Flash Flood Warning 22, NWS Kansas City, MO

943 
WGUS73 KEAX 310257
FFSEAX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
957 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

KSC005-043-MOC003-021-087-310305-
/O.EXP.KEAX.FF.W.0022.000000T0000Z-200731T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Doniphan KS-Atchison KS-Buchanan MO-Holt MO-Andrew MO-
957 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN DONIPHAN...NORTHEASTERN
ATCHISON...NORTHWESTERN BUCHANAN...SOUTHEASTERN HOLT AND ANDREW
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1000 PM CDT THURSDAY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flash flooding is no longer expected; 
however, flooded roads and flooding of low lying areas may still a 
threat. Please continue to heed any road closures.

LAT...LON 4013 9461 3973 9460 3955 9513 3995 9514

$$

PP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
315 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

.Discussion...
Issued at 315 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2020

A mid to upper level low paired with a couple of surface
boundaries all within the presence of ample moisture has yielded
another active weather day with showers producing moderate to
heavy rain across portions of the region. The heaviest rain is
currently falling across eastern Kansas where 1 to 3 inches of
rain has already fallen and a couple of flash flood warnings are
in effect. Moderate to heavy showers (with a few thunderstorms)
will likely persist through the afternoon and evening hours with
the focus continuing to be across eastern Kansas as the complex
slowly shifts southeastward tonight. Showers should come to an end
from north to south by Friday morning, with drier air filtering
into the region and clouds finally clearing from north to south by
late afternoon.

North northwesterly flow on the back side of the mid to upper
level trough will continue through the weekend. This will keep
temperatures well below seasonal normals. A shortwave trough and
cold front will push into the area from the north Saturday night
into Sunday, bringing chances for a few showers and storms back
into the forecast. Very pleasant weather is expected for Monday
and Tuesday as northerly flow and high pressure build into the
region with highs in the 70s and overnight lows in the upper 50s
with very low humidity. As the longwave trough finally shifts east
on Wednesday a ridge and warm air advection returns back to the
area. This should lead to a slight increase in moisture and
temperatures as well as reintroduce some slight PoP chances as we
head towards the end of next week.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 113 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2020

Showers continue across much of the region, with the heaviest
showers currently located across NW Missouri near STJ and south
and west of IXD. Showers will continue through the afternoon hours
with thunderstorms possible later this afternoon as instability
increases. All terminals will likely be impacted by at least SHRA
and perhaps TSRA between now and late evening. It is possible that
a heavy shower or storm could impact the terminals, which could
be accompanied by lowered VSBYs and CIGs. Showers and storms
should exit the region to the south by Friday morning. CIGs are
expected to lower to MVFR shortly after midnight tonight. Brief
periods of IFR CIGs will be possible, but confidence was not high
enough at this time to include in the 18z TAF. CIGs should improve
to VFR once more by mid to late Friday morning.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

Discussion...Williams
Aviation...Williams

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
450 AM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-311000-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
450 AM CDT Thu Jul 30 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Moderate to heavy rainfall chances will continue through today. Areas
of one to two inches of rain is expected, with locally higher
amounts, greater than three inches possible. The best chance for
bouts of heavy rainfall will be for locations along and south of the
Missouri River. This additional rainfall will continue to support
flooding and flash flooding concerns through the day.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Off and on thunderstorm chances will persist through Friday. Isolated
instances of flooding and flash flooding will continue.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo