Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2020

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

October 29, 20206 counties in Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Oct 29, 2020, 4:36 AM EDT for 6 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 54 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 29, 2020, 4:36 AM EDT (08:36 UTC)
Expired
Oct 29, 2020, 5:30 AM EDT
In force
54 min
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA

Counties Bartow County, GA, Fannin County, GA, Gilmer County, GA, Gordon County, GA, Murray County, GA, Pickens County, GA

The radar

The Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 139 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 00:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 00:00Z on 2020-10-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 252 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 00:00Z on 2020-10-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 168 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
252 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-13 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
851 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
168 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
191 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
4.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Oct 29, 3:50 AM EDT, 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 29, 3:50 AM EDT, 46 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
350 AM EDT Thu Oct 29 2020

...Remnants of Tropical Storm Zeta currently tracking across
western and north Georgia bringing strong gusty winds to the area
early this morning...

.SHORT TERM /Today through Friday/...

Tropical Storm Zeta currently over central AL will rapidly move
across portions of west and north GA, exiting the forecast area by
mid to late morning and continuing to the northeast. An upper
level short wave will push across portions of north GA late this
evening, helping to push the surface low east of the area. Surface
high pressure will begin building into the area Friday afternoon.

As Zeta moves across the area this morning light to moderate rain
showers will continue across north and much of central Georgia.  1
to 2.5 inches of rainfall is expected through Friday morning across
areas along and north of I-85, with locally heavier rainfall
possible across portions of north GA. A Flash Flood Watch will
remain in effect through 8pm tonight.  Zeta will spread a swath of
up to 50-70 mph wind gusts again mainly along and north of I-85 as
Zeta moves across the area through 8am or so this morning.  Wind
will remain gusty this morning, however maximum wind gusts will drop
into the 20-30 mph range with isolated 15-25 mph gusts possible this
afternoon.

Low to mid clouds this morning will slowly improve through early
afternoon, with clouds scattering by late afternoon across much of
the area, however as the short wave moves across this evening
clouds will linger across portions of north GA into the late
evening hours.

With rapidly changing conditions through much of the forecast
period, guidance temperatures are in general agreement through the
period and stayed with a blend of guidance.

Atwell

&&

.LONG TERM /Friday Night through Wednesday/...

A much more benign and quiet forecast remains in the long term
with mainly dry ridge dominated and abnormally cool airmass in
place. Only main influencing feature to speak of is with a mostly
dry reinforcing cold front on Sunday. There is some potential for
an area of enhanced low level moisture advecting northwestward
off the Atlantic ahead of the front so have included a small zone
of slight pops for light rain in the far northeast CWA late
Saturday into Sunday.

What is more impactful will be the much cooler temps and possibly
coldest of the season so far to be ushered in behind the front
for Monday morning and Tuesday morning. The current forecast looks
to have some low 30s and freeze potential in the far NE higher
elevations early Monday and while other parts of north GA could be
in the mid 30s the enhanced NW gradient winds should limit frost
potential. Tuesday morning on the other hand looks to be even
cooler with lax winds so is a better bet for not just freeze
potential in the NE but also frost across much of the rest of
north GA. Central GA looks to be more in the upper 30s with this
update, but overall guidance has trended cooler than yesterday.

Baker

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z Update...
Rain showers associated will push across the TAF sites through
14-16Z as Tropical Storm Zeta moves across west and north Georgia
quickly this morning. S to SE winds will increase to 20-25kts with
gusts to 50-55kts across the ATL area TAF sites and 15-20 kts with
gusts to 30-40kts over CSG/MCN/AHN through 11-12z before shifting
to the SW and W with speeds of 15-20G30kts through 18-20z and
10-15kts through 06z. IFR/MVFR CIGs will improve to MVFR through
16-20Z with VFR after 20Z and SCT clouds between 21-24Z.

//ATL Confidence...
06Z Update...
Medium to high confidence all elements.

