Special Weather Statement, NWS Wilmington, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
213 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Weak disturbances moving across the region will bring a chance
of showers and thunderstorms through Friday night. High pressure
will build in from the north over the weekend bringing drier and
cooler conditions.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Thunderstorms are already developing along and northwest of I-71
this morning. Expect additional increasing coverage throughout
the afternoon and into the evening hours. Model soundings are
indicative that the main threats will be damaging winds and
large hail. In addition heavy rain will also occur with these
storm. Temperatures will be slightly cooler than yesterday,
however still expecting warm conditions with high temperatures
in the 80s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
Showers and thunderstorms will likely be ongoing into the
evening, particularly in southeast counties. Expect activity to
wane in the overnight hours. But showers and storms will develop
again on Friday with a diurnal peak. Environment will be
similar to today, so some more robust storms will be possible.

Lows will remain in the upper 60s in most areas tonight with
highs back into the mid 80s on Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Cut-off low south of California rejoins jet stream flow Friday night
leading to an amplification of a downstream ridge in the central US
and a trough over the Northeast. The amplified pattern allows for a
cold front to move through the forecast area during the day on
Saturday with a slight chance for scattered showers and an isolated
thunderstorm primarily during the morning to early afternoon hours.
Temperatures starting in the mid to upper 60s, and warm into the 80s
through the afternoon. Northerly winds lead to some cold air
advection along with lower humidity, likely resulting in a pleasant
Saturday evening.

Sunday and Monday are dominated by surface high pressure to the
north and mid-level ridge over much of the eastern US. Mostly sunny
skies and light northeasterly flow provide near normal temperatures
and lower humidity on Sunday with temperatures a few degrees above
normal on Monday.

Tuesday and Wednesday's weather greatly depends on the progress of
Tropical Storm Cristobal, which is currently positioned 1500 miles
south of WFO ILN, in the state of Tabasco, Mexico. Due to
uncertainty with Cristobal's near term forecast, changes in the
current local forecast for Tue/Wed are likely through the coming
days. Cristobal is expected to eventually move northward into the
northern Gulf of Mexico as a tropical storm. As the deep ridge
shifts eastward, there is a window where remnants of Cristobal could
eventually reach the Ohio Valley as they are intercepted by a deep
trough moving eastward into the Central US. With this synoptic
timing, the tropical airmass associated with the remnants would
enhance rain chances late Tuesday into Wednesday. For temperatures,
rather warm on Tuesday with southeasterly flow pushing temperatures
into the mid to upper 80s with lower 90s possible. With higher rain
chances on Wednesday, highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s are
forecast.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Thunderstorms will move across the region today into this
evening. VSBYS and CIGS will be reduced with this activity. In
addition there will be some gusty winds.  Shower activity will
continue into the overnight hours. Some MVFR vsbys and cigs will
be possible overnight.

OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms are possible through Friday night.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...Novak
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...McGinnis
AVIATION...Novak

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
211 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2020

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-051815-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-
Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-
Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-
Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-
Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Pickaway-
Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-
Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
211 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Northeast Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, Central
Ohio, South Central Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms will occur this afternoon into the
evening. Damaging winds, hail, and locally heavy rainfall will be
possible with these storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

More showers and thunderstorms are forecast for Friday. A few of the
storms could be strong to severe with damaging winds, hail, and
locally heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should report significant weather conditions, while
following all local, state and CDC guidelines.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
245 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2020

OHZ044-045-052-041915-
Champaign OH-Logan OH-Union OH-
245 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN CHAMPAIGN...
SOUTHEASTERN LOGAN COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL OHIO AND SOUTHWESTERN
UNION COUNTIES IN CENTRAL OHIO UNTIL 315 PM EDT...

At 245 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near North
Lewisburg, moving east at 20 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 40 mph...
Nickel size hail...

