Wind Advisory 18, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

072 
WWUS72 KGSP 300757
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
357 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2020

GAZ010-017-300900-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-201030T0800Z/
Rabun-Habersham-
Including the cities of Clayton, Pine Mountain, Mountain City, 
Cornelia, Demorest, Clarkesville, and Hollywood
357 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2020

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

Breezy conditions will continue today, but not as strong or gusty
as the winds Thursday.

$$

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062-063-301600-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-201030T1600Z/
Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-
Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, 
Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, 
Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, 
Spruce Pine, Poplar, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, 
Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Asheville, 
Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin, 
Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, and Cashiers
357 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of western North Carolina.

* WHEN...Until noon EDT today.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Trees are more likely to be toppled in 
  areas where soil is saturated by recent heavy rainfall.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
Wimberley

131 
WWUS72 KGSP 301412
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1012 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2020

NCZ048>050-052-301600-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FZ.A.0005.201031T0400Z-201031T1400Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-201030T1600Z/
Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Haywood-
Including the cities of Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, 
Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, 
Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Waynesville, 
Waterville, Canton, Cruso, and Cove Creek
1012 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Wind Advisory, northwest winds 10 to 20 mph with
  occasional gusts up to 45 mph. For the Freeze Watch, sub- 
  freezing temperatures as low as 30 possible.

* WHERE...Madison, Yancey, Mitchell and Haywood Counties.

* WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, until noon EDT today. For the 
  Freeze Watch, from late tonight through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result. Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Trees are more likely to be toppled in 
  areas where soil is saturated by recent heavy rainfall.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

NCZ033-051-053-058-059-062-063-301600-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-201030T1600Z/
Avery-Swain-Buncombe-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-
Southern Jackson-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Alarka, 
Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Asheville, Robbinsville, 
Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin, Rainbow Springs,
Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, and Cashiers
1012 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2020

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph.

* WHERE...Avery, Buncombe, Swain, Southern Jackson, Macon, 
  Graham and Northern Jackson Counties.

* WHEN...Until noon EDT today.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Trees are more likely to be toppled in 
  areas where soil is saturated by recent heavy rainfall.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
Lane

697 
WWUS72 KGSP 301616
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1216 PM EDT Fri Oct 30 2020

NCZ048>050-052-310030-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-201030T1600Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.A.0005.201031T0400Z-201031T1400Z/
Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Haywood-
Including the cities of Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, 
Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, 
Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Waynesville, 
Waterville, Canton, Cruso, and Cove Creek
1216 PM EDT Fri Oct 30 2020

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 30 possible.

* WHERE...Haywood, Mitchell, Yancey and Madison Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight EDT tonight through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will continue to be gusty into the
  afternoon, but the gusts will gradually subside through late in
  the day as high pressure builds in.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

NCZ033-051-053-058-059-062-063-301730-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-201030T1600Z/
Avery-Swain-Buncombe-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-
Southern Jackson-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Alarka, 
Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Asheville, Robbinsville, 
Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin, Rainbow Springs,
Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, and Cashiers
1216 PM EDT Fri Oct 30 2020

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Occasional wind gusts of 25 to 35 mph will continue into the 
afternoon, especially along the ridgetops and peaks, but the winds
should gradually subside through the late afternoon.

$$

PM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
733 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
Drier air will begin to filter into the area behind Zeta starting
tonight. A couple shots of cool Canadian air will support below
normal temperatures with possible frost/freeze conditions this
weekend into early next week. Temperatures start to rebound by the
middle of next week, while most locations remain mostly dry through
the seven days.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
730 PM Update...Shower activity continues across the Upstate and srn
NC this evening. These cells are moving quickly NE in a strongly
sheared environ and have been mixing down winds on the order of 35
kts. Expect these showers to continue across the ern Piedmont over
the next few hrs and due to highly moist soils, a few weak trees and
limbs could be blown down underneath the stronger downdrafts.

500 PM Update...Starting to see a few cells pop up across NE GA and
the western Upstate. The activity is remaining fairly shallow and
short-lived for now, but with sfc convg increasing in moderate
sbCAPE and a deeply sheared environ...will watch for possible stg
development thru the next update.

As of 250 PM EDT Thursday: We are now in the calm after the storm so
to speak as Zeta has exited the area with breezy and warm conditions
in its wake. In fact, we are nearing daily record highs with
temperatures near 80 across much of the area. The unseasonably warm
and humid weather won't last!

