Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 89, NWS Jackson, MS

February 18, 2020Clay County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Feb 18, 2020, 7:58 PM CST for Clay County, Mississippi. It took effect at Feb 19, 2020, 2:24 AM CST. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 18, 2020, 7:58 PM CST (01:58 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 19, 2020, 2:24 AM CST
Expired
Feb 22, 2020, 7:13 PM CST
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Clay County, MS

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Tibbee Creek near Tibbee (TBBM6).

Action stage
20 ft
Minor stage
23 ft
Moderate stage
28 ft
Major stage
30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02441000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

133 
WGUS44 KJAN 190158
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
758 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2020


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi... 

  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County
  Luxapallila Creek Near Columbus affecting Lowndes County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 48 hours. 

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-200758-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0089.200219T0824Z-200222T0900Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.200219T0824Z.200220T0000Z.200221T2100Z.NO/
758 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2020

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* from late tonight to late Friday night.
* At  7:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage just after 
  midnight tonight and will continue to rise to near 25.0 feet 
  tomorrow evening.  
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Flood water is covering the gravel road 
  south of West Point that leads to the Tibbee Creek bridge near 
  Tibbee.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23  16.1 Tue 07 PM  23.9  24.3  23.5  25.0 06 PM 02/19


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC087-200758-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0090.200220T0000Z-200221T0200Z/
/CLUM6.1.ER.200220T0000Z.200220T0600Z.200220T1400Z.NO/
758 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2020

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Luxapallila Creek Near Columbus
* from Wednesday evening to Thursday evening.
* At  7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tomorrow evening 
  and will continue to rise to near 15.4 feet early Thursday morning. 
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Overbank flooding is occurring in the steens
  area.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Luxapallila Creek
Columbus       15   9.0 Tue 07 PM  12.2  15.2  12.8  15.4 12 AM 02/20


&&


LAT...LON 3349 8843 3356 8840 3364 8826 3350 8828
      3350 8836 3345 8842             



$$
8 follow-up statements
737 
WGUS84 KJAN 191509
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
909 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County 
  Noxubee River At Macon affecting Noxubee County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-202108-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-200223T0000Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.200220T0712Z.200221T0600Z.200222T1200Z.NO/
909 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* until Saturday evening.
* At  8:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by 6 AM Thursday 
  and will continue to rise to near 23.8 feet early by Friday morning.  
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding in low areas on the left bank is 
  occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23  19.5 Wed 08 AM  23.4  23.7  23.0  23.8 12 AM 02/21


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-202108-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCNM6.2.ER.200210T2045Z.200212T0845Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
909 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Noxubee River At Macon
* until further notice.
* At  8:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 28.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.1 feet by early 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet...Agriculture flooding is occurring near the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Noxubee River 
Macon          26  28.2 Wed 08 AM  30.1  31.1  30.7  31.1 06 AM 02/21


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$

NF
609 
WGUS84 KJAN 200233
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
833 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County 
  Noxubee River At Macon affecting Noxubee County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 48 hours. 

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-210832-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-200223T1800Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.200220T0800Z.200221T0600Z.200223T0600Z.NO/
833 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At  7:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage just after 
  midnight tonight and will continue to rise to near 24.4 feet early 
  Friday morning.  
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Flood water is covering the gravel road 
  south of West Point that leads to the Tibbee Creek bridge near 
  Tibbee.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding in low areas on the left bank is 
  occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23  22.3 Wed 07 PM  23.4  24.4  23.9  24.4 12 AM 02/21


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-210832-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCNM6.2.ER.200210T2045Z.200212T0845Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
833 PM CST Wed Feb 19 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Noxubee River At Macon
* until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 27.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.6 feet 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet...Agriculture flooding is occurring near the 
  river.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Farm land near the river begins to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Noxubee River 
Macon          26  27.7 Wed 08 PM  28.8  31.0  31.6  31.6 06 AM 02/22


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$
049 
WGUS84 KJAN 201523
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
922 AM CST Thu Feb 20 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County
  Noxubee River At Macon affecting Noxubee County 
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 48 hours. Rainfall
amounts greater than forecast may take the rivers higher.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-212122-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-200224T0200Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.200220T0415Z.200221T0000Z.200223T1400Z.NO/
922 AM CST Thu Feb 20 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* until Sunday evening.
* At  8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 25.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet this 
  evening.  
* Impact...At 26.0 feet...Low land and agriculture land near the creek
  is flooded.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Flood water is covering the gravel road 
  south of West Point that leads to the Tibbee Creek bridge near 
  Tibbee.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23  25.1 Thu 08 AM  25.4  24.8  23.2  25.5 06 PM 02/20


