Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
236 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2020

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Friday Night/...

Convection coverage is filling in across the southern majority of
the CWA as expected and have increase some likely pops accordingly
along and south of the I-20 corridor as a weak upper impulse
tracks along the enhanced moisture axis. Given the marginal
instability and weak shear, thinking general thunder is also on
track with potential for a few strong storms. The moisture axis
/quasi-stalled front looks like it could meander slightly more
northward for Friday so have trended the chance pops across mainly
north GA and still kept slight mention for farther south with
other diurnal forcing potential despite the broad ridging south of
the region.

Temps look to be near climo norms for lows tonight and Friday night
with slightly below norms for Friday afternoon highs.

Baker

&&

.LONG TERM /Saturday through Thursday/...

The long term period picks up on Saturday morning with a shortwave
trough moving across Georgia. The GFS remains more generous with
moisture than the ECMWF, but given the shortwave, chance PoPs for
the northern half of the CWA on Saturday seem reasonable. Shortwave
ridging sets up on Sunday with embedded vort maxes providing lift
for scattered showers and storms. The CWA will remain under the
influence of ridging for the early part of the week, though the
details of the upper-level pattern become murky starting on Tuesday
concerning the timing and location of shortwaves moving through the
flow. Moisture should remain plentiful through the period with PWATs
of 1.25 to around 2 inches. Given the upper-level impulses, ample
moisture, and a back-door cold front sinking south into Georgia from
Tennessee and the Carolinas, the ingredients for scattered to
numerous showers and storms will be in place each day... Warranting
chance to likely PoPs across the CWA Monday though Thursday.

High temperatures across the CWA will be near-normal to just below
normal through the long term period, and low temperatures will run
slightly above average, given rain chances and cloud cover.

Martin

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Any lingering MVFR cigs should lift soon to near 4 kft though
could lower some with increasing SHRA/TSRA coverage this
afternoon. Have TSRA and possible reduced VSBYs covered with
tempo for most sites near 19-23z. Slight pops overnight so cannot
rule out continued VCSH but kept out for now and then increase
SHRA/TSRA chances again for northern sites after 15/18z tomorrow.
Any morning MVFR cigs could flirt with sites near KATL so have BKN
1500 ft at PDK and RYY but SCT at FTY and ATL. West winds with
low end gusts this afternoon, decreasing overnight then back up
again for Friday.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium on overall precip coverage overnight and Friday.
Medium on morning MVFR potential near KATL.
High on all else.

Baker

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          68  87  68  89 /  20  30  20  30
Atlanta         68  84  69  86 /  30  30  20  30
Blairsville     62  81  63  81 /  20  30  20  30
Cartersville    67  84  67  86 /  30  40  30  30
Columbus        69  90  71  91 /  30  20  10  20
Gainesville     67  83  68  84 /  20  30  20  30
Macon           69  89  70  92 /  20  30  10  20
Rome            67  85  67  86 /  30  30  20  30
Peachtree City  67  85  68  86 /  30  30  10  30
Vidalia         71  91  72  94 /  10  20  10  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Baker
LONG TERM....Martin
AVIATION...Baker

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1210 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-261615-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1210 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to redevelop by
this afternoon. Some isolated strong storms will be possible with
gusty winds, small hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall as
the primary concerns.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will be possible
each afternoon and evening. Gusty winds, frequent lightning, and
heavy rain will be possible with any storms that do develop.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.  Please relay any information about observed severe
weather to the NWS while following all local, state, and CDC
guidelines.

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
350 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2020

GAZ078-079-252015-
Harris GA-Talbot GA-
350 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN HARRIS AND
NORTHWESTERN TALBOT COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM EDT...

At 350 PM EDT...a strong thunderstorm was near F.d. Roosevelt State
Park, or near Hamilton...moving east at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...Up to 40 mph wind...pea sized hail and frequent cloud to
           ground lightning.

  IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
           light...unsecured objects.

Some locations in the path of this storm include
Hamilton, Talbotton, Manchester, Pine Mountain, Waverly Hall,
Woodland, F.d. Roosevelt State Park, Pleasant Hill, Flint Hill, Olive
Branch and Baughville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately. If you can hear
thunder...you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

LAT...LON 3274 8495 3287 8490 3285 8472 3284 8470
      3285 8466 3283 8449 3262 8455
TIME...MOT...LOC 1950Z 284DEG 22KT 3279 8481

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH