Severe Thunderstorm Warning 73, NWS Northern Indiana

500 
WWUS53 KIWX 092227
SVSIWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
627 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

OHC003-092300-
/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-200709T2300Z/
Allen OH-
627 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ALLEN COUNTY...

At 627 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Elida, or near
Lima, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Lima, Fort Shawnee, Elida, Yoder, Hume, Kemp and Rousculp. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4077 8401 4064 8408 4064 8411 4066 8411
      4066 8422 4069 8422 4069 8427 4079 8419
TIME...MOT...LOC 2227Z 214DEG 12KT 4073 8419 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MARSILI

963 
WWUS53 KIWX 092239
SVSIWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
639 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

OHC003-092248-
/O.CAN.KIWX.SV.W.0073.000000T0000Z-200709T2300Z/
Allen OH-
639 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ALLEN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 4077 8401 4064 8408 4064 8411 4066 8411
      4066 8422 4069 8422 4069 8427 4079 8419
TIME...MOT...LOC 2234Z 214DEG 12KT 4076 8416 

$$

MARSILI

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
324 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 1256 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

This afternoon will be hot, with high temperatures climbing into
the 90s. Heat indices will range from the mid to upper 90s, with
some areas seeing values just over 100. Widely scattered showers
and thunderstorms are expected otherwise this afternoon, with
locally heavy rain and gusty winds possible with stronger storms.
Higher chances for showers and storms arrive later tonight into
Friday. Highs tomorrow into the upcoming weekend will reach the
mid to upper 80s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday)
Issued at 304 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

Convection has been a little slow to develop over the area today
mostly due to a lack of upper forcing and lowers dewpoints. Recent
regional radar and satellite imagery has shown a few storms try to
initiate, but think we are still an hour or two before storms
really start to develop across the area. This initial round of
storms should be similar to previous day storms due to weak shear
and strong instability. A strong to severe storm can't be ruled
out with damaging wind gusts in the form of downburst as well as
torrential rainfall bring the primary hazards.

Late this evening and into the overnight hours models continue to
show the MCS over E IA/NW IL progressing eastwards in response to
the closed upper low over western IA. Models show this MCS reaching
our western zones between 02z and 04z which is not the best timing
for severe weather to occur. With that being said, enough low level
moisture and residual heating should result in MLCAPE around 1500
initially before dropping to around 1000 J/kg towards 06z. Deep
shear also won't be terrible, but still holds around 20kt.
Considering these factors agree with the Marginal area in the SPC
Day 1 Outlook (generally west of HWY 31) as damaging wind gusts
would be possible across the western zones as this decaying MCS
moves in. Further east, the environment will be less favorable
for storm organization and thus chances for severe weather are
low, but a rogue gust can't be ruled out. Could see a lull in
convective activity overnight as low level stability increases,
but can't be ruled out given the upper forcing from the
approaching low.

Upper low slowly moves across central Lake Michigan and into lower
Michigan over the course of the day Friday. This will help to re-
initiate convection throughout the morning and midday hours, but
should see the greatest develop occur during the afternoon. This
will correspond with a reinforcing cold/cool front catching up to
the low. This should happen around the time as storms are moving
across far NE IN/NW OH/SE lower MI. Wouldn't be surprised to see a
strong to marginally storm at this point if we can get a few
breaks in the cloud cover earlier in the day. The NAM is the most
aggressive with this possibility and spreads MLCAPE around 2000
J/kg over the far eastern zones. Regardless, storms should
continue to march eastward with time.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 304 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

Models still differ with respect to end time of storms Friday night
into Saturday. Went with a middle of the road solution which clears
storms out of the area after 06z Saturday. This should lead to a
mostly dry Saturday with NW flow aloft. An embedded low within  NW
flow aloft, could spark a few storms Saturday night, but better
confidence is storms spreading across the area over the course of
the day Sunday. At this point, severe weather is not anticipated.
There is the possibility of a lingering storm at the start of the
day on Monday before the pattern turns warmer and drier through the
middle of next week as the southwestern US ridge builds back
towards the area.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 1256 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

Once again cannot rule out widely scattered convection this
afternoon, though northern Indiana appears to be in a relative
moisture/instability minimum. This could limit coverage when
compared to previous days, though will still retain a token VCTS
mention 19-00z given the environment. Dry/VFR otherwise this
evening before an upstream shortwave and frontal boundary bring
increasing chances for showers/storms into KSBN by later tonight,
and KFWA toward or shortly after daybreak tomorrow.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...Heat Advisory until 9 PM EDT this evening for INZ009-017-018-
     023>027-032>034.

MI...NONE.
OH...Heat Advisory until 9 PM EDT this evening for OHZ001-002-004-005-
     015-016-024-025.

LM...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Steinwedel
SHORT TERM...CM
LONG TERM...CM
AVIATION...Steinwedel

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
333 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

INZ004>008-012>016-020-022-MIZ078>081-101945-
St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-Starke-Pulaski-Marshall-
Fulton IN-Kosciusko-White-Cass IN-Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-
Hillsdale-
333 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020 /233 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana and
southwest Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There are chances for thunderstorms this afternoon and overnight. A
few storms could be strong to severe, with gusty winds and heavy
rain the main threat. The best chance for these stronger storms will
be late this evening, west of US 31.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There are chances for showers and thunderstorms throughout the day
Friday and once again Sunday. A few storms could be strong to
marginally severe Friday with with gusty winds and heavy rain the
primary threats.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

INZ009-017-018-023>027-032>034-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-
101945-
De Kalb-Whitley-Allen IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-
Blackford-Jay-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam-
Van Wert-Allen OH-
333 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana and
northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

There are chances for thunderstorms this afternoon and overnight. A
few storms could be strong to severe, with gusty winds and heavy
rain the main threat. The best chance for these stronger storms will
be late this evening, west of US 31.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There are chances for showers and thunderstorms throughout the day
Friday and once again Sunday. A few storms could be strong to
marginally severe Friday with with gusty winds and heavy rain the
primary threats.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LMZ043-046-101945-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
333 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters of
southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There are chances for showers and thunderstorms today and tonight. A
few storms may produce wind gusts in excess of 30 knots.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There are chances for showers and thunderstorms Friday into Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

INZ003-MIZ077-101945-
La Porte-Berrien-
333 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020 /233 PM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana and
southwest Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There are chances for thunderstorms this afternoon and overnight. A
few storms could be strong to severe, with gusty winds and heavy
rain the main threat. The best chance for these stronger storms will
be late this evening, west of US 31.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There are chances for showers and thunderstorms throughout the day
Friday and once again Sunday. A few storms could be strong to
marginally severe Friday with with gusty winds and heavy rain the
primary threats.

There is also a moderate swim risk for Lake Michigan beaches along
Berrien and La Porte counties Friday afternoon. Breaking waves and
currents are expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
453 PM EDT THU JUL 9 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WSW CAIRO             40.83N 84.10W
07/09/2020                   ALLEN              OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PART OF TREE DOWN ON MOBILE HOME. TIME
            ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

BROWN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
457 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

OHZ016-024-092200-
Putnam-Van Wert-
457 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN PUTNAM AND
EASTERN VAN WERT COUNTIES...

At 456 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Van Wert to near Ohio City. Movement
was northeast at 10 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with these
storms.

Locations impacted include...
Van Wert, Delphos, Ottoville, Middle Point, Venedocia, Elgin, Wetzel
and Jonestown.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may
cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Seek shelter until these storms pass.

&&

LAT...LON 4082 8436 4082 8440 4075 8440 4074 8458
      4093 8455 4100 8429
TIME...MOT...LOC 2056Z 235DEG 8KT 4091 8449 4075 8452

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

MARSILI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
522 PM EDT THU JUL 9 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0444 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ENE VAN WERT          40.87N 84.57W
07/09/2020                   VAN WERT           OH   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF BRANCHES AND POWER LINES
            DOWN. LOCATION APPROXIMATE. TIME ESTIMATED
            FROM RADAR.

&&

BROWN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
532 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

OHZ001-002-004-015-016-092215-
Putnam-Defiance-Fulton-Williams-Paulding-
532 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN PUTNAM...
CENTRAL DEFIANCE...EASTERN PAULDING...SOUTHEASTERN WILLIAMS AND
SOUTHWESTERN FULTON COUNTIES...

At 531 PM EDT, radar indicated a broken line of thunderstorms
along a line extending from near Bryan to 6 miles southeast of
Paulding. Movement was northeast at 15 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with these
storms.

Locations impacted include...
Defiance, Bryan, Paulding, West Unity, Stryker, Continental, Oakwood,
Pulaski, Grover Hill, Ney, Melrose, Cecil, Broughton, Evansport,
Arthur, Charloe, Williams Center, The Bend and Brunersburg.

This includes Interstate 80 in Ohio between mile markers 22 and 24.

Brief heavy rainfall is also possible with these storms.

Seek shelter until these storms pass.

&&

LAT...LON 4109 8427 4099 8456 4148 8463 4163 8435
      4149 8433 4148 8434 4143 8434 4143 8432
TIME...MOT...LOC 2131Z 227DEG 13KT 4149 8449 4105 8451

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

MARSILI

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
539 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

OHZ016-025-092230-
Allen-Putnam-
539 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN PUTNAM AND
WEST CENTRAL ALLEN COUNTIES...

At 539 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from Ottoville to Delphos. Movement was
northeast at 10 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail are possible with these
storms.

Locations impacted include...
Kalida, Fort Jennings, Rushmore and Rimer.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may
cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Seek shelter until these storms pass.

&&

LAT...LON 4102 8419 4091 8413 4085 8419 4081 8431
      4088 8430 4097 8430
TIME...MOT...LOC 2139Z 247DEG 9KT 4096 8432 4086 8428 4082 8434

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...55MPH

MARSILI

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
546 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

OHZ025-092245-
Allen-
546 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN ALLEN COUNTY...

At 546 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Wapakoneta,
moving north at 10 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Lima, Fort Shawnee, Spencerville, Elida, Yoder, Conant, Needmore,
Hume, Kemp and Rousculp.

This includes Interstate 75 between mile markers 119 and 128.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4064 8403 4064 8411 4066 8411 4066 8422
      4069 8422 4069 8435 4080 8431 4076 8400
TIME...MOT...LOC 2146Z 194DEG 7KT 4063 8424

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

MARSILI