Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 3, NWS Jackson, MS

January 1, 2020Attala County, Holmes County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Jan 1, 2020, 9:48 AM CST for Attala County, Holmes County, Mississippi. It took effect at Jan 3, 2020, 2:24 AM CST. It was in force for 7 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 1, 2020, 9:48 AM CST (15:48 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 3, 2020, 2:24 AM CST
Expired
Jan 10, 2020, 4:20 AM CST
In force
7 days
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

Counties Attala County, MS, Holmes County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Big Black River at West (WSTM6).

Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
20 ft
Major stage
25 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07289350, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

811 
WGUS44 KJAN 011548
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
948 AM CST Wed Jan 1 2020


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi... 

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties


...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Mississippi...

  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties

  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 48 hours. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-022149-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0003.200103T0931Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.2.ER.200103T0931Z.200107T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
948 AM CST Wed Jan 1 2020

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Big Black River At West
* from late Thursday night until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Friday morning and
  will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Thousands of acres of agricultural land are 
  under water.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and 
  lowland become inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Lowlands and agricultural land near the 
  river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  10.2 Wed 09 AM   9.9  16.9  19.5  20.0 12 AM 01/07


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-022149-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.2.ER.191223T1336Z.200105T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
948 AM CST Wed Jan 1 2020

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Big Black River Near Bentonia.
* until further notice.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 22.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling over the next 24 hours and 
  then begin rising to near 25.5 feet early by Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Extensive flooding of agricultural land is 
  occurring.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Agricultural land near the river begins to 
  flood.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Low lying woodland areas along the river 
  begins to flood.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor low land flooding occurs along the 
  river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  22.5 Wed 09 AM  22.3  24.5  25.1  25.5 12 PM 01/05


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$
17 follow-up statements
363 
WGUS84 KJAN 020141
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
741 PM CST Wed Jan 1 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties  
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-030741-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0003.200103T0931Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.2.ER.200103T0931Z.200107T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
741 PM CST Wed Jan 1 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* from late Thursday night until further notice.
* At 6:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage Friday morning and
  will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Thousands of acres of agricultural land are 
  under water.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  10.1 Wed 07 PM   9.9  16.9  19.5  20.0 12 AM 01/07


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-030741-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.2.ER.191223T1336Z.200105T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
741 PM CST Wed Jan 1 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until further notice.
* At 7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet early 
  Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Extensive flooding of agricultural land is 
  occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  22.4 Wed 07 PM  22.3  24.5  25.1  25.5 12 PM 01/05


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-030741-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0175.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.191230T1311Z.200104T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
741 PM CST Wed Jan 1 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until further notice.
* At 7:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 27.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage tomorrow morning 
  and will continue to rise to near 32.0 feet early Saturday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet...Several access roads along and near the 
  river are under water.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  27.9 Wed 07 PM  28.0  31.2  32.0  32.0 12 PM 01/04


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
607 
WGUS84 KJAN 021635
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1035 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
    Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 48 hours. 

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-032235-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0003.200103T0613Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.2.ER.200103T0613Z.200107T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1035 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* from late tonight until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage just after 
  midnight tonight and will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet early 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Thousands of acres of agricultural land are 
  under water.
*

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  10.3 Thu 10 AM  17.6  19.5  19.5  20.0 12 AM 01/07


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-032235-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.2.ER.191223T1336Z.200105T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1035 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Thursday the stage was 22.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet early 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Extensive flooding of agricultural land is 
  occurring.
* Impact...At 23.5 feet...Agricultural land near the river begins to 
  flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  22.7 Thu 10 AM  25.0  25.3  25.5  25.5 12 AM 01/05


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-032235-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0175.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.191230T1311Z.200104T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1035 AM CST Thu Jan 2 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM Thursday the stage was 29.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 32.0 feet 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 32.5 feet...Water begins to cover Warrior's Trail Road.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet...Several access roads along and near the 
  river are under water.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Low-lying agricultural land near the river 
  begins to flood.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  29.6 Thu 10 AM  31.6  32.0  31.6  32.0 06 AM 01/04


