Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 52, NWS Glasgow, MT

July 7, 2020Daniels County, Roosevelt County, Sheridan County, Montana

NWS Glasgow, MT issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 7, 2020, 7:04 PM MDT for Daniels County, Roosevelt County, Sheridan County, Montana. It was in force for 56 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2020, 7:04 PM MDT (01:04 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 2020, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
56 min
Issued by
NWS Glasgow, MT
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Possible
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
70.0 mph

Counties Daniels County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Sheridan County, MT

The radar

The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 7, 1:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 382 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2020-07-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 972 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2020-07-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 49 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
972 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-223 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1688 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
178 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 7, 1:15 PM MDT, 5 hours 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 7, 1:15 PM MDT, 5 hours 49 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
115 PM MDT Tue Jul 7 2020

.DISCUSSION...
A widespread severe weather event is on track for all of
Northeast Montana from late afternoon through the evening hours.
Storms are forming across the higher terrain in central and
southwest Montana and will progress eastward into Northeast
Montana. Storms may be semi-discrete initially as they enter
Phillips and Petroleum Counties. If they are able to remain
discrete then very large hail to the size of baseballs, damaging
winds in excess of 70 mph, and an isolated tornado will be
possible.

Once the storms merge into one or more line segments destructive
wind gusts in excess of 70 to 80 mph will become the primary
threat. Look for this main line of storms to arrive in Phillips
and Petroleum Counties around 4 or 5 PM, Opheim to Glasgow to
Jordan around 6 to 7 PM, and the ND border by 9 to 10 PM or so.

It is possible a few isolated storms could enter the Yellowstone
River Valley ahead of this primary line of storms during the early
evening hours. If this were to happen, all severe modes would be
possible.

An upper trough moves across the state on Wednesday with slightly
cooler and generally drier weather. A few storms are possible
near the Canadian border with the proximity of a stacked low
pressure system moving from Saskatchewan into Manitoba.

Ridge then builds north from the Desert Southwest for hot and dry
weather for the remainder of the week. Could see a few
thunderstorms on Friday as a shortwave pushes through the top of
the ridge.

-Mottice/RAE

&&

.AVIATION...
A line of severe storms should reach KGGW around 00-01Z, KOLF
01-02z, and KGDV and KSDY between 02 and 03z this evening. This
line of storms will bring intense and erratic winds as well as
hail, heavy rain, and brief IFR conditions.

Skies should be clearing out by 06z for much of the region.

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Lake Wind Advisory until 10 PM MDT this evening For Fort Peck
Lake for Central and Southeast Phillips...Central and Southern
Valley...Garfield...McCone...Petroleum.

&&

weather.gov/glasgow

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 7, 5:41 PM MDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 7, 5:44 PM MDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 7, 5:49 PM MDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 7, 5:51 PM MDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 7, 5:54 PM MDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jul 7, 5:55 PM MDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Glasgow, MT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 6:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Valley62 min
Jul 7, 6:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Garfield, McCone, Prairie, Richland, Roosevelt and 2 more63 min
Jul 7, 6:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Garfield, Prairie, Wibaux65 min
Jul 7, 7:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Prairie, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan and 1 more66 min
Jul 7, 7:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWSheridan32 min
Jul 7, 8:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Prairie, Richland, Wibaux25 min
Jul 8, 2:21 AM MDTLake Wind AdvisoryGGWGarfield, McCone, Petroleum, Phillips, Valley22 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Montana, 2020Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.