River Flood Warning 2, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

490 
WGUS43 KGRR 111706
FLWGRR


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
1206 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

...The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in Southwest Lower Michigan...

  Grand River At Eaton Rapids affecting Eaton County
  Grand River at Ionia affecting Ionia County
  Grand River at Lowell affecting Kent County
  Grand River near Comstock Park affecting Kent County
  Grand River at Robinson Township affecting Ottawa County
  Maple River at Maple Rapids affecting Clinton County
  Thornapple River Above Hastings affecting Barry County

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity for the 
following rivers in Southwest Lower Michigan...
  Sycamore Creek At Holt affecting Ingham County

.2 to 2.5 inches of rain has fallen overnight across much of the area
between Lansing and Jackson. This water will be finding its way into
the rivers over the next few days and will be leading to significant
increases in water level. Minor flooding is now expected on the Grand
River all the way down to Lowell, as well as some of the more
flood-prone areas around Comstock Park and Robinson Township.
Additional precipitation today will be falling as freezing rain,
sleet, or snow, and will limit how much additional water is able
to start flowing into the rivers. The following forecast is based on 
observed and forecast 48 hour precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Even 6 inches of fast-moving flood water can knock 
you off your feet... and a depth of 2 feet will float your car.  
Never try to walk... swim... or drive through such swift water.  If 
you come upon flood waters... stop... turn around and go another way.

This warning will be in effect until the river falls below its flood 
stage.  

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local 
radio... television... or NOAA Weather Radio station for further 
information.

Additional weather and river information can be found on our homepage
at www.weather.gov/grr 

&&

MIC045-122305-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.W.0010.200113T0600Z-200114T1800Z/
/ETNM4.1.ER.200113T0600Z.200113T0600Z.200113T1800Z.NO/
1206 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Grand River At Eaton Rapids.
* from late Sunday night to Tuesday afternoon.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river is forecast to have a maximum value of 6.0 feet
  early Monday morning.
* Impact, at 6.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of low lying areas and 
  basements along River Street in Eaton Rapids. Island Park in the 
  City of Eaton Rapids begins to flood.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 6.0 feet 
  on Mar 9 1946.  

&&

LAT...LON 4260 8455 4252 8457 4237 8434 4232 8447
      4248 8470 4260 8465             

$$

MIC067-122305-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.W.0011.200113T0900Z-200116T1800Z/
/IONM4.1.ER.200113T0900Z.200114T0000Z.200116T0600Z.NO/
1206 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Grand River at Ionia.
* from late Sunday night to Thursday afternoon.
* At 11:45 AM Saturday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by Monday morning and continue to 
  rise to near 21.7 feet by Monday evening. The river will fall below
  flood stage by early Thursday morning.
* Impact, at 21.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of several buildings 
  in the Ionia Fairgrounds, a shopping mall near the Fairgrounds, and
  several businesses and residences in the southern portion of Ionia.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 21.6 feet 
  on Mar 15 1986.  

&&

LAT...LON 4297 8524 4303 8488 4296 8499 4290 8521
                                      

$$

MIC081-122305-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.W.0012.200114T0448Z-200118T0300Z/
/LWLM4.1.ER.200114T0448Z.200114T1800Z.200117T0300Z.NO/
1206 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Grand River at Lowell.
* from Monday evening to Friday evening.
* At 11:55 AM Friday the stage was 8.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by Monday before midnight and 
  continue to rise to near 16.0 feet by Tuesday early afternoon. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Thursday before midnight.
* Impact, at 16.0 feet...Lowell fairgrounds flooded, low sections of 
  Bowes Road, Division, Front Street, and Jackson flooded in the city
  of Lowell.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 15.9 feet 
  on Oct 4 1981.  

&&

LAT...LON 4298 8541 4296 8534 4297 8524 4290 8521
      4289 8534 4289 8548             

$$

MIC081-122305-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.W.0013.200113T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/CMPM4.2.ER.200113T0300Z.200116T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1206 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Grand River near Comstock Park.
* from Sunday evening until further notice.
* At  9:52 AM Saturday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by tomorrow late evening and 
  continue to rise to near 14.9 feet by Wednesday evening.
* Impact, at 14.0 feet...Homes along Willow Drive and Abrigador Trail
  have flooded basements and Abrigador Trail is closed. Riverbank 
  Street northeast in Plainfield Township is flooded and homes along 
  Riverbank Street have flooded basements. Konkle Drive northeast in 
  Plainfield township is flooded.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 14.9 feet 
  on Feb 4 2008.  

&&

LAT...LON 4298 8572 4308 8570 4309 8557 4302 8559
      4303 8562 4297 8563             

$$

MIC139-122305-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.W.0014.200114T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/RBNM4.1.ER.200114T0600Z.200116T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1206 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Grand River at Robinson Township.
* from late Monday night until further notice.
* At  9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.3 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by early Tuesday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 14.9 feet by Thursday early afternoon. 
* Impact, at 15.0 feet...Vanlopik Road is 1 to 2 feet under water. 
  Moderate flooding of several homes on the east end of Vanlopik 
  subdivision occurs.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 14.9 feet 
  on Dec 28 2008.  

&&

LAT...LON 4307 8610 4304 8591 4297 8583 4291 8589
      4297 8595 4300 8610             

$$

MIC065-122305-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0002.200111T2300Z-200114T2100Z/
/HHTM4.2.ER.200111T2300Z.200112T1200Z.200113T2100Z.NO/
1206 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...

The flood warning continues for 
  the Sycamore Creek At Holt.
* from this evening to Tuesday afternoon.
* At 11:00 AM Saturday the stage was 6.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Moderate Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 9.1 feet by tomorrow morning. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* Impact, at 10.0 feet...Expect major flooding of East Mt. Hope Road 
  and homes along Sunnyside Ave, Willard Ave, Ruth Ave, Hoyt Ave and 
  Cavanaugh Road, Boettcher Court, Jolly Road, and Aurelius Road.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 9.0 feet 
  on Mar 13 1982.  

&&

LAT...LON 4271 8451 4268 8449 4264 8445 4264 8451
      4268 8455 4271 8455             

$$

MIC037-122305-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.W.0015.200112T1000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRPM4.1.ER.200112T1000Z.200114T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1206 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Maple River at Maple Rapids.
* from late tonight until further notice.
* At 11:15 AM Saturday the stage was 7.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to 
  rise to near 9.9 feet by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact, at 9.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of County Line Road and
  a home along County Line Road.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 9.9 feet 
  on Mar 4 1985.  