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
741 
WGUS84 KJAN 030224
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
824 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
  
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-040824-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0003.200103T0824Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.2.ER.200103T0824Z.200107T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
824 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* from late tonight until further notice.
* At  7:45 PM Thursday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage just after 
  midnight tonight and will continue to rise to near 20.0 feet Monday
  evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Thousands of acres of agricultural land are 
  under water.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  13.0 Thu 08 PM  16.5  19.1  19.6  20.0 06 PM 01/06


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-040824-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.2.ER.191223T1336Z.200104T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
824 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 24.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.0 feet 
  Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 26.5 feet...Flooding of agricultural land has more than 
  doubled in the last 1.5 feet rise.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  24.5 Thu 08 PM  26.5  27.0  27.0  27.0 06 PM 01/04


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-040824-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0175.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.191230T1311Z.200108T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
824 PM CST Thu Jan 2 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until further notice.
* At  8:15 PM Thursday the stage was 32.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 37.0 feet 
  Wednesday morning.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  32.2 Thu 08 PM  34.8  35.6  36.0  37.0 06 AM 01/08


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
285 
WGUS84 KJAN 031629
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1029 AM CST Fri Jan 3 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. 

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-042228-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.2.ER.200103T0539Z.200107T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 AM CST Fri Jan 3 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Friday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.0 feet Monday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Thousands of acres of agricultural land are 
  under water.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and 
  lowland become inundated.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  16.3 Fri 10 AM  19.0  19.7  19.9  20.0 06 PM 01/06


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-042228-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.2.ER.191223T1336Z.200104T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 AM CST Fri Jan 3 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 25.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.0 feet 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 26.5 feet...Flooding of agricultural land has more than 
  doubled in the last 1.5 feet rise.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  25.8 Fri 10 AM  27.0  27.0  26.8  27.0 06 AM 01/04


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-042228-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0175.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.191230T1311Z.200108T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1029 AM CST Fri Jan 3 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM Friday the stage was 33.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 36.5 feet early 
  Wednesday morning.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  33.4 Fri 10 AM  34.6  34.5  35.0  36.5 12 AM 01/08


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
863 
WGUS84 KJAN 040255
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
855 PM CST Fri Jan 3 2020


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties  
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-050855-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.2.ER.200103T0539Z.200107T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
855 PM CST Fri Jan 3 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until further notice.
* At  7:45 PM Friday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.0 feet early 
  Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Thousands of acres of agricultural land are 
  under water.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  17.6 Fri 08 PM  18.4  19.3  19.8  20.0 12 PM 01/07


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-050855-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.2.ER.191223T1336Z.200105T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
855 PM CST Fri Jan 3 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 26.1 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.0 feet Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 26.5 feet...Flooding of agricultural land has more than 
  doubled in the last 1.5 feet rise.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  26.1 Fri 08 PM  26.3  27.0  27.0  27.0 06 AM 01/05


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-050855-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0175.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.191230T1311Z.200108T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
855 PM CST Fri Jan 3 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until further notice.
* At  8:15 PM Friday the stage was 33.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 36.5 feet early 
  Wednesday morning.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  33.8 Fri 08 PM  34.0  34.0  34.7  36.5 12 AM 01/08


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
130 
WGUS84 KJAN 041613
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1013 AM CST Sat Jan 4 2020





...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
  
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.


Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-052212-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.2.ER.200103T0539Z.200105T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CST Sat Jan 4 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Saturday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.0 feet 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Thousands of acres of agricultural land are 
  under water.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  19.4 Sat 10 AM  19.9  19.9  19.7  20.0 06 PM 01/05


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-052212-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.2.ER.191223T1336Z.200105T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CST Sat Jan 4 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until further notice.
* At  9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 26.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.0 feet 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 26.5 feet...Flooding of agricultural land has more than 
  doubled in the last 1.5 feet rise.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Extensive flooding of agricultural land is 
  occurring.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  26.5 Sat 09 AM  27.0  26.9  26.6  27.0 06 AM 01/05


