Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 209, NWS Grand Forks, ND

July 25, 2020Ramsey County, Walsh County, North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 25, 2020, 9:13 PM CDT for Ramsey County, Walsh County, North Dakota. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 25, 2020, 9:13 PM CDT (02:13 UTC)
Expired: Jul 25, 2020, 10:00 PM CDT
In force: 47 min
Issued by: NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Ramsey County, ND, Walsh County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 00:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 371 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2056 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -64 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1460 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 42 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 67 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.2
Supercell composite: 3.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

819 
WUUS53 KFGF 260213
SVRFGF
NDC071-099-260300-
/O.NEW.KFGF.SV.W.0209.200726T0213Z-200726T0300Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
913 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Eastern Ramsey County in northeastern North Dakota...
  West central Walsh County in northeastern North Dakota...

* Until 1000 PM CDT.

* At 913 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Devils Lake,
  moving northeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* This severe thunderstorm will be near...
  Southam around 935 PM CDT.
  Lawton and Edmore around 1000 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4854 9853 4854 9848 4832 9809 4804 9880
      4806 9880 4806 9883 4805 9884 4804 9887
      4813 9898
TIME...MOT...LOC 0213Z 228DEG 27KT 4812 9881 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Knutsvig

3 follow-up statements

291 
WWUS53 KFGF 260233
SVSFGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
933 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

NDC071-099-260300-
/O.CON.KFGF.SV.W.0209.000000T0000Z-200726T0300Z/
Ramsey ND-Walsh ND-
933 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN RAMSEY AND WEST CENTRAL WALSH COUNTIES...

At 933 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Southam, or 10
miles northeast of Devils Lake, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Lawton around 1010 PM CDT.
  Edmore around 1015 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4854 9853 4854 9848 4832 9809 4811 9878
      4817 9891
TIME...MOT...LOC 0233Z 226DEG 23KT 4820 9868 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Knutsvig

276 
WWUS53 KFGF 260246
SVSFGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
946 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

NDC099-260255-
/O.CAN.KFGF.SV.W.0209.000000T0000Z-200726T0300Z/
Walsh ND-
946 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL WALSH COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning is not 
threatening the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been 
cancelled.

LAT...LON 4844 9850 4831 9832 4818 9863 4824 9874
TIME...MOT...LOC 0245Z 228DEG 27KT 4826 9857 

$$

NDC071-260300-
/O.CON.KFGF.SV.W.0209.000000T0000Z-200726T0300Z/
Ramsey ND-
946 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN RAMSEY COUNTY...

At 945 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles north of
Southam, or 17 miles northeast of Devils Lake, moving northeast at 30
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Lawton around 1005 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4844 9850 4831 9832 4818 9863 4824 9874
TIME...MOT...LOC 0245Z 228DEG 27KT 4826 9857 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Knutsvig

960 
WWUS53 KFGF 260256
SVSFGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
956 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

NDC071-260306-
/O.EXP.KFGF.SV.W.0209.000000T0000Z-200726T0300Z/
Ramsey ND-
956 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN RAMSEY COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 1000 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 4844 9850 4831 9832 4818 9863 4824 9874
TIME...MOT...LOC 0256Z 228DEG 27KT 4830 9850 

$$

Knutsvig

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 25, 6:56 PM CDT, 2 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 25, 6:56 PM CDT, 2 hours 17 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
656 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

.UPDATE...
Issued at 656 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

Adjusted POPs a bit for showers and thunderstorms that have been
sparse to develop along the front across the Devils Lake Basin.
There continues to be some towers trying to go up along the
boundary and some post frontal showers and storms further west, so
continued to keep POPs fairly high for now. Will continue to
monitor as the front pushes southeast.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 303 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

The main impact for the short term will be the cold frontal
passage tonight, and any associated severe storms with it.