&&

LAT...LON 4302 8495 4314 8471 4317 8456 4310 8457
      4308 8468 4298 8493             

$$

MIC015-122305-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FL.W.0016.200113T1800Z-200117T0000Z/
/HSTM4.1.ER.200113T1800Z.200114T0600Z.200116T1200Z.NO/
1206 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Thornapple River Above Hastings.
* from Monday afternoon to Thursday evening.
* At 11:15 AM Saturday the stage was 4.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by Monday early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 7.2 feet by early Tuesday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact, at 7.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of Tyden Park in 
  Hastings, and homes upstream and downstream of Hastings.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 7.2 feet 
  on Feb 4 1968.  

&&

LAT...LON 4273 8541 4265 8524 4266 8517 4260 8516
      4259 8523 4268 8550             

$$

881 
WGUS83 KGRR 112258
FLSGRR


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
558 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Southwest 
Lower Michigan...

  Grand River at Lansing affecting Ingham County
  Grand River at Ionia affecting Ionia County
  Grand River at Lowell affecting Kent County
  Sycamore Creek At Holt affecting Ingham County
  Red Cedar River At East Lansing affecting Ingham County
  Looking Glass River Near Eagle affecting Clinton County
  Maple River at Maple Rapids affecting Clinton County
  Kalamazoo River At Marshall affecting Calhoun County
  Portage River near Vicksburg affecting Kalamazoo County
  St Joseph River At Burlington affecting Calhoun County

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Southwest 
Lower Michigan...

  Grand River at Jackson affecting Jackson County
  Grand River At Eaton Rapids affecting Eaton County
  Grand River near Comstock Park affecting Kent County
  Grand River at Robinson Township affecting Ottawa County
  Thornapple River Above Hastings affecting Barry County
  Kalamazoo River At Comstock affecting Kalamazoo County

.Multiple inches of rain have fallen across much of West Michigan
in the last 24 hours. This water will now be finding its way into
the rivers over the next few days and will lead to significant
increases in water levels. Minor flooding is now expected on the Grand
River all the way down to Lowell, as well as some of the more
flood-prone areas around Comstock Park and Robinson Township.
Flooding is also expected along parts of the Kalamazoo River and
some of the tributaries of both of these large rivers. Additional 
precipitation this evening will be falling as freezing rain,
sleet, or snow, and will limit how much additional water is able
to start flowing into the rivers. The following forecast is based on 
observed and forecast 48 hour precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Motorists should not attempt to drive around 
barricades or drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local 
radio... television... or NOAA Weather Radio station for further 
information.

Additional weather and river information can be found on our homepage
at www.weather.gov/grr 

&&

MIC075-130458-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JACM4.2.ER.200113T1500Z.200117T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
558 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Grand River at Jackson.
* until further notice.
* at  4:30 PM Saturday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Moderate Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by late Monday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 15.4 feet by early Friday morning.
* Impact, at 15.0 feet...Expect moderate flooding of residences along
  High Street, Lewis Street, and Losey Street. High water would 
  disrupt traffic and damage residences.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 15.1 feet 
  on Aug 16 2016.  

&&

LAT...LON 4237 8434 4227 8437 4225 8431 4219 8435
      4223 8445 4232 8447             

$$

MIC045-130458-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.W.0010.200113T0600Z-200114T1800Z/
/ETNM4.1.ER.200113T0600Z.200113T0600Z.200113T1800Z.NO/
558 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Grand River At Eaton Rapids.
* from late Sunday night to Tuesday afternoon.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river is forecast to have a maximum value of 6.0 feet
  early Monday morning.
* Impact, at 6.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of low lying areas and 
  basements along River Street in Eaton Rapids. Island Park in the 
  City of Eaton Rapids begins to flood.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 6.1 feet 
  on Sep 16 2008.  

&&

LAT...LON 4260 8455 4252 8457 4237 8434 4232 8447
      4248 8470 4260 8465             

$$

MIC065-130458-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0007.200112T1200Z-200116T1500Z/
/LNSM4.1.ER.200112T1200Z.200114T0600Z.200116T0300Z.NO/
558 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Grand River at Lansing.
* from Sunday morning to Thursday morning.
* at  4:30 PM Saturday the stage was 8.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 12.4 feet by early Tuesday morning. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Wednesday before midnight.
* Impact, at 12.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of basements of 
  businesses in North Lansing.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 12.2 feet 
  on Apr 8 2017.  

&&

LAT...LON 4279 8467 4277 8454 4271 8454 4274 8458
      4273 8467                       

$$

MIC067-130458-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0011.200113T0936Z-200116T1200Z/
/IONM4.1.ER.200113T0936Z.200114T0000Z.200116T0000Z.NO/
558 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Grand River at Ionia.
* from late Sunday night to Thursday morning.
* at  4:45 PM Saturday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by Monday morning and continue to 
  rise to near 21.6 feet by Monday evening. The river will fall below
  flood stage by Wednesday evening.
* Impact, at 21.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of several buildings 
  in the Ionia Fairgrounds, a shopping mall near the Fairgrounds, and
  several businesses and residences in the southern portion of Ionia.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 21.8 feet 
  on Apr 13 2013.  

&&

LAT...LON 4297 8524 4303 8488 4296 8499 4290 8521
                                      

$$

MIC081-130458-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0012.200114T0800Z-200117T1200Z/
/LWLM4.1.ER.200114T0800Z.200114T1800Z.200116T1200Z.NO/
558 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Grand River at Lowell.
* from late Monday night to Friday morning.
* at  3:15 PM Saturday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning and continue to
  rise to near 15.5 feet by Tuesday early afternoon. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact, at 16.0 feet...Lowell fairgrounds flooded, low sections of 
  Bowes Road, Division, Front Street, and Jackson flooded in the city
  of Lowell.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 15.6 feet 
  on Apr 9 2017.  

&&

LAT...LON 4298 8541 4296 8534 4297 8524 4290 8521
      4289 8534 4289 8548             

$$

MIC081-130458-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.W.0013.200113T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/CMPM4.2.ER.200113T0300Z.200116T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
558 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Grand River near Comstock Park.
* from Sunday evening until further notice.
* at  4:10 PM Saturday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by tomorrow late evening and 
  continue to rise to near 14.7 feet by Wednesday evening.
* Impact, at 14.0 feet...Homes along Willow Drive and Abrigador Trail
  have flooded basements and Abrigador Trail is closed. Riverbank 
  Street northeast in Plainfield Township is flooded and homes along 
  Riverbank Street have flooded basements. Konkle Drive northeast in 
  Plainfield township is flooded.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 14.7 feet 
  on May 1 2009.  

