Severe Thunderstorm Warning 156, NWS Grand Forks, ND

595 
WWUS53 KFGF 090748
SVSFGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
248 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

MNC159-090758-
/O.CAN.KFGF.SV.W.0156.000000T0000Z-200709T0830Z/
Wadena MN-
248 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN WADENA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 4687 9509 4715 9549 4740 9506 4732 9466
      4680 9466
TIME...MOT...LOC 0748Z 241DEG 38KT 4718 9535 4711 9468 4686 9462 

$$

MNC005-029-057-090830-
/O.CON.KFGF.SV.W.0156.000000T0000Z-200709T0830Z/
Hubbard MN-Becker MN-Clearwater MN-
248 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 AM CDT
FOR HUBBARD...NORTHEASTERN BECKER AND SOUTHEASTERN CLEARWATER
COUNTIES...

At 248 AM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Long Lost Lake to near Benedict to near Oshawa,
moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Park Rapids, Bad Medicine Lake, Akeley, Nevis, Lake George, Laporte
and Camp Wilderness.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 4687 9509 4715 9549 4740 9506 4732 9466
      4680 9466
TIME...MOT...LOC 0748Z 241DEG 38KT 4718 9535 4711 9468 4686 9462 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CJ

296 
WWUS53 KFGF 090756
SVSFGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
256 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

MNC005-029-057-090805-
/O.CAN.KFGF.SV.W.0156.000000T0000Z-200709T0830Z/
Hubbard MN-Becker MN-Clearwater MN-
256 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR HUBBARD...NORTHEASTERN BECKER
AND SOUTHEASTERN CLEARWATER COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However gusty winds are
still possible with these thunderstorms.

LAT...LON 4687 9509 4715 9549 4740 9506 4732 9466
      4680 9466
TIME...MOT...LOC 0754Z 241DEG 38KT 4721 9526 4714 9459 4689 9453 

$$

CJ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1127 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2020

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1126 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2020

Storms have been blossoming again across the southern FA. A ton of
CAPE still exists there with precipitable water values near 1.5
inches. The surface wind field is pretty weak, but there is likely
an elevated boundary across the far southern Red River Valley into
adjacent areas of west central Minnesota. The HRRR has been
showing that potential for the next couple of hours. However,
other high resolution models have nothing there. Will therefore
extend precipitation chances in that area into the early overnight
hours.

UPDATE Issued at 912 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2020

One storm cell remains in the Wadena area right now, but most
activity has shifted east of the FA. The rest of the area is
seeing a nice evening, with light winds and decreasing clouds.

UPDATE Issued at 645 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2020

Isolated storm cells have produced a long track tornado south of
Dalton, and recent reports have another tornado now over southeast
Otter Tail County. So for another hour or so, there is still a
threat of severe weather over our far southeast FA. After this
moves out, a quiet night is expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday night)
Issued at 301 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2020

A cold front continues slowly pushing across the region today. Early
this afternoon, the location is along a line from Frederick, to
Fargo, to Cass Lake. MLCAPE along the front remains in the 2000 to
3500 J/Kg range with enough CIN to provide moderate capping into the
afternoon. Effective bulk shear is as high as 35 to 40 knots.
Development of a few light showers ahead of the main front has been
observed, with very little in the way of sustainable updrafts thus
far. However, as the front pushes onward, we should see an
interaction that allows for limited thunderstorm development during
the mid-afternoon although much of the strongest activity should
remain to our east and southeast. Weather-related impacts are
possible should strong storms develop, with Fergus Falls, to Park
Rapids line and eastward being the primary focus through the
afternoon hours. Potential risks include 1 inch hail and wind gusts
up to 60 mph.

Much quieter weather prevails tonight into Thursday, with mostly
clear skies and slightly cooler highs in the lower to middle 80s.
Look for breezy west winds during the afternoon, especially for the
Devils Lake Basin, where we could see 15 to 20 mph sustained winds
and gusts to near 30 mph.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 301 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2020

Chances for impactful weather will come mainly on Sat and early next
week, in the form of strong to isolated svr tstms. It will be humid,
but temps will hover near average levels for mid July.