Low clouds are finally scouring out of the southern Red River
Valley, yet some still remain over west central Minnesota. Other
areas have cleared, allowing good heating, with plenty of
moisture. SPC meso page shows plenty of surface based CAPE along
and west of the Valley, with good 0-6km effective shear. Surface
cold front appears to be inching into the Devils Lake region and
central North Dakota, which will be the focus for late afternoon
and evening showers and storms. High resolution guidance shows
activity breaking out over central North Dakota between 5 and 7
pm, with potential strong to severe storms then. Think most of the
strong to severe activity will last through sundown, then think
it will trend downward again. Not much of a low level jet tonight
to keep things going beyond then, but will be monitoring those
trends this evening. Even though storms may not be severe by late
evening and overnight, they should hold together and bring some
rain to many areas. All this activity should move out of the FA by
late Sunday morning, with the rest of the period looking more
normal temperature-wise, and quieter.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 303 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

July has been an active month so far, but it looks like we will be
getting a break near the end of the month. High pressure is present
at the surface throughout much of the next week. This quieter high
pressure pattern starts to break down later in the week with some
chances for showers or thunderstorms returning Friday into the
weekend. For this potentially more active period there is good
agreement on a change in pattern around this time, but specifics are
uncertain with the spread in deterministic and ensemble guidance.
Temperatures in this period will be relatively stable with a slight
warming trend going from near normal on Monday to warmer than normal
later in the week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 656 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

VFR conditions at all TAF sites, which will continue throughout
the period. Thunderstorms will move in from the west later this
evening although coverage has been a bit more sparse than
expected. So have VCTS at KDVL, KGFK and KTVF but kept them out
of KBJI and KFAR fo now. VFR conditions and only some lingering
mid and high clouds later tonight as thunderstorms exit the area.
Winds will shift around to the northwest behind a cold front,
already having moved through KDVL. The northwest winds will become
somewhat gusty tomorrow afternoon.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

UPDATE...JR
SHORT TERM...Godon
LONG TERM...NC
AVIATION...JR

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 25, 4:11 AM CDT, 17 hours 2 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
411 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-261300-
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-
West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake-
East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Towner-Cavalier-
Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks-
Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-
Western Walsh-
411 AM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and
evening. Storms are expected to affect the Devils Lake basin after
4pm, and the remainder of eastern North Dakota into the Red River
Valley after 6pm. Severe storm potential will diminish after
sunset. Main threats include hail up to 1.5 inches and wind gusts
up to 60 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required this afternoon.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 25, 4:26 PM CDT, 4 hours 47 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
426 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0405 PM     HAIL             6 ENE CLYDE             48.80N 98.78W
07/25/2020  M1.00 INCH       CAVALIER           ND   PUBLIC

            MOSTLY PEA SIZE HAIL, BUT A FEW LARGER
            STONES.

&&

Special weather statement, Jul 25, 4:29 PM CDT, 4 hours 44 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
429 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

NDZ007-008-252215-
Pembina ND-Cavalier ND-
429 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL CAVALIER AND
NORTHWESTERN PEMBINA COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

At 429 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Langdon, moving east at 45 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Olga around 450 PM CDT.
  Concrete around 500 PM CDT.
  Mountain around 505 PM CDT.
  Icelandic State Park and Akra around 510 PM CDT.
  Backoo around 515 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Grand Forks.

&&

LAT...LON 4873 9851 4886 9852 4891 9771 4867 9771
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 268DEG 37KT 4878 9840

Knutsvig

Local storm report, Jul 25, 4:47 PM CDT, 4 hours 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
447 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0412 PM     HAIL             14 W LANGDON            48.76N 98.68W
07/25/2020  M1.50 INCH       CAVALIER           ND   PUBLIC

            REPORT RECEIVED VIA BROADCAST MEDIA. TIME
            ESTIMATED VIA RADAR.