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-212122-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCNM6.2.ER.200210T2045Z.200212T0845Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
922 AM CST Thu Feb 20 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Noxubee River At Macon
* until further notice.
* At  9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 27.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.6 feet 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet...Agriculture flooding is occurring near the 
  river.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Farm land near the river begins to flood.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Noxubee River 
Macon          26  27.4 Thu 09 AM  30.4  31.6  30.6  31.6 06 AM 02/22


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$
341 
WGUS84 KJAN 210219
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
819 PM CST Thu Feb 20 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County 
  Noxubee River At Macon affecting Noxubee County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-220818-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-200224T0651Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.200220T0415Z.200221T0600Z.200223T1851Z.NO/
819 PM CST Thu Feb 20 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* until late Sunday night.
* At  7:30 PM Thursday the stage was 25.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.4 feet 
  tomorrow morning.  

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23  25.2 Thu 07 PM  25.4  25.2  23.6  25.4 06 AM 02/21


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-220818-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCNM6.2.ER.200210T2045Z.200212T0845Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
819 PM CST Thu Feb 20 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Noxubee River At Macon
* until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.9 feet Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet...Agriculture flooding is occurring near the 
  river.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Farm land near the river begins to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Noxubee River 
Macon          26  28.4 Thu 08 PM  29.8  31.5  31.9  31.9 06 AM 02/23


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$
925 
WGUS84 KJAN 211550
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
950 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2020




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County  
  Noxubee River At Macon affecting Noxubee County 
  Luxapallila Creek Near Columbus affecting Lowndes County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 48 hours. 

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-222150-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-200224T0651Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.200220T0415Z.200220T2345Z.200223T1851Z.NO/
950 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* until late Sunday night.
* At  9:30 AM Friday the stage was 24.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will remain steady forecast
  the next 24 hours before beginning to fall.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23  24.9 Fri 09 AM  25.0  23.6  19.6  25.1 12 AM 02/22


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-222150-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-200226T0200Z/
/MCNM6.2.ER.200210T2045Z.200212T0845Z.200225T1400Z.NO/
950 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Noxubee River At Macon
* until Tuesday evening.
* At  9:00 AM Friday the stage was 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 30.5 feet by Sunday 
  morning.  


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Noxubee River 
Macon          26  29.0 Fri 09 AM  30.2  30.5  29.2  30.5 06 AM 02/23


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$

MSC087-222150-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0101.000000T0000Z-200223T1200Z/
/CLUM6.1.ER.200221T0005Z.200221T1000Z.200223T0000Z.NO/
950 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Luxapallila Creek Near Columbus
* until Sunday morning.
* At  9:00 AM Friday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will begin falling.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Luxapallila Creek
Columbus       15  16.0 Fri 09 AM  15.8  13.6  10.9            


&&


LAT...LON 3349 8843 3356 8840 3364 8826 3350 8828
      3350 8836 3345 8842             



$$
017 
WGUS84 KJAN 220322
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
922 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County 
  Noxubee River At Macon affecting Noxubee County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-230922-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-200224T0000Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.200220T0415Z.200220T2345Z.200223T1200Z.NO/
922 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* until Sunday evening.
* At  8:30 PM Friday the stage was 24.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fall to below flood stage around 
  early Sunday morning.
  
&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23  24.1 Fri 08 PM  23.9  23.0  21.8     Falling         


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-230922-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-200226T0720Z/
/MCNM6.2.ER.200210T2045Z.200212T0845Z.200225T1920Z.NO/
922 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2020

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Noxubee River At Macon
* until late Tuesday night.
* At  9:00 PM Friday the stage was 29.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 30.7 feet by Sunday 
  morning.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Noxubee River 
Macon          26  29.8 Fri 09 PM  30.2  30.7  29.7  30.7 06 AM 02/23


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$
274 
WGUS84 KJAN 221555
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
955 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Noxubee River At Macon affecting Noxubee County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 48 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC025-230730-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-200223T0730Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.200220T0415Z.200220T2345Z.200222T1930Z.NO/
955 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee
* until late tonight.
* At  9:30 AM Saturday the stage was 23.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall below flood stage later today.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23  23.1 Sat 09 AM  21.9  18.2  14.7           


