Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2020

Red Flag Warning 28, NWS Goodland, KS

October 9, 2020Cheyenne County, Kit Carson County, Yuma County, Colorado

NWS Goodland, KS issued this red flag warning at Oct 9, 2020, 1:31 PM MDT for Cheyenne County, Kit Carson County, Yuma County, Colorado. It took effect at Oct 10, 2020, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 9, 2020, 1:31 PM MDT (19:31 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 10, 2020, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Oct 10, 2020, 7:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS Goodland, KS

Counties Cheyenne County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Yuma County, CO

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 80 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2020-10-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2020-10-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 25 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3444 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
5 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

919 
WWUS83 KGLD 091931
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Goodland KS
131 PM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

...Critical fire weather conditions are possible across portions
of eastern Colorado and extreme western Kansas on Saturday...

COZ252>254-100345-
/O.UPG.KGLD.FW.A.0014.201010T1800Z-201011T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.FW.W.0028.201010T1800Z-201011T0200Z/
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-
131 PM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 
252...253 AND 254...

The National Weather Service in Goodland has issued a Red Flag
Warning for low relative humidity and gusty winds, which is in 
effect from noon to 8 PM MDT Saturday. The Fire Weather Watch is 
no longer in effect.

* Affected Area...In Colorado...Fire Weather Zone 252 Yuma...
  Fire Weather Zone 253 Kit Carson and Fire Weather Zone 254 
  Cheyenne.

* Timing...Noon to 8 PM MDT on Saturday October 10th.

* Winds...Southeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 13 percent.

* Temperatures...In the mid 80s.

* Lightning...

* Impacts...Any fires that start will have extreme fire behavior 
  and spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not advised.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

KSZ001-013-027-041-NEZ079-100345-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.A.0014.201010T1800Z-201011T0200Z/
Cheyenne-Sherman-Wallace-Greeley-Dundy-
131 PM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020 /231 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2020/

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS 
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...013...027...041 AND 079...

* Affected Area...In Kansas...Fire Weather Zone 001 Cheyenne... 
  Fire Weather Zone 013 Sherman...Fire Weather Zone 027 Wallace 
  and Fire Weather Zone 041 Greeley. In Nebraska...Fire Weather 
  Zone 079 Dundy.

* Timing...From Noon to 8 PM MDT on Saturday October 10th.

* Winds...Southeast 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 16 percent.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are possible. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag
Warnings.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/gld
6 follow-up statements
937 
WWUS83 KGLD 091941
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Goodland KS
141 PM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

COZ252>254-101200-
/O.NEW.KGLD.FW.A.0015.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0028.201010T1800Z-201011T0200Z/
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-
141 PM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 252...253 AND 254...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 252...253 AND 254...

The National Weather Service in Goodland has issued a Fire
Weather Watch for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening.

* Affected Area...In Colorado...Fire Weather Zone 252 Yuma...
  Fire Weather Zone 253 Kit Carson and Fire Weather Zone 254 
  Cheyenne.

* Timing...Noon to 8 PM MDT on Saturday October 10th.

* Winds...Southeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Sunday 
  southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent.

* Temperatures...In the mid 80s.

* Impacts...Any fires that start will have extreme fire behavior 
  and spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not advised.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
red flag warnings.

&&

$$

KSZ001-013-027-041-NEZ079-101200-
/O.NEW.KGLD.FW.A.0015.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.A.0014.201010T1800Z-201011T0200Z/
Cheyenne-Sherman-Wallace-Greeley-Dundy-
141 PM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020 /241 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2020/

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...013...027...041 AND 079...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 001...013...027...041 AND 079...

The National Weather Service in Goodland has issued a Fire
Weather Watch for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening.

* Affected Area...In Kansas...Fire Weather Zone 001 Cheyenne... 
  Fire Weather Zone 013 Sherman...Fire Weather Zone 027 Wallace 
  and Fire Weather Zone 041 Greeley. In Nebraska...Fire Weather 
  Zone 079 Dundy.

* Timing...From Noon to 8 PM MDT on Saturday October 10th.

* Winds...For Saturday southeast 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 23 
  mph. Sunday southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent.

* Impacts...Any fires that start will have extreme fire behavior 
  and spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not advised.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
red flag warnings.