&&

LAT...LON 4298 8572 4308 8570 4309 8557 4302 8559
      4303 8562 4297 8563             

$$

MIC139-130458-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.W.0014.200114T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/RBNM4.1.ER.200114T0600Z.200117T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
558 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Grand River at Robinson Township.
* from late Monday night until further notice.
* at  3:45 PM Saturday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.3 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by early Tuesday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 14.7 feet by Thursday evening. 
* Impact, at 15.0 feet...Vanlopik Road is 1 to 2 feet under water. 
  Moderate flooding of several homes on the east end of Vanlopik 
  subdivision occurs.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 14.9 feet 
  on Apr 12 2017.  

&&

LAT...LON 4307 8610 4304 8591 4297 8583 4291 8589
      4297 8595 4300 8610             

$$

MIC065-130458-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0002.200111T2245Z-200114T1800Z/
/HHTM4.2.ER.200111T2048Z.200112T1200Z.200113T1800Z.NO/
558 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Sycamore Creek At Holt.
* from this afternoon to Tuesday afternoon.
* at  5:00 PM Saturday the stage was 8.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Moderate Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 9.1 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  early afternoon.
* Impact, at 10.0 feet...Expect major flooding of East Mt. Hope Road 
  and homes along Sunnyside Ave, Willard Ave, Ruth Ave, Hoyt Ave and 
  Cavanaugh Road, Boettcher Court, Jolly Road, and Aurelius Road.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 8.8 feet 
  on Jun 21 2019.  

&&

LAT...LON 4271 8451 4268 8449 4264 8445 4264 8451
      4268 8455 4271 8455             

$$

MIC065-130458-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0008.200112T1100Z-200116T1800Z/
/ELNM4.1.ER.200112T1100Z.200113T1800Z.200116T0600Z.NO/
558 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Red Cedar River At East Lansing.
* from Sunday morning to Thursday afternoon.
* at  5:30 PM Saturday the stage was 5.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 8.4 feet by Monday early afternoon. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by early Thursday morning.
* Impact, at 8.5 feet...Minor flooding of farmland, Michigan State 
  University athletic fields, and secondary roads.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 8.5 feet 
  on Apr 8 2017.  

&&

LAT...LON 4274 8454 4275 8447 4274 8438 4268 8438
      4270 8447 4271 8455             

$$

MIC037-130458-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-200115T0300Z/
/EAGM4.1.ER.200111T1317Z.200112T1200Z.200114T1500Z.NO/
558 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Looking Glass River Near Eagle.
* until Tuesday evening.
* at  4:45 PM Saturday the stage was 7.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 8.3 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage late 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact, at 8.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of homes in Dewitt and 
  along the Looking Glass River between Dewitt and Eagle. River 
  levels flood warming hut, playground, and ball field in Looking 
  Glass Valley Park in Wacousta.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 8.4 feet 
  on Apr 7 2017.  

&&

LAT...LON 4290 8489 4286 8474 4287 8455 4281 8455
      4279 8474 4283 8489             

$$

MIC037-130458-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0015.200112T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRPM4.1.ER.200112T0900Z.200114T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
558 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Maple River at Maple Rapids.
* from late tonight until further notice.
* at  5:15 PM Saturday the stage was 8.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to 
  rise to near 10.0 feet by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact, at 9.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of County Line Road and
  a home along County Line Road.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 9.8 feet 
  on Oct 4 2019.  

&&

LAT...LON 4302 8495 4314 8471 4317 8456 4310 8457
      4308 8468 4298 8493             

$$

MIC015-130458-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.W.0016.200113T1800Z-200117T0000Z/
/HSTM4.1.ER.200113T1800Z.200114T0600Z.200116T1200Z.NO/
558 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Thornapple River Above Hastings.
* from Monday afternoon to Thursday evening.
* at  5:15 PM Saturday the stage was 4.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by Monday early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 7.2 feet by early Tuesday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact, at 7.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of Tyden Park in 
  Hastings, and homes upstream and downstream of Hastings.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 7.0 feet 
  on Jun 24 2019.  

&&

LAT...LON 4273 8541 4265 8524 4266 8517 4260 8516
      4259 8523 4268 8550             

$$

MIC025-130458-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0003.200112T1200Z-200113T0600Z/
/MARM4.1.ER.200112T1200Z.200112T1200Z.200112T1800Z.NR/
558 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kalamazoo River At Marshall.
* from Sunday morning to late Sunday night.
* at  4:00 PM Saturday the stage was 5.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact, at 8.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of residences and 
  apartments in low lying areas adjacent to the river.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 7.9 feet 
  on Sep 15 2008.  

&&

LAT...LON 4231 8508 4230 8501 4228 8490 4222 8490
      4223 8501 4225 8512             

$$

MIC077-130458-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.W.0004.200114T0600Z-200116T1500Z/
/CMSM4.1.ER.200114T0600Z.200115T0000Z.200116T0300Z.NO/
558 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Kalamazoo River At Comstock.
* from late Monday night to Thursday morning.
* at  5:15 PM Saturday the stage was 6.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by early Tuesday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 9.5 feet by Tuesday evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday before midnight.
* Impact, at 10.0 feet...Expect moderate flooding of homes along 
  Portage Creek, near Gull Street and Recreation Park. Industrial 
  areas in Kalamazoo begin to flood.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 9.8 feet 
  on Apr 9 2017.  

&&

LAT...LON 4242 8554 4231 8549 4224 8549 4226 8558
      4242 8565                       

$$

MIC077-130458-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200115T0000Z/
/VCKM4.1.ER.200111T2232Z.200112T0600Z.200114T0000Z.UU/
558 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Portage River near Vicksburg.
* until Tuesday evening.
* at  3:00 PM Saturday the stage was 5.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 5.5 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 5.9 feet after midnight tonight. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Monday evening.
* Impact, at 6.0 feet...Expect minor basement flooding of several 
  homes built adjacent to the river.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 5.5 feet 
  on May 19 2018.  

&&

LAT...LON 4208 8552 4211 8553 4215 8548 4216 8544
      4211 8544 4208 8547             

$$

MIC025-130458-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0006.200113T1800Z-200114T1200Z/
/BURM4.1.ER.200113T1800Z.200113T1800Z.200114T0000Z.UU/
558 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the St Joseph River At Burlington.
* from Monday afternoon to Tuesday morning.
* at  5:00 PM Saturday the stage was 5.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Forecast, the river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday 
  early afternoon and fall below flood stage by Tuesday morning.
* Impact, at 6.5 feet...Expect minor flooding of crawl spaces to 
  homes adjacent to the river upstream.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 6.9 feet 
  on Feb 22 2018.  