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

MSC103-232154-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-200226T0720Z/
/MCNM6.2.ER.200210T2045Z.200212T0845Z.200225T1920Z.NO/
955 AM CST Sat Feb 22 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Noxubee River At Macon
* until late Tuesday night.
* At  9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 30.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 30.9 feet just 
  after midnight tonight.  
* Impact...At 31.0 feet...Agriculture flooding is occurring near the 
  river.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Noxubee River 
Macon          26  30.7 Sat 09 AM  30.9  29.8  27.1  30.9 12 AM 02/23


&&


LAT...LON 3300 8852 3307 8862 3314 8875 3320 8867
      3313 8855 3304 8845             



$$
811 
WGUS84 KJAN 230113
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
713 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...
 
  Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee affecting Clay County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

River forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours 
of rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take 
the rivers higher.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC025-230143-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-200223T0730Z/
/TBBM6.1.ER.200220T0415Z.200220T2345Z.200222T1652Z.NO/
713 PM CST Sat Feb 22 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Tibbee Creek Near Tibbee.
* At  6:30 PM Saturday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage earlier today.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Tibbee Creek
Tibbee         23  22.4 Sat 06 PM  21.2  17.3  15.5     falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3352 8851 3352 8863 3356 8880 3365 8871
      3359 8861 3357 8853             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 18, 7:13 PM CST, 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 18, 7:13 PM CST, 45 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
713 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2020

.UPDATE...
Updated for 00Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF discussion:

A cold front pushing southeast across the area this evening is
associated with widespread IFR category stratus which will
eventually impact the entire area along with reduced visibility
due to RA/-RA. Expect the stratus to continue into Wednesday,
although ceilings may lift more into the MVFR category by
Wednesday afternoon as the rain coverage diminishes. The next
frontal wave will quickly bring an increase in rain coverage by
evening and expect RA/+RA to persist Wednesday night into
Thursday. Gusty northerly winds, especially in the GLH area
behind the front, will diminish some Wednesday. /EC/

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight through Wednesday:

A cold front currently extends across the northern portions of
our area this afternoon, with showers and thunderstorms occuring
mainly along and behind the boundary. This front will slowly move
southeast through the day into this evening. It continues to look
like rainfall totals will be on the 1-2 inch range for much of the
area. Will continue to advertise in our HWO/Graphicasts and a
flash flood watch is already in effect. With lapse rates of around
5.5C/KM and a decent amount of shear, expect the storms to remain
sub-severe for the most part, but an isolated strong to severe
storm cannot be ruled out this afternoon into early evening. The
front will move south of the area later this evening, but post
frontal rain will continue into the overnight hours. Lows tonight
will range from around 40 in the north to mid 50s in the Pine Belt
Region.

We will get some relief from the rain Wednesday morning into the
afternoon hours, but light rainshowers will continue to be possible
during this period. Another short wave will approach the area
Wednesday afternoon with increasing chances for rain once again.
Highs will range from around 50 across the delta to around 60 across
the Pine Belt. /15/

Thursday through next Monday:

A secondary disturbance is set to move along the northern Gulf Coast
on Thursday which will bring another round of unwelcome rainfall to
the CWA. This time the bulk of the rain will fall along or south of
I-20. There will be very little instability in place at that time
and moisture will be lacking due to the previous frontal passage so
that this precip will come as stratiform rainfall. Currently between
Wednesday night and Thursday, rainfall totals of 0.5"-1.5" are
expected with generally 1" anticipated along and south of I-20.

The upper trough will push the disturbance out of the area fairly
quickly so that precip should be exiting the CWA by midnight on
Thursday. Surface high pressure will then help to clear out skies
and make way for one to two days of sunny, dry weather. Temps will
be chilly in the wake of the trough. Overnight temperatures will
drop into the 30s by Friday morning with highs in the 40s/50s.
Saturday morning will be the coldest as the core of high pressure
moves overhead and temps will fall into the upper 20s to near 30.
One thing that will come into play again as spring is beginning to
blossom is the need for freeze warnings. At this point though, we
believe it is still a little early in the season for any of that.