&&

$$

KSZ002-014-028-042-NEZ080-101200-
/O.NEW.KGLD.FW.A.0015.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
Rawlins-Thomas-Logan-Wichita-Hitchcock-
241 PM CDT Fri Oct 9 2020

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 002...014...028...042 AND 080...

The National Weather Service in Goodland has issued a Fire
Weather Watch for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening.

* Affected Area...In Kansas...Fire Weather Zone 002 Rawlins... 
  Fire Weather Zone 014 Thomas...Fire Weather Zone 028 Logan and 
  Fire Weather Zone 042 Wichita. In Nebraska...Fire Weather Zone 
  080 Hitchcock.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 13 percent.

* Impacts...Any fires that start will have extreme fire behavior 
  and spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not advised.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
red flag warnings.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/gld
757 
WWUS83 KGLD 100734
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Goodland KS
134 AM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...Critical Fire Weather Conditions This Weekend...

KSZ001-013-027-041-NEZ079-110200-
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.A.0014.201010T1800Z-201011T0200Z/
/O.UPG.KGLD.FW.A.0015.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.FW.W.0029.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
Cheyenne-Sherman-Wallace-Greeley-Dundy-
134 AM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020 /234 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ TO 8 PM
MDT /9 PM CDT/ SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 001...013...027...041 AND 079...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...013...027...041 AND 079...

The National Weather Service in Goodland has issued a Red Flag
Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect
from noon MDT /1 PM CDT/ to 8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ Sunday. The Fire 
Weather Watch for Saturday has been canceled.

* Affected Area...In Kansas...Fire Weather Zone 001 Cheyenne... 
  Fire Weather Zone 013 Sherman...Fire Weather Zone 027 Wallace 
  and Fire Weather Zone 041 Greeley. In Nebraska...Fire Weather 
  Zone 079 Dundy.

* Winds...West at 20 to 30 mph through mid-afternoon, abruptly
  shifting to the Northwest and increasing to 30 to 40 mph with
  gusts up to 55 mph during the late afternoon.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...Extreme and unpredictable fire behavior. Any fires 
  that start may rapidly grow and spread out of control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid outdoor burning on Sunday. Repeating, outdoor burning is 
NOT advised. Any fires that start may rapidly grow and spread out
of control.

&&

$$

COZ252>254-110200-
/O.UPG.KGLD.FW.A.0015.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.FW.W.0029.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0028.201010T1800Z-201011T0200Z/
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-
134 AM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 252...253 AND 254...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 252...
253 AND 254...

The National Weather Service in Goodland has issued a Red Flag
Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect
from noon to 8 PM MDT Sunday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer
in effect.

* Affected Area...In Colorado...Fire Weather Zone 252 Yuma...
  Fire Weather Zone 253 Kit Carson and Fire Weather Zone 254 
  Cheyenne.

* Winds Today...South Southeast at 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to
  30 mph.

* Winds Sunday...West at 15 to 25 mph during the early afternoon,
  abruptly shifting to the Northwest and increasing to 30 to 40
  mph with gusts up to 55 mph by mid-to-late afternoon.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...Extreme and unpredictable fire behavior. Any fires
  that start may rapidly grow and spread out of control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid outdoor burning this weekend. Repeating, outdoor burning is
NOT advised. Any fires that start may rapidly grow and spread out
of control.

&&

$$

KSZ002-014-028-042-NEZ080-110200-
/O.UPG.KGLD.FW.A.0015.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.FW.W.0029.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
Rawlins-Thomas-Logan-Wichita-Hitchcock-
234 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 9 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 002...014...
028...042 AND 080...

The National Weather Service in Goodland has issued a Red Flag
Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect
from 1 PM to 9 PM CDT Sunday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer
in effect.

* Affected Area...In Kansas...Fire Weather Zone 002 Rawlins... 
  Fire Weather Zone 014 Thomas...Fire Weather Zone 028 Logan and 
  Fire Weather Zone 042 Wichita. In Nebraska...Fire Weather Zone 
  080 Hitchcock.