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-052212-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0175.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.191230T1311Z.200108T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM CST Sat Jan 4 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until further notice.
* At  9:15 AM Saturday the stage was 33.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 36.5 feet early 
  Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 32.5 feet...Water begins to cover Warrior's Trail Road.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  33.8 Sat 09 AM  33.8  34.3  35.5  36.5 12 PM 01/08


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
120 
WGUS84 KJAN 050107
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
707 PM CST Sat Jan 4 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-060707-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.2.ER.200103T0539Z.200105T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
707 PM CST Sat Jan 4 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until further notice.
* At 6:45 PM Saturday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.0 feet 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Thousands of acres of agricultural land are 
  under water.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  19.3 Sat 07 PM  19.9  19.9  19.7  20.0 06 PM 01/05


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-060707-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.2.ER.191223T1336Z.200105T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
707 PM CST Sat Jan 4 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until further notice.
* At 6:00 PM Saturday the stage was 26.9 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.0 feet 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 26.5 feet...Flooding of agricultural land has more than 
  doubled in the last 1.5 feet rise.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  26.9 Sat 06 PM  27.0  26.9  26.6  27.0 06 AM 01/05


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-060707-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0175.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.191230T1311Z.200108T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
707 PM CST Sat Jan 4 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until further notice.
* At 6:15 PM Saturday the stage was 33.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 36.5 feet early 
  Wednesday afternoon.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sun   Mon   Tue Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  33.8 Sat 06 PM  33.8  34.3  35.5  36.5 12 PM 01/08


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
344 
WGUS84 KJAN 051512
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
912 AM CST Sun Jan 5 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. 

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-062111-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.2.ER.200103T0539Z.200106T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 AM CST Sun Jan 5 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM Sunday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.0 feet just 
  after midnight tonight.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  19.3 Sun 09 AM  20.0  19.5  19.0  20.0 12 AM 01/06


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-062111-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.2.ER.191223T1336Z.200105T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 AM CST Sun Jan 5 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until further notice.
* At 8:00 AM Sunday the stage was 27.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.7 feet this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Devastating flooding of agricultural land 
  begins to occur.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  27.6 Sun 08 AM  27.5  27.0  26.7  27.7 12 PM 01/05


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-062111-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0175.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.191230T1311Z.200108T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 AM CST Sun Jan 5 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until further notice.
* At 8:15 AM Sunday the stage was 34.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 37.0 feet 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 37.5 feet...Access roads to the river front area off of 
  old highway 80 road near the bridge begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  34.6 Sun 08 AM  35.6  36.4  37.0  37.0 06 AM 01/08


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
008 
WGUS84 KJAN 060142
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
742 PM CST Sun Jan 5 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-070742-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.2.ER.200103T0539Z.200106T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
742 PM CST Sun Jan 5 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* Until further notice.
* At  6:45 PM Sunday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.0 feet 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Thousands of acres of agricultural land are 
  under water.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  19.8 Sun 07 PM  20.0  19.7  19.2  20.0 06 AM 01/06


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-070742-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.2.ER.191223T1336Z.200105T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
742 PM CST Sun Jan 5 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* Until further notice.
* At  7:00 PM Sunday the stage was 27.7 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.7 feet just 
  after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 26.5 feet...Flooding of agricultural land has more than 
  doubled in the last 1.5 feet rise.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  27.7 Sun 07 PM  27.6  27.3  27.0   Cresting         


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-070742-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0175.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.191230T1311Z.200108T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
742 PM CST Sun Jan 5 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* Until further notice.
* At  7:15 PM Sunday the stage was 35.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 37.0 feet early 
  Wednesday afternoon.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Mon   Tue   Wed Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  35.4 Sun 07 PM  35.9  36.5  37.0  37.0 12 PM 01/08


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
576 
WGUS84 KJAN 061606
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1006 AM CST Mon Jan 6 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. 

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-072207-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.200103T0539Z.200106T1245Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1006 AM CST Mon Jan 6 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until further notice.
* At 9:45 AM Monday the stage was 19.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Thousands of acres of agricultural land are 
  under water.
  
&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  19.9 Mon 10 AM  19.7  19.2  18.7    


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-072206-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.2.ER.191223T1336Z.200105T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1006 AM CST Mon Jan 6 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until further notice.
* At 9:00 AM Monday the stage was 27.4 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will continue falling.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  27.4 Mon 09 AM  27.0  26.7  26.5            


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-072206-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0175.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.191230T1311Z.200108T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1006 AM CST Mon Jan 6 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until further notice.
* At 9:15 AM Monday the stage was 36.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 37.2 feet 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 37.5 feet...Access roads to the river front area off of 
  old highway 80 road near the bridge begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  36.3 Mon 09 AM  37.0  37.2  37.1  37.2 06 AM 01/08


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
494 
WGUS84 KJAN 070107
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
707 PM CST Mon Jan 6 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties  
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-080707-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.200103T0539Z.200106T1245Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
707 PM CST Mon Jan 6 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* Until further notice.
* At  6:45 PM Monday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Thousands of acres of agricultural land are 
  under water.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  19.7 Mon 07 PM  19.5  19.1  18.6   Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-080707-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.2.ER.191223T1336Z.200105T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
707 PM CST Mon Jan 6 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* Until further notice.
* At  6:00 PM Monday the stage was 27.2 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  27.2 Mon 06 PM  27.0  26.7  26.5   Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-080707-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0175.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.191230T1311Z.200108T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
707 PM CST Mon Jan 6 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* Until further notice.
* At  6:15 PM Monday the stage was 36.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 37.5 feet early 
  Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 37.5 feet...Access roads to the river front area off of 
  old highway 80 road near the bridge begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  36.8 Mon 06 PM  37.2  37.5  37.4  37.5 12 PM 01/08


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
648 
WGUS84 KJAN 071627
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1027 AM CST Tue Jan 7 2020



...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties  
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. 

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-082227-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.200103T0539Z.200106T1245Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1027 AM CST Tue Jan 7 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling over the next few
  days.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  19.2 Tue 10 AM  18.8  18.2  17.6             


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-082227-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.2.ER.191223T1336Z.200105T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1027 AM CST Tue Jan 7 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 26.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling for the next few days.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  26.8 Tue 10 AM  26.6  26.4  26.2              


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-082227-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0175.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.191230T1311Z.200108T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1027 AM CST Tue Jan 7 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 37.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 37.9 feet 
  by tomorrow morning.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  37.4 Tue 10 AM  37.9  37.8  37.6  37.9 06 AM 01/08


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
826 
WGUS84 KJAN 080045
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
645 PM CST Tue Jan 7 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-090645-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-200112T2100Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.200103T0539Z.200106T1245Z.200112T0900Z.NO/
645 PM CST Tue Jan 7 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 5:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 18.8 feet and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling over the next few days.
* Impact...At 17 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and 
  lowland become inundated.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  18.8 Tue  6 PM  18.5  17.7  17.0      Falling


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-090645-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.2.ER.191223T1336Z.200105T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
645 PM CST Tue Jan 7 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until further notice.
* At 6:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 26.6 feet and falling.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling over the next few days.
* Impact...At 26.5 feet...Flooding of agricultural land has more than 
  doubled in the last 1.5 feet rise.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  26.6 Tue  6 PM  26.3  26.0  25.7      Falling   

&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-090645-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0175.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.191230T1311Z.200109T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
645 PM CST Tue Jan 7 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until further notice.
* At 6:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 37.6 feet and slowly rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 37.9 feet 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 37.5 feet...Access roads to the river front area off of 
  Old highway 80 near the bridge begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  37.6 Tue  6 PM  37.8  37.9  37.7  37.9  6 PM 1/8

&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$

DL
250 
WGUS84 KJAN 081623
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1023 AM CST Wed Jan 8 2020




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. 

