Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2020

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

August 20, 2020Pulaski County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Aug 20, 2020, 3:32 PM EDT for Pulaski County, Georgia. It was in force for 28 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 20, 2020, 3:32 PM EDT (19:32 UTC)
Expired
Aug 20, 2020, 4:00 PM EDT
In force
28 min
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA
Wind
40

County Pulaski County, GA

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 162 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2020-08-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 179 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2020-08-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 81 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
179 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-145 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
894 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
81 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
111 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 20, 3:32 PM EDT, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 20, 3:32 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
332 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Friday Night/...
Primary concerns in the short term are heavy rain and
strong/severe storms. Unlike my thoughts yesterday at this time,
convection quite vigorous with isolated hail and damaging wind
threat over middle GA.  Mid and upper level vertical wind shear
not terrible for August with 500mb/300mb winds of 20kts/30kts.
Diffluent/divergent flow enhancing vertical motion over SW and
middle GA. SBCAPE around 3000 J/kg along and north of I-20 ahead
of developing line of storms, which is more than what I would have
guessed with temps in the mid 80s at best. Convection should
spread slowly north through the evening and will likely persist
past midnight.

Another round of convection expected starting mid-afternoon
Friday. Similar pattern with nearly stationary upper low to the
west and weak southerly flow. PoPs near categorical again and
expected to persist through much of the evening.

SNELSON

.LONG TERM /Saturday through Thursday/...
Saturday looks to be yet another wet day across the area, though it
is forecast to be the beginning of a pattern shift as the core of
the PV anomaly to our west lifts through the area during the day.
Forecast bulk shear is decent in the GFS/Euro, less so in the
NAM, and some instability will exist, especially as slightly
colder core of the 500 mb low moves past the CWA. Limiting factor
may actually be surface heating, though I'm surprised to be typing
that in Georgia in August, with forecast highs currently in the
low to mid 80s. Definitely not expecting any kind of widespread
severe coverage, but can't rule out an isolated severe storm on
this day that may be a bit more persistent than our typical summer
straight up, straight back down type of storms.

By Sunday the trough slower begins to dissipate as is gets
squeezed between western ridge and another ridge moving in from
the east Atlantic. Tropical airmass will still be in place, so
still expect to be able to squeeze some more moisture out of the
atmosphere these days with decent PoP chances each day. The lack
of any strong upper- level system coming in to replace our
departing trough will be an opportunity for the tropics to enter
the forecast on Tuesday.

Speaking of, if you had "dueling tropical systems in the Gulf of
Mexico" on your 2020 bingo card, the 12Z operational GFS says you
may be in luck! In all seriousness, the forecast beyond Monday is
fraught with uncertainty in part because of two different tropical
depressions, TD 13 in the MDR of the Atlantic, and TD 14 in the
Caribbean, both forecast to become named systems Laura and Marco
(order dependent on who wins the race). Both the track and intensity
of these systems will have large impacts on the overall forecast as
well as magnitude of any impacts, though given two potential systems
in the gulf, it is hard to argue any other scenario that doesn't
have some form of tropical moisture impacting the CWA through mid
next week. As for TD 13, current NHC forecast brings it the closest
to the CWA, and model consensus certainly favors a track near the
Keys/Everglades into the eastern Gulf before a more northward turn
around the edge of a high pressure over western Atlantic that has
been drifting west and will be a large portion of the steering
current for the system. TD 14 is expected to make a northward turn
soon, slow down a bit, and travel over the Yucatan, before moving
into the western Gulf, with the slower forward speed allowing TD 13
to catch up a bit. However, to emphasize for the 100th time in this
AFD, there is still substantial uncertainty this far out, amplified
by having two tropical systems potentially this close together.
Forecasted PoPs account for this by keeping out any likely chances
until more is known about the exact tracks. Please stayed tuned to
the latest forecasts for these via both us and our colleagues at
the National Hurricane Center.