A closed upper low over the lower Mississippi River Valley will
merge with the polar jet over Appalachians tonight before pushing
offshore into Friday. A weakening front with the closed low will
pass through the region from the west this evening with little
fanfare other than to maintain some breezy westerly winds at times
and perhaps some isolated showers and a thunderstorm or two focused
southeast of I-85. A secondary, more pronounced cold front will wrap
in behind the departing trough, ushering in much colder air on gusty
northwest winds. In fact, strong cold air advection and a tightening
surface pressure gradient that becomes orientated more northwest to
southeast may support advisory level wind gusts across high mountain
elevations tonight. Given the recent rain there is at least some
potential for additional downed trees or powerlines for this area.
In collaboration with neighbors have held off on a wind advisory for
now, but will pass along the potential need to the next shift.
Upslope clouds and some shower activity is likely behind the front
near the TN border. Overnight lows in the mid 40s to mid 50s will be
a good 10 to 15 degree drop off this mornings lows with the dry and
gusty conditions making it feel even cooler. Cold air advection will
continue into Friday and support only about a 10 degree warm up over
the morning lows despite good insolation, with highs in the mid 50s
to mid 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 2:30pm EDT Thursday:  Saturday and Sunday will be notably
cooler with area well behind major cold front, with large dome of
high pressure over the eastern CONUS and northerly cold advection
just coming to an end Saturday morning.  As high pressure moves
eastward on Saturday, winds become more northeasterly and brief
wedge flow conditions are expected for Saturday night/Sunday, with
consequent overcast skies and a slight chance for a little rain or
drizzle. Some areas of frost or freeze are possible Saturday morning
in higher terrain areas and the foothills, with more widespread
frost/freeze possible Sunday night.  Temperatures look like they
will be 5 to 10 degrees below normal Saturday and Sunday, and this
will be a drop of 10 to 20 degrees from levels seen today
(Thursday). Currently, only a few of the highest elevation locations
are forecast to drop below freezing Saturday morning, and will hold
off on a Freeze Watch for the moment.  Next front begins to affect
northwest parts of the CWA late on Sunday, which should disrupt the
CAD as winds become northwesterly.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 2:30pm EDT Thursday:  Monday morning may be the coldest point
so far this season, with freezing temperatures forecast for all of
the higher elevations, and frost possible elsewhere, though frost
may be mitigated by wind. Tuesday morning may be slightly colder due
to lighter winds, with a better chance for frost all areas. Cold air
is courtesy of a synoptic front that passes through late
Sunday/early Monday which is associated with a progressive long wave
trough. This will usher in much dryer and cooler air for Monday and
Tuesday, with moisture beginning to recover on Wednesday. Dewpoints
Monday and Tuesday will be in the 20s. Dry air mass provides little
chance for any rain, with mostly clear skies through Thursday.
Temperatures slowly warm from Tuesday afternoon onward, but Monday
and Tuesday look to be 5 to 10 degrees below seasonal normal.

Strongest winds of the period are with the FROPA Sunday night/
Monday morning, with highest winds over higher elevations at 10 to
20 mph.  These northerly winds combined with cold/dry advection will
produce some wind chill down into the teens at the highest
elevations in exposed locations.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: A few showers are crossing the SC and srn NC
areas this evening. These will approach CLT arnd 00z and may mix
down stg gusts and bring MVFR/IFR restrictions...have VCSH for
now as confidence is low on track and duration of these cells.
After this activity clears east arnd 03z...the fcst will become
VFR all TAF sites with winds remaining fairly stg and gusty at
times overnight and into the daytime period. Winds will
veer...generally going from sw/ly to nw/ly thru the period.

Outlook: General VFR conds will prevail through the next few days
although diurnal restrictive cigs/vsbys are possible across the mountains
and foothills each morning.

Confidence Table...

            23-05Z        05-11Z        11-17Z        17-18Z
KCLT       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KGSP       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAVL       High 100%     High 100%     Med   65%     Med   66%
KHKY       High 100%     High 100%     Med   60%     High 100%
KGMU       High  95%     High 100%     Med   60%     High 100%
KAND       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables are available at
the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CAC
NEAR TERM...Munroe/SBK
SHORT TERM...WJM
LONG TERM...WJM
AVIATION...SBK

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
327 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-301930-
Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-
Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-
Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-McDowell Mountains-
Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-
327 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the mountains of western North
Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Windy conditions will develop across the mountains overnight.
Northwest winds of 15 to 25 mph may gust to 35 mph at times.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Frost and freeze conditions will be possible in many mountain
locations early Saturday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

NCZ035>037-056-057-502-504-506-508-510-301930-
Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke-
Eastern McDowell-Greater Rutherford-Eastern Polk-
327 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for foothill and northwest
piedmont locations in western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Frost will be possible in low-lying and sheltered areas early
Saturday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ068>072-082-SCZ001>014-019-301930-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union NC-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Union SC-Chester-Greenwood-
327 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina and Upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Isolated thunderstorms may develop through early evening. The main
threats will be briefly gusty winds and occasional cloud to ground
lightning strikes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

HG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
703 PM EDT THU OCT 29 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0735 AM     TROPICAL STORM   5 SE SALEM              34.84N 82.91W
10/29/2020                   OCONEE             SC   SOCIAL MEDIA

            60 FT TALL HEALTHY OAK TREE KNOCKED DOWN ALONG WITH 3
            TO 5 OTHER NEARBY LARGE TREES AND NUMEROUS SMALLER TREES
            ALONG NORTH FLAGSHIP DRIVE.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
719 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

SCZ011-012-019-292345-
Laurens SC-Abbeville SC-Greenwood SC-
719 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN LAURENS...
SOUTHEASTERN ABBEVILLE AND NORTHERN GREENWOOD COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM
EDT...