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-092223-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-200112T0900Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.200103T0539Z.200106T1245Z.200111T2100Z.NO/
1023 AM CST Wed Jan 8 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until late Saturday night.
* At  9:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  18.0 Wed 10 AM  17.5  16.9  15.5           


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-092223-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.2.ER.191223T1336Z.200105T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1023 AM CST Wed Jan 8 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until further notice.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 26.2 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will remain steady today before beginning to
  fall once again on Thursday morning.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  26.2 Wed 09 AM  26.1  25.8  25.2             


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-092223-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0175.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.191230T1311Z.200108T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1023 AM CST Wed Jan 8 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until further notice.
* At  9:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 37.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will continue falling.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  37.5 Wed 09 AM  37.5  37.3  36.9 Crested       


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
402 
WGUS84 KJAN 090106
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
706 PM CST Wed Jan 8 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 
  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC007-051-100707-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-200112T0730Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.200103T0539Z.200106T1245Z.200111T1930Z.NO/
706 PM CST Wed Jan 8 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* until late Saturday night.
* At 6:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.6 feet and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling over the next few days.
* Impact...At 17 feet...Several thousand acres of agricultural and 
  lowland become inundated.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  17.6 Wed  7 PM  17.3  16.7  15.4      Falling

&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-100707-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.2.ER.191223T1336Z.200105T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
706 PM CST Wed Jan 8 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* until further notice.
* At 6:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 25.9 feet and falling.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling over the next few days.
* Impact...At 25 feet...Extensive flooding of agricultural land is 
  occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  25.9 Wed  6 PM  25.8  25.6  25.1      Falling

&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-100707-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0175.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.191230T1311Z.200108T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
706 PM CST Wed Jan 8 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* until further notice.
* At 6:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 37.4 feet and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling over the next few days.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  37.4 Wed  6 PM  37.3  37.1  36.7      Falling

&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$

DL
288 
WGUS84 KJAN 091612
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1012 AM CST Thu Jan 9 2020

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Big Black River Near Bentonia affecting Madison and Yazoo Counties  
  Big Black River Near Bovina affecting Hinds and Warren Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-102212-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-200112T1500Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.200103T0539Z.200106T1245Z.200112T0300Z.NO/
1012 AM CST Thu Jan 9 2020

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River At West
* Until Sunday morning.
* At  9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling and will fall below
  flood stage Saturday night.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  16.6 Thu 10 AM  16.0  15.5  14.8    Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

MSC089-163-102212-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0168.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BTAM6.2.ER.191223T1336Z.200105T2300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1012 AM CST Thu Jan 9 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bentonia
* Until further notice.
* At  9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 25.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bentonia       22  25.5 Thu 09 AM  25.2  25.0  24.7   Falling     


&&


LAT...LON 3256 9064 3281 9012 3291 9006 3285 8987
      3272 8996 3245 9052             



$$

MSC049-149-102212-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0175.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BOVM6.1.ER.191230T1311Z.200108T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1012 AM CST Thu Jan 9 2020


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Black River Near Bovina
* Until further notice.
* At  9:15 AM Thursday the stage was 37.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue falling.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Lower Big Black River 
Bovina         28  37.0 Thu 09 AM  36.1  35.3  34.7   Falling          


&&


LAT...LON 3217 9093 3224 9078 3256 9064 3245 9052
      3218 9065 3204 9102             



$$
979 
WGUS84 KJAN 101020
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
420 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Big Black River At West affecting Attala and Holmes Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Please note that forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has 
occurred along with forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours. River 
forecasts in the Tombigbee River Basin have an additional 48 hours of
rainfall added. Rainfall amounts greater than forecast may take the 
rivers higher.

Additional information is available at:  
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=JAN

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC007-051-101050-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-200112T1500Z/
/WSTM6.1.ER.200103T0539Z.200106T1245Z.200110T0609Z.NO/
420 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Big Black River At West.
* At  3:45 AM Friday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 12:09 AM Friday.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 14.1 feet tomorrow 
  morning.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 6 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Big Black River 
West           15  14.4 Fri 04 AM  14.1  13.9  13.8   Below Flood       


&&


LAT...LON 3291 9006 3314 8990 3330 8981 3322 8963
      3313 8969 3285 8987             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 1, 5:23 AM CST, 4 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 1, 5:23 AM CST, 4 hours 25 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
523 AM CST Wed Jan 1 2020

...SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAIN EVENT TO BEGIN THE NEW YEAR...