Locations impacted include...
Marysville, North Lewisburg, Milford Center, Middleburg, Pottersburg
and Pickrelltown.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 4022 8369 4030 8368 4031 8334 4017 8336
TIME...MOT...LOC 1845Z 271DEG 19KT 4024 8364

Franks

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
247 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2020

OHZ045-054-055-041915-
Madison OH-Franklin OH-Union OH-
247 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN FRANKLIN...
NORTHEASTERN MADISON AND SOUTHEASTERN UNION COUNTIES IN CENTRAL OHIO
UNTIL 315 PM EDT...

At 246 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near Dublin,
moving east at 20 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 40 mph...
Nickel size hail...

Locations impacted include...
Columbus, Dublin, Westerville, Upper Arlington, Hilliard,
Worthington, Plain City, Ohio State University, New California,
Riverlea, Amity and Clintonville.

This includes I-71 in Ohio between mile markers 110 and 120.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 3997 8296 4008 8330 4015 8328 4015 8317
      4014 8317 4013 8295
TIME...MOT...LOC 1846Z 282DEG 16KT 4010 8319

Franks

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
255 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2020

OHZ073-080-082-041930-
Pike OH-Highland OH-Ross OH-
255 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN PIKE...NORTHEASTERN
HIGHLAND AND SOUTHWESTERN ROSS COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM EDT...

At 255 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near Rocky Fork
Point, moving east at 25 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 40 mph...
Penny size hail...

Locations impacted include...
Hillsboro, Leesburg, Marshall, Bainbridge, Rocky Fork Point,
Cynthiana, Highland Holiday, Sinking Spring, Rocky Fork Lake,
Samantha, Rainsboro, Paint Creek State Park and Highland County
Airport.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 3918 8371 3935 8357 3930 8316 3906 8332
TIME...MOT...LOC 1855Z 278DEG 23KT 3925 8353

Franks

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
301 PM EDT THU JUN 4 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 WSW WEST JEFFERSON    39.93N 83.32W
06/04/2020                   MADISON            OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TELEPHONE POLES AND TREES REPORTED DOWN. SMALL SECTION OF
            A BARN ROOF TORN OFF. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

HICKMAN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
320 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2020

KYZ090>093-041945-
Boone KY-Kenton KY-Campbell KY-Gallatin KY-
320 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT KENTON...SOUTHERN CAMPBELL...
SOUTHERN BOONE AND EASTERN GALLATIN COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

At 319 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near Walton,
moving northeast at 15 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 45 mph...
Pea size hail...

Locations impacted include...
Covington, Florence, Independence, Erlanger, Edgewood, Elsmere, Villa
Hills, Crescent Springs, Walton, Crestview Hills, Oakbrook,
Claryville, Union, Ryland Heights, Visalia, Atwood, Richwood, Big
Bone Lick, White Villa and Ricedale.

This includes the following Interstates...
 I-71 in Kentucky between mile markers 69 and 77.
 I-75 in Kentucky between mile markers 170 and 185.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 3886 8479 3888 8478 3890 8480 3906 8461
      3889 8440 3880 8473
TIME...MOT...LOC 1919Z 239DEG 13KT 3888 8470

Campbell

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
321 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2020

OHZ073-041945-
Ross OH-
321 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN ROSS COUNTY UNTIL
345 PM EDT...

At 321 PM EDT, radar indicated a strong thunderstorm near Greenfield,
moving east at 25 mph.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Winds to 40 mph...
Penny size hail...
Very heavy rain...

Locations impacted include...
Chillicothe, Greenfield, Bainbridge, North Folk Village, Frankfort,
South Salem, Summithill, Bourneville, Knockemstiff, Lattaville,
Austin and Andersonville.

Water will pond on roads and may quickly fill roadside ditches and
small streams.

To report hazardous weather conditions, go to our website at
weather.gov/iln and submit your report via social media, when you can
do so safely.

LAT...LON 3918 8301 3919 8311 3924 8333 3925 8335
      3925 8336 3927 8339 3928 8339 3928 8338
      3934 8338 3941 8333 3944 8323 3942 8297
TIME...MOT...LOC 1921Z 278DEG 22KT 3932 8329

Franks