Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2020
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 9, NWS Goodland, KS
NWS Goodland, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 3, 2020, 9:05 PM MDT for Kit Carson County, Colorado. It was in force for 40 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- May 3, 2020, 9:05 PM MDT (03:05 UTC)
- Expired
- May 3, 2020, 9:45 PM MDT
- In force
- 40 min
- Issued by
- NWS Goodland, KS
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 1.0 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
County Kit Carson County, CO
The radar
The Goodland radar (KGLD), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 9:27 PM MDT | HAIL 0.7 | Flagler, CO | DELAYED REPORT. VIA FACEBOOK. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 00:00Z, 3.1 hours before the alert went out and 62 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 607 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -20 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2079 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 65 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 63 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 291 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 2.6
The text
As transmitted.
913
WUUS53 KGLD 040305
SVRGLD
COC063-040345-
/O.NEW.KGLD.SV.W.0009.200504T0305Z-200504T0345Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Goodland KS
905 PM MDT Sun May 3 2020
The National Weather Service in Goodland has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northwestern Kit Carson County in east central Colorado...
* Until 945 PM MDT.
* At 905 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Arriba, or 9
miles west of Flagler, moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
to roofs, siding, and trees.
* Locations impacted include...
Flagler and Seibert.
This includes Interstate 70 in Colorado between mile markers 390 and
408.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
&&
LAT...LON 3944 10315 3946 10283 3916 10281 3916 10316
TIME...MOT...LOC 0305Z 255DEG 23KT 3928 10324
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
PATTON1 follow-up statement
948
WWUS53 KGLD 040333
SVSGLD
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
933 PM MDT Sun May 3 2020
COC063-040345-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-200504T0345Z/
Kit Carson CO-
933 PM MDT Sun May 3 2020
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 PM MDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY...
At 933 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Flagler, moving
east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to
roofs, siding, and trees.
Locations impacted include...
Flagler and Seibert.
This includes Interstate 70 in Colorado between mile markers 394 and
408.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3942 10315 3946 10283 3916 10281 3916 10306
TIME...MOT...LOC 0333Z 255DEG 23KT 3933 10301
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
PATTONWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 3, 5:50 PM MDT, 3 hours 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 3, 5:50 PM MDT, 3 hours 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 550 PM MDT Sun May 3 2020 .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday) Issued at 230 PM MDT Sun May 3 2020 Subtle ridging in place most of the day has allowed surface heating to occur and moderate instability axis has develop across northeast Colorado and just along the Colorado-Kansas border area before rapidly dropping off further east. Deep layer shear is very strong, 60-70kts. There is also a weak surface boundary evident on radar near the CO/KS border, the result of some weak surface convergence. Synoptic forcing will arrive in a few hours, albeit weak, but with an environment marginally conducive for supercells think there will be a brief window for a severe storm or two between about 23Z-03Z in the tri-border region of Kit Carson, Yuma, Dundy, Cheyenne and Sherman counties. Hazards, in order of likelihood, will be damaging wind gusts to 60 mph, hail up to quarter size, and perhaps a brief tornado. After 02z, will transition to more of wind and heavy rain threat, as another stronger shortwave moves through areas along/north of Interstate 70 in the overnight hours. Models have shifted the heavier 1-2 inch rainfall amounts slightly further north into Nebraska, reducing confidence a bit, however still could see locally heavy rainfall as the stronger forcing moves through, with best chances in southwest Nebraska. Low temperatures will range from the upper 40s to lower 50s. Storms will likely linger into early Monday morning in northeast areas, McCook to Norton, before exiting east by mid morning. Meanwhile, a cold front will be entering western areas, bringing clearing skies and gusty northwest winds. May see a period of 40-50 mph gusts as this front traverses the area through Monday afternoon. Dew points do not really fall much behind the front, so humidity forecast to stay well above critical values. As a result, despite the windy conditions, fire weather problems are not anticipated. Weak shortwave trough comes through in the afternoon and evening, maybe enough forcing for isolated showers and thunderstorms in the Palmer Divide area before fading after sunset. High temperatures will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s and lows Monday night in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Upper ridge over the Great Basin Tuesday will begin to build eastward with the axis reaching the length of the High Plains on Wednesday. There is a weak wave in the northwest flow Tuesday afternoon/eve, but instability axis is too far west, along the Front Range, so not expecting any precipitation chances here. On Wednesday, there is an impulse moving through the ridge axis which may be enough for a few showers/isolated thunderstorms Wednesday night, mainly after midnight, as nocturnal low level jet kicks in and MUCAPE increases. Might see some small hail with stronger storms. High temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday will be in the 70s and lows both nights in the 30s and 40s. Afternoon humidity values both days will be in the teens, but wind speeds currently forecast to be light. As a result, elevated fire weather conditions will be possible, but critical not expected at this time. .LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday) Issued at 109 PM MDT Sun May 3 2020 The upper level flow will be from the northwest for this period. This will allow multiple upper level short wave troughs to move over the forecast area. However, most of the forecast area will be under dry air due to upper level ridge over the Great Basin extending onto the Plains. Therefore most of the chances for rainfall will be northeast of the forecast area. There will be some chances for rainfall, however the forecast area will be mostly to the southwest of where the rainfall will occur. Temperatures for the period will be seasonal, with the warmest temperatures on Thursday. After Thursday cooler air will settle over the forecast area as multiple upper level short wave troughs move through. Lows for Thursday and Friday nights have cooled some since yesterday. Would not be surprised to see this cooling trend continue in the coming days. The coldest night looks to be Friday night, with lows falling into the mid 30s. Confidence is moderate of temperatures falling enough for atleast frost to form for most if not all the forecast