Severe Thunderstorm Warning 102, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

665 
WWUS53 KFSD 052139
SVSFSD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
439 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2020

SDC079-101-052200-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-200705T2200Z/
Moody SD-Lake SD-
439 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN MOODY AND EAST CENTRAL LAKE COUNTIES...

At 439 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Colman, or 13
miles east of Madison, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northwestern Moody and east central Lake Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4404 9695 4411 9695 4413 9674 4400 9674
TIME...MOT...LOC 2139Z 284DEG 10KT 4407 9686 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

VandenBoogart

342 
WWUS53 KFSD 052150
SVSFSD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
450 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2020

SDC079-052200-
/O.CAN.KFSD.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-200705T2200Z/
Lake SD-
450 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL LAKE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 4413 9674 4400 9674 4403 9689 4412 9689
TIME...MOT...LOC 2150Z 284DEG 10KT 4406 9682 

$$

SDC101-052200-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-200705T2200Z/
Moody SD-
450 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN MOODY COUNTY...

At 450 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Colman, or 14
miles east of Madison, moving east at 10 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northwestern Moody County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4413 9674 4400 9674 4403 9689 4412 9689
TIME...MOT...LOC 2150Z 284DEG 10KT 4406 9682 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

VandenBoogart

846 
WWUS53 KFSD 052155
SVSFSD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
455 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2020

SDC101-052205-
/O.EXP.KFSD.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-200705T2200Z/
Moody SD-
455 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MOODY COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 500 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 4413 9674 4400 9674 4403 9689 4412 9689
TIME...MOT...LOC 2155Z 270DEG 14KT 4406 9680 

$$

VandenBoogart

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
245 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2020

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Monday)
Issued at 245 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2020

A somewhat active upper level jet will keep occasional chances for
showers and thunderstorms in the area for the next few days. An
upper level wave was wrapping northward across western ND earlier
this afternoon and was helping spark a few thunderstorms in
northwest and north central SD. This activity should largely stay to
the northwest of south central and southeast SD through the early
evening, but highway 14 will see a scattered showers and
thunderstorm before then. A few of these storms will be borderline
severe, but as they move towards southwest MN the environment is
less supportive. An increasing upper level jet max in southern Idaho
will shift east into the Dakotas tonight and should increase
coverage of any ongoing activity to the north. With increasing
westerly flow aloft some of the storms may track more eastward and
into southeast SD and southwest MN. Isolated severe storms will be
possible tonight with about 2000 J/kg CAPE and elevated shear
running about 20 to 25 knots. Suspect that the activity will remain
as mostly a disorganized cluster but if shear is a little stronger
than expected it could potentially become a bit more linear, but
nothing higher end expected. Wind and heavy rainfall should be the
main threats with fairly dry air in the lower levels and freezing
levels around 13000 feet AGL.

Monday a messy day and not an easy call on severe chances. The wave
that will bring the overnight thunderstorms to areas especially
north of here will be slowly moving through with a boundary sagging
south. Suspect that we will see off an on showers and thunderstorms
but if we can get a window with diminished activity and a little
more sunshine then soundings do hint at a severe weather threat with
CAPE values about 2500-3000 J/KG and deep shear about 20 to 25
knots. Not much turning or speed shear in the low levels however so
organized wind and tornado threat pretty low.

.LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Sunday)
Issued at 245 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2020

Shortwave ridging builds into the area late Monday night through
Tuesday afternoon and will likely limit an thunderstorm chances
during that time. A fairly strong wave does move into north central
SD Tuesday night and could bring some strong storms to areas north
of Interstate 90. Looks a bit capped right now so would need
something to develop west and build into the area barring any
excessive heating out that could break the cap in the afternoon.

Wednesday and especially Wednesday night appears to be the next best
chance for showers and thunderstorms. A stronger wave is expected to
develop near the Canadian border and swing a bit stronger trough
axis through the area. Shear values are potentially better on
Wednesday depending upon where the boundary is by afternoon.
Directional shear may be lacking but some stronger speed shear will
be possible. CAPE values expected to be about 3000 J/KG but again
this will be dependent on surface heating and boundary location.

The active pattern continues into next weekend so right now not
anticipating multiple dry and hot days in a row. But we will see
highs roughly 85 to 95 each day and lows 65 to 75, so very warm and
a little humid as well.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1154 AM CDT Sun Jul 5 2020

VFR through much of the period. There will be an increasing chance
for thunderstorms with the better chances tonight and north of
Interstate 90.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM...08
AVIATION...08

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
401 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2020

IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-MNZ081-089-090-098-NEZ013-014-
SDZ062-066-067-069>071-062115-
Lyon-Osceola-Dickinson-Sioux-O'Brien-Clay-Plymouth-Cherokee-
Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Cottonwood-Nobles-Jackson-Rock-Dixon-Dakota-
Minnehaha-Turner-Lincoln-Yankton-Union-
401 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Iowa, west central
Iowa, southwest Minnesota, northeast Nebraska and southeast South
Dakota.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Heat index values from the upper 80s to mid 90s will continue into
the evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Thunderstorms are also possible Monday afternoon into Monday
evening. A few of the stronger storms may produce gusty winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MNZ071-072-080-097-SDZ038>040-050-052>061-063>065-068-062115-
Lincoln-Lyon-Murray-Pipestone-Beadle-Kingsbury-Brookings-Gregory-
Jerauld-Sanborn-Miner-Lake-Moody-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Hanson-McCook-
Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-Bon Homme-
401 PM CDT Sun Jul 5 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Minnesota, central
South Dakota, east central South Dakota, south central South Dakota
and southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Heat index values from the upper 80s to mid 90s will continue into
the evening.

A few thunderstorms will continue along the Highway 14 corridor late
this afternoon. Additional thunderstorms are possible later this
evening. A couple strong to severe storms may produce winds to 65
mph and hail of one inch in diameter.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Thunderstorms are also possible Monday afternoon into Monday
evening. A few of the stronger storms may produce gusty winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed. Any reports of severe weather would
be appreciated.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
203 PM CDT SUN JUL 5 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 PM     HAIL             9 W HITCHCOCK           44.62N 98.58W
07/05/2020  E1.00 INCH       BEADLE             SD   PUBLIC

            5 MINUTES OF QUARTER SIZED HAIL, 0.60 INCH
            RAINFALL, AND WINDS ABOUT 30 MPH, BUT NO
            DAMAGE.

&&

TRM