At 719 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a heavy rain shower near
Abbeville, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Greenwood, Laurens, Abbeville, Cross Hill, Cokesbury, Waterloo,
Hodges, Lake Greenwood, Calhoun Falls and Promised Land.

Wind gusts up to 45 mph will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The combination of gusty winds and saturated soil conditions will
cause scattered trees and power lines to fall. Seek shelter inside an
interior room.

&&

LAT...LON 3406 8233 3406 8244 3408 8248 3405 8255
      3406 8263 3455 8199 3435 8182 3430 8190
      3427 8190 3403 8232
TIME...MOT...LOC 2319Z 233DEG 49KT 3415 8237

MOORE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
732 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

NCZ068-070-SCZ008-009-300000-
Gaston NC-Cleveland NC-York SC-Cherokee SC-
732 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN CLEVELAND...WESTERN
GASTON...NORTHWESTERN YORK AND NORTHEASTERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES UNTIL
800 PM EDT...

At 731 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a heavy rain shower 7 miles
northeast of Gaffney, or near Blacksburg, moving northeast at 40 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Shelby, Gastonia, Kings Mountain, Cherryville, Bessemer City, South
Gastonia, Blacksburg, Grover, Patterson Springs and Earl.

Wind gusts up to 45 mph will be possible in these areas.

This shower was also showing signs of rotation. A brief tornado
cannot be ruled out.

LAT...LON 3518 8117 3504 8158 3517 8168 3542 8133
      3541 8132
TIME...MOT...LOC 2331Z 240DEG 35KT 3513 8156

MOORE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
735 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

SCZ007-008-300000-
Cherokee SC-Spartanburg SC-
735 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN SPARTANBURG AND
CENTRAL CHEROKEE COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM EDT...

At 734 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a heavy rain shower 6 miles
east of Spartanburg, or 4 miles northwest of Pacolet Mills, moving
northeast at 40 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Spartanburg, Gaffney, Pacolet, Cowpens, Pacolet Mills, Croft State
Park, Cedar Springs, Roebuck, Draytonville and Thicketty.

Wind gusts up to 45 mph will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The combination of gusty winds and saturated soil conditions will
cause scattered trees and power lines to fall. Seek shelter inside an
interior room.

&&

LAT...LON 3484 8197 3498 8194 3517 8168 3500 8148
      3499 8148 3490 8167 3491 8168 3491 8171
      3485 8177 3482 8183
TIME...MOT...LOC 2334Z 240DEG 35KT 3495 8181

MOORE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
758 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

NCZ069-070-300030-
Gaston NC-Lincoln NC-
758 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WILL IMPACT EASTERN LINCOLN AND GASTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM EDT...

At 757 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a heavy rain shower 7 miles
west of Gastonia, or over Bessemer City, moving northeast at 40 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Gastonia, Mt Holly, Bessemer City, Dallas, Stanley, Lowell, Ranlo,
High Shoals, Iron Station and Crowders Mountain State Park.

Wind gusts up to 45 mph will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The combination of gusty winds and saturated soil conditions will
cause scattered trees and power lines to fall. Seek shelter inside an
interior room.

Doppler radar indicates weak rotation with this shower. Spin-up of a
very brief, weak tornado cannot be ruled out. Be prepared to take
immediate action if a tornado is sighted or a Tornado Warning is
issued.

&&

LAT...LON 3534 8099 3532 8098 3517 8132 3526 8132
      3527 8134 3531 8137 3533 8136 3535 8139
      3536 8140 3554 8105
TIME...MOT...LOC 2357Z 240DEG 35KT 3529 8129

MOORE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
800 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

NCZ068-070-SCZ008-009-300030-
Gaston NC-Cleveland NC-York SC-Cherokee SC-
800 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN CLEVELAND...
SOUTHWESTERN GASTON...NORTHWESTERN YORK AND NORTHEASTERN CHEROKEE
COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM EDT...

At 759 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a heavy rain shower 8 miles
east of Gaffney, or near Blacksburg, moving northeast at 40 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Gaffney, Kings Mountain, Blacksburg, Grover, Patterson Springs, Earl,
Smyrna, Kings Mountain State Park, Crowders Mountain State Park and
Clover.

Wind gusts up to 45 mph will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The combination of gusty winds and saturated soil conditions will
cause scattered trees and power lines to fall. Seek shelter inside an
interior room.

&&

LAT...LON 3498 8152 3499 8167 3513 8165 3536 8140
      3516 8115
TIME...MOT...LOC 2359Z 240DEG 35KT 3510 8152

MOORE