&&

Local storm report, Jul 25, 6:11 PM CDT, 3 hours 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
611 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1155 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE ARGUSVILLE         47.03N 96.91W
07/24/2020                   Cass               ND   NWS EMPLOYEE

            A FEW LARGE 4 TO 8 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES BROKEN DOWN IN
            A FARM SHELTER BELT. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

1245 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S FARGO               46.86N 96.82W
07/25/2020                   Cass               ND   NWS STORM SURVEY

            NUMEROUS LARGE 3 TO 5 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES BROKEN DOWN
            NEAR PRAIREWOOD GOLF COURSE.

0238 AM     TSTM WND GST     4 SSE ERHARD            46.43N 96.07W
07/25/2020  E95.00 MPH       Otter Tail         MN   NWS STORM SURVEY

            A MICROBURST /DOWNBURST WIND/ LIKELY INITIATED OVER THE
            WEST END OF LONG LAKE AND MOVED RAPIDLY EASTWARD ACROSS
            LONG LAKE POINT ROAD. A TRAILER HOME WAS BLOWN OVER AND
            DEMOLISHED. SEVERAL LARGE TREE LIMBS WERE BROKEN DOWN BY
            THE WINDS WHILE A PONTOON WAS LIKELY FLIPPED OVER BY THE
            COMBINATION OF WAVE AND WIND ACTION. TIME ESTIMATED BASED
            ON RADAR AND LOCAL OBSERVATIONS.

0305 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 S DENT                46.48N 95.72W
07/25/2020                   Otter Tail         MN   PUBLIC

            INITIAL REPORTS FROM DEAD LAKE INDICATE NUMEROUS TREES
            UPROOTED AND DAMAGE TO DOCK LIFT. RELAYED FROM BROADCAST
            MEDIA VIA SOCIAL MEDIA

0315 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NW OTTERTAIL          46.46N 95.60W
07/25/2020                   Otter Tail         MN   BROADCAST MEDIA

            INITIAL REPORTS INDICATE POSSIBLE MOBILE HOME BLOWN OVER
            ON LONG LAKE ROAD. RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

GGUST

Local storm report, Jul 25, 8:26 PM CDT, 47 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
826 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0828 PM     HAIL             3 W TOLNA               47.83N 98.50W
07/24/2020  E0.88 INCH       NELSON             ND   PUBLIC

&&

KNUTSVIG

Special weather statement, Jul 25, 8:48 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
848 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

NDZ014-015-260230-
Benson ND-Ramsey ND-
848 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN BENSON AND
SOUTHEASTERN RAMSEY COUNTIES UNTIL 930 PM CDT...

At 848 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Fort Totten, or 11 miles south of Devils Lake, moving northeast at 25
mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  St Michael and Tokio around 855 PM CDT.
  Camp Grafton and Lakewood Park around 900 PM CDT.
  Crary, Doyon and Southam around 930 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Grand Forks.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
northeastern North Dakota.

LAT...LON 4827 9865 4805 9842 4802 9842 4802 9852
      4800 9853 4787 9897 4797 9910
TIME...MOT...LOC 0148Z 239DEG 20KT 4796 9893

Knutsvig

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 25, 8:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FGF	Ramsey	42 min
Jul 25, 9:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Grand Forks, Nelson, Walsh	44 min
Jul 25, 9:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Grand Forks, Griggs, Nelson	37 min
Jul 25, 9:55 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FGF	Barnes	50 min
Jul 25, 10:02 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FGF	Walsh	43 min
Jul 25, 10:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FGF	Grand Forks	55 min
Jul 25, 10:50 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FGF	Barnes	55 min
Jul 25, 11:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FGF	Traill	42 min
Jul 25, 11:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FGF	Sargent	24 min
Jul 26, 12:08 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Traill	52 min
Jul 26, 12:43 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FGF	Richland	32 min
Jul 26, 1:04 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	FGF	Sargent	9 hr
Jul 26, 1:16 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FGF	Richland	29 min
Jul 26, 1:31 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGF	Richland	59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2020 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.