Lusk

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Scattered SHRA/TSRA again today with enough coverage to warrant
TEMPO 19-23Z then prevailing -SHRA 23Z-06Z. IFR stratus likely to
develop 10Z-13Z similar to this morning with another round of
SHRA/TSRA later in the afternoon Friday. Sfc winds remain light E
less than 6kts thru the forecast except gusty near TSRA.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Low-Medium confidence on IFR cig development
Medium confidence on SHRA/TSRA timing
High confidence on all other elements

SNELSON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          69  82  68  82 /  70  80  70  60
Atlanta         69  81  69  81 /  80  70  70  60
Blairsville     65  75  64  76 /  60  80  70  70
Cartersville    69  83  68  83 /  70  80  70  60
Columbus        70  85  69  84 /  80  70  60  60
Gainesville     69  80  67  80 /  70  80  70  60
Macon           70  84  69  82 /  70  70  60  60
Rome            69  83  68  83 /  70  70  70  60
Peachtree City  69  82  68  81 /  80  70  70  60
Vidalia         72  85  71  83 /  50  70  60  70

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...SNELSON
LONG TERM....Lusk
AVIATION...SNELSON
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 20, 11:48 AM EDT, 3 hours 44 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1148 AM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-211600-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1148 AM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Numerous to widespread thunderstorms are forecast this afternoon
and evening across north and central Georgia, and some
thunderstorms will persist overnight. A few storms could be
strong to severe. The main threats will be strong to damaging
winds, locally heavy rainfall, hail, and cloud-to-ground
lightning. There is also an increased risk of flash flooding,
mainly across north Georgia.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Numerous thunderstorms are expected Friday and Saturday across
the forecast area. Scattered thunderstorms are forecast Sunday
through Wednesday. A few storms could be strong to severe each
day, with strong to damaging winds, locally heavy rainfall, hail,
and cloud-to-ground lightning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 20, 2:50 PM EDT, 42 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
250 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020

GAZ090-201915-
Chattahoochee GA-
250 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CHATTAHOOCHEE COUNTY UNTIL 315 PM
EDT...

At 250 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Jamestown/south Fort
Benning, or near Cusseta...moving north at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Cusseta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3230 8488 3240 8491 3240 8489 3241 8488
      3242 8484 3241 8483 3242 8481 3241 8480
      3242 8479 3237 8469 3228 8480
TIME...MOT...LOC 1850Z 198DEG 9KT 3232 8483

WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Aug 20, 2:52 PM EDT, 40 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
252 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020

GAZ104-201930-
Sumter GA-
252 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN SUMTER COUNTY UNTIL
330 PM EDT...

At 252 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Plains, or 7 miles
southwest of Americus...moving north at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Americus, Plains, Friendship and Maddox.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3202 8444 3204 8444 3204 8443 3217 8443
      3217 8440 3216 8429 3208 8413 3196 8431
TIME...MOT...LOC 1852Z 200DEG 10KT 3203 8435

WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Aug 20, 2:55 PM EDT, 37 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
255 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020

GAZ097-201930-
Laurens GA-
255 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN LAURENS COUNTY UNTIL 330
PM EDT...

At 255 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Cadwell, or 14 miles
northeast of Eastman...moving north at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Dublin, Dexter, Cadwell, Rentz and Harlow.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3230 8302 3232 8308 3249 8315 3253 8297
      3241 8288
TIME...MOT...LOC 1855Z 200DEG 10KT 3236 8303

WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Aug 20, 3:12 PM EDT, 20 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
312 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020

GAZ071-072-081-082-201945-
Monroe GA-Bibb GA-Crawford GA-Jones GA-
312 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MONROE...NORTHWESTERN BIBB...
NORTHERN CRAWFORD AND SOUTHWESTERN JONES COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

At 311 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Lake Tobesofkee, or 11
miles southeast of Forsyth...moving northwest at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Macon, Forsyth, Lake Tobesofkee, Bolingbroke, Dames Ferry,
Russellville, Brent, Jarrell Plantation, Wesleyan, Lizella,
Arkwright, Juliette and Plant Scherer.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3295 8360 3275 8385 3286 8407 3304 8400
      3312 8378
TIME...MOT...LOC 1911Z 140DEG 13KT 3289 8385

WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Aug 20, 3:28 PM EDT, 4 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
328 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020

GAZ078>080-089>091-202000-
Chattahoochee GA-Harris GA-Taylor GA-Marion GA-Talbot GA-Muscogee GA-
328 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN CHATTAHOOCHEE...
SOUTHEASTERN HARRIS...WESTERN TAYLOR...NORTHERN MARION...TALBOT AND
EASTERN MUSCOGEE COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM EDT...

