Special Weather Statement, NWS Wichita, KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
253 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday night)
Issued at 250 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

Today-tonight:
MCS continue to race across forecast area at this time. Thinking
combo of outflow and clouds may cut into temperatures, especially
in southeast KS. Several models linger/develop precipitation on
back edge of MCS later this morning, while some fester or
redevelop storms this afternoon in southeast KS. The latter seems
more likely if MCV develops, but less likely if MCS remains
forward propagating. Temperatures in far west are considerably
less certain. Will continue to carry small pops in far southeast
KS late this afternoon mainly due to uncertainty.

Tonight:
Question tonight is whether storms develop as low level jet
overruns as outflow boundary, another MCS rolls in from the
northwest, or both. Have continue small pops through the evening
across the south for the former, but confidence is not
particularly high. Thinking better chance is later, but not
confident about coverage.

Friday-Friday night:
Appears to be second verse with questions about post MCS clouds
and the effect on afternoon temperatures. Went near median of
model spread for highs.

Saturday:
Temperatures should warm a bit on Saturday, with chance for
another nocturnal MCS Saturday night that would clip far northeast edge
of forecast area. -Howerton

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 250 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

Appears that upper ridge will be the predominate player during
this period, with only small chances for nocturnal storms
potentially clipping parts of the area. Temperatures will likely
increase during this period. -Howerton

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1208 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

A line of storms will race southeast across northern Kansas into
eastern Kansas overnight. This will cause outflow winds to surge
southward with gusty north winds. The storms will have the best
chance of affecting SLN and CNU sites. Meanwhile the winds will
gradually switch to the east then southeast behind the departing
storms Thursday morning. VFR conditions are expected in the wake
of the morning storms in southeast Kansas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    90  73  94  76 /  40  30  10  10
Hutchinson      89  71  93  74 /  20  30  10  10
Newton          88  71  92  75 /  40  30  10  10
ElDorado        88  70  90  74 /  80  30  10  10
Winfield-KWLD   90  71  94  76 /  40  50  10   0
Russell         88  69  93  72 /  10  20   0  10
Great Bend      90  70  93  72 /  10  20   0  10
Salina          90  70  94  75 /  40  20  10  10
McPherson       88  71  93  73 /  30  20  10  10
Coffeyville     85  71  92  76 /  80  50  10  10
Chanute         85  70  91  74 /  90  30  10  10
Iola            86  69  91  74 /  90  20  10  10
Parsons-KPPF    84  70  92  76 /  80  40  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...PJH
LONG TERM...PJH
AVIATION...CDJ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
348 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-100900-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
348 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to move southeast
across the Flint Hills and into southeast Kansas early this morning.
The main threats are 50 to 60 mph winds and heavy rain that could
cause localized flooding.

There is a chance of storms redeveloping this afternoon or more
likely this evening roughly south of highway 400. If these storms
develop, some may be strong or severe. Storms are also possible
later tonight in central Kansas as storms move in from Nebraska.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Heat indices of 100 to 105 are possible Friday across south central
Kansas and 100 to 108 area wide on Saturday.  Similar values are
possible area wide on Monday and likely on Tuesday and Wednesday.

There are small chances of thunderstorms Monday night and Tuesday
night, mainly across central Kansas.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

There is a small chance that spotter activation might be required
south of highway 400 this afternoon.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://weather.gov/crh/ghwo?sid=ict

Howerton

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
448 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

KSZ068-091015-
Harvey KS-
448 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Harvey County in south central Kansas...

* Until 515 AM CDT.

* At 445 AM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm near Bentley, or near Halstead...
  moving east at 30 mph.

Hail up to the size of dimes...and wind gusts up to 55 mph will be
possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Newton, Hesston, Halstead, North Newton, Sedgwick, Burrton,
  Whitewater, Walton and Newton Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 AM CDT for
south central and central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3791 9770 3817 9770 3818 9716 3792 9715
TIME...MOT...LOC 0948Z 257DEG 26KT 3794 9754

VAUGHAN

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
507 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

KSZ033-048-049-091045-
Ellsworth KS-Lincoln KS-Saline KS-
507 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Ellsworth County in central Kansas...
  Southern Lincoln County in central Kansas...
  Saline County in central Kansas...

* Until 545 AM CDT.

* At 505 AM CDT...National Weather Service Doppler radar was tracking
  a strong thunderstorm with locally heavy rainfall near Smolan, or 6
  miles west of Salina...moving east at 40 mph.

Hail up to the size of dimes...and wind gusts up to 55 mph will be
possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Salina, Ellsworth, Wilson, Kanopolis, Holyrood, Assaria, Gypsum,
  Brookville, Smolan, Lorraine, New Cambria, Falun, Glendale,
  Westfall, Salina Airport, Ellsworth Airport, Bridgeport, Kanopolis
  Lake, Kanopolis State Park and Kipp.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 AM CDT for
central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3899 9793 3896 9793 3896 9738 3861 9737
      3861 9792 3853 9793 3852 9848 3900 9849
TIME...MOT...LOC 1006Z 270DEG 34KT 3879 9773

VAUGHAN