Severe Thunderstorm Warning 112, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

830 
WWUS53 KFSD 062055
SVSFSD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
355 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2020

SDC009-062130-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0112.000000T0000Z-200706T2130Z/
Bon Homme SD-
355 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN BON HOMME COUNTY...

At 355 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Scotland, or 7
miles northeast of Tyndall, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

This severe storm will be near...
  Scotland around 420 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4306 9797 4316 9785 4315 9764 4289 9764
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 278DEG 9KT 4309 9780 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

Weisser

498 
WWUS53 KFSD 062130
SVSFSD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
430 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2020

SDC009-062140-
/O.EXP.KFSD.SV.W.0112.000000T0000Z-200706T2130Z/
Bon Homme SD-
430 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN BON HOMME COUNTY
HAS EXPIRED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 4306 9797 4316 9785 4315 9764 4289 9764
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 282DEG 11KT 4307 9767 

$$

Weisser

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
231 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2020

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 231 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2020

An axis of instability is in place over eastern SD into southwest MN
and will likely spark scattered thunderstorms into early evening.
The environment is not great in this area, but CAPE values around
2000 J/kg and deeper shear values about 20 knots do support some
short lived strong updrafts. Shear values will increase into the
evening as a wave and associated jet max approach from the west.
This could help provide a little extra shear late afternoon and
early evening for some of these updrafts to become a little
stronger. The main concerns will be hail to golf ball size and wind
gusts to 60 mph. DCAPE only running about 900 to 1000 J/kg so not a
great wind environment. A potentially better threat for severe
weather is more likely after about 3z as the wave from far western
ND/SD moves into the area and brings a stronger increase in shear.
Model soundings and a few CAM runs do indicate the potential for a
linear system and with close to 45 knots of deep shear and about 30
knots of sfc to 3 km shear strong winds will be a threat. Any part
of the line that races east will need to be watched for meso vortex
couplets which could produce some enhanced winds.

Showers and thunderstorms will remain possible into Tuesday morning
but the threat for severe is quite a bit lower, especially if a more
organized line develops overnight. Shortwave ridging is also
expected to develop which will aid in suppressing thunderstorm
potential. Otherwise it should be warm and humid with highs in the
80s and a few 90s south of I-90.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 231 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2020

Tuesday night into Wednesday morning deepening low pressure over
southern Canada will swing a trough northeastward across the Western
High Plains. This should keep most of the activity to the northwest
of the area. Warm southerly flow will see humid and very warm
conditions with overnight lows only falling into the mid 70s in many
locations. By Wednesday afternoon and evening what appears to be
strong heating as well as an incoming boundary and fairly nice
shortwave to the north should allow our next round of severe and
heavy rain potential. Highs Wednesday about 85 to 95.

The pattern turns to northwest flow as this wave passes on Wednesday
night but right now it still looks to remain somewhat active. Chance
for widespread severe weather likely a little lower but definitely
not looking at any extended periods of dry weather. The good news is
most locations will see highs in the 80s to lower 90s and seasonally
humid.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1243 PM CDT Mon Jul 6 2020

Challenging forecast as it relates to thunderstorm chances through
the period. Will be watching for possible development along the
Hwy 14 corridor later this afternoon and some of this activity
could build southwestward, impacting KFSD in the 06.22Z to 07.02Z
period. Otherwise, better chances will occur later this evening
and overnight as a wave aloft moves across the region. Will handle
this threat with VCTS for now and allow later forecasts to fine-
tune timing and airfield impacts. MVFR conditions (lower ceiling/
visibility) possible with any stronger storms that develop. Frequent
updates/amendments are possible later this afternoon and evening as
convective picture becomes clearer.

Winds away from thunderstorms will be light and variable. If there
is a directional preference, it will be from the south-southeast
through the period...generally 10 kts or less.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM...08
AVIATION...Rogers

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
524 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2020

IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-
098-NEZ013-014-SDZ038>040-050-052>071-071030-
Lyon-Osceola-Dickinson-Sioux-O'Brien-Clay-Plymouth-Cherokee-
Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Lincoln-Murray-Cottonwood-Nobles-Jackson-
Pipestone-Rock-Dixon-Dakota-Beadle-Kingsbury-Brookings-Gregory-
Jerauld-Sanborn-Miner-Lake-Moody-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Hanson-McCook-
Minnehaha-Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-Turner-Bon Homme-Yankton-
Union-
524 AM CDT Mon Jul 6 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Iowa, west central
Iowa, southwest Minnesota, northeast Nebraska, central South
Dakota, east central South Dakota, south central South Dakota and
southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible this morning. A few of the stronger storms
may produce gusty winds to 50 mph. Additional thunderstorms are
expected after 2 PM this afternoon. Some of these storms may produce
hail to the size of half dollars, and wind gusts to 65 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Heat index values are expected to climb into the 90s each afternoon
this week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed after 2 pm today.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
203 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     HAIL             1 NNW ALEXANDRIA        43.66N 97.79W
07/06/2020  E1.50 INCH       HANSON             SD   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL AT THE I-90 EXIT
            FOR ALEXANDRIA.

&&

TRM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
209 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 PM     HAIL             4 SSW TABOR             42.90N 97.69W
07/06/2020  E1.50 INCH       BON HOMME          SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY RAIN AND SOME WIND, BUT NO DAMAGE.

&&

TRM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
212 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0205 PM     HAIL             4 SSW TABOR             42.90N 97.69W
07/06/2020  E1.00 INCH       BON HOMME          SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY RAIN AND SOME WIND, BUT NO DAMAGE.

&&

TRM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
239 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     HAIL             7 SW CLAYTON            43.38N 97.76W
07/06/2020  E1.00 INCH       HUTCHINSON         SD   PUBLIC

            REPORTED AT 42199 HWY 44 PARKSTON SD.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
254 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0242 PM     HAIL             6 SW CLAYTON            43.37N 97.73W
07/06/2020  E0.70 INCH       HUTCHINSON         SD   PUBLIC

            REPORTED AT 27718 423RD AVENUE PARKSTON SD.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
307 PM CDT MON JUL 6 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0248 PM     HAIL             4 S CLAYTON             43.38N 97.66W
07/06/2020  E1.00 INCH       HUTCHINSON         SD   PUBLIC

            REPORTED AT 27609 427TH AVENUE FREEMAN SD.

&&