&&

LAT...LON 4208 8516 4213 8509 4212 8498 4207 8498
      4208 8507 4208 8510             

$$

187 
WGUS83 KGRR 121601
FLSGRR


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
1101 AM EST Sun Jan 12 2020

 ...The Flood Warning has been cancelled for the following rivers in 
Southwest Lower Michigan...

  Grand River At Eaton Rapids affecting Eaton County
  Grand River at Ionia affecting Ionia County
  Grand River at Lowell affecting Kent County
  Kalamazoo River At Marshall affecting Calhoun County
  Kalamazoo River At Comstock affecting Kalamazoo County

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Southwest 
Lower Michigan...

  Grand River at Jackson affecting Jackson County
  Grand River at Lansing affecting Ingham County
  Grand River near Comstock Park affecting Kent County
  Grand River at Robinson Township affecting Ottawa County
  Sycamore Creek At Holt affecting Ingham County
  Red Cedar River At East Lansing affecting Ingham County
  Looking Glass River Near Eagle affecting Clinton County
  Maple River at Maple Rapids affecting Clinton County
  Thornapple River Above Hastings affecting Barry County
  Portage River near Vicksburg affecting Kalamazoo County
  St Joseph River At Burlington affecting Calhoun County

.Between 2 and 3 inches of total precipitation has fallen in the last
48 hours at nearly all locations along and south of I-96. Most of this
fell as regular rain before changing over to a wintry mix. Temperatures
have now fallen well below freezing, and some of the water making its
way toward the rivers is getting frozen in place. This has effectively
reduced the runoff a bit, and has resulted in a lowering of expected
crests on some of the rivers. The following forecast is based on 
observed and forecast 48 hour precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Motorists should not attempt to drive around 
barricades or drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local 
radio... television... or NOAA Weather Radio station for further 
information.

Additional weather and river information can be found on our homepage
at www.weather.gov/grr 

&&

MIC075-132200-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-200119T0600Z/
/JACM4.1.ER.200115T1800Z.200117T0000Z.200118T1800Z.NO/
1101 AM EST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Grand River at Jackson.
* until Sunday January 19.
* at  9:30 AM Sunday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by Wednesday early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 14.1 feet by Thursday evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Saturday early afternoon. Slightly
  less rain than expected, and significantly colder air now surging
  into the area, are reducing runoff and the expected crest has
  been reduced.
* Impact, at 14.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of low lying areas.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 14.6 feet 
  on Sep 2 2018.  

&&

LAT...LON 4237 8434 4227 8437 4225 8431 4219 8435
      4223 8445 4232 8447             

$$

MIC045-121631-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-200114T1800Z/
/ETNM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1101 AM EST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Grand River At Eaton Rapids.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river is forecast below flood stage with a maximum 
  value of 5.5 feet after midnight tonight.
* Impact, at 6.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of low lying areas and 
  basements along River Street in Eaton Rapids. Island Park in the 
  City of Eaton Rapids begins to flood.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 5.4 feet 
  on May 29 2001.  

&&

LAT...LON 4260 8455 4252 8457 4237 8434 4232 8447
      4248 8470 4260 8465             

$$

MIC065-132200-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-200115T0600Z/
/LNSM4.1.ER.200113T1800Z.200114T0000Z.200114T1800Z.NO/
1101 AM EST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Grand River at Lansing.
* until late Tuesday night.
* at  9:30 AM Sunday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 11.1 feet by tomorrow evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Tuesday early afternoon.
* Impact, at 11.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of low lying areas and
  parks.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 10.7 feet 
  on Jun 25 2015.  

&&

LAT...LON 4279 8467 4277 8454 4271 8454 4274 8458
      4273 8467                       

$$

MIC067-121631-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-200116T1200Z/
/IONM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1101 AM EST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Grand River at Ionia.
* at  9:45 AM Sunday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will crest below flood stage at 20.2 feet 
  Tuesday evening.
* Impact, at 21.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of several buildings 
  in the Ionia Fairgrounds, a shopping mall near the Fairgrounds, and
  several businesses and residences in the southern portion of Ionia.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 19.9 feet 
  on Mar 16 2019.  

&&

LAT...LON 4297 8524 4303 8488 4296 8499 4290 8521
                                      

$$

MIC081-121631-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-200117T1200Z/
/LWLM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1101 AM EST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Grand River at Lowell.
* at  3:15 PM Saturday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will crest below flood stage at 14.3 feet 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact, at 15.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of commercial 
  buildings.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 13.8 feet 
  on Mar 18 2019.  

&&

LAT...LON 4298 8541 4296 8534 4297 8524 4290 8521
      4289 8534 4289 8548             

$$

MIC081-132200-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0013.200113T1400Z-000000T0000Z/
/CMPM4.1.ER.200113T1400Z.200115T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1101 AM EST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Grand River near Comstock Park.
* from Monday morning until further notice.
* at  9:24 AM Sunday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 13.9 feet by Wednesday early afternoon. 
  additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact, at 14.0 feet...Homes along Willow Drive and Abrigador Trail
  have flooded basements and Abrigador Trail is closed. Riverbank 
  Street northeast in Plainfield Township is flooded and homes along 
  Riverbank Street have flooded basements. Konkle Drive northeast in 
  Plainfield township is flooded.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 13.4 feet 
  on Mar 13 2009.  

&&

LAT...LON 4298 8572 4308 8570 4309 8557 4302 8559
      4303 8562 4297 8563             

$$

MIC139-132200-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0014.200112T1516Z-000000T0000Z/
/RBNM4.1.ER.200112T1500Z.200116T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1101 AM EST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Grand River at Robinson Township.
* from this morning until further notice.
* at 10:00 AM Sunday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.3 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 14.2 feet by early
  Thursday morning.
* Impact, at 13.9 feet...Several homes in Vanlopik subdivision are 
  surrounded by water.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 13.7 feet 
  on Feb 28 2019.  

