Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
120 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020

...18Z Aviation Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM /Today through Friday/...

An upper longwave trough from the Great Lakes into the southeast
states will persist through the period. The forecast area will stay
in a moist southwesterly flow. There is some hint of a weak short
wave in satellite images that should move across the TN Valley
today. Have kept pops in the chance category through the afternoon
with the better chance pops generally across the north. With the
diurnal effects also...convection could last well into the upcoming
evening. A few strong to isolated severe storm are possible.

No big changes for Friday. The longwave trough pushes a bit to the
east. However GA remains in a weak area between the upper ridges.
This will again allow showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and
evening. Heat Index values are forecast to remain below advisory
criteria today and Friday...ranging from 100 to 103 with some
isolated values of 105.

41

.LONG TERM /Friday Night through Wednesday/...

As the extended period begins, the higher-amplitude upper level
pattern will begin flattening out and nearly zonal flow aloft will
be setting up at the upper levels. Slightly drier air is expected to
build in across north Georgia as a surface high pressure system
moves slowly eastward through the Ohio Valley on Saturday and
Sunday. Meanwhile, a weak frontal boundary will remain stalled
across south-central Georgia through, and will serve as a moisture
gradient with higher dewpoints and precipitable water values to the
south and relatively lower values to the north. The surface boundary
will also provide a focus for relatively higher rain chances across
central Georgia through the weekend.

The surface boundary is expected to gradually retreat northward
during the early parts of next week before dissipating, which will
allow for dewpoints in the mid 70s and precipitable water values in
the 1.75" to 2" range to spread back into north Georgia. With more
available moisture, PoPs should increase accordingly during the
early parts of next week, with high-end chance PoPs forecast across
the area during peak heating hours each afternoon. Temperatures
through the period will range from about 3-6 degrees above
climatological normals for this time of the year. With the exception
of the higher elevations in northeast Georgia (which will be
cooler), highs are expected to be in the low to mid 90s and lows are
expected to be mainly in the low 70s. These afternoon highs combined
with humid conditions will produce heat indices in the 100-105
degree range across central Georgia each afternoon.

King

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...

VFR conditions are expected to predominate across the forecast area
through the majority of the forecast period outside of isolated to
scattered convection. Will see some local to scaterred MVFR or lower
conditions 06Z-14Z. Best chances for any impacts at the TAF sites
would be KAHN and briefly at KMCN. Best convective coverage will be
between 20Z and 02Z, although an isolated shower or thunderstorm is
possible at any time. Winds remain somewhat variable in direction,
but should be predominately southwest to northwest at 4-8kt,
diminishing to 2-5kt after 00Z.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

Medium to high all elements.

20

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          93  70  93  70 /  50  40  30  20
Atlanta         91  72  93  71 /  40  30  30  10
Blairsville     85  64  85  63 /  50  40  40  10
Cartersville    92  70  93  69 /  40  30  20   5
Columbus        97  73  97  73 /  30  30  30  10
Gainesville     89  69  91  69 /  40  40  30  20
Macon           97  72  96  72 /  40  30  30  20
Rome            91  68  94  68 /  40  30  20   5
Peachtree City  94  71  93  71 /  40  30  30  10
Vidalia         96  74  95  75 /  50  40  40  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....King
AVIATION...41

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1010 AM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-071015-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1010 AM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected across north and central
Georgia this afternoon and evening, mainly between 3 PM and 9 PM.
A few storms may become strong to briefly severe. Damaging wind
gusts, frequent lightning, and locally heavy rainfall will be
possible with any severe storms that occur.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Scattered thunderstorms are possible each day from Friday through
Wednesday, mainly in the afternoon and evening hours. A few
storms each day could become strong to briefly severe, capable of
producing damaging wind gusts, frequent lightning, and locally
heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1220 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020

GAZ006-061630-
Fannin GA-
1220 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN FANNIN COUNTY UNTIL 1230
PM EDT...

At 1219 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near Mineral Bluff, or 7
miles northeast of Blue Ridge...moving northeast at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Winds up to 40 mph and frequent lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Some minor tree damage has
           occurred with this storm.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Mineral Bluff.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. Electrical
appliances should not be used unless in an emergency.

LAT...LON 3496 8417 3495 8418 3494 8417 3491 8424
      3491 8434 3499 8437 3499 8413
TIME...MOT...LOC 1619Z 239DEG 15KT 3496 8426

WIND...40MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1223 PM EDT THU AUG 06 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1204 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE EPWORTH            34.96N  84.37W
08/06/2020                   FANNIN             GA   PUBLIC

            REPORT OF A PINE TREE BLOWN DOWN OFF HWY 5 NORTH OF
            BLUE RIDGE ON SPRING HILL CIR

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC2001059

THIEM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
128 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020

GAZ006-008-009-061745-
Union GA-Towns GA-Fannin GA-
128 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN UNION...NORTHWESTERN
TOWNS AND NORTHEASTERN FANNIN COUNTIES UNTIL 145 PM EDT...

At 128 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Ivy Log, or 7 miles
northwest of Blairsville...moving northeast at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...40 to 50 mph wind...up to penny sized hail...frequent
           cloud to ground lightning and heavy rain.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects. Heavy rain may cause temporary
           street flooding especially in poor drainage areas.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Gumlog, Nottely Dam, Ivy Log, Jones Creek and Alexanders Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Motorists
should slow down and be prepared for possible loss of control due to
hydroplaning.

LAT...LON 3491 8390 3484 8410 3499 8421 3499 8383
TIME...MOT...LOC 1728Z 242DEG 17KT 3494 8406

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...50MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
147 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020

GAZ008-009-061815-
Union GA-Towns GA-
147 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN UNION AND
NORTHWESTERN TOWNS COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM EDT...

At 147 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was over Gumlog, or near
Blairsville...moving east at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Young Harris, Gumlog, Ivy Log and Alexanders Mill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3489 8390 3491 8404 3498 8409 3499 8408
      3499 8376
TIME...MOT...LOC 1747Z 264DEG 16KT 3494 8396

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH