River Flood Warning 40, NWS Northern Indiana

360 
WGUS83 KIWX 041232
FLSIWX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
732 AM EST Wed Mar 4 2020

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers...
 
  Maumee River at Fort Wayne TEST affecting Allen and Paulding 
  Counties
 
.This TEST River Flood Warning has been cancelled. 

&&

INC003-OHC125-041302-
/O.CAN.KIWX.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-200313T1800Z/
/HAZSV.1.ER.200303T1500Z.200303T1800Z.200303T1800Z.NO/
732 AM EST Wed Mar 4 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for the TEST Site at Maumee.

&&

LAT...LON 4107 8513 4110 8511 4110 8505 4113 8495
      4111 8492 4106 8503             

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
740 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 740 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020

Quiet weather is expected overnight but another system will pass
through early Wednesday morning with a chance for light rain or
snow, mainly north of Route 30. Minor accumulations on grassy
surfaces are possible. Winds are expected to increase again
Wednesday afternoon behind this system.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 328 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020

Southern edge of short wave racing across the forecast area at the
present time with uptick in shower activity. Dry low levels
keeping much if anything from reaching the ground despite nice
presentation on radar. A token 20 pops in in for the next couple
of hours until this wave passes. Focus will then shift to upstream
clipper moving through Montana and Kansas that will move across
the area on Wednesday. Models varying on potential impacts with
this feature ranging from dry passage to up to an inch of snow.
Will be a quick window (3 to maybe 5 hours tops) of some precip
potential. Have ramped up pops to likely for a few hour period
across mainly west/north areas. A few tenths of an inch of wet
snow is possible but should only impact grassy areas as temps
hover near or just above freezing to start with slowly warming
temps through the morning. In the wake of the wave, gusty winds
will return similar to today. Upstream winds with this system are
much stronger (40 to 50 kt gusts). Don't expect anything in that
range here.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 328 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020

Stronger northern stream wave will drop in Thursday/Thurs ngt but
will be starved of moisture with little more than chc pops
warranted for now. Upper level height increases in store after
this system, with generally above normal temperatures Sat and
beyond. Next chance for rain will then arrive Sunday night into
Monday night with potentially widespread rain event arriving ahead
of the next stronger trough.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday Evening)
Issued at 618 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020

Wind...showers...and diurnal cu will dissipate quickly with the
loss of daytime heating and anticipate tranquil conditions
overnight. Another potent but fast-moving shortwave will cross
the area Wed morning. A narrow window of good forcing will support
brief impacts. Fuel alternate is likely at KSBN where stronger
forcing and slightly cooler temps reside...resulting in lower
ceilings and a greater chance for snow during heaviest precip
rates. Impacts at KFWA are much less certain but a brief period of
high-end MVFR ceilings is likely. Both sites return to VFR
quickly by the afternoon with a strong push of dry air advection.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Wednesday for LMZ043-046.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AGD/Fisher
SHORT TERM...Fisher
LONG TERM...Fisher
AVIATION...AGD

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
447 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2020

INZ004>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ078>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-041000-
St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-Pulaski-
Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-
Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Cass MI-
St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-
Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
447 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2020 /347 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana, southwest
Michigan and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

INZ003-MIZ077-041000-
La Porte-Berrien-
447 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2020 /347 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana and
southwest Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Strong northwest winds and high waves are expected to result in some
lakeshore flooding and beach erosion Thursday night into Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LMZ043-046-041000-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
447 AM EST Tue Mar 3 2020

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters of
southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Small Craft Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Hazardous conditions for small craft are expected Thursday night
through Friday evening. A period of north to northwest gale gusts is
also expected late Thursday night into Friday.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
347 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-
024-025-032300-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-
Starke-Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-
White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-
Jay-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-
Allen OH-
Including the cities of Michigan City, La Porte, South Bend,
Mishawaka, New Carlisle, Walkerton, Elkhart, Goshen, Nappanee,
Lagrange, Topeka, Shipshewana, Angola, Fremont, Kendallville,
Ligonier, Albion, Auburn, Garrett, Knox, North Judson, Bass Lake,
Winamac, Francesville, Medaryville, Plymouth, Bremen, Culver,
Rochester, Akron, Warsaw, Winona Lake, Syracuse, Mentone,
Columbia City, Tri-Lakes, South Whitley, Fort Wayne, New Haven,
Monticello, Monon, Brookston, Logansport, Royal Center, Peru,
Grissom AFB, Mexico, Wabash, North Manchester, Huntington,
Roanoke, Bluffton, Ossian, Decatur, Berne, Marion, Gas City,
Upland, Hartford City, Montpelier, Portland, Dunkirk, Bryan,
Edgerton, Wauseon, Archbold, Swanton, Delta, Defiance, Sherwood,
Hicksville, Napoleon, Deshler, Liberty Center, Paulding, Antwerp,
Payne, Ottawa, Leipsic, Columbus Grove, Continental, Pandora,
Van Wert, Ohio City, Lima, and Spencerville
347 PM EST Tue Mar 3 2020 /247 PM CST Tue Mar 3 2020/

...Isolated small hail in stronger showers this afternoon...

Scattered showers will quickly move across northern Indiana and
northwest Ohio through 6 PM EST. A few of the showers could
produce brief small hail up to the size of peas along with
locally gusty winds.