&&

LAT...LON 4307 8610 4304 8591 4297 8583 4291 8589
      4297 8595 4300 8610             

$$

MIC065-132200-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-200114T1200Z/
/HHTM4.1.ER.200111T2048Z.200112T1500Z.200113T1200Z.NO/
1101 AM EST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Sycamore Creek At Holt.
* until Tuesday morning.
* at 10:00 AM Sunday the stage was 8.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall below flood stage by 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact, at 8.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of low lying areas 
  adjacent to the river, in the Lansing Municipal Golf Course and 
  sections of East Mt. Hope Road.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 8.8 feet 
  on Jun 21 2019.  

&&

LAT...LON 4271 8451 4268 8449 4264 8445 4264 8451
      4268 8455 4271 8455             

$$

MIC065-132200-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200115T2100Z/
/ELNM4.1.ER.200112T2230Z.200113T1800Z.200115T0900Z.NO/
1101 AM EST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Red Cedar River At East Lansing.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* at  9:30 AM Sunday the stage was 6.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 7.6 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact, at 8.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of the Michigan State 
  University athletic fields. The Potter Park Zoo parking lot in 
  Lansing begins to flood.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 7.3 feet 
  on May 17 2014.  

&&

LAT...LON 4274 8454 4275 8447 4274 8438 4268 8438
      4270 8447 4271 8455             

$$

MIC037-132200-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-200116T0300Z/
/EAGM4.1.ER.200111T1317Z.200112T0315Z.200115T1500Z.NO/
1101 AM EST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Looking Glass River Near Eagle.
* until Wednesday evening.
* at  9:45 AM Sunday the stage was 6.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, levels will likely rise above flood stage again
  on Monday and drop below flood stage for good on Wednesday.
* Impact, at 7.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of homes in Dewitt and 
  along the river between Dewitt and Eagle. Flooding occurs in 
  Riverside Park in Dewitt and Looking Glass Valley Park in Wacousta.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 7.6 feet 
  on Jun 20 2019.  

&&

LAT...LON 4290 8489 4286 8474 4287 8455 4281 8455
      4279 8474 4283 8489             

$$

MIC037-132200-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-200119T1200Z/
/MRPM4.1.ER.200112T1800Z.200114T1200Z.200119T0000Z.NO/
1101 AM EST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Maple River at Maple Rapids.
* until Sunday January 19.
* at  9:15 AM Sunday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to 
  rise to near 9.7 feet by Tuesday morning. The river will fall below
  flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact, at 9.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of County Line Road and
  a home along County Line Road.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 9.3 feet 
  on Nov 2 2019.  

&&

LAT...LON 4302 8495 4314 8471 4317 8456 4310 8457
      4308 8468 4298 8493             

$$

MIC015-132200-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0016.200115T0000Z-200116T0000Z/
/HSTM4.1.ER.200115T0000Z.200115T0000Z.200115T1200Z.NO/
1101 AM EST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Thornapple River Above Hastings.
* from Tuesday evening to Wednesday evening.
* at  9:15 AM Sunday the stage was 5.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river is expected to rise to near flood stage Tuesday
  evening.
* Impact, at 7.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of Tyden Park in 
  Hastings, and homes upstream and downstream of Hastings.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 7.0 feet 
  on Jun 24 2019.  

&&

LAT...LON 4273 8541 4265 8524 4266 8517 4260 8516
      4259 8523 4268 8550             

$$

MIC077-132200-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200115T1800Z/
/VCKM4.1.ER.200112T1306Z.200112T1800Z.200114T1800Z.UU/
1101 AM EST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Portage River near Vicksburg.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* at  3:00 PM Saturday the stage was 5.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 5.5 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Impact, at 5.5 feet...Minor basement flooding begins at the first 
  house near the gage.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 5.2 feet 
  on May 20 2019.  

&&

LAT...LON 4208 8552 4211 8553 4215 8548 4216 8544
      4211 8544 4208 8547             

$$

MIC025-132200-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0006.200113T0000Z-200115T0000Z/
/BURM4.1.ER.200113T0000Z.200113T0000Z.200114T1200Z.UU/
1101 AM EST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the St Joseph River At Burlington.
* from this evening to Tuesday evening.
* at 10:00 AM Sunday the stage was 6.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Forecast, the river is expected to rise to near flood stage this 
  evening.
* Impact, at 6.5 feet...Expect minor flooding of crawl spaces to 
  homes adjacent to the river upstream.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 6.9 feet 
  on Feb 22 2018.  

&&

LAT...LON 4208 8516 4213 8509 4212 8498 4207 8498
      4208 8507 4208 8510             

$$

MIC025-121631-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-200113T0600Z/
/MARM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1101 AM EST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Kalamazoo River At Marshall.
* at  9:00 AM Sunday the stage was 6.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will have a broad crest around 6.3 feet
  through early Monday.
* Impact, at 6.0 feet...River is bankfull. Expect minor flooding of 
  farmland and pastures adjacent to the river.

&&

LAT...LON 4231 8508 4230 8501 4228 8490 4222 8490
      4223 8501 4225 8512             

$$

MIC077-121631-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-200116T1500Z/
/CMSM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1101 AM EST Sun Jan 12 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Kalamazoo River At Comstock.
* at  9:15 AM Sunday the stage was 6.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will crest below flood stage at 7.6 feet 
  Tuesday early afternoon.
* Impact, at 8.0 feet...Expect minor flooding in park in Comstock.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 8554 4231 8549 4224 8549 4226 8558
      4242 8565                       

$$

602 
WGUS83 KGRR 131730
FLSGRR


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
1230 PM EST Mon Jan 13 2020

...The flood warning has been cancelled for the following rivers in 
Southwest Lower Michigan...

  Grand River at Jackson affecting Jackson County
  Looking Glass River Near Eagle affecting Clinton County
  St Joseph River At Burlington affecting Calhoun County

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Southwest 
Lower Michigan...

  Grand River at Lansing affecting Ingham County
  Grand River near Comstock Park affecting Kent County
  Grand River at Robinson Township affecting Ottawa County
  Red Cedar River At East Lansing affecting Ingham County
  Sycamore Creek At Holt affecting Ingham County
  Maple River at Maple Rapids affecting Clinton County
  Thornapple River Above Hastings affecting Barry County
  Portage River near Vicksburg affecting Kalamazoo County

.Minor flooding is occurring or expected due to over 2 inches of 
rain that fell over the weekend in the southern third of Lower 
Michigan. The following forecast is based on observed and forecast 
48 hour precipitation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Motorists should not attempt to drive around 
barricades or drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local 
radio... television... or NOAA Weather Radio station for further 
information.