* Winds...West at 20 to 30 mph through mid-afternoon, abruptly 
  shifting to the Northwest and increasing to 30 to 40 mph with 
  gusts up to 55 mph during the late afternoon.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...Extreme and unpredictable fire behavior. Any fires 
  that start may rapidly grow and spread out of control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid outdoor burning on Sunday. Repeating, outdoor burning is 
NOT advised. Any fires that start may rapidly grow and spread out
of control.

&&

$$

KSZ003-015-029-NEZ081-110200-
/O.NEW.KGLD.FW.W.0029.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
Decatur-Sheridan-Gove-Red Willow-
234 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 9 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 003...015...
029 AND 081...

The National Weather Service in Goodland has issued a Red Flag
Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect
from 1 PM to 9 PM CDT Sunday.

* Affected Area...In Kansas...Fire Weather Zone 003 Decatur... 
  Fire Weather Zone 015 Sheridan and Fire Weather Zone 029 Gove. 
  In Nebraska...Fire Weather Zone 081 Red Willow.

* Winds...West at 15 to 25 mph through mid-afternoon, abruptly 
  shifting to the Northwest and increasing to 30 to 40 mph with 
  gusts up to 55 mph during the late afternoon.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...Extreme and unpredictable fire behavior. Any fires 
  that start may rapidly grow and spread out of control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid outdoor burning on Sunday. Repeating, outdoor burning is 
NOT advised. Any fires that start may rapidly grow and spread out 
of control.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/gld
322 
WWUS83 KGLD 100741
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Goodland KS
141 AM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...Critical Fire Weather Conditions This Weekend...

COZ252>254-110200-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0028.201010T1800Z-201011T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0029.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-
141 AM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 252...253 AND 254...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
252...253 AND 254...

* Affected Area...In Colorado...Fire Weather Zone 252 Yuma...
  Fire Weather Zone 253 Kit Carson and Fire Weather Zone 254 
  Cheyenne.

* Winds Today...South Southeast at 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 
  30 mph.

* Winds Sunday...West at 20 to 30 mph during the early afternoon,
  abruptly shifting to the Northwest and increasing to 30 to 40 
  mph with gusts up to 55 mph by mid-to-late afternoon.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...Extreme and unpredictable fire behavior. Any fires 
  that start may rapidly grow and spread out of control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid outdoor burning this weekend. Repeating, outdoor burning is
NOT advised. Any fires that start may rapidly grow and spread out
of control.

&&

$$

KSZ001>003-013>015-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-110200-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0029.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Wallace-Logan-
Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
141 AM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020 /241 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ TO
8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 003...015...029 AND 081...

* Affected Area...In Kansas...Fire Weather Zone 001 Cheyenne... 
  Fire Weather Zone 002 Rawlins...Fire Weather Zone 003 
  Decatur... Fire Weather Zone 013 Sherman...Fire Weather Zone 
  014 Thomas... Fire Weather Zone 015 Sheridan...Fire Weather 
  Zone 027 Wallace... Fire Weather Zone 028 Logan...Fire Weather 
  Zone 029 Gove...Fire Weather Zone 041 Greeley and Fire Weather 
  Zone 042 Wichita. In Nebraska...Fire Weather Zone 079 Dundy...
  Fire Weather Zone 080 Hitchcock and Fire Weather Zone 081 Red 
  Willow.

* Winds...West at 20 to 30 mph through mid-afternoon, abruptly 
  shifting to the Northwest and increasing to 30 to 40 mph with 
  gusts up to 55 mph during the late afternoon.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...Extreme and unpredictable fire behavior. Any fires 
  that start may rapidly grow and spread out of control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid outdoor burning on Sunday. Repeating, outdoor burning is
NOT advised. Any fires that start may rapidly grow and spread out
of control.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/gld
999 
WWUS83 KGLD 100818
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Goodland KS
218 AM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...Critical Fire Weather Conditions This Weekend...

COZ252>254-110200-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0028.201010T1800Z-201011T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0029.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-
218 AM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 252...253 AND 254...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
252...253 AND 254...

* Affected Area...In Colorado...Fire Weather Zone 252 Yuma...
  Fire Weather Zone 253 Kit Carson and Fire Weather Zone 254 
  Cheyenne.

* Winds Today...South Southeast at 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 
  30 mph.