At 328 PM EDT...a line of strong thunderstorms was along a line
extending from near Charing to Olive Branch to near Sand Hill...and
moving north at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of these storms include
Butler, Talbotton, Waverly Hall, Woodland, Junction City, Geneva,
North Fort Benning, Upatoi, Ellerslie, Juniper, Vista Terrace,
Baughville, Oakland, Howard, Eelbeck/West Fort Benning, Wesley
Church, Edgewood, Flat Rock, Highland Park and Baldwinville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3258 8416 3282 8462 3248 8495 3234 8478
      3246 8457 3242 8430
TIME...MOT...LOC 1928Z 175DEG 9KT 3245 8432 3266 8462 3242 8486

WIND...40MPH
Special weather statement, Aug 20, 3:32 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
332 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020

GAZ096-107-109-202000-
Bleckley GA-Dodge GA-Pulaski GA-
332 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN BLECKLEY...
NORTHWESTERN DODGE AND PULASKI COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM EDT...

At 332 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Baileys Park, or 8
miles east of Hawkinsville...moving northwest at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...frequent cloud to ground lightning
           and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Cochran, Hawkinsville, Dubois, Gresston, Paulk, Empire, Mobley
Crossing, Hartford, Roddy, Pulaski State Prison and Baileys Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3227 8320 3218 8335 3225 8349 3238 8347
      3242 8328
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 132DEG 17KT 3226 8333

WIND...40MPH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 19, 8:07 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningFFCCoweta, Heard6 hr
Aug 19, 8:14 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGreene31 min
Aug 19, 8:23 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCTaliaferro37 min
Aug 19, 8:53 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCForsyth, Fulton5 hr
Aug 19, 8:54 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCPutnam36 min
Aug 19, 9:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCPutnam30 min
Aug 19, 9:53 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBibb37 min
Aug 19, 11:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCWilkinson29 min
Aug 19, 11:52 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBaldwin, Hancock23 min
Aug 20, 12:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBanks29 min
Aug 20, 1:41 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCrawford34 min
Aug 20, 2:04 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCWebster26 min
Aug 20, 2:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCTroup32 min
Aug 20, 2:18 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCTwiggs27 min
Aug 20, 2:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCLaurens33 min
Aug 20, 2:44 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCTwiggs31 min
Aug 20, 2:50 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCChattahoochee25 min
Aug 20, 2:52 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCSumter38 min
Aug 20, 2:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCLaurens35 min
Aug 20, 3:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCChattahoochee, Muscogee27 min
Aug 20, 3:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMonroe33 min
Aug 20, 3:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCLaurens24 min
Aug 20, 3:28 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCChattahoochee, Muscogee, Talbot, Taylor32 min
Aug 20, 3:44 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMonroe31 min
Aug 20, 3:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCLaurens29 min
Aug 20, 3:58 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCTalbot32 min
Aug 20, 4:03 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBleckley, Pulaski27 min
Aug 20, 4:11 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCJasper, Putnam34 min
Aug 20, 4:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCJasper23 min
Aug 20, 4:33 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCLamar27 min
Aug 20, 4:44 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCJasper, Morgan31 min
Aug 20, 4:52 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMacon, Peach23 min
Aug 20, 5:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCFayette37 min
Aug 20, 5:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMacon30 min
Aug 20, 5:25 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCPaulding35 min
Aug 20, 5:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMontgomery29 min
Aug 20, 5:38 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningFFCDooly, Macon4 hr
Aug 20, 5:44 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGordon31 min
Aug 20, 5:54 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCClarke36 min
Aug 20, 5:57 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBartow33 min
Aug 20, 6:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMontgomery, Toombs30 min
Aug 20, 6:02 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDouglas28 min
Aug 20, 6:07 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMurray23 min
Aug 20, 6:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCPutnam36 min
Aug 20, 6:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDouglas33 min
Aug 20, 6:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGordon29 min
Aug 20, 6:33 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningFFCGordon, Murray6 hr
Aug 20, 6:34 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBarrow, Jackson26 min
Aug 20, 6:38 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHaralson37 min
Aug 20, 6:44 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMontgomery, Treutlen, Wheeler31 min
Aug 20, 6:52 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningFFCMontgomery, Toombs5 hr
Aug 20, 6:58 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBanks, Barrow, Jackson32 min
Aug 20, 7:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCPaulding30 min
Aug 20, 7:04 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGilmer26 min
Aug 20, 7:09 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningFFCGilmer6 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2020Every special weather statement in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.