Additional weather and river information can be found on our homepage
at www.weather.gov/grr 

&&

MIC075-131800-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-200119T0600Z/
/JACM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1230 PM EST Mon Jan 13 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Grand River at Jackson.
* At 11:30 AM Monday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will crest below flood stage at 12.9 feet 
  Tuesday evening.
* Impact, at 13.0 feet...River is bankfull. River begins to flow into
  low lying areas.

&&

LAT...LON 4237 8434 4227 8437 4225 8431 4219 8435
      4223 8445 4232 8447             

$$

MIC065-141800-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-200114T1800Z/
/LNSM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1230 PM EST Mon Jan 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Grand River at Lansing.
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 11:30 AM Monday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river will crest around 10.9 feet tonight, near 
  flood stage.
* Impact, at 11.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of low lying areas and
  parks.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 10.7 feet 
  on Jun 25 2015.  

&&

LAT...LON 4279 8467 4277 8454 4271 8454 4274 8458
      4273 8467                       

$$

MIC081-142329-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CMPM4.1.ER.200113T1457Z.200116T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1230 PM EST Mon Jan 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Grand River near Comstock Park.
* until further notice.
* At 12:00 PM Monday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 13.9 feet by early
  Thursday morning.
* Impact, at 14.0 feet...Homes along Willow Drive and Abrigador Trail
  have flooded basements and Abrigador Trail is closed. Riverbank 
  Street northeast in Plainfield Township is flooded and homes along 
  Riverbank Street have flooded basements. Konkle Drive northeast in 
  Plainfield township is flooded.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 13.6 feet 
  on Mar 18 2019.  

&&

LAT...LON 4298 8572 4308 8570 4309 8557 4302 8559
      4303 8562 4297 8563             

$$

MIC139-142329-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-200120T1800Z/
/RBNM4.1.ER.200112T1500Z.200116T1200Z.200119T1800Z.NO/
1230 PM EST Mon Jan 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Grand River at Robinson Township.
* until Monday January 20.
* At 11:30 AM Monday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.3 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 14.2 feet by 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact, at 13.9 feet...Several homes in Vanlopik subdivision are 
  surrounded by water.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 13.7 feet 
  on Feb 28 2019.  

&&

LAT...LON 4307 8610 4304 8591 4297 8583 4291 8589
      4297 8595 4300 8610             

$$

MIC065-141200-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-200114T1200Z/
/HHTM4.1.ER.200111T2048Z.200112T1500Z.200114T0000Z.NO/
1230 PM EST Mon Jan 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Sycamore Creek At Holt.
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 11:00 AM Monday the stage was 8.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, the river will fall below flood stage by Tuesday morning.
* Impact, at 8.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of low lying areas 
  adjacent to the river, in the Lansing Municipal Golf Course and 
  sections of East Mt. Hope Road.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 8.8 feet 
  on Jun 21 2019.  

&&

LAT...LON 4271 8451 4268 8449 4264 8445 4264 8451
      4268 8455 4271 8455             

$$

MIC065-142329-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200116T0600Z/
/ELNM4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.200113T1800Z.200115T1800Z.NO/
1230 PM EST Mon Jan 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Red Cedar River At East Lansing.
* until late Wednesday night.
* At 11:30 AM Monday the stage was 7.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, the river will crest just above 7.7 feet by Monday 
  evening, then will fall below flood stage by Wednesday night.
* Impact, at 8.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of the Michigan State 
  University athletic fields. The Potter Park Zoo parking lot in 
  Lansing begins to flood.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a similar crest of 7.3 feet 
  on May 17 2014.  

&&

LAT...LON 4274 8454 4275 8447 4274 8438 4268 8438
      4270 8447 4271 8455             

$$

MIC037-142329-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-200118T1800Z/
/MRPM4.1.ER.000000T0000Z.200114T0600Z.200118T0600Z.NO/
1230 PM EST Mon Jan 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Maple River at Maple Rapids.
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 11:15 AM Monday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 9.3 feet by 
  Tuesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Saturday.
* Impact, at 9.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of County Line Road and
  a home along County Line Road.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 9.3 feet 
  on Nov 2 2019.  

&&

LAT...LON 4302 8495 4314 8471 4317 8456 4310 8457
      4308 8468 4298 8493             

$$

MIC015-142329-
/O.EXT.KGRR.FL.W.0016.200113T1730Z-200117T1800Z/
/HSTM4.1.ER.200113T0945Z.200114T0600Z.200117T0600Z.NO/
1230 PM EST Mon Jan 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Thornapple River Above Hastings.
* until Friday afternoon.
* At 11:15 AM Monday the stage was 7.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 7.5 feet by 
  Tuesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Friday.
* Impact, at 8.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of River Road and homes
  at Quimby along River Lane, Charlton Park, and Berry's Landing.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 7.0 feet 
  on Jun 24 2019.  

&&

LAT...LON 4273 8541 4265 8524 4266 8517 4260 8516
      4259 8523 4268 8550             

$$

MIC077-142329-
/O.CON.KGRR.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-200115T1800Z/
/VCKM4.1.ER.200113T1800Z.200113T1800Z.200113T1800Z.UU/
1230 PM EST Mon Jan 13 2020

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Portage River near Vicksburg.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 2:00 PM Sunday the stage was 5.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 5.5 feet.
* Forecast, the river is expected to rise to flood stage Monday 
  afternoon.
* Impact, at 5.5 feet...Minor basement flooding begins at the first 
  house near the gage.
* Flood history, a crest near 5.7 feet occurred on Jun 22 2019.

&&

LAT...LON 4208 8552 4211 8553 4215 8548 4216 8544
      4211 8544 4208 8547             

$$

MIC037-131800-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-200116T0300Z/
/EAGM4.1.ER.200111T1317Z.200112T0315Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1230 PM EST Mon Jan 13 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Looking Glass River Near Eagle.
* At 11:45 AM Monday the stage was 6.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river crested at 7.7 feet on Saturday. The 
  river will continue to fall to 5.6 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact, at 6.0 feet...Expect minor flooding of low lying wooded 
  areas.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a previous crest of 7.5 feet 
  on Jun 20 2019.  

&&

LAT...LON 4290 8489 4286 8474 4287 8455 4281 8455
      4279 8474 4283 8489             

$$

MIC025-131800-
/O.CAN.KGRR.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-200115T0000Z/
/BURM4.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1230 PM EST Mon Jan 13 2020

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the St Joseph River At Burlington.
* At 11:00 AM Monday the stage was 6.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Forecast, the river crested near flood stage at 6.5 feet early
  this morning. The river will fall to 6.2 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact, at 6.5 feet...Expect minor flooding of crawl spaces to 
  homes adjacent to the river upstream.
* Flood history, this crest compares to a similar crest of 6.3 feet 
  on Apr 7 2017.  

