Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
258 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2020

.SHORT TERM /Today through Friday/...

A cold front is forecast to move across the area tonight.
The concern for severe thunderstorms is Not as great. SPC is
now indicating a Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms across the
area this afternoon into the evening with damaging winds the main
Hazard. Instability has struggled to increase with the best
instability currently over the sw cwa. We are not out of the
woods yet and isolated severe storms are still possible.

Shower chances remain high this afternoon into tonight along with
thunderstorm chances. The Shower and thunderstorm chances are expected
to diminish as the night goes on.

An upper level trough is forecast to move across the area on Thursday.
Overall moisture is limited but you can not rule out the chance for
showers, favoring far n GA, and farther south to a lesser degree.
Small shower chances will linger over far n GA the first part of
Thursday night before ending.

The stronger winds across the area this afternoon will diminish tonight
but increase again for Thursday. A wind advisory is not expected at this
time on Thursday.

Forecast low temperatures are expected to be within a few degrees of
normal across the area tonight and generally 2-6 degrees below normal
Thursday night. Forecast high temperatures are running 7-15 degrees below
normal on Thursday.

Overall confidence is medium.

BDL

LONG TERM /Friday Night through Tuesday/...

Friday kicks off the start of a dry hot weekend. Temperatures will
be seasonable with highs in the low to mid 70s across the area some
stiff WNW winds 10-15 mph gusting to 25. Friday night marks the
beginning of a wind shift as the flow gradually become more
southwesterly. Temperatures begin ramp up on Saturday with highs in
the low 80s for most of the area. This warming trend continues into
Sunday and Monday as temps could reach the low 90s in central
Georgia.

A series of embedded shortwaves in the upper level flow mark the
passage of a weak cold front on Tuesday. Light precip is possible
Monday out ahead of the front as some moisture builds back in. For
Tuesday and into Wednesday, precip should be restricted to the
northern parts of Georgia in limited quantities with QPF values
capped off around half an inch. A few rumbles of thunder are likely
as it passes through given continuous high temperatures and moderate
instability.

Vaughn

.AVIATION... 18Z Update... A mixed bag of MVFR/VFR ceilings for
this forecast with some potential for brief IFR along with showers
and thunderstorms increasing this afternoon and diminishing
tonight. Surface winds South 10-15 kts with gusts 20 to 25 kts.
Winds becoming West this evening around 10 kts or less.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Low confidence for wind direction to start.
Medium confidence for all other elements.

BDL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          75  53  66  48 /  90  90  10   5
Atlanta         70  52  64  48 /  90  90  10  10
Blairsville     67  46  58  43 /  90  90  40  20
Cartersville    70  50  64  46 /  90  80  20  10
Columbus        74  53  68  49 /  90  90   5   0
Gainesville     70  52  63  47 /  90  90  20  10
Macon           77  54  69  48 /  80  80   5   5
Rome            70  50  65  46 /  90  70  20  10
Peachtree City  72  51  65  47 /  90  90  10   5
Vidalia         82  59  74  52 /  40  90  20   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...BDL
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...BDL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
245 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2020

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-301845-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
245 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Thunderstorms are expected today as a cold front pushes through
the area. A few strong to severe storms are possible. The primary
hazard will be damaging winds, though hail and an isolated
tornado cannot be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

Thunderstorms will be possible again on Monday and Tuesday, though
the exact timing is still uncertain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested but spotters are encouraged
to submit reports of severe weather through the web by going to
weather.gov/atlanta.  Please relay any information about observed severe
weather to the NWS while following all local, state, and CDC
guidelines.

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
802 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2020

GAZ022-023-025-300030-
Hall GA-Jackson GA-Forsyth GA-
802 PM EDT Wed Apr 29 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HALL...NORTHERN JACKSON AND
EASTERN FORSYTH COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM EDT...

At 802 PM EDT...National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorms over Aqualand Park, or 9 miles southwest of
Gainesville...moving northeast at 35 mph.

  HAZARD...increased chance of a brief tornado.

  IMPACT...This storm has exhibited localized rotation. A brief
           tornado could quickly form.

Some locations in the path of this storms include
Gainesville, Flowery Branch, Oakwood, Lula, Gillsville, Candler,
Aqualand Park and Oscarville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People outdoors should seek shelter immediately.

LAT...LON 3442 8365 3437 8367 3436 8367 3435 8365
      3432 8365 3426 8358 3425 8360 3415 8397
      3422 8403 3439 8374
TIME...MOT...LOC 0002Z 239DEG 30KT 3421 8396