.UPDATE...
Updated for 12Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF discussion:
HKS was reporting MVFR vsby at 11Z but this should improve by 13Z
and VFR conditions wl prevail areawide today.Cigs wl begin
lowering from the southwest this evening as -RA spreads back
across the region overnight. Widespread RA and MVFR cigs are
expected at most sites by 11Z Thursday. /22/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today and Tonight: Early morning surface analysis had an 1020mb high
centered over our CWA. This surface high will shift east through
tonight as our near zonal winds aloft become southwesterly. Together
these features will begin increasing moisture back across our area.
The 00Z Wednesday JAN sounding had a PWAT of 0.29inches and our dew
points at 3AM were running in the lower 30s. Today is expected to be
dry but light rain chances will return this evening over our CWA
from the southwest as warm air advection increases downstream of an
approaching low pressure system. Satellite imagery showed the
circulation around a closed low spinning over the Baja region early
this morning. Models are in good agreement that this closed low will
shift east today and open up over old Mexico and then continue
tracking east tonight. Our 80h flow is expected to increase to near
50kts while our 50h flow strengthens to 60-70kts after midnight.
This will result in a thetae ridge setting up from the southwest
across our CWA with PWATs increasing back above an inch and a half
arewide to near and inch and three quarters over our southwest.
Light rain is expected to begin falling in our west after 9PM but
spread across the remainder of the CWA and increase in intensity
over the southwest after midnight. Temperatures will top out today
slightly warmer than normal ranging from the mid 50s north to near
60 degrees in the south. Due to the increasing cloud cover and rain
chances tonight, temperatures will bottom out well above normal
ranging from the upper 40s north to the lower 50s south. /22/

Thursday and Friday: The approach of a sharp mid/upper trough
will bring about potential for a combo of weather hazards, mainly
on Thursday. These are broken down individually below...

(Flash Flood Threat)
Flash flooding is expected along a SSW/NNE corridor from central
Louisiana through central and into northeastern Mississippi, with
3-5" of rain expected and locally higher amounts possible. Minor
to moderate river flooding is expected over roughly the same area.
A Flood Watch has been posted for this area. Rain will already be
spreading across the region by Thursday morning. With the
approach of the upper level system, frontogenesis will begin to
occur in a SSW/NNE corridor over the area, which along with the
moist airmass spreading over the region, will help establish a
band of heavier rain roughly along this developing front. This is
expected to occur during the daytime on Thursday, with the front
then shifting eastward during the afternoon and evening hours.
With the upper level system still lagging well to the west,
lighter to moderate rain will continue overnight and into Friday.
Most guidance remains consistent in showing a 1-2 county wide
band of QPF maxing out at around 5", though there continues to be
some slight discrepancy with respect to precisely where this
heaviest band will set up. However, forecast confidence is now
high enough and now that this is set to begin within 24-36 hours,
we have proceeded with a flash flood watch roughly along and
several counties either side of the Natchez Trace. Along with the
potential for flash flooding due to higher rain rates, river
flooding is also anticipated given antecedent conditions over
central and north/east portions of the area.

(Severe Weather Threat)
A conditional threat for severe storms exists mainly along and
south of I-20 in Mississippi for mainly Thursday afternoon.
Damaging wind gusts and tornadoes are the main threats with these
storms. A warm sector will develop to the east of the developing
front on Thursday, with ensemble analogs in the upper 90th
percentile for low level temps on Thursday across parts of south
MS and dewpoints surging into the upper 60s to near 70. Strong
wind shear is anticipated, and is likely to be enhanced by
ageostrophic response to lowering surface pressures. Convection
that develops in this regime will have the potential to produce
damaging wind gusts or tornadoes. However, uncertainty exists as
to whether considerable clouds and precipitation may serve to
inhibit the development of storms capable of tapping into this
environment. If confidence increases in the development of storms,
the severe threat would need to be increased in later outlooks. 00Z
HREF guidance shows low level shear decreasing substantially
during the late afternoon/early evening time frame as the front
pushes across the area, ending the severe weather threat.