&&

LAT...LON 4208 8516 4213 8509 4212 8498 4207 8498
      4208 8507 4208 8510             

$$

CAS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
1129 AM EST Fri Jan 10 2020

LATEST UPDATE...
Update

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 332 AM EST Fri Jan 10 2020

- A major winter storm will impact Lower Michigan tonight through
  Sunday.

- Sunday afternoon will be quiet and a good opportunity for
  recovery. Light snow (under an inch) is possible Sunday night,
  with Monday offering another great opportunity for recovery.

- The pattern will remain active with another system possibly by
  midweek.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1129 AM EST Fri Jan 10 2020

A significant winter storm remains likely for Central to Southern
Michigan.

The 12Z mesoscale models are still showing some disagreement on
the magnitude, timing, and location of the heaviest precip waves
on Saturday, most likely due to differences in how they handle
regionwide convection and its feedback into mass and momentum
fields. But the general idea remains the same: The heaviest
precipitation swath would be in a broad zone between Kalamazoo and
Lansing, possibly including Jackson. Storm-total precipitation
amounts of 3-4 inches would approach records for Dec-Jan-Feb, in
competition with February 20, 2018. Fortunately this time around
we are not melting a snowpack over frozen ground, but saturated
soils will still keep the flood potential going in southern
Michigan. Farther north, less precipitation is expected, but still
enough for an impactful winter storm.

The idea for precip type will remain the same: We start off late
tonight with a wintry mix near/north of M-20 and heavy rain to the
south. We should change to icy mix near I-96 around 6 to 8 AM,
following the early morning inch of rainfall. During the day, the
zone of freezing rain should settle to a zone somewhere between
I-96 and I-94, while precip rates vary between light and heavy.
Mainly sleet is expected north of I-96 for much of the day, and
snow/sleet north of M-20. A changeover to snow is expected late
Saturday night, producing at least a light coating, before ending.

Winds from the northeast could gust to 20-30 mph during the day,
but an impulse of 40 mph northeast gusts could occur Saturday
evening. Still possible for an area to receive 0.5 to 0.75 inches
of glaze ice by Saturday evening, most likely from Hastings to
Lansing (with risk of it occurring to the north or south by 15
miles). Areas with moderate to heavy icing on trees and power
lines are most at risk of long-duration power outages as the winds
increase Saturday evening.

&&

.DISCUSSION...(Today through next Thursday)
Issued at 332 AM EST Fri Jan 10 2020

...Major Winter Storm to Impact Lower Michigan...

A much anticipated winter storm remains on track to impact Lower
Michigan starting after dark tonight and ending at around daybreak
Sunday. Deterministic and ensemble model guidance are sticking to
their guns with relatively strong consistency, so the outgoing
forecast features few changes from the previous. Confidence is high
in the storm occuring and its evolution, moderate in precipitation-
type (p-type) zone locations and accumulations, and high in
potential impacts in the p-type zones.

* General Evolution:

Spotty light rain showers and pockets of mist are possible today as
little ripples in the mid-level flow contribute to transient weak
lift in tandem with slackening winds (sfc pressure col). Widespread
precipitation will develop after sunset and expand northward,
encompassing all of western Lower Michigan by midnight. All
precipitation should start as rain, but change over to a wintry mix
from north to south will occur as the morning progresses as an
arctic airmass oozes southward across the Great Lakes. Precipitation
should come in two waves during this event; one wave during the
overnight and morning hours associated with isentropic ascent
(convective), and another from evening onward as a low pressure
system develops to our southwest. Indeed, we may see a several
hour window Saturday afternoon during which precipitation rates
drop off to mist and drizzle. The path of the low pressure system
itself is still not set in stone with hints in CAMs of a slightly
further south and east track, which is believable given
widespread convection and latent heating/PV effects. Nevertheless,
the center of the low is expected to push through Lower Michigan
after sunset with heavy snow along its northwestern side. Similar
p-types to the first round are expected with the second round,
with icing efficiency perhaps best with the latter given expected
lighter precipitation rates. All precipitation is expected to end
by around sunrise Sunday.

* Accumulations, Zones, and Impacts:

As previously mentioned, confidence is high we will have to deal
with several zones of p-type and that everyone will undergo a
similar transition, each zone differentiated by end stage. In
general, the order of change will go from liquid rain-->freezing
rain-->sleet (ice pellets)-->snow, with impacts dependent on zone.
Even though our confidence in accumulations and zones is moderate,
shifts and accumulations are still possible as we are still ~24
hours away from the meat of the event. Additionally, confidence is
low that we will realize the full potential of ice accumulations due
to many factors including but not limited to precipitation rate,
latent heat release as liquid freezes, and effects of the heavy rain
and warm temperatures before the transition. In fact, most freezing
rain accumulation may end up only on elevated surfaces. Even so,
any such accumulation will be problematic as winds (initially
northeasterly Saturday becoming northwesterly by Sunday morning)
gust over 30 mph through the duration of the event. Here's a
general idea of what we expect:

Northwest of a line from Whitehall to Clare, the full transition to
snow is expected to occur by sunrise. Up to one tenth of an inch of
ice and 6 to 10 inches of snow is expected (note the Winter Storm
Warning is broken up differently so the numbers may not match
exactly). Travel will be impacted with blowing snow and falling
temperatures making snow accumulations and removal on roadways
difficult.

Across central Lower Michigan (roughly along I-96), the transition
will begin by sunrise and stall at sleet. Up to one half inch of ice
and 1 to 3 inches of sleet is expected. Falling tree limbs and power
outages are likely especially if the ice accumulations are realized.
Travel will become extremely difficult as sleet has more water
content than snow making it harder to remove and inherently more
slippery. The worst travel impacts are expected in this zone.

Across the south (roughly along I-94), the transition will begin by
mid-morning and stall somewhere between freezing rain and sleet.
This is where the most freezing rain is possible, with a half inch
to three quarters of an inch of ice and 1 inch of sleet possible.
Considerable tree debris and prolonged power outages are likely
especially if the higher-end ice accumulations are realized. Travel
impacts are likely due to at least modest ice accumulation even if
road temperatures start off warm. As much as 2 to 3 inches of liquid
rain may fall before changing to a wintry mix as well, leading to
flooding of low-lying areas and roadways and rapid rises in rivers.
It's worth noting the ECMWF ensemble shows a 100% chance of at least
2 inches of rain in this zone, which is absolutely remarkable
considering the normal January rainfall in Kalamazoo and Jackson is
1.79" and 1.49", respectively.