Zonal upper flow will be in place to start of Fri, leaving us dry
with near average aftn temps in the 80s. Upper wave pinching down
out of southern Canada Fri night into Sat would be impetus for
concurrent convection. A boundary draped from central ND through MN
Lakes country could be the forcing focus. NW flow would then follow
for Sun, providing more in the way of fair weather.

Upper ridge followed by SW flow early next week will provide a bit
more heat along with increasing humidity. Surface features entering
the picture during Mon should lead to more tstms with a lingering
boundary draped over the area continuing the activity
intermittently through Tue.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1126 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2020

Pretty much kept the ideas and timing from the 00Z set of TAFs,
but tweaked a few lines here and there. The main impact will be
increasing winds through the morning, then a fairly gusty period
from mid to late morning through most of the afternoon. These
speeds should decrease again by early evening.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

UPDATE...Godon
SHORT TERM...Lynch
LONG TERM...WJB
AVIATION...Godon

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
906 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2020

MNZ001>009-013>017-022-023-027>029-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-
038-039-049-052>054-100215-
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-
West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake-
East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen-
South Clearwater-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin-Towner-Cavalier-
Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks-
Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-
Western Walsh-
906 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

There are chances for thunderstorms Friday into Saturday as well
as into next week. Storms are not expected to be severe at this
time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

MNZ024-030>032-040-100215-
Hubbard-West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-
906 PM CDT Wed Jul 8 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of west central
and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms are expected until 10 PM. A few storms may
be severe bringing the chance for 60 mph winds and quarter sized
hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

There are chances for thunderstorms Friday into Saturday as well
as into next week. Storms are not expected to be severe at this
time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
144 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1245 AM     HAIL             PARK RAPIDS             46.92N 95.06W
07/09/2020  M2.00 INCH       HUBBARD            MN   PUBLIC

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS HAIL REPORT FROM PARK
            RAPIDS. PIC RELAYED THRU SOCIAL MEDIA FROM
            PUBLIC. CHAT WITH EM AND FROM PIC AGREE ON
            2.0 INCH SIZE.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
144 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

MNZ003-024-027-028-030>032-090730-
West Becker MN-Wadena MN-East Otter Tail MN-East Becker MN-Clay MN-
Hubbard MN-West Otter Tail MN-
144 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CLAY...SOUTHWESTERN
HUBBARD...WADENA...NORTHERN OTTER TAIL AND BECKER COUNTIES UNTIL 230
AM CDT...

At 143 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Lake Park to Frazee to near Deer Creek.
Movement was northeast at 50 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Detroit Lakes, Park Rapids, Perham, Pelican Rapids, Ottertail Lake,
Frazee and Menahga.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Grand Forks.

&&

LAT...LON 4626 9578 4662 9628 4663 9628 4663 9630
      4670 9639 4714 9566 4701 9504 4675 9479
      4660 9478
TIME...MOT...LOC 0643Z 237DEG 45KT 4682 9610 4672 9568 4644 9538

CJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
148 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1215 AM     HAIL             DORSET                  46.96N 94.95W
07/09/2020  M2.00 INCH       HUBBARD            MN   PUBLIC

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS HAIL REPORT FROM DORSET.
            TIME UPDATED TO REFLECT MESSAGE FROM EM.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
150 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1235 AM     TSTM WND GST     2 W TENNEY              46.04N 96.50W
07/09/2020  M60 MPH          WILKIN             MN   MESONET

            MEASURED BY MN DOT RWIS.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
152 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 W FERGUS FALLS        46.28N 96.09W
07/09/2020  M55 MPH          OTTER TAIL         MN   AWOS

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
226 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

MNZ017-024-090830-
Hubbard MN-South Beltrami MN-
226 AM CDT Thu Jul 9 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN HUBBARD AND
SOUTHEASTERN BELTRAMI COUNTIES UNTIL 330 AM CDT...

At 226 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Bemidji, moving east at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Bemidji, Blackduck, Wilton, Tenstrike, Lavinia, Turtle River and
Hines.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Grand Forks.

&&

LAT...LON 4741 9467 4734 9467 4742 9507 4770 9502
      4785 9450 4785 9442 4741 9442
TIME...MOT...LOC 0726Z 260DEG 25KT 4745 9495

CJ