(Strong Non-thunderstorm Wind)
Outside of any storms, an area of gusty winds is expected to move
across much of south Mississippi during the day Thursday. Wind
gusts of 30-40 mph are possible, which may result in a few downed
trees. In response to increasing frontogenesis/falling surface
pressure, winds will increase through the daytime Thursday. A Wind
Advisory may eventually be needed for some portion of the area,
but for now this threat will be addressed in the HWO/graphics.

This weekend into early next week: The upper trough axis will
finally clear the area on Saturday, though the associated upper
low barreling through the Mid South will likely maintain
considerable cloudiness and perhaps even a few sprinkles across
the Golden Triangle area. Clearing is anticipated by Saturday
evening, though, and with lighter winds, a light freeze is
possible across a good chunk of the area. Surface ridging over the
northern Gulf will maintain dry and quiet weather into early
Monday, but a building upper trough and developing surface front
will bring our next chance for rain late Monday into Tuesday. /DL/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       59  51  70  56 /   1  95 100 100
Meridian      59  49  72  57 /   1  71  95 100
Vicksburg     59  51  67  55 /   2  97 100 100
Hattiesburg   61  52  73  58 /   2  54  90  95
Natchez       59  52  70  56 /   5  96 100 100
Greenville    54  49  56  54 /   1  92 100  88
Greenwood     56  50  58  55 /   1  93 100 100

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Flash Flood Watch from Thursday morning through Friday morning
     for MSZ019-025>057-059>063.

LA...Flash Flood Watch from Thursday morning through Friday morning
     for LAZ009-016-023>026.

AR...None.

&&

DL/22
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 1, 4:39 AM CST, 5 hours 9 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
439 AM CST Wed Jan 1 2020

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
021045-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-
Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-
Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-
Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-
Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-
Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
439 AM CST Wed Jan 1 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, and central and south Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Flash flooding is expected Thursday through early morning Friday
across portions of central Louisiana and central through
northeastern Mississippi. In these areas, 3 to 5 inches of rain
are expected with locally higher amounts possible. Surrounding
this area, flash flooding is possible with 1 to 3 inches of rain
expected. Minor to moderate river flooding is possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Isolated severe thunderstorms capable of producing damaging wind
gusts and a few tornadoes are possible for areas of Mississippi
along and south of I-20 late Thursday morning through early
Thursday evening.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Outside of any storms, gusty winds are expected across parts of
southern and eastern Mississippi Thursday morning through Thursday
afternoon. Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph are possible, which may
knock down some trees or tree limbs. High profile vehicles may
become unsteady in gusts.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Thursday
through Thursday night.

DL

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

No short term hazards expected.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 1, 3:07 AM CSTFlash Flood WatchJANAdams, Attala, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne, Clay and 35 more57 hr
Jan 1, 9:39 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANClay3 days
Jan 1, 9:39 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANNoxubee8 days
Jan 1, 9:55 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANNeshoba7 days
Jan 1, 9:55 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake9 days
Jan 1, 9:55 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake23 days
Jan 1, 9:55 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake7 days
Jan 1, 9:59 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake21 days
Jan 1, 9:59 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANHinds, Rankin23 days
Jan 1, 9:59 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake21 days
Jan 1, 9:59 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANAttala5 days
Jan 1, 10:01 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANCopiah, Simpson27 days
Jan 1, 10:01 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANLawrence29 days
Jan 1, 10:01 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANMarion30 days
Jan 1, 10:01 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANSimpson3 days
Jan 1, 10:42 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANCarroll, Leflore21 days
Jan 1, 10:42 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANYazoo21 days
Jan 1, 10:42 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANSunflower21 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2020Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.