* One parting thought with this storm:

As with any dynamic system that includes convection, things can go
wrong, fast. One hint is the WRF-ARW which shows convective
processes shifting everything south and east, a prolonged period of
dry conditions on Saturday, and the low center passing south of the
state line (e.g. less wintry mix and heavy rain, but more snow).
It's also possible the thermodynamic profile ends up favoring all
freezing rain, or all sleet, or a different variation than offered
above. Much like with a severe weather event, we really won't
know the intricacy of how things will play out until, well, they
play out. With that said, we believe our forecast offers a fair
blueprint bolstered by model consistency.

* Sunday - Monday (Recovery Forecast):

After precipitation departs Sunday morning, winds should decrease
dramatically to 10 mph or below with clearing skies. Temperatures
will rise during the afternoon hours to the mid 20s across the far
north to around freezing along I-94. Sunday night, temperatures will
fall into the teens north of I-96 and lower 20s along I-94, and
winds will remain light. A clipper system will slide through the
Great Lakes with a chance for light snow before sunrise Monday -- an
inch or less. Monday looks warmer with highs around freezing north
of I-96 and in the mid 30s to the south.

* Extended Forecast:

Ensemble model guidance suggests an active pattern will continue
with seasonable temperatures, a system mid-week, and another
system toward the end of the week. Unfortunately both have the
potential to bring impacts with the ensemble solution space
including everything from thunderstorms to gusty winds to wintry
weather.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 611 AM EST Fri Jan 10 2020

The primary aviation concerns through 12Z Saturday are as follows:
* Decreasing cigs to IFR, wind, and visbys with increasing light
  showers and mist
* Steady rain becoming heavy with a non-zero chance for a
  thunderstorm after sunset
* Northeast winds becoming gusty toward the end of the TAF
  period.

All TAF sites are expected to trend toward IFR cigs over the next
few hours (if not already) as moisture continues streaming into
Lower Michigan. There are hints MKG may break out of low level
clouds during the late morning and afternoon hours, but confidence
is low in this scenario. Pockets of mist and a few light showers
will continue through daylight hours as winds relax to VRB05KT.
Steady rain will arrive from the southwest after sunset and become
heavy at AZO/BTL/JXN/LAN toward 06Z. A few embedded TSRA are
possible but confidence is too low to include in the TAFs at this
time. Winds will become northeast and increase toward the end of
the TAF period. A switch to wintry precipitation should occur at
MKG toward the very end of the TAF period, and GRR/LAN after 12Z.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 332 AM EST Fri Jan 10 2020

Northeasterly winds of 20 to 30 knots will develop after daybreak
and increase to gales to 35 kts Saturday. Winds will then back
northwesterly early Sunday morning and decrease to 10-20 kts by
Sunday afternoon. Quiet conditions are expected Monday and Tuesday
before a clipper system passes through mid-week. There are hints
winds and waves may be strong/large with the clipper, but the
model ensemble solution space is vast. Another system may impact
the Great Lakes toward the end of the week, as well.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 332 AM EST Fri Jan 10 2020

Widespread and heavy precipitation will move into Lower Michigan
late Friday night and last through Sunday morning. Forecast
trends in the last 12 hours suggest heavy rain will transition to
a wintry mix everywhere, latest and of shortest duration along
I-94.

Forecast model guidance has not backed down on a swath of 2-4 inches
of total precipitation, highest along I-94 and in the Grand and
Kalamazoo river basins. Given a large portion of the precipitation
will fall as liquid rain in these areas, water will be able to move
into rivers and cause significant flooding. In fact, it's not out of
the question that the Grand River in Jackson county could see the
highest water levels on record (records go back to the 1930s). In
addition, we expect flooding of water in low spots and on some
roadways.

As the volume of water in the headwaters starts to work down the
larger rivers early next week, it will become less and less
significant due to the fact that most of the precipitation that
falls over much of the area is expected to be frozen (and therefore
the water doesn't make it to river until it has a chance to melt).
Temperature forecasts suggest a rapid melt is unlikely. Even so,
many rivers may reach at least minor flood stage.

Anyone with interests along the rivers in West Michigan needs to pay
extra attention to forecasts over the coming days, especially in the
Kalamazoo, Lansing, and Jackson areas. The time is now to prepare
for significant water level rises and potential flooding.

&&

.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Flood Watch from late tonight through late Saturday night for
     MIZ064>067-071>074.

     Winter Storm Warning from 1 AM Saturday to 10 AM EST Sunday for
     MIZ051-052-056>059-064>067.

     Winter Storm Warning from 7 AM Saturday to 10 AM EST Sunday for
     MIZ071>074.

     Winter Storm Warning from 10 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Sunday
     for MIZ037>040-043>046-050.

LM...Gale Warning from 7 AM Saturday to 1 AM EST Sunday for
     LMZ844>849.

&&

UPDATE...CAS
SYNOPSIS...Borchardt
DISCUSSION...Borchardt
AVIATION...Borchardt
HYDROLOGY...Borchardt/AMD
MARINE...Borchardt

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
354 AM EST Fri Jan 10 2020

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-110900-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Clare-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-Isabella-Muskegon-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Ottawa-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-Allegan-Barry-Eaton-
Ingham-Van Buren-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
354 AM EST Fri Jan 10 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest Lower
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

A major winter storm is expected to impact Lower Michigan early
Saturday morning through Sunday morning. Significant accumulations
of snow, ice, and sleet is expected, as well as power outages and
difficult travel conditions. For more information, please see the
Winter Storm Warnings in effect.

Heavy rain is likely starting early Saturday into Sunday. As much
as 2 to 4 inches of water may fall leading to flooding of low-
lying areas and roadways. Rapid rises in river levels are also
possible, with flooding on downstream rivers later this week. For
more information, please see the Flood watch in effect.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed, but spotters are encouraged
to relay reports of snow, ice, and sleet.

LMZ844>849-110900-
St Joseph to South Haven MI-South Haven to Holland MI-
Holland to Grand Haven MI-Grand Haven to Whitehall MI-
Whitehall to Pentwater MI-Pentwater to Manistee MI-
354 AM EST Fri Jan 10 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest Lower
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong northeasterly winds of 20-30 kts are expected to develop
this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Northeast gales to 35 knots are expected Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

BORCHARDT