As the next disturbance develops in the Plains, rain chances will
increase going into Saturday night/Sunday morning. This short wave
trough/closed low will push eastward and bring our next round of
rainfall. At this point, this system seems to be lacking instability
so that convection or severe storms is not expected. This will help
to keep rainfall rates lower as well and at this point only 0.5"-1"
of rain is anticipated between Sunday and Monday. The pattern is
pretty progressive and the shortwave should exit the area by Monday
evening. /10/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       47  54  43  47 /  98  48  94  96
Meridian      49  55  45  49 /  84  44  91  97
Vicksburg     47  51  43  47 / 100  54  96  94
Hattiesburg   55  60  48  54 /  56  38  96  99
Natchez       49  53  44  48 /  81  74  99  97
Greenville    42  48  40  44 /  85  21  84  76
Greenwood     44  51  40  46 /  88  22  82  82

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flash Flood Watch until 6 AM CST Wednesday for MSZ027>033-
     035>056.

LA...Flash Flood Watch until 6 AM CST Wednesday for LAZ009-016.

AR...None.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 18, 3:43 PM CST, 4 hours 15 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
343 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2020

ARZ074-075-LAZ007-008-015-023>026-MSZ018-019-025-026-034-057>065-
192145-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-Richland-Franklin LA-
Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-
Washington-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-
Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-
343 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, east central Mississippi, north
central Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, and south central
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

Rainfall amounts around one inch with locally higher amounts in a
short amount of time, will be possible through tonight. This may
lead to localized flash flooding and worsen ongoing river
flooding.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Monday.

LAZ009-016-MSZ027>033-035>056-192145-
East Carroll-Madison LA-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-
Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-
Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-
Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-
Smith-
343 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northeast Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

FLOODING
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight

Rainfall amounts of one to two inches with locally higher
amounts in a short amount of time, will be possible through
tonight. This will likely lead to areas of flash flooding and
worsen ongoing river flooding.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Monday.

MSZ066-072>074-192145-
Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
343 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Monday.

15

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 18, 5:18 PM CST, 2 hours 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
518 PM CST TUE FEB 18 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BELZONI                 33.18N 90.49W
02/18/2020                   HUMPHREYS          MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW ROADS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF
            THE COUNTY HAD WATER ACROSS THEM.

&&

TW
Special weather statement, Feb 18, 5:21 PM CST, 2 hours 37 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
521 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2020

MSZ045-046-190000-
Kemper MS-Neshoba MS-
521 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN KEMPER AND
SOUTHEASTERN NESHOBA COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CST...

At 521 PM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Bethsaida, or near Philadelphia, moving east at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Forestdale around 530 PM CST.
  Damascus and Bluff Springs around 545 PM CST.
  Liberty around 550 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Tucker.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3265 8913 3279 8911 3282 8870 3263 8870
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 267DEG 28KT 3271 8904

TW
Local storm report, Feb 18, 5:38 PM CST, 2 hours 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
538 PM CST TUE FEB 18 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 WSW COLUMBUS          33.50N 88.42W
02/18/2020                   LOWNDES            MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATER APPROACHING AND FLOWING OVER SEVERAL
            ROADS IN COLUMBUS.

&&

TW
Local storm report, Feb 18, 5:53 PM CST, 2 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
553 PM CST TUE FEB 18 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 E CENTER GROVE        33.52N 88.98W
02/18/2020                   OKTIBBEHA          MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER ACROSS POLLY BELL RD.

&&

TW
Local storm report, Feb 18, 6:41 PM CST, 1 hour 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
641 PM CST TUE FEB 18 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 WNW SHERWOOD          33.50N 89.17W
02/18/2020                   CHOCTAW            MS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            WATER ACROSS OLD TRACE RD.

&&

TW
Local storm report, Feb 18, 7:40 PM CST, 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
740 PM CST TUE FEB 18 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NW OKTOC              33.35N 88.79W
02/18/2020                   OKTIBBEHA          MS   PUBLIC

            PICTURE RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA OF A
            CULVERT DISLODGED AND PORTION OF THE ROAD
            WASHED OUT AT THE INTERSECTION OF PIKE RD
            AND SPRUILL RD.

&&

TW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 18, 7:58 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLowndes13 hr
Feb 19, 9:38 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANNeshoba6 days
Feb 19, 9:38 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake4 days
Feb 19, 9:38 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake6 days
Feb 19, 2:59 PM CSTFlash Flood WatchJANAttala, Claiborne, Clarke, Copiah, Covington, Hinds and 24 more18 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.