* Winds Sunday...West at 20 to 30 mph during the early afternoon,
  abruptly shifting to the Northwest and increasing to 30 to 40
  mph with gusts up to 55 mph during the mid-to-late afternoon.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...Extreme and unpredictable fire behavior. Any fires 
  that start may rapidly grow and spread out of control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid outdoor burning this weekend. Repeating, outdoor burning is
NOT advised. Any fires that start may rapidly grow and spread out
of control.

&&

$$

KSZ001>003-013>015-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-110200-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0029.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Wallace-Logan-
Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
218 AM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020 /318 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ TO
8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 003...015...029 AND 081...

* Affected Area...In Kansas...Fire Weather Zone 001 Cheyenne... 
  Fire Weather Zone 002 Rawlins...Fire Weather Zone 003 
  Decatur... Fire Weather Zone 013 Sherman...Fire Weather Zone 
  014 Thomas... Fire Weather Zone 015 Sheridan...Fire Weather 
  Zone 027 Wallace... Fire Weather Zone 028 Logan...Fire Weather 
  Zone 029 Gove...Fire Weather Zone 041 Greeley and Fire Weather 
  Zone 042 Wichita. In Nebraska...Fire Weather Zone 079 Dundy...
  Fire Weather Zone 080 Hitchcock and Fire Weather Zone 081 Red 
  Willow.

* Winds...On Sunday October 11th, west at 20 to 30 mph during the
  early-mid afternoon, abruptly shifting to the northwest and 
  increasing to 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph during the 
  late afternoon.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...Extreme and unpredictable fire behavior. Any fires 
  that start may rapidly grow and spread out of control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid outdoor burning on Sunday. Repeating, outdoor burning is
NOT advised. Any fires that start may rapidly grow and spread out
of control.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/gld
677 
WWUS83 KGLD 102025
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Goodland KS
225 PM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...Critical Fire Weather Conditions This Weekend...

COZ252>254-110430-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-201011T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0029.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-
225 PM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 252...
253 AND 254...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
252...253 AND 254...

* Affected Area...In Colorado...Fire Weather Zone 252 Yuma...
  Fire Weather Zone 253 Kit Carson and Fire Weather Zone 254 
  Cheyenne.

* Winds Today...South Southeast at 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 
  30 mph.

* Winds Sunday...West at 20 to 30 mph during the early 
  afternoon, abruptly shifting to the Northwest and increasing 
  to 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 50 mph during the mid-to-late 
  afternoon.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...Any fires that start will have extreme fire behavior 
  and spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not advised.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid outdoor burning this weekend. Repeating, outdoor burning is
NOT advised. Any fires that start may rapidly grow and spread out
of control.

&&

$$

KSZ001>003-013>015-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-110430-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0029.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Wallace-Logan-
Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
225 PM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020 /325 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ TO
8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...013...014...015...027...
028...029...041...042...079...080 AND 081...

* Affected Area...In Kansas...Fire Weather Zone 001 Cheyenne... 
  Fire Weather Zone 002 Rawlins...Fire Weather Zone 003 
  Decatur... Fire Weather Zone 013 Sherman...Fire Weather Zone 
  014 Thomas... Fire Weather Zone 015 Sheridan...Fire Weather 
  Zone 027 Wallace... Fire Weather Zone 028 Logan...Fire Weather 
  Zone 029 Gove...Fire Weather Zone 041 Greeley and Fire Weather 
  Zone 042 Wichita. In Nebraska...Fire Weather Zone 079 Dundy...
  Fire Weather Zone 080 Hitchcock and Fire Weather Zone 081 Red 
  Willow.

* Winds...West at 20 to 30 mph during the early-mid afternoon,
  abruptly shifting to the northwest and increasing to 30 to 40
  mph with gusts up to 55 mph during the late afternoon.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...Any fires that start will have extreme fire behavior 
  and spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not advised.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid outdoor burning on Sunday. Repeating, outdoor burning is
NOT advised. Any fires that start may rapidly grow and spread out
of control.

&&

$$

KSZ004-016-110430-
/O.NEW.KGLD.FW.A.0016.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
Norton-Graham-
325 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 004 AND 016...

The National Weather Service in Goodland has issued a Fire
Weather Watch for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening.

