa activacion de observadores. Favor de reportar cualquier informacion sobre vientos, oleaje, y corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan mientras siguen las indicaciones de las autoridades locales y estatales. AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-090830- San Tomas, San John e Islas Adyacentes- Santa Cruz- Aguas cercanas del Atlantico y aguas costeras adyacentes del Caribe- 423 AM AST domingo 8 de noviembre de 2020 Esta perspectiva sobre las condiciones peligrosas del tiempo es para Islas Virgenes Estadounidenses y las aguas costeras adyacentes. .Dia Uno...Hoy y esta noche .Oleaje...Se espera oleaje picado de hasta 6 pies a traves de las aguas mar afuera del Atlantico y el pasaje de Aneagda. .Corrientes Marinas...Existe un riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas para las playas locales. .Dias dos hasta el siete...lunes hasta sabado Condiciones inestables son esperadas hasta mediados de la semana. Esto aumentara el potencial para inundaciones urbanas y de pequenos riachuelos. Riesgo moderado de corrientes marinas continuara por los proximos dias. .Comunicado sobre informacion reportada por observadores... No se anticipa activacion de observadores. Favor de reportar cualquier informacion sobre vientos, oleaje, y corrientes marinas al Servicio Nacional de Meteorologia en San Juan mientras siguen las indicaciones de las autoridades locales y estatales.
The office that day
Everything else NWS JSJ issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 6:46 PM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | JSJ | 119 min | |
| Nov 9, 10:08 AM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | JSJ | 3 hr | |
| Nov 9, 12:37 PM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | JSJ | 113 min | |
| Nov 9, 2:00 PM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | JSJ | 2 hr | |
| Nov 9, 2:45 PM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | JSJ | 5 hr | |
| Nov 9, 4:03 PM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | JSJ | 3 hr | |
| Nov 9, 4:18 PM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | JSJ | 3 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Puerto Rico, 2020Flash Flood Watches in U.S. Virgin Islands, 2020Every flash flood watch in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.