area Friday night. Am thinking there will continue to be a night or two beyond this week that a frost/freeze may occur until the upper level ridge over the Great Basin either shifts east or flattens as the next upper level trough moves through. Currently the coolest night in the next 10 days looks to be Friday night. && .AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening) Issued at 520 PM MDT Sun May 3 2020 Gusty southeast winds and VFR conditions with thunderstorms in the vicinity are expected at GLD through about 05Z. Light showers in the vicinity along with MVFR conditions due to lower ceilings are expected after 09Z in addition to the possibility of IFR conditions due to both lower ceilings and lower visibilities due to fog between 12Z-15Z. After 15Z, conditions will return to VFR with gusty northwest winds following the passage of a surface trough. MCK will be VFR with thunderstorms in the vicinity after 03Z. Thunderstorms are expected at the site between 06-12Z with a possibility of light rain showers and fog through about 15Z. MVFR conditions due to lower ceilings will be observed between 12-19Z. After 19Z, conditions will return to VFR with gusty northwest winds on the back side of a surface trough that moves through the area. && .GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. CO...NONE. NE...NONE. && SHORT TERM...024 LONG TERM...JTL AVIATION...LOCKHART
Hazardous weather outlook, May 3, 8:52 PM MDT, 13 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Goodland KS 852 PM MDT Sun May 3 2020 COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-041645- Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins- Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove- Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow- 852 PM MDT Sun May 3 2020 /952 PM CDT Sun May 3 2020/ This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska... northwest Kansas and east central Colorado. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... The Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms remains across a portion of the region tonight mainly north of Interstate 70 and west of a line from Colby, Kansas to McCook, Nebraska. A few strong to severe storms continue to move across the area this evening with additional storms expected to develop after midnight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... Hazardous weather is not anticipated at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be required.
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 3, 5:49 PM MDT, 3 hours 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
549 PM MDT SUN MAY 3 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0530 PM HAIL 7 W WRAY 40.08N 102.36W
05/03/2020 E0.25 INCH YUMA CO TRAINED SPOTTER
&&Special weather statement, May 3, 6:24 PM MDT, 2 hours 41 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Goodland KS 624 PM MDT Sun May 3 2020 NEZ079-040045- Dundy NE- 624 PM MDT Sun May 3 2020 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN DUNDY COUNTY UNTIL 645 PM MDT... At 624 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13 miles southwest of Champion, or 18 miles southwest of Imperial, moving northeast at 45 mph. Half inch hail and winds up to 40 mph will be possible with this storm. This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern Dundy County. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. && LAT...LON 4035 10160 4023 10168 4021 10190 4035 10202 TIME...MOT...LOC 0024Z 237DEG 37KT 4030 10184 PATTON
Local storm report, May 3, 6:38 PM MDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
638 PM MDT SUN MAY 3 2020
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0630 PM HAIL 7 NNE CULBERTSON 40.32N 100.80W
05/03/2020 E0.88 INCH HITCHCOCK NE TRAINED SPOTTER
&&Special weather statement, May 3, 7:05 PM MDT, 2 hours before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Goodland KS 705 PM MDT Sun May 3 2020 COZ090-040130- Yuma County CO- 705 PM MDT Sun May 3 2020 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN YUMA COUNTY UNTIL 730 PM MDT... At 704 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 5 miles east of Yuma, moving northeast at 50 mph. Half inch hail and winds up to 40 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Yuma, Eckley and Wauneta. This includes Highway 385 between mile markers 247 and 265. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. && LAT...LON 4000 10268 4018 10278 4038 10227 4015 10206 TIME...MOT...LOC 0104Z 246DEG 42KT 4014 10262 PATTON
Special weather statement, May 3, 7:18 PM MDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Goodland KS 718 PM MDT Sun May 3 2020 COZ090-040145- Yuma County CO- 718 PM MDT Sun May 3 2020 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN YUMA COUNTY UNTIL 745 PM MDT... At 717 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9 miles north of Cope, or 22 miles south of Yuma, moving east at 30 mph. Penny size hail and winds up to 40 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Abarr and Heartstrong. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio stations and available television stations for additional information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service. && LAT...LON 4000 10280 4003 10253 3970 10249 3970 10280 TIME...MOT...LOC 0117Z 260DEG 25KT 3981 10281 PATTON
Special weather statement, May 3, 7:30 PM MDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
730 PM MDT Sun May 3 2020
COZ090-NEZ079-040145-
Yuma County CO-Dundy NE-
730 PM MDT Sun May 3 2020
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN YUMA AND
NORTHWESTERN DUNDY COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM MDT...
At 729 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles north of Wray, moving east at 45 mph.
Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Alvin and Wauneta.
This includes Highway 385 between mile markers 247 and 265.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 4035 10205 4035 10192 4023 10191 4011 10223
4029 10242 4044 10217 4044 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 0129Z 250DEG 41KT 4024 10222
PATTONThe office that day
Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 7:05 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | GLD | Yuma | 25 min |
| May 3, 7:18 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | GLD | Yuma | 27 min |
| May 3, 7:30 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | GLD | Yuma | 15 min |
| May 3, 7:33 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 42 min |
| May 3, 8:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 28 min |
| May 3, 8:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 31 min |
| May 3, 9:25 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | GLD | Yuma | 35 min |
| May 3, 9:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 28 min |
| May 3, 9:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Kit Carson | 45 min |
| May 3, 10:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Kit Carson | 32 min |
| May 3, 10:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Kit Carson | 47 min |
| May 3, 11:33 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | GLD | Yuma | 27 min |
| May 4, 12:04 AM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 41 min |
| May 4, 12:35 AM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Yuma | 55 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Colorado, 2020Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2020
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.