Atwell

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          79  50  68  45 /  50  20   0   0
Atlanta         76  49  62  46 /  50  10   0   0
Blairsville     73  45  57  38 /  70  30   5   0
Cartersville    76  48  61  44 /  50  20   5   0
Columbus        79  51  68  49 /  40   5   0   0
Gainesville     76  49  63  44 /  70  20   0   0
Macon           83  50  71  47 /  50  20   0   0
Rome            77  49  62  42 /  50  20   5   0
Peachtree City  77  48  64  46 /  50  10   0   0
Vidalia         83  52  72  51 /  60  30   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Tornado Watch until 6 AM EDT early this morning for the
following zones: Chattahoochee...Harris...Macon...Marion...
Muscogee...Schley...Stewart...Sumter...Talbot...Taylor...Webster.

Wind Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for the following
zones: Baldwin...Bibb...Bleckley...Butts...Chattahoochee...
Clarke...Crawford...Crisp...Dodge...Dooly...Glascock...Greene...
Hancock...Houston...Jasper...Jefferson...Johnson...Jones...
Lamar...Laurens...Macon...Madison...Marion...Monroe...Morgan...
Muscogee...Oconee...Oglethorpe...Peach...Pike...Pulaski...
Putnam...Schley...Stewart...Sumter...Talbot...Taliaferro...
Taylor...Twiggs...Upson...Warren...Washington...Webster...
Wilcox...Wilkes...Wilkinson.

Flash Flood Watch through this evening for the following zones:
Banks...Barrow...Bartow...Carroll...Catoosa...Chattooga...
Cherokee...Clarke...Clayton...Cobb...Coweta...Dade...Dawson...
DeKalb...Douglas...Fannin...Fayette...Floyd...Forsyth...Gilmer...
Gordon...Gwinnett...Hall...Haralson...Heard...Henry...Jackson...
Lumpkin...Murray...Newton...North Fulton...Oconee...Paulding...
Pickens...Polk...Rockdale...South Fulton...Spalding...Towns...
Union...Walker...Walton...White...Whitfield.

Tropical Storm Warning for the following zones: Banks...Barrow...
Bartow...Carroll...Catoosa...Chattooga...Cherokee...Clayton...
Cobb...Coweta...Dade...Dawson...DeKalb...Douglas...Fannin...
Fayette...Floyd...Forsyth...Gilmer...Gordon...Gwinnett...Hall...
Haralson...Harris...Heard...Henry...Jackson...Lumpkin...
Meriwether...Murray...Newton...North Fulton...Paulding...
Pickens...Polk...Rockdale...South Fulton...Spalding...Towns...
Troup...Union...Walker...Walton...White...Whitfield.

&&

SHORT TERM...Atwell
LONG TERM....Baker
AVIATION...Atwell
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 29, 1:56 AM EDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before
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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 29, 3:50 AM EDT, 46 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Oct 29, 3:55 AM EDT, 41 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Oct 29, 4:10 AM EDT, 26 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Oct 29, 4:17 AM EDT, 19 minutes before
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Local storm report, Oct 29, 4:27 AM EDT, 9 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Oct 29, 4:36 AM EDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 28, 8:43 PM EDTWind AdvisoryFFCBaldwin, Bibb, Bleckley, Butts, Carroll, Chattahoochee and 52 more14 hr
Oct 29, 3:44 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHaralson, Polk31 min
Oct 29, 3:50 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHeard25 min
Oct 29, 3:55 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCatoosa, Chattooga, Dade, Walker, Whitfield65 min
Oct 29, 4:10 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCFloyd50 min
Oct 29, 4:17 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHeard28 min
Oct 29, 4:56 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCatoosa, Chattooga, Dade, Walker, Whitfield49 min
Oct 29, 5:05 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCForsyth, Fulton32 hr
Oct 29, 5:11 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDawson, Lumpkin, Towns, Union, White49 min
Oct 29, 5:30 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCFannin, Gilmer, Murray30 min
Oct 29, 5:57 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCTowns, Union, White33 min
Oct 29, 7:40 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCTowns3 hr
Oct 29, 8:29 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCUnion6 hr
Oct 29, 8:34 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCTowns14 hr
Oct 29, 10:11 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCForsyth7 hr
Oct 29, 10:22 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCUnion2 hr
Oct 29, 1:47 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCWhitfield8 hr
Oct 29, 7:40 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCDawson, Forsyth5 hr
Oct 29, 7:43 PM EDTWind AdvisoryFFCBanks, Barrow, Bartow, Carroll, Catoosa, Chattooga and 40 more8 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2020Every special weather statement in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.