* Affected Area...In Kansas...Fire Weather Zone 004 Norton and 
  Fire Weather Zone 016 Graham.

* Winds...West to northwest at 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 
  mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 16 percent.

* Impacts...Any fires that start will have extreme fire behavior 
  and spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not advised.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
red flag warnings.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/gld
063 
WWUS83 KGLD 110100
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Goodland KS
700 PM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...Critical Fire Weather Conditions This Weekend...

COZ252>254-111200-
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-201011T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0029.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-
700 PM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
252...253 AND 254...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 252...253 AND 254...

The National Weather Service in Goodland has cancelled the Red
Flag Warning.

* Affected Area...In Colorado...Fire Weather Zone 252 Yuma...
  Fire Weather Zone 253 Kit Carson and Fire Weather Zone 254 
  Cheyenne.

* Winds Today...South Southeast at 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 
  30 mph.

* Winds Sunday...West at 20 to 30 mph during the early 
  afternoon, abruptly shifting to the Northwest and increasing 
  to 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 50 mph during the mid-to-late 
  afternoon.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent.

* Impacts...Any fires that start will have extreme fire behavior 
  and spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not advised.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now...or are imminent. A combination of
strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

KSZ001>003-013>015-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-111200-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0029.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Wallace-Logan-
Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
700 PM MDT Sat Oct 10 2020 /800 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT /1 PM CDT/ TO
8 PM MDT /9 PM CDT/ SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...013...014...015...027...
028...029...041...042...079...080 AND 081...

* Affected Area...In Kansas...Fire Weather Zone 001 Cheyenne... 
  Fire Weather Zone 002 Rawlins...Fire Weather Zone 003 
  Decatur... Fire Weather Zone 013 Sherman...Fire Weather Zone 
  014 Thomas... Fire Weather Zone 015 Sheridan...Fire Weather 
  Zone 027 Wallace... Fire Weather Zone 028 Logan...Fire Weather 
  Zone 029 Gove...Fire Weather Zone 041 Greeley and Fire Weather 
  Zone 042 Wichita. In Nebraska...Fire Weather Zone 079 Dundy...
  Fire Weather Zone 080 Hitchcock and Fire Weather Zone 081 Red 
  Willow.

* Winds...Northwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 12 percent.

* Impacts...Any fires that start will have extreme fire behavior 
  and spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not advised.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid outdoor burning on Sunday. Repeating, outdoor burning is
NOT advised. Any fires that start may rapidly grow and spread out
of control.

&&

$$

KSZ004-016-111200-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.A.0016.201011T1800Z-201012T0200Z/
Norton-Graham-
800 PM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 004 AND 016...

* Affected Area...In Kansas...Fire Weather Zone 004 Norton and 
  Fire Weather Zone 016 Graham.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 16 percent.

* Impacts...Any fires that start will have extreme fire behavior 
  and spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not advised.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
red flag warnings.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/gld

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Oct 9, 11:28 AM MDT, 2 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 9, 11:28 AM MDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1128 AM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

.UPDATE...
Issued at 908 AM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

Smoke and haze from wildfires out west will continue to impact the
region. The HRRR is doing a fairly representative job of picking
up on the smoke pushing into the region from Colorado. Have added
smoke to the forecast for today into this evening. Near critical
fire weather conditions are expected today and a Fire Weather
Watch will be in effect Saturday afternoon for counties along and
west of Highway 27.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday night)
Issued at 335 AM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

Overview: Ridging aloft will prevail over the Central High Plains
through Saturday.. as Tropical Cyclone Delta moves ashore the
Louisiana Gulf Coast and tracks slowly northward into the Lower
MS River Valley.

With ridging aloft over the region, above normal temperatures and
dry conditions will persist. Aside from fluctuations in wind
speed/direction -- expect little change in sensible weather
conditions compared to previous days. See fire weather discussion
for information on the Fire Weather Watch in effect Saturday
afternoon for eastern CO and adjacent KS/NE border counties.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 212 AM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

The main points of interest for the extended period are the
potential fire weather conditions Sunday afternoon and a slow
moving cold front with the potential for gusty to windy conditions
Sunday evening into the overnight hours.

