Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
336 PM EDT Mon Jun 15 2020

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Tuesday Night/...

Upper closed low centered over the Southern Appalachians will
continue to drift southeast toward the Atlantic Coast during the
short term. This will combine with a continuous easterly flow at
low levels...resulting in scattered showers and thunderstorms each
afternoon and evening. Cold temperatures aloft this afternoon
could produce some isolated strong to severe thunderstorms with
hail and damaging winds. With easterly upslope flow...some stratus
is possible across much of the area toward morning. Increased
cloudiness could moderate high temperatures on Tuesday...but
potential remains to reach warmer highs with breaks in clouds

41

.LONG TERM /Wednesday through Monday/...

An upper level cutoff low will finally begin to lift north on
Wednesday taking with it some of the cooler than average
temperatures with it. On the backside of the low as it lifts north,
there will be a chance for afternoon thunderstorms Wednesday and
Thursday primarily across NE Georgia.

Temperatures will lift out of the low to mid 80s on Thursday and
head into the 90s by the weekend. As ridging takes control of the
area, dry air will be filtered in limiting the dewpoints going into
the weekend to the mid to low 60s across the area. Drier air with a
WNW flow should limit afternoon convection as well.

Early next week an upper level low, centered over the southern great
lakes, will bring a cold front sweeping through. As the high to our
east begins to break down, boundary level moisture will increase.
This moisture return combined with daytime heating could present an
environment favorable for some stormy weather. Given the current
uncertainty in the timing presented by the models it's still too far
out to say where these storms will form and with what intensity.

Vaughn

&&

AVIATION...
18Z Update...
VFR this afternoon with scattered showers and thunderstorms
possible at all sites. Storms diminishing during the evening. MVFR
stratus possibly affecting all taf sites 09z-14z...then gradually
improving to VFR during Tuesday morning. Expect another chance for
afternoon and evening thunderstorms on Tuesday. Winds remain
easterly through the period.

//ATL Confidence...
18Z Update...
Medium on to high on Tuesday morning stratus. High on all other
elements.

41

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          58  75  59  78 /  20  20  20  30
Atlanta         59  77  60  80 /  20  20  10  20
Blairsville     52  69  54  72 /  20  40  20  50
Cartersville    59  78  60  81 /  20  20   5  20
Columbus        63  84  62  86 /  20  20   5  10
Gainesville     57  73  59  77 /  20  20  10  40
Macon           61  79  60  81 /  20  20  10  20
Rome            59  79  60  82 /  10  20   5  20
Peachtree City  59  77  59  81 /  20  20   5  20
Vidalia         63  80  62  81 /  20  20  10  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...41

Hazardous Weather Outlook...Updated
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1215 PM EDT Mon Jun 15 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-160800-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1215 PM EDT Mon Jun 15 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central
Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening. A
few storms could become strong to severe. Gusty winds, small hail,
frequent lightning, and locally heavy rainfall will be possible in
the strongest storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

From Tuesday through Saturday, isolated to scattered thunderstorms
will be possible each afternoon. Gusty winds, frequent lightning,
and heavy rain will be possible with any storms that do develop.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

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