Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2020

River Flood Warning 28, NWS Jackson, MS

January 10, 2020Noxubee County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Jan 10, 2020, 9:36 AM CST for Noxubee County, Mississippi. It took effect at Jan 12, 2020, 3:16 AM CST. It was in force for 9 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jan 10, 2020, 9:36 AM CST (15:36 UTC)
In effect from: Jan 12, 2020, 3:16 AM CST
Expired: Jan 21, 2020, 8:04 AM CST
In force: 9 days
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

County Noxubee County, MS

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Noxubee River at Macon (MCNM6).

Action stage: 27 ft
Minor stage: 28 ft
Moderate stage: 35 ft
Major stage: 37 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02448000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 10, 5:52 AM CST, 3 hours 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 10, 5:52 AM CST, 3 hours 44 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 10, 7:14 AM CST, 2 hours 22 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
714 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-041-
111315-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Washington-
Humphreys-Issaquena-Sharkey-
714 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, northwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
likely with strong tornadoes possible. Some thunderstorms could
also produce damaging winds up to 80 mph and hail.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

One to three inches of rain could fall in a short amount of time
as the line of storms moves through the region. Given recent
rainfall and area rivers being high, this could lead to some
localized flooding concerns.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Tonight, a few downed trees and power lines are possible due to
sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for wind
gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in
high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

After the line of storms moves through the region Saturday, the
probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Saturday.

LAZ024>026-MSZ026>033-036>039-042>066-072>074-111315-
Catahoula-Tensas-Concordia-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-
Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-
Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-Scott-
Newton-Lauderdale-Claiborne-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-
Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-
Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
714 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
northeast Mississippi, and south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Tonight

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Tonight

Tonight, severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
possible. Some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds up to
70 mph and hail.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

One to three inches of rain could fall in a short amount of time
as the line of storms moves through the region. Given recent
rainfall and area rivers being high, this could lead to some
localized flooding concerns.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

Tonight, a few downed trees and power lines are possible due to
sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for wind
gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in
high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

After the line of storms moves through the region Saturday, the
probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Saturday.

15

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely
 due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts
 greater than 50 mph.
Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due
 to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for
 wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those
 in high profile vehicles.
Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
 sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph.
 High profile vehicles could also be affected.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 10, 9:29 AM CST, 7 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
929 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

MSZ063-064-072-101615-
Lawrence MS-Jefferson Davis MS-Marion MS-
929 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MARION...SOUTHERN LAWRENCE AND
SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 AM CST...

At 929 AM CST, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Kokomo, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Pickwick around 935 AM CST.
  Columbia around 945 AM CST.
  Holly Springs and Morgantown around 950 AM CST.
  Goss around 1000 AM CST.
  Society Hill around 1005 AM CST.
  Bunker Hill and Improve around 1010 AM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8983 3107 8984 3107 8992 3113 8994
      3113 9001 3117 9001 3118 9003 3133 9004
      3133 9008 3135 9011 3135 9024 3143 9024
      3144 8982 3143 8965 3121 8965 3100 8980
TIME...MOT...LOC 1529Z 211DEG 24KT 3117 8997

TW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 10, 9:29 AM CST	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Marion	46 min
Jan 10, 9:35 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Neshoba	11 days
Jan 10, 9:35 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Leake	21 days
Jan 10, 9:35 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Leake	4 days
Jan 10, 10:11 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Attala, Holmes	11 days
Jan 10, 11:37 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Carroll, Leflore	7 days
Jan 10, 11:43 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Washington	21 days
Jan 10, 11:43 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Issaquena, Washington	23 days
Jan 10, 11:43 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Claiborne, Jefferson, Warren	131 days
Jan 10, 11:43 AM CST	River Flood Warning	JAN	Adams, Wilkinson	163 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2020 Every river flood warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.