Starting Sunday, guidance continues to show an advancing trough
towards the Central Plains. As the trough approaches an associated
SE moving cold front will sweep through the Tri-State area.
Timing has become more consistent with the front moving through NE
Colorado/NW Kansas during the evening hours. Rain chances have
been trending dryer across the majority of the CWA; I am still
going to leave the "higher" pops across the northern counties to
account for the slightly deeper track that ECMWF continues to
show. I continue to have increasing confidence about near critical
fire conditions especially along and west of the Kansas/Colorado
border. RH values are currently forecasted in the lower teens
across E Colorado and NW Kansas along with gusty to windy
conditions continue plausible as well especially behind the front.
My confidence has increased on the possibility of gusty to windy
conditions as the front moves to the SE across the area; with the
greatest chance of higher wind gusts just as the front moves
through any specific area. GFS soundings show window of
opportunity during the late evening where wind gusts may exceed
50mph especially across NE Colorado/ NW Kansas where the higher
areas of 850mb winds exist with the storm system. With the
consistently dryer guidance there may be a chance of blowing dust
associated with the front and behind the front during the evening
and overnight.

Monday, gusty winds are still possible behind the storm system as
high pressure moves back over the area. For the middle portion of
the week calmer conditions are looking likely before another cold
front moves back into the area towards the latter portion of the
extended period. The guidance continues to vary on the timing and
track of the 2nd system for the back part of the week. I feel any
chance for measurable rainfall at this time continues to be low as
dry air in the low levels continues to persist.

The Tri-State area will have temperatures in the 80's on Sunday
before the passage of the front. Lows Sunday night into Monday
morning will drop into the mid 30's across NE Colorado and NW
Kansas. Monday highs will be in the 60's across the entire area and
gradually warm back into the upper 70's to low 80's midweek before
falling again into the 60's on Thursday and Friday with the late
week front. Lows Friday and Saturday morning may be capable of a
hard freeze across the western portion of the CWA as widespread
freezing temperatures look like a possibility with increased CAA.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1128 AM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

VFR conditions are expected to persist through the forecast period.
Smoke continues to filter into the region this morning from the west
where wildfires are ongoing.  Smoke and haze will lower visibilities
slightly through the afternoon, though widespread sub-VFR conditions
are not anticipated at this time.

At KGLD, smoke is expected to diminish this evening.  Winds will
become northerly around 9kts by 20Z.  Winds will continue to
decrease going into the evening and overnight hours, becoming light
and variable.

At KMCK, smoke and haze will persist in the area through late this
afternoon.  Northwest winds will persist through around 05Z,
becoming light and variable.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 335 AM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

A Fire Weather Watch has been issued for eastern CO and adjacent
KS/NE border counties -- where critical fire weather conditions
will be possible Saturday afternoon. Uncertainty is largely tied
to wind speed/gusts, as in previous days. In other words, expect
near critical fire weather conditions or marginal Red Flag
Criteria.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Fire Weather Watch from Saturday afternoon through Saturday
     evening for KSZ001-013-027-041.

CO...Fire Weather Watch from Saturday afternoon through Saturday
     evening for COZ252>254.

NE...Fire Weather Watch from Saturday afternoon through Saturday
     evening for NEZ079.

&&

UPDATE...AW
SHORT TERM...VINCENT
LONG TERM...TT
AVIATION...AW
FIRE WEATHER...VINCENT
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 9, 10:39 AM MDT, 2 hours 52 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1039 AM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-101645-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
1039 AM MDT Fri Oct 9 2020 /1139 AM CDT Fri Oct 9 2020/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

Near critical fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon,
mainly in counties along and west of Highway 27.

Smoke emanating from wildfires in the Rockies may continue to affect
portions of eastern Colorado and extreme western Kansas. Persons who
are sensitive to poor air quality may need to take precautions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

A Fire Weather Watch is in effect Saturday afternoon for eastern
Colorado and adjacent Kansas and Nebraska border counties.

Near critical fire weather conditions are expected Sunday afternoon,
mainly in eastern Colorado and adjacent Kansas and Nebraska border
counties.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 9, 2:36 AM MDTFire Weather WatchGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson, Yuma23 hr
Oct 9, 1:41 PM MDTFire Weather WatchGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson, Yuma12 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2020Every red flag warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.