Alert archive / Montana / Red Flag Warnings in 2020

Red Flag Warning 2, NWS Glasgow, MT

March 2, 20205 counties in Montana

NWS Glasgow, MT issued this red flag warning at Mar 2, 2020, 2:06 PM MST for 5 counties in Montana. It took effect at Mar 3, 2020, 12:00 PM MST. It was in force for 30 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 2, 2020, 2:06 PM MST (21:06 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 3, 2020, 12:00 PM MST
Expired
Mar 4, 2020, 5:55 PM MST
In force
30 hr
Issued by
NWS Glasgow, MT

Counties Garfield County, MT, McCone County, MT, Petroleum County, MT, Phillips County, MT, Valley County, MT

The radar

The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 67 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2020-03-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2020-03-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 283 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1882 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
283 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
380 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Glasgow, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 2, 8:43 AM MST, 5 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 2, 8:43 AM MST, 5 hours 23 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
843 AM MST Mon Mar 2 2020

.DISCUSSION...

Morning Update...

A few showers are moving through Northeast Montana this morning.
Any precipiation associated with these showers will be minimal.
The main threat through today will be strong northwest winds.
Widespread wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph can be expected this
afternoon and evening. A few locations may even approach 60 mph if
we can get enough clearing. Another day of high winds is in store
for tomorrow and then a final day Wednesday. Wind gusts have the
potential to reach 60+ mph Wednesday, so a High Wind Watch may
need to be issued with this afternoons forecast package. Stay
tuned for updates.

-Mottice

Previous Discussion...

Upper trof rotating across the Great Lakes, with flattening ridge
off the west coast, will keep west to northwest flow over the
region through mid week. This will result in generally warmer and
windy conditions with the potential for a few afternoon showers.

A weak front/upper disturbance slides out of Canada today,
shifting the winds from southwest to northwest by afternoon. Well
mixed airmass will bring warmer temperatures and windy conditions
today. Instability in the northwest flow may produce some showers
this afternoon, especially in the northeast corner of the state.

Another weak wave slides through the flow on Tuesday, lifting a
warm front across the region on Tuesday with the chance for rain
or snow.

Flow begins to buckle slightly on Wednesday with a stronger trof
swinging out of the Gulf of Alaska. This wave brings a cold front
across the state, with another chance of showers on Wednesday
afternoon. Colder air follows the front, for another drop in
temperatures for Thursday. This is temporary as a ridge will build
over the state with rebounding temperatures for Friday. Ebert

&&

.AVIATION...
Mainly VFR conditions are expected through the period. The only
exception may be if isolated showers develop in the across the
east this afternoon. Windy conditions will continue, with LLWS
expected during the overnight hours.

&&

.GLASGOW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

weather.gov/glasgow

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 2, 10:57 AM MST, 3 hours 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
1057 AM MST MON MAR 2 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 10 E ZORTMAN            47.89N 108.32W
03/02/2020  M54 MPH          PHILLIPS           MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION MTM38 9.5 E ZORTMAN
            (MT-MESO).

&&

BCB
Local storm report, Mar 2, 11:25 AM MST, 2 hours 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
1125 AM MST MON MAR 2 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 11 ENE ZORTMAN          47.96N 108.31W
03/02/2020  M58 MPH          PHILLIPS           MT   MESONET

            MESONET STATION MTMAL 11.3 SW PHILLIPS (MT
            DOT).

&&

BCB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Glasgow, MT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 1, 6:35 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryGGWPhillips, Valley42 hr
Mar 1, 7:57 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryGGWMcCone66 hr
Mar 1, 9:06 PM MSTRiver Flood WarningGGWValley50 hr
Mar 2, 2:06 PM MSTHigh Wind WatchGGWDaniels, Dawson, Garfield, McCone, Petroleum, Phillips and 5 more13 hr
Mar 2, 2:06 PM MSTHigh Wind WarningGGWDawson, Garfield, McCone, Petroleum, Phillips, Prairie and 2 more52 hr
Mar 2, 4:43 PM MSTFlash Flood WatchGGWDawson24 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